Core Viewpoint - The recent sharp decline in the prices of convertible bonds, particularly Yiwai Convertible Bond, is primarily due to the company's decision to implement early redemption, leading to a significant drop in the premium and valuation of these bonds [1][3][5]. Group 1: Yiwai Convertible Bond Performance - On March 31, Yiwai Convertible Bond's price dropped 20% at the opening after the announcement of early redemption, maintaining this decline until the close [3]. - On April 1, the bond continued to fall, reaching a price of 119.508 yuan per share, with a total decline of nearly 30% over two trading days [2][3]. - The early redemption announcement has led to a rapid "killing of the premium" in the market, affecting not only Yiwai but also other newly issued convertible bonds like Jinhong Convertible Bond [5][7]. Group 2: Early Redemption Details - Yiwai Lithium Energy announced the early redemption of the Yiwai Convertible Bond at a price of 100.034 yuan per share, with the redemption date set for April 24, 2026 [4]. - The bondholders must convert their bonds into shares or face forced redemption, which has led to a decrease in the option value of the bonds [4][5]. - The early redemption mechanism is designed to encourage bondholders to convert their bonds into shares, but once announced, it typically results in a rapid alignment of bond prices to their conversion value, compressing the premium to near zero [7][8]. Group 3: Market Impact and Trends - The convertible bond market has experienced increased volatility, with a notable divergence in performance among different bonds [10]. - The overall premium rate in the market has decreased by approximately 2 percentage points to around 33%, returning to early 2026 levels [10]. - Analysts suggest that focusing on low-price, low-premium convertible bonds may enhance investment strategies in the current market environment, which is characterized by high volatility and uncertainty [10].

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. Core Viewpoints - The number and probability of forced redemptions have been increasing year by year, and the arbitrage opportunities and risks have attracted attention. In the bull market, more convertible bonds trigger and choose forced redemptions, and investors and institutions focus on whether there are arbitrage opportunities and how to time the market [1]. - The valuation adjustment of convertible bonds shows an obvious forward - moving feature. The main pricing process of forced redemption risk is completed at an earlier stage before the announcement, and the valuation compression is basically completed when approaching the announcement [1]. - In 2026, the forced redemption of convertible bonds may be more frequent, and the forced redemption game opportunities will increase. The operation idea of "entering the market close to the announcement and exiting opportunistically after the announcement" is more suitable [3]. Summary by Directory I. Strong Redemption Case Review - From 2018 - 2025, there were 1,178 cases of forced redemption triggers in the market, and the proportion of those finally choosing to implement forced redemptions was about 29.5%. In 2025, the number of forced redemption cases reached 132, and 47.3% of the issuers chose forced redemptions, with the probability hitting a record high [1][9]. - The trend of the stock market dominates the occurrence of convertible bond forced redemption events. Since 2024, the monthly trading volume of the Shanghai - Shenzhen All - A Index has significantly increased, and the number of forced redemptions has risen synchronously. The change in the convertible bond stock structure is closely related to the forced redemption probability. The median remaining term of convertible bonds has been decreasing, and the proportion of old bonds in the market has increased significantly [14]. - In 2026, 190 convertible bonds will mature, and if the stock market remains strong, the number of convertible bonds meeting the forced redemption conditions may increase, and the proportion of forced redemption cases may rise [18]. II. How Does the Valuation of Convertible Bonds Converge Before the Forced Redemption Announcement? 2.1 Typical Convergence Path of Valuation - The identification of forced redemption risk promotes the early compression of the conversion premium rate. The conversion premium rate starts to compress unilaterally from T - 20 and gradually converges to around 0%. The compression mainly occurs in the early stage before the forced redemption announcement. From T - 20 to T - 15, the median conversion premium rate drops from 2.33% to 0.98%, accounting for about 56.7% of the overall compression [19]. 2.2 The Forced Redemption Game Continues to "Involve", and the Valuation Convergence Rhythm Advances - The time rhythm of the forced redemption game shows a forward - moving trend. The compression of the conversion premium rate has advanced to an earlier time window before the announcement. Different stages have different convergence rhythms, and the main compression stage has gradually advanced [23]. 2.3 The Valuation Compression of High - Par Convertible Bonds is More Obvious - High - par convertible bonds have more obvious premium compression. The high - par and high - premium convertible bonds are more likely to experience a rapid decline in the conversion premium rate when the forced redemption condition approaches. At T - 20, the premium rate of high - par convertible bonds is 45.96%, about 54 percentage points higher than that of low - par convertible bonds, and both converge to near 0 at T - 1 [27]. 2.4 Before the Announcement, the Market has Formed a Significant Differentiated Expectation for Convertible Bonds with and without Forced Redemption - Before the announcement, the conversion premium rate of non - forced - redemption convertible bonds remains in the positive premium range, about 4% around T - 1. In contrast, the premium rate of forced - redemption convertible bonds converges to 0. Investors need to be vigilant about the price adjustment risk caused by the change in forced redemption expectations [33][34]. III. Is There Still an Opportunity to Participate After the Forced Redemption Announcement? 