2025 年 11 月 23 日 总量研究 本周有所调整 ——可转债周报（2025 年 11 月 17 日至 2025 年 11 月 21 日） 要点 1、市场行情 本周（2025 年 11 月 17 日至 2025 年 11 月 21 日，共 5 个交易日）中证转债指 数涨跌幅为-1.78%（上周涨跌幅为+0.52%），中证全指变动为-5.05%（上周涨 跌幅为-0.53%）。2025 年以来中证转债涨跌幅为+16.50%，中证全指涨跌幅为 +17.36%。 分评级来看，债项评级高评级券（评级为 AAA）、中高评级券（评级为 AA+）、 中评级券（评级为 AA）、中低评级券（评级为 AA-）和低评级券（评级为 AA- 及以下）本周涨跌幅分别为-0.82%、-1.41%、-2.31%、-2.07%和-1.92%，均 有所下跌，其中中评级券跌幅最大。 分转债规模看，大规模转债（债券余额大于 20 亿元）、中大规模转债（余额在 15 至 20 亿元之间）、中规模转债（余额在 10 至 15 亿元之间）、中小规模转 债（余额在 5 至 10 亿元之间）、小规模转债（余额小于 5 亿元）本周涨跌幅分 别为-1.33% ...

以幅度进行统计，综合行业融资余额增幅最高，最新融资余额为43.82亿元，环比增长2.74%，其次是电 子、通信、社会服务行业，环比增幅分别为1.93%、1.13%、0.89%；融资余额环比降幅居前的行业有轻 工制造、美容护理、汽车等，最新融资余额分别有143.27亿元、67.17亿元、1198.29亿元，分别下降 0.68%、0.57%、0.52%。（数据宝） | 轻工制造 | 143.27 | -0.98 | -0.68 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 石油石化 | 246.52 | -1.09 | -0.44 | | 传媒 | 483.77 | -1.48 | -0.31 | | 医药生物 | 1625.64 | -3.27 | -0.20 | | 电力设备 | 2018.02 | -3.82 | -0.19 | | 机械设备 | 1283.52 | -4.02 | -0.31 | | 汽车 | 1198.29 | -6.27 | -0.52 | 截至10月24日，市场最新融资余额为24398.18亿元，较上个交易日环比增加58.95亿元，分行业统计，申 万所属一级行业有17个 ...

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3950.31 points, up 0.71%, with a trading volume of 858.5 billion yuan [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13289.18 points, up 2.02%, with a trading volume of 1115.718 billion yuan [1] - The ChiNext Index closed at 3171.57 points, up 3.57%, with a trading volume of 529.69 billion yuan [1] - The STAR 50 Index closed at 1462.22 points, up 4.35%, with a trading volume of 98.9 billion yuan [1] - The total trading volume of both markets reached 1974.218 billion yuan, an increase of 330.34 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - Strong performance in sectors such as electronics, communications, defense, power equipment, computers, non-ferrous metals, automobiles, and machinery [2] - Active concepts included storage chips, CPO, space stations, AI phones, PCB, satellite internet, passive components, and nano-silver [2] - Weak performance in sectors like oil and petrochemicals, coal, food and beverages, real estate, transportation, and steel [2] Fund Flow - Net inflow of main funds in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 14.886 billion yuan, with the ChiNext seeing a net inflow of 8.675 billion yuan [3][4] - The electronic sector had the highest net inflow of main funds at 11.426 billion yuan, followed by power equipment, defense, communications, and automobiles [4] - The pharmaceutical sector experienced the largest net outflow of main funds at 1.673 billion yuan [4] Individual Stock Performance - A total of 2530 stocks saw net inflows of main funds, with 107 stocks receiving over 1 billion yuan [5][6] - Lixun Precision received the highest net inflow of 1.987 billion yuan, followed by Yangguang Electric, Zhongji Xuchuang, and others [6] - 2624 stocks experienced net outflows, with 67 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 1 billion yuan, led by Huagong Technology with a net outflow of 1.048 billion yuan [7][8] Institutional Activity - Institutions had a net selling of approximately 283 million yuan, with 12 stocks seeing net purchases and 16 stocks net sold [9][10] - The stock with the highest net purchase by institutions was ShenNan Circuit, with a net inflow of about 198 million yuan [10]

