伟明环保 20251214 摘要 印尼垃圾焚烧总统令明确商业模式，达纳塔拉参股 30%-51%，国家电 力公司负责电力收购，地方政府提供土地和垃圾供应，伟明环保已储备 相关资源并进入供应商名单。 印尼垃圾焚烧项目预计 2026 年 Q1 启动建设，2027 年下半年运营。审 批流程简化和主权基金参股降低风险，加速伟明环保建造收入确认和运 营业绩贡献。 印尼垃圾焚烧市场盈利性远高于国内，每吨垃圾发电量和电价均显著高 于国内，单吨垃圾收入约为中国三倍，且现金流由国家电力公司保障。 伟明环保新材料业务集中于镍冶炼，已投运 2 万吨高冰镍产能，另有 2 万吨产能将在未来两季度投运，预计将显著贡献业绩增长。2025 年 Q3 高冰镍销售额已超 3 亿元。 伟明盛清公司拥有电池级硫酸镍、电解镍和三元前驱体产能，2025 年 前三季度营收超 10 亿元，净利润约 1 亿元，为公司带来 6,000 多万元 投资收益。计划 2026 年主要向邦普供应三元前驱体。 Q&A 伟明环保在印尼垃圾焚烧项目中的布局和前景如何？ 伟明环保在印尼垃圾焚烧项目中具有显著的先发优势。2023 年，印尼全国垃 圾产生量为 5,663 万吨，其中只 ...

Core Viewpoint - The waste incineration industry in China has reached a critical juncture, facing challenges such as insufficient waste supply in certain regions despite having the highest waste incineration capacity globally [1] Group 1: Industry Development - From 2005 to 2023, the proportion of urban household waste disposed of by landfill decreased from 85.2% to 7.5%, while incineration increased from 9.8% to 82.5% [3] - The daily harmless treatment capacity rose from 33,000 tons to 861,800 tons, and the number of waste incineration plants increased from 67 to 1,010 [3] - However, the average capacity utilization rate of domestic waste incineration power projects has been around 60% in recent years, with several listed companies reporting "insufficient waste" [3] Group 2: Challenges and Responses - The issue of "insufficient waste" is particularly prominent in certain regions, often due to overly ambitious planning and inadequate waste collection in rural areas [3] - Companies are employing various strategies to improve capacity utilization, including expanding multi-source waste processing and increasing collaborative disposal efforts [3] - The cost of excavating existing landfill sites is high, with projects like the Guangzhou Xingfeng emergency landfill estimated at approximately 1.2 billion yuan, and the average cost for excavating and treating waste at the Longgang New Meizhou landfill reaching 528.26 yuan per cubic meter [3] Group 3: Mergers and Acquisitions - The industry is witnessing a trend of mergers and acquisitions, characterized by a "one strong, many strong" pattern, with companies like Zhongke Environmental acquiring waste incineration firms for over 350 million yuan [4] - Shenzhen Energy is also investing in projects that include waste incineration components, indicating a cross-regional strategy to secure waste supply [4] - Despite the trend, experts believe there will not be a large-scale merger wave due to the predominance of state-owned enterprises in the sector, which complicates acquisition processes [4] Group 4: Market Expansion - Companies are looking to expand into county-level and overseas markets to secure waste supply, with the government promoting "waste incineration in counties" [4] - However, experts express skepticism about the county market, suggesting that cross-county collaborative processing should be prioritized [4] - The overseas market presents significant opportunities, with companies like Weiming Environmental focusing on projects in Indonesia, marking a shift towards international expansion [4]