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可转债周报(2025年11月17日至2025年11月21日):本周有所调整-20251123
EBSCN· 2025-11-23 05:18
Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided in the report Core Viewpoints - This week, both the convertible bond market and the equity market declined. Since the beginning of 2025, both markets have been on an upward trend. Currently, the remaining term of outstanding convertible bonds has shortened, and the number of high - quality individual bonds has decreased. High - price and high - valuation convertible bonds may face certain adjustment pressures, and trading convertible bonds is quite difficult. It is recommended to comprehensively judge based on convertible bond terms and the situation of the underlying stocks, select bonds in a refined manner, and pay attention to new bond opportunities in industries with high prosperity [4] Summary by Directory Market行情 - From November 17 to November 21, 2025 (5 trading days), the change rate of the CSI Convertible Bond Index was - 1.78% (last week's change rate was + 0.52%), and the change of the CSI All - Share Index was - 5.05% (last week's change rate was - 0.53%). Since 2025, the change rate of the CSI Convertible Bond Index has been + 16.50%, and the change rate of the CSI All - Share Index has been + 17.36% [1] - By rating, high - rated bonds (AAA), medium - high - rated bonds (AA+), medium - rated bonds (AA), medium - low - rated bonds (AA -), and low - rated bonds (AA - and below) all declined this week, with medium - rated bonds having the largest decline [1] - By convertible bond scale, large - scale convertible bonds (bond balance > 2 billion yuan), medium - large - scale convertible bonds (balance between 1.5 and 2 billion yuan), medium - scale convertible bonds (balance between 1 and 1.5 billion yuan), small - medium - scale convertible bonds (balance between 0.5 and 1 billion yuan), and small - scale convertible bonds (balance < 0.5 billion yuan) all declined this week, with medium - scale convertible bonds having the largest decline [2] - By parity, ultra - high - parity bonds (conversion value > 130 yuan), high - parity bonds (conversion value between 120 and 130 yuan), medium - high - parity bonds (conversion value between 110 and 120 yuan), medium - parity bonds (conversion value between 100 and 110 yuan), medium - low - parity bonds (conversion value between 90 and 100 yuan), low - parity bonds (conversion value between 80 and 90 yuan), and ultra - low - parity bonds (conversion value < 80 yuan) had different performance this week, with ultra - high - parity bonds having the highest increase [2] Convertible Bond Price, Parity, and Conversion Premium Rate - As of November 21, 2025, there were 411 outstanding convertible bonds (412 at the end of last week), with a balance of 563.719 billion yuan (566.85 billion yuan at the end of last week) [3] - The average convertible bond price was 131.61 yuan (133.30 yuan at the end of last week), and the percentile was 96.56% (from the beginning of 2023 to November 21, 2025) [3] - The average convertible bond parity was 101.20 yuan (105.52 yuan at the end of last week), and the percentile was 88.67% [3] - The average convertible bond conversion premium rate was 31.88% (27.12% at the end of last week), and the percentile was 38.31% [3] Convertible Bond Performance and Allocation Direction - Currently, the remaining term of outstanding convertible bonds has shortened, and the number of high - quality individual bonds has decreased. High - price and high - valuation convertible bonds may face certain adjustment pressures, and trading convertible bonds is quite difficult. It is recommended to comprehensively judge based on convertible bond terms and the situation of the underlying stocks, select bonds in a refined manner, and pay attention to new bond opportunities in industries with high prosperity [4]
【固收】调整不小——可转债周报(2025年10月13日至2025年10月17日)(张旭/李枢川)
光大证券研究· 2025-10-19 23:04
Market Overview - The convertible bond and equity markets experienced notable adjustments during the week of October 13 to October 17, 2025, with the China Convertible Bond Index declining by 2.3% and the China All Share Index decreasing by 3.5% [6] - Year-to-date performance shows the China Convertible Bond Index up by 14.4% and the China All Share Index up by 19.0%, indicating that the convertible bond market has underperformed compared to the equity market [6] - By rating, high-rated bonds (AA+ and above) fell by 1.73%, medium-rated bonds (AA) decreased by 3.41%, and low-rated bonds (AA- and below) dropped by 3.51%, with high-rated bonds experiencing the least decline [6] - In terms of bond size, large-scale convertible bonds (over 5 billion) decreased by 1.01%, medium-scale bonds (between 500 million and 5 billion) fell by 2.80%, and small-scale bonds (under 500 million) dropped by 3.98%, again showing that larger bonds fared better [6] Price and Valuation Metrics - The average price of convertible bonds is 130.61 yuan, down from 132.67 yuan the previous week, with a price percentile of 98.0% [8] - The average parity price is 103.82 yuan, down from 105.35 yuan, with a percentile of 93.4% [8] - The average conversion premium stands at 27.7%, slightly up from 27.6% the previous week, with a percentile of 56.5% [8] - Notably, the conversion premium for medium parity convertible bonds (valued between 90 and 110 yuan) is 28.8%, which is higher than the median conversion premium of 20.4% since 2018 [8] Convertible Bond Performance and Strategy - The convertible bond market continues to show stronger demand than supply, suggesting that convertible bonds remain relatively high-quality assets in the long term [9] - However, the current valuation levels are considered high, indicating a need for strategic adjustments in the portfolio composition [9]