3.1 After the Forced Redemption Announcement, the Convertible Bond Price Performance and Its Characteristics: "Rapid Compression, Partial Rebound" - After the forced redemption announcement, the conversion premium rate of convertible bonds quickly compresses and turns negative. In some strong stock market stages, the valuation of individual bonds may rebound from T + 10 to T + 30. The stronger the stock market, the more obvious the rebound feature [36][41]. 3.2 After the Non - Redemption Announcement, the Conversion Premium Rate Gradually Returns to Normal - After the non - redemption announcement, the conversion premium rate of non - redeemed convertible bonds shows obvious repair, rising from about 7% to about 10%, and the market pricing gradually returns to the normal valuation range [46]. 3.3 After the Non - Redemption Announcement, is There a Difference in the Valuation Repair of Convertible Bonds with Different Par Values? - Before the non - forced - redemption announcement, the compression paths of the conversion premium rates of convertible bonds with different par values are similar in the early stage, but they gradually diverge later. After T + 15, the conversion premium rate of high - par convertible bonds is significantly lower than that of low - par convertible bonds [48][49]. 3.4 The Investment Win - Rate of Non - Redeemed Convertible Bonds is Higher - In the forced redemption announcement game, it is better to enter the market close to the announcement and exit opportunistically after the announcement. The game space of non - redeemed convertible bonds is more prominent, and different buy - sell window combinations can obtain positive returns. In the case of a redemption announcement, the short - term trading value is relatively limited [53][54]. IV. In 2026, the Game Opportunities Increase Further, and the Participation Strategy Needs Key Attention 4.1 In 2026, the Forced Redemption of Convertible Bonds May be More Frequent, and the Forced Redemption Game Opportunities Increase - In 2026, the environment for forced redemptions is more mature. Some convertible bonds are more likely to meet the forced redemption conditions, and the issuer's willingness to implement forced redemptions is higher. There are already some convertible bonds approaching the forced redemption trigger conditions, and the forced redemption trigger may enter a concentrated stage [57][58]. 4.2 2026 Forced Redemption Game Trading Window and Operation Suggestions - Based on the 2025 trading window sensitivity analysis, the operation idea of "entering the market close to the announcement and exiting opportunistically after the announcement" is still more suitable in 2026. The appropriate participation interval is T - 3 to T - 1 before the announcement, and the exit strategy around T + 10 after the announcement performs better. Pay attention to high - β stocks and non - redeemed convertible bonds in the valuation repair process [61][63].

Core Viewpoint - The recent volatility in the A-share market has led to adjustments in the valuation of convertible bonds, with significant price drops observed in specific bonds like Zhongchong Convertible Bond 2 and Jiazhe Convertible Bond, raising concerns about valuation logic and forced redemption risks [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - On March 16, the Zhongzheng Convertible Bond Index experienced a maximum intraday decline of over 1.5%, but the drop narrowed to 0.36% due to a rebound in major A-share indices [1]. - Zhongchong Convertible Bond 2 opened down 9.85% and closed down 16.74%, priced at 148.70 yuan per bond [3]. - Jiazhe Convertible Bond also saw a significant decline, closing down 15.53%, which was greater than the 6.98% drop of its underlying stock, priced at 215.714 yuan per bond [4]. Group 2: Forced Redemption and Market Reactions - The sharp decline in Zhongchong Convertible Bond 2 was triggered by a forced redemption announcement from Zhongchong Co., which stated that the bond's conditional redemption clause was activated due to the stock price exceeding 130% of the conversion price for 15 trading days [4]. - The competitive landscape in the pet economy has led to a decline in Zhongchong Co.'s stock price, causing investors to flee as the forced redemption deadline approached, resulting in a price drop of over 18% during the day [4]. - Jiazhe Convertible Bond also triggered its conditional redemption clause, and with its maturity date approaching, high premium rates became unsustainable, prompting investors to exit early [6]. Group 3: Convertible Bond Valuation Trends - The valuation of newly listed convertible bonds has compressed due to recent market conditions, with significant drops observed in bonds like Jin 05 and Nipe 02, despite their high conversion premiums of 65.74% and 71.05%, respectively [10]. - The number of convertible bonds triggering forced redemption has been increasing, with 32 bonds reported in February and 15 in March, indicating a high redemption ratio [10]. - The main pressure on convertible bonds has shifted from redemption risks to liquidity pressures, as market sensitivity to redemption expectations has increased, leading to a compression of premium rates [11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Tianfeng Securities suggests that while convertible bond valuations are under pressure, some bonds may present trading value post-adjustment, particularly those with low option valuations [12]. - The overall valuation of convertible bonds may face downward pressure due to increased supply expectations, but opportunities may arise for bonds with longer remaining maturities and favorable fundamentals after rapid premium compression [12].