Core Viewpoint - The industrial enterprises above designated size in August showed signs of recovery in revenue and profit, with revenue growth of 1.9% year-on-year and a significant profit increase of 20.4% compared to the previous year, indicating a potential stabilization in the industrial sector [1][7][8]. Revenue and Profit Trends - In August, the revenue of industrial enterprises increased by 1.9% year-on-year, marking a 1.0 percentage point acceleration from the previous month. Cumulatively, the revenue growth for the first eight months remained at 2.3%, consistent with prior values, ending a four-month slowdown [1][6][7]. - The profit total for August saw a substantial year-on-year increase of 20.4%, a recovery from a decline of 1.5% in the previous month. The cumulative profit growth for the first eight months turned positive at 0.9% [1][8][25]. Price and Volume Dynamics - The improvement in revenue in August was primarily driven by price increases, with a structure characterized by "volume contraction and price increase." The Producer Price Index (PPI) improved from -3.6% to -2.9% year-on-year, supporting profit margins [2][10][11]. - The revenue profit margin for January to August was 5.24%, showing a slight year-on-year decline of 0.06 percentage points, but significantly better than the declines observed in June and July [2][10][11]. Industry Performance Disparities - Profit growth varied significantly across industries, with notable increases in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, utilities, essential consumer goods, electrical machinery, and transportation equipment. Conversely, industries like coal, black metal mining, petrochemicals, and light manufacturing experienced the largest profit declines [3][15][16]. - In August, profit growth improvements were concentrated in upstream industries, with coal, steel, and non-metallic minerals showing low-level recoveries. The beverage and tea industry saw a significant rebound in profits due to seasonal demand [3][18]. Inventory and Debt Levels - As of the end of August, nominal inventory for industrial enterprises grew by 2.3% year-on-year, while actual inventory saw a decline of 0.8 percentage points, reflecting a continuous reduction trend [4][19][20]. - The asset-liability ratio for industrial enterprises remained stable at 58%, with a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points month-on-month. Capital expenditure showed a small rebound in August, indicating potential growth in investment despite low capacity utilization [4][22]. Future Outlook - The profit growth for industrial enterprises is expected to remain supported in the coming months due to low profit bases from the previous year. If sustained, this could mark the first return to positive profit growth since 2022 [5][25]. - However, the current operational conditions of enterprises are not yet solid, with ongoing uncertainties in price trends and profit structures, necessitating continued policy support to enhance cash flow and profit recovery [5][26].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the industry, suggesting an "Overweight" rating based on expected performance exceeding the market benchmark by more than 10% over the next 6-12 months [33]. Core Insights - The North Exchange A-shares saw a trading volume of 27.45 billion yuan on July 21, 2025, an increase of 4.99 billion yuan from the previous trading day, with the North Exchange 50 Index closing at 1452.34, up 2.38% [2][9]. - The report highlights significant market drivers, including the launch of the 1.2 trillion yuan Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project, which is expected to stimulate related industries such as tunnel equipment and engineering consulting [4][20]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-scarcity and strong alpha attributes in specialized and innovative enterprises, particularly in new power equipment and smart hardware sectors [4]. Summary by Sections Market Review - On July 21, 2025, the North Exchange A-shares had 268 companies, with 208 rising, 4 flat, and 56 declining. The top five gainers included Iron Tuo Machinery, Jikang Instruments, and Wuxin Tunnel Equipment, each rising by 30% [2][16]. - The North Exchange Specialized and Innovative Index closed at 2477.21, up 2.0% [2][9]. Important News - A humanoid robot project by UBTECH won a record bid of 90.51 million yuan, with plans to deliver 500 units within the year, indicating a growing market for robotics [19]. - The Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, is set to begin construction, which may open growth opportunities in related sectors [20]. Key Company Announcements - Runpu Food announced that its major shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 1.76 million shares, representing 1.99% of the total share capital [21]. - Xuchang Intelligent won 13 projects from the State Grid, totaling 153 million yuan, enhancing its market presence [29].

证券时报·数据宝统计，截至上午收盘，今日沪指跌0.21%，A股成交量651.13亿股，成交金额7830.56亿 元，比上一个交易日减少10.72%。个股方面，2926只个股上涨，其中涨停59只，2244只个股下跌，其 中跌停2只。从申万行业来看，房地产、轻工制造、综合等涨幅最大，涨幅分别为1.69%、1.55%、 1.34%；煤炭、通信、医药生物等跌幅最大，跌幅分别为3.92%、0.96%、0.90%。（数据宝） | 申万行业 | 行业涨跌（%） | 成交额（亿元） | 比上日（%） | 领涨（跌）股 | 涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 房地产 | 1.69 | 117.37 | 72.06 | 渝开发 | 10.04 | | 轻工制造 | 1.55 | 148.75 | 0.85 | 恒鑫生活 | 13.25 | | 综合 | 1.34 | 16.28 | 14.03 | 东阳光 | 4.12 | | 纺织服饰 | 1.18 | 95.31 | -4.73 | 浔兴股份 | 10.06 | | 建筑材料 | 1.11 | 105.76 | - ...

| 属 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 通信 | 23.27 | -10.64 | 1.33 | -0.75 | -10.19 | | 国防军 | 13.44 | -14.05 | 1.25 | -1.06 | -10.38 | | 工 | | | | | | | 食品饮 | 20.45 | -4.78 | 2.28 | -0.38 | -10.45 | | 料 | | | | | | | 房地产 | 51.63 | -18.02 | 2.37 | -3.66 | -15.54 | | 公用事 | 70.72 | 13.03 | 1.79 | 0.39 | -18.36 | | 业 | | | | | | | 电力设 | 47.36 | 5.45 | 1.93 | -0.59 | -18.40 | | 备 | | | | | | | 计算机 | 56.99 | -0.84 | 3.22 | -0.54 | -20.01 | | 非银金 | 33.17 | -11.39 | 0.79 | -0.67 | -21.94 | | 融 | | | ...