【固收】本周先涨后跌——可转债周报(2025年10月9日至2025年10月10日)(张旭/李枢川)
光大证券研究· 2025-10-12 00:05
Market Overview - The convertible bond market experienced fluctuations this week, with the China Convertible Bond Index showing a change of 0% from October 9 to October 10, 2025, compared to a previous increase of +1.6% [8] - The China All Share Index decreased by -0.3% during the same period, following a prior increase of +2.0% [8] - Year-to-date, the China Convertible Bond Index has increased by +17.1%, while the China All Share Index has risen by +23.3%, indicating that the convertible bond market has underperformed relative to the equity market [8] Performance by Rating - High-rated bonds (AA+ and above) and medium-rated bonds (AA) saw increases of +0.45% and +0.50% respectively, while low-rated bonds (AA- and below) decreased by -0.31%, indicating poor performance in the low-rated segment [8] Performance by Size - Large-scale convertible bonds (over 5 billion) increased by +0.32%, medium-scale bonds (between 500 million and 5 billion) rose by +0.12%, while small-scale bonds (under 500 million) fell by -0.16%, showing that larger bonds performed better this week [8] Performance by Parity - The weekly performance of convertible bonds based on their parity showed that ultra-high parity bonds (conversion value over 130 yuan) increased by +0.03%, while high parity bonds (110 to 130 yuan) decreased by -0.17% [9] Average Metrics - As of October 10, 2025, the average price of convertible bonds was 132.67 yuan, with an average parity of 105.35 yuan and an average conversion premium of 27.6% [10] - The total outstanding convertible bonds amounted to 420, with a total balance of 587.83 billion yuan [10] Market Demand and Supply - The demand for convertible bonds remains stronger than supply, suggesting that convertible bonds are still considered relatively high-quality assets in the long term [11] - However, the current valuation levels are generally high, indicating a need for structural adjustments in investment strategies [11]
【固收】本周转涨,且涨幅超权益——可转债周报(2025年9月22日至2025年9月26日)(张旭/李枢川)
光大证券研究· 2025-09-28 02:22
Market Overview - The China Convertible Bond Index experienced a weekly increase of +0.9% from September 22 to September 26, 2025, following a previous decline of -1.5% [7] - The overall index for the week showed a change of +0.2%, with convertible bonds outperforming equities for the first time in nearly a month [10] - Year-to-date performance indicates a +15.3% increase for convertible bonds compared to a +21.3% increase for the overall index, suggesting slightly weaker performance in the convertible bond market [10] Rating Analysis - High-rated bonds (AA+ and above) saw a weekly increase of +0.69%, while medium-rated bonds (AA) increased by +0.86%, and low-rated bonds (AA- and below) only increased by +0.51%, indicating the lowest growth in the low-rated category [8] Size Classification - Large-scale convertible bonds (over 5 billion) increased by +0.73%, medium-scale bonds (between 500 million and 5 billion) rose by +1.01%, while small-scale bonds (under 500 million) saw a minimal increase of +0.01% [8] Price and Valuation Metrics - The average price of convertible bonds is 130.44 yuan, with an average conversion value of 104.27 yuan and an average conversion premium of 26.0% as of September 26, 2025 [9] - The number of outstanding convertible bonds is 427, with a total balance of 593.38 billion yuan [9] Market Performance and Investment Direction - The convertible bond market is expected to remain a relatively high-quality asset in the long term, despite current high valuation levels, necessitating a focus on structural adjustments [10]
【固收】连续两周录得可观涨幅——可转债周报(2025年6月30日至2025年7月4日)(张旭/李枢川)
光大证券研究· 2025-07-06 13:24
Market Overview - The convertible bond market continued to rise during the week from June 30 to July 4, 2025, with the China Convertible Bond Index increasing by +1.2% (previous week +2.1%), marking two consecutive weeks of significant gains [3] - Year-to-date, the China Convertible Bond Index has risen by +7.9%, outperforming the China All Index, which has increased by +4.6% [3][7] Performance by Rating and Size - High-rated bonds (AA+ and above) saw the highest weekly increase of +1.62%, followed by medium-rated bonds (AA) at +1.41%, and low-rated bonds (AA- and below) at +0.63% [4] - In terms of bond size, large-scale convertible bonds (over 5 billion) increased by +1.45%, medium-scale bonds (between 500 million and 5 billion) by +1.12%, and small-scale bonds (under 500 million) by +0.92% [4] Price and Valuation Metrics - The average price of convertible bonds reached 124.53 yuan, up from 123.21 yuan the previous week, with a percentile value of 93.8% [5][6] - The average conversion price was 96.58 yuan, an increase from 94.88 yuan, with a percentile value of 81.9% [6] - The average conversion premium decreased to 28.2% from 29.9%, with a percentile value of 56.5% [6] Sector Performance - The top 30 convertible bonds by increase were primarily from the chemical (6), pharmaceutical (4), and electronics (4) sectors, while the largest declines were seen in the chemical (6), automotive (4), and non-ferrous metals (3) sectors [4] Future Outlook - The convertible bond market's performance is expected to be influenced by fundamental factors and macro policies, with a focus on sectors that can benefit from domestic demand stimulation [7]