- The report focuses on the performance of the convertible bond market, highlighting that from February 24 to February 27, 2026, the weekly returns of the Shanghai Convertible Bond Index, Shenzhen Convertible Bond Index, and CSI Convertible Bond Index were -0.336%, -0.031%, and -0.234%, respectively, while the CSI All Share Index achieved a weekly return of 2.744%[7][10] - The convertible bond market's trading volume and value for the same period were 161,146.86 million units and 29,450,827.38 million yuan, respectively, showing a week-on-week decrease of -24.61% and -25.57%[7][10] - The median conversion premium rate of the convertible bond market as of February 27, 2026, was approximately 29.16%, with an arithmetic average of 41.94%, reflecting a significant week-on-week decline of -15.32% and -9.77%, respectively[10][17] - The report provides a breakdown of convertible bond prices, showing that as of February 27, 2026, the number of bonds priced below 100, between 100-110, 110-120, 120-130, 130-140, and above 140 were 0, 8, 14, 56, 88, and 205, respectively, with corresponding median conversion premium rates of 0.00%, 46.48%, 20.87%, 72.27%, 34.65%, and 23.63%[31][36][37] - The top five performing convertible bonds for the week were Aiwei Convertible Bond, Huiche Convertible Bond, Youcai Convertible Bond, Shuangliang Convertible Bond, and Guanglian Convertible Bond, with weekly returns of 72.02%, 21.84%, 21.16%, 19.66%, and 16.11%, respectively[18][21] - The bottom five performing convertible bonds for the week were Huicheng Convertible Bond, Weidao Convertible Bond, Ruichuang Convertible Bond, Xinfeng Convertible Bond, and Hengshuai Convertible Bond, with weekly returns of -18.37%, -16.84%, -16.28%, -14.04%, and -13.68%, respectively[18][19][21]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Report's Core View - The A - share market had a good start at the beginning of the year, but convertible bonds ended slightly lower. The poor performance of convertible bonds compared to their underlying stocks was mainly due to the significant valuation compression of high - parity convertible bonds. This compression was widespread, with the largest compression in bonds with strong - redemption potential, new and sub - new bonds, possibly related to poor expectations for the technology sector and expectations of increased convertible bond supply. Although short - term negative factors may impact high - parity convertible bonds, the cost - effectiveness of convertible bonds is expected to emerge after the active valuation compression [1][5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Week's View and Outlook - The A - share market had a good start in the new year, but convertible bonds ended slightly lower, underperforming their underlying stocks. The large - scale valuation compression of high - parity convertible bonds was the main cause. In the parity range above 140 yuan, there were two main types of significant valuation compression: one was due to the progress of strong redemption, such as Huicheng, Ruichuang, etc.; the other was the active valuation compression of new and sub - new bonds, such as Dinglong, Luwei, etc. Other high - parity convertible bonds also generally saw valuation compression, with only a few bonds that unexpectedly did not trigger strong redemption seeing a valuation increase. This compression may be related to poor technology sector expectations and increased supply expectations. Short - term negative factors may impact high - parity convertible bonds, but the cost - effectiveness of convertible bonds may appear after valuation compression [1][5]. 3.2 Convertible Bond Valuation - In the first week of the new year, the A - share market had a good start, with the main line switching to the "price - increase" cycle sector, while the technology sector performed poorly. The conversion premium rate of high - parity convertible bonds was actively compressed. With outliers retained, the 100 - yuan premium rate declined by over 3 percentage points. After excluding outliers, the 100 - yuan premium rate dropped 0.2% to 32.7%. Without excluding outliers, the 100 - yuan premium rate declined 3.3% [6]. - This week, convertible bond valuations were significantly compressed, with convertible bonds underperforming their underlying stocks. The conversion premium rate of convertible bonds with a parity above 140 yuan was compressed by nearly 5%. The conversion premium rates in each parity range generally declined, with the most significant compression in the high - parity range above 140 yuan, including new, sub - new, and high - parity convertible bonds. The conversion premium rate in the medium - and low - parity ranges declined by about 1% [8]. - From an individual bond perspective, in the parity range above 140 yuan, there were two main types of significant valuation compression: due to strong - redemption progress (e.g., Huicheng, Ruichuang) and active compression of new and sub - new bonds (e.g., Dinglong, Luwei). Other high - parity convertible bonds also generally saw valuation compression. In other parity ranges, new, sub - new, and near - maturity bonds had relatively weak valuation performance [9]. - As of the latest data, the quantile of the conversion premium rate in each parity range generally declined. The quantiles in the high - parity range above 110 yuan showed significant changes, while those in the medium - and low - parity ranges remained close to 100% [13]. 3.3 Clause Tracking 3.3.1 Redemption - This week, 4 convertible bonds (Jiayuan, Songlin, Hongbai, Haiyou) announced redemption, and 8 announced non - redemption, with a strong - redemption rate of 33%. Currently, there are 22 convertible bonds that have announced early redemption or maturity redemption but have not yet delisted, with a potential conversion or maturity balance of 11.9 billion yuan for these non - delisted bonds [18]. - There are currently 49 convertible bonds in the redemption process. Next week, 10 are expected to meet the redemption conditions, and 21 are expected to issue announcements of potential redemption triggers. In addition, 12 convertible bonds are expected to enter the strong - redemption counting period within the next month [20]. 3.3.2 Downward Revision - This week, Lanfan and Baolai convertible bonds proposed downward revisions, and Honglu convertible bond announced the result of a downward revision to the lowest level. As of the latest, 89 convertible bonds are in the non - downward - revision period, 20 cannot be downward - revised due to net - asset constraints, 0 have triggered the condition but the stock price is still below the downward - revision trigger price without an announcement, 16 are accumulating downward - revision days, and 3 have issued board proposals for downward revision but have not yet gone to the general meeting of shareholders [24]. 3.3.3 Put Option - This week, no convertible bonds issued conditional put - option announcements. As of the latest, 1 convertible bond has issued a put - option announcement, and 3 are accumulating put - option trigger days, among which 2 are also accumulating downward - revision days and 1 is in the non - downward - revision period [26]. 3.4 Issuance - As of the latest, there are 5 convertible bonds in the approved - registration process, with a to - be - issued scale of 4.4 billion yuan; 7 convertible bonds have passed the listing committee process, with a to - be - issued scale of 7 billion yuan [29].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The convertible bond market showed a volume - shrinking correction today, with valuations rising month - on - month. The trading sentiment in the convertible bond market weakened, and the median price of convertible bonds decreased slightly. The proportion of high - price bonds above 130 yuan decreased, while the proportion of bonds in the 110 - 120 yuan range increased [2][3]. - In the A - share market, the decline in the positive - stock industry index accounted for more than half, while in the convertible bond market, 18 industries rose. Different industries had different performances in terms of closing price, conversion premium rate, conversion value, and pure bond premium rate [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Main Index Performance - The CSI Convertible Bond Index decreased by 0.23% month - on - month, the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.13%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.02%, the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.37%, the SSE 50 Index increased by 0.18%, and the CSI 1000 Index increased by 0.20%. Among market styles, mid - cap value was relatively dominant [2]. - The weighted average closing price of convertible bonds was 142.67 yuan, a 0.32% decrease from yesterday. The closing prices of partial - equity, partial - debt, and balanced convertible bonds changed by +2.17%, - 0.05%, and +0.22% respectively. The proportion of high - price bonds above 130 yuan decreased by 0.12 pct, and the proportion of bonds in the 110 - 120 yuan range increased by 0.29 pct [3]. Market Capital Performance - The trading volume in the convertible bond market was 72.799 billion yuan, a 9.88% decrease month - on - month; the total trading volume of the Wind All - A Index was 2.124745 trillion yuan, a 6.41% decrease month - on - month. The net outflow of the main funds in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 32.204 billion yuan, and the yield of the 10 - year treasury bond decreased by 0.20 bp to 1.81% [2]. Industry Performance - In the A - share market, the top three declining industries were real estate (-1.40%), food and beverage (-1.31%), and commerce and retail (-0.87%); the top three rising industries were media (+4.27%), household appliances (+1.11%), and coal (+0.88%). In the convertible bond market, the top three rising industries were communication (+2.29%), automobile (+2.25%), and media (+1.44%); the top three declining industries were textile and apparel (-2.17%), environmental protection (-1.56%), and non - bank finance (-0.90%) [4]. - In terms of different industry categories: the closing price of the large - cycle category decreased by 0.17%, manufacturing increased by 0.99%, technology increased by 0.80%, large - consumption decreased by 0.39%, and large - finance decreased by 0.41%. The conversion premium rate of the large - cycle category increased by 0.86 pct, manufacturing increased by 0.75 pct, technology decreased by 2.3 pct, large - consumption increased by 0.56 pct, and large - finance decreased by 0.22 pct. The conversion value of the large - cycle category decreased by 0.77%, manufacturing increased by 0.59%, technology increased by 1.91%, large - consumption decreased by 0.34%, and large - finance decreased by 0.43%. The pure bond premium rate of the large - cycle category decreased by 0.36 pct, manufacturing increased by 1.6 pct, technology increased by 1.4 pct, large - consumption decreased by 0.54 pct, and large - finance decreased by 0.48 pct [4][5]. Industry Rotation - Media, household appliances, and coal led the rise. The media industry had a daily increase of 4.27% in the positive - stock market and 1.44% in the convertible bond market; household appliances had a daily increase of 1.11% in the positive - stock market and 0.19% in the convertible bond market; coal had a daily increase of 0.88% in the positive - stock market and 0.85% in the convertible bond market [55].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - Historically, newly - issued convertible bonds showed resilience due to the "no - forced redemption" protection. However, their current valuations have significantly increased, and the valuation gap between newly - issued bonds and the entire market has widened, possibly reflecting the premium pursuit of certainty by funds under the high - valuation background [2][4]. - During the week, the A - share market oscillated weakly, with large - cap stocks outperforming. Cyclical sectors such as petroleum and non - ferrous metals led the gains, and trading activity increased [2][4]. - The convertible bond market weakened overall. Large - cap bonds were relatively resistant to decline, while small and medium - cap bonds were weaker. The average daily trading volume decreased. Valuations were compressed overall, implied volatility and the median price declined but remained at high levels, and market sentiment cooled marginally [2][4]. - Most individual bonds declined. The top - performing bonds had characteristics of low balance and high conversion premium rates [2][4]. - The issuance speed in the primary market accelerated, and the reserve was sufficient. In terms of terms, the willingness to lower the conversion price was weak, and the probability of no forced redemption increased. It is recommended to pay attention to the allocation opportunities of newly - issued and newly - listed bonds after the correction [2][4]. 3. Summary According to the Directory Market Theme Weekly Review - In the correction at the end of August 2025, newly - issued convertible bonds showed certain resistance to decline. They usually enjoy better liquidity and the "no - forced redemption" mechanism due to not entering the conversion period, resulting in relatively more stable median market prices and more resilient valuations compared to the whole market [12]. - At the end of January 2026, the valuations of newly - issued convertible bonds were generally higher than those in August 2025. The expansion of the valuation gap was mainly due to the high return requirements of some funds and the preference for varieties with stronger return certainty under the consensus of "no - forced redemption" [14]. - During the week from January 25th to January 31st, 2026, the equity market weakened as a whole, with the non - ferrous metal sector performing well. The gold and military - related sub - sectors within the non - ferrous metal and aerospace sectors showed different performances [19]. Market Weekly Tracking Main Indexes Differentiated, Science - Innovation and Mid - Cap Stocks Performed Strongly - During the week, the main A - share indexes oscillated weakly. The Shenzhen Component Index performed relatively weakly, and the ChiNext Index rebounded after a decline but still closed down. In terms of style, large - cap indexes were relatively dominant, while small and medium - cap and science - innovation indexes were weaker [21]. - In terms of funds, the net outflow of main funds in the market expanded during the week, and the average daily trading volume increased [22]. - Cyclical sectors in the A - share market were relatively strong during the week. Petroleum and petrochemicals, non - ferrous metals, and coal sectors led the gains, while commerce and retail, automotive, and national defense and military industries were weaker [25]. - In terms of trading volume, trading was mainly concentrated in the electronics, non - ferrous metals, and power equipment sectors. The average daily trading volume of the non - ferrous metal sector increased by more than 70% compared to the previous week [27]. - The congestion degree of market sectors still differed significantly. The congestion degree of sectors such as petroleum and petrochemicals, banks, and media increased, while that of sectors such as commerce and retail, public utilities, and social services decreased [30]. Convertible Bond Market Strengthened Overall, Small - Cap Indexes Performed Strongly - During the week, the convertible bond market weakened as a whole. The CSI Convertible Bond Index oscillated weakly, with large - cap convertible bond indexes performing relatively strongly and small and medium - cap convertible bond indexes performing weaker. The trading volume decreased slightly, but the average daily trading volume still exceeded 9 billion [33]. - Valuations in the convertible bond market were compressed overall when divided by parity and market price intervals. Only the conversion premium rates in some intervals increased, while those in most intervals decreased significantly [36]. - The weighted implied volatility of the convertible bond market balance oscillated weakly during the week, remaining at a historical high. The median market price of convertible bonds also oscillated weakly, still higher than the high point in August 2025 [39]. - Convertible bonds in cyclical sectors showed more flexibility. Coal, petroleum and petrochemicals and other cyclical sectors led the gains. Trading volume was mainly concentrated in the basic chemicals, power equipment, and electronics sectors, with the combined trading volume of these three sectors accounting for more than 35% [43]. - Most individual convertible bonds weakened during the week. Only 109 convertible bonds had an increase in the range of more than or equal to 0, accounting for 28.2% of the total number of outstanding convertible bonds in the market. The top - performing and bottom - performing convertible bonds in the conversion period had different characteristics, and the top - performing bonds generally had low bond balances and some had high conversion premium rates [45]. Convertible Bond Issuance and Terms Tracking Primary Market Pre - issuance Situation During the Week - Two convertible bonds, Naipu Zhuan 02 and Lianrui Convertible Bond, were listed during the week [49]. - A total of 16 listed companies updated their convertible bond issuance plans in the primary market during the week, with different progress stages. The total scale of projects at and after the exchange acceptance stage reached 8.511 billion yuan [50][51]. Summary of Lowering - related Announcements During the Week - Four convertible bonds issued announcements indicating that they were expected to trigger a lowering of the conversion price during the week, with a market - value - weighted average PB of the underlying stocks of 2.2 [56][59]. - Five convertible bonds issued announcements of not lowering the conversion price during the week, with a market - value - weighted average PB of the underlying stocks of 2.6 [58][59]. - One convertible bond issued an announcement proposing to lower the conversion price during the week, with a PB of the underlying stock of 4.3 [59]. Summary of Redemption - related Announcements During the Week - Fourteen convertible bonds announced that they were expected to trigger redemption during the week [61][64]. - Two convertible bonds announced that they would not be redeemed early during the week [62][64]. - One convertible bond announced early redemption during the week [60][63].

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. Core Viewpoints - On December 30, the convertible bond industry showed mixed performance in terms of gains and losses, with valuations rising on a month - on - month basis [1]. - The mid - cap growth style was relatively dominant in the market [1]. - The trading sentiment in the convertible bond market weakened [1]. - The convertible bond price center increased, and the proportion of high - price bonds rose [2]. - The convertible bond valuations increased [2]. - In the A - share market, more than half of the underlying stock industry indices declined, while in the convertible bond market, 14 industries rose [3]. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Overview - **Index Performance**: The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 0.14% month - on - month, the Shanghai Composite Index remained unchanged, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.49%, the ChiNext Index rose 0.63%, the SSE 50 Index rose 0.06%, and the CSI 1000 Index rose 0.04% [1]. - **Market Style**: Mid - cap growth was relatively dominant. Large - cap growth rose 0.57%, large - cap value fell 0.13%, mid - cap growth rose 0.81%, mid - cap value rose 0.66%, small - cap growth rose 0.66%, and small - cap value rose 0.34% [1]. - **Fund Performance**: The trading sentiment in the convertible bond market weakened. The trading volume of the convertible bond market was 75.057 billion yuan, a 2.96% month - on - month decrease; the total trading volume of the Wind All - A was 2.161532 trillion yuan, a 0.18% month - on - month increase; the net outflow of the main funds in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 23.828 billion yuan, and the yield of the 10 - year treasury bond decreased by 0.02 bp to 1.86% [1]. Convertible Bond Price - The overall weighted average closing price of convertible bonds was 134.53 yuan, a 0.09% month - on - month increase. Among them, the closing price of equity - biased convertible bonds was 202.44 yuan, a 1.47% increase; the closing price of bond - biased convertible bonds was 118.85 yuan, a 0.18% decrease; the closing price of balanced convertible bonds was 129.71 yuan, a 0.01% increase [2]. - The proportion of bonds with a closing price above 130 yuan was 59.95%, a 1.15 - percentage - point increase. The largest change in proportion occurred in the 120 - 130 (including 130) range, with a proportion of 28.01%, a 1.39 - percentage - point decrease. There were no bonds with a closing price below 100 yuan. The median price was 132.60 yuan, a 0.07% month - on - month decrease [2]. Convertible Bond Valuation - The fitted conversion premium rate of 100 - yuan par value was 33.54%, a 0.45 - percentage - point month - on - month increase; the overall weighted par value was 101.88 yuan, a 0.19% month - on - month decrease [2]. - The premium rate of equity - biased convertible bonds was 18.25%, a 1.38 - percentage - point increase; the premium rate of bond - biased convertible bonds was 86.78%, a 2.11 - percentage - point increase; the premium rate of balanced convertible bonds was 25.17%, a 0.42 - percentage - point increase [2]. Industry Performance - **Underlying Stock Market**: Among the A - share industries, the top three decliners were Commerce and Retail (-1.56%), Real Estate (-1.22%), and Utilities (-1.14%); the top three gainers were Petroleum and Petrochemical (+2.63%), Automobile (+1.35%), and Non - Ferrous Metals (+1.31%) [3]. - **Convertible Bond Market**: Among the convertible bond industries, the top three gainers were Automobile (+2.08%), Petroleum and Petrochemical (+1.25%), and Textile and Apparel (+0.77%); the top three decliners were Environmental Protection (-2.57%), National Defense and Military Industry (-1.23%), and Building Materials (-1.16%) [3]. - **By Category**: - **Closing Price**: The large - cycle category decreased by 0.38%, manufacturing increased by 0.54%, technology decreased by 0.24%, large - consumption increased by 0.10%, and large - finance decreased by 0.05% [3]. - **Conversion Premium Rate**: The large - cycle category decreased by 0.21 percentage points, manufacturing increased by 0.57 percentage points, technology increased by 0.028 percentage points, large - consumption increased by 0.63 percentage points, and large - finance increased by 0.79 percentage points [3]. - **Conversion Value**: The large - cycle category decreased by 0.74%, manufacturing increased by 0.17%, technology decreased by 0.36%, large - consumption decreased by 0.43%, and large - finance decreased by 0.20% [3]. - **Pure Bond Premium Rate**: The large - cycle category decreased by 0.55 percentage points, manufacturing increased by 0.81 percentage points, technology decreased by 0.16 percentage points, large - consumption increased by 0.12 percentage points, and large - finance decreased by 0.065 percentage points [4]. Industry Rotation - Industries such as Petroleum and Petrochemical, Automobile, and Non - Ferrous Metals led the gains. For example, Petroleum and Petrochemical had a daily increase of 2.63% in the underlying stock market and 1.25% in the convertible bond market; Automobile had a 1.35% increase in the underlying stock market and 2.08% in the convertible bond market [54].

Core Viewpoint - Convertible bonds are gaining attention from investors in the A-share market due to their unique advantages of "downside protection and unlimited upside potential" [2][9]. Group 1: Nature of Convertible Bonds - Convertible bonds, or Convertible Bonds (CB), are a special type of bond issued by listed companies, combining features of both bonds and stock options [2]. - As bonds, they have a fixed face value, typically 100 yuan, and a predetermined coupon rate that provides interest payments to bondholders [2]. - The coupon rates for convertible bonds are generally lower than those of ordinary bonds, but they offer a basic income guarantee [2][10]. Group 2: Stock Option Features - Convertible bonds grant bondholders the right to convert their bonds into company stock at a predetermined conversion price during a specified period [3]. - When a company's performance is strong and its stock price exceeds the conversion price, bondholders can convert their bonds to enjoy capital appreciation [3]. Group 3: Redemption and Protection Mechanisms - The put option clause is a crucial protective mechanism in convertible bond contracts, allowing investors to sell their bonds back to the issuing company at face value plus interest if the stock price falls below a certain percentage of the conversion price [5][6]. - For example, if the conversion price is 10 yuan and the stock price falls below 7 yuan for 30 consecutive trading days, investors can sell their bonds back at the agreed price [6]. - The pure bond value, or the value of the convertible bond without the conversion option, serves as an important support line for the bond's price, making it difficult for the price to fall below this value even in bear markets [7]. Group 4: Upside Potential - The conversion option is the key factor for the "unlimited upside" potential of convertible bonds, allowing bondholders to convert their bonds into shares when the stock price rises above the conversion price [8]. - For instance, if the conversion price is 10 yuan and the stock price rises to 20 yuan, the value of the shares obtained from conversion can significantly increase the investor's asset value [8]. - The forced redemption clause can also drive up the price of convertible bonds, as companies may redeem bonds when the stock price is significantly above the conversion price, prompting investors to convert their bonds to avoid missing out on further stock price increases [9]. Group 5: Market Environment and Performance - In bear markets, convertible bonds provide downside protection due to their bond attributes, resulting in relatively smaller price declines [11]. - In bull markets, the stock option feature allows investors to benefit from rising stock prices, enhancing the potential for returns [11].

Report Title - "Can Non-ferrous Convertible Bonds Stage Another Trendy Market? - Convertible Bond Weekly Report 20251206" [1][6] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Views - The non-ferrous metals sector showed continuous excess returns from October 2020 to November 2021, with the market divided into two stages around June 2021. In the later stage, convertible bonds and equities strengthened synchronously. Currently, the average remaining term of non-ferrous convertible bonds is short, the issuers may have a strong willingness to promote conversion, and the scale has shrunk compared to 2021. The subsequent market of non-ferrous convertible bonds is worth attention [2][6][10] - During the week, the A-share market was generally strong, with the ChiNext Index being relatively prominent. Cyclical manufacturing industries performed well, and the changes in sector congestion were differentiated [2][6][10] - The convertible bond market strengthened overall, with the large-cap index under pressure and the small and medium-cap indices performing relatively steadily. The trading volume continued to decline, and the valuation was stretched overall. The cyclical manufacturing sectors such as machinery and equipment, non-ferrous metals, and petroleum and petrochemicals led the performance, and the trading was mainly concentrated in the power equipment, electronics, and basic chemicals sectors [10] - The primary market continued to advance steadily, with 1 new bond completing subscription and many issuers updating their plans. The proposed issuance scale of projects at and after the exchange acceptance stage remained around 69 billion yuan. Clause-related games continued, which may disrupt the valuation structure and trading rhythm [10] Summary by Directory 1. Non-ferrous Convertible Bonds Market Analysis - The non-ferrous metals sector had obvious continuous excess returns from October 2020 to November 2021. The market can be divided into two stages, and the second stage may reflect the process of capital consensus formation. Currently, the non-ferrous convertible bonds have a short remaining term and a more dispersed structure, with a smaller total scale [15][16] - The improvement in the prosperity of the non-ferrous sector may be the source of the excess returns of convertible bonds in the sub - industries. Aluminum showed significant excess returns in the second stage, and the callback of futures prices in October 2021 may have suppressed the continuous excess returns of equities and convertible bonds [23] 2. Market Theme Weekly Review - During the week (November 30 - December 06, 2025), the equity market was generally strong, and the aerospace and defense themes performed strongly, while the AI - related themes that performed well previously were relatively weak [26] 3. Market Weekly Tracking 3.1 Main Stock Indexes - The main A - share stock indexes strengthened during the week, with the ChiNext Index performing strongly among the three major indexes. The CSI 300 and CSI 500 indexes performed significantly better than other major scale indexes. The net outflow of market main funds expanded slightly, and the average daily trading volume was basically the same as last week [29] - The cyclical manufacturing sectors such as non-ferrous metals, machinery and equipment, and light industry manufacturing showed good performance, while industries such as real estate, beauty care, banking, and media were weak. The trading was mainly concentrated in the electronics and power equipment sectors, and the proportion of the electronics sector increased [32][33] - The congestion of market sectors was differentiated. The congestion of sectors such as electronics, communications, non-ferrous metals, and national defense and military industry increased, while that of sectors such as medicine and biology, banking, and beauty care decreased [35] 3.2 Convertible Bond Market - The convertible bond market strengthened overall, with the large-cap convertible bond index performing weakly and the medium-cap index performing better. The trading volume continued to shrink, with the average daily trading volume less than 5.5 billion yuan [39] - The valuation of the convertible bond market was stretched overall. The implied volatility fluctuated and strengthened, and the median market price increased slightly and remained at a high level. The cyclical manufacturing sectors such as machinery and equipment, non-ferrous metals, and petroleum and petrochemicals led the performance, and the trading was mainly concentrated in the power equipment, electronics, and basic chemicals sectors [44][48][51] - Most individual convertible bonds recovered. Among the top 5 rising convertible bonds during the week, some had greater elasticity than the corresponding underlying stocks [57] 4. Convertible Bond Issuance and Clause Tracking 4.1 Primary Market - One new convertible bond, Puxin Software Convertible Bond (Puxin Bond), completed subscription during the week. A total of 12 listed companies updated their convertible bond issuance plans, and the total scale of projects at and after the exchange acceptance stage was 69.01 billion yuan [60][61][62] 4.2 Clause Events - There were 14 convertible bonds announcing expected trigger of downward revision, 5 announcing non - downward revision, and no proposal for downward revision during the week. There were 3 convertible bonds announcing expected trigger of redemption, 3 announcing non - early redemption, and 3 announcing early redemption [72][79]