多极世界

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吉总理:努力将欧亚经济联盟建设成多极世界重要一极
Xin Hua She· 2025-08-15 13:27
欧亚经济联盟于2015年1月1日正式启动,成员国包括俄罗斯、哈萨克斯坦、白俄罗斯、吉尔吉斯斯 坦和亚美尼亚。 卡瑟马利耶夫指出,十年来,欧亚经济联盟经济总量增长18%,超过2.5万亿美元;工业生产增长 近30%,农业生产增长25%;联盟内部贸易增长1倍多,吉尔吉斯斯坦同欧亚经济联盟国家贸易额增长1 倍。 俄罗斯总理米舒斯京说,进一步共同努力巩固一体化机制符合欧亚经济联盟所有国家的利益。各方 必须继续消除对商品、服务和资本自由流动的限制,改善营商环境。 新华社吉尔吉斯斯坦乔尔蓬阿塔8月15日电(记者江宥林)吉尔吉斯斯坦总理卡瑟马利耶夫15日 说,十年来,欧亚经济联盟努力拓展伙伴关系,已成为世界经济格局中的一个重要经济发展中心。 欧亚经济联盟政府间理事会会议14日至15日在吉尔吉斯斯坦乔尔蓬阿塔市举行。卡瑟马利耶夫在15 日举行的理事会扩大会议上说,欧亚经济联盟开展国际合作,已签署多项贸易协定,拓展了同亚欧大陆 及其他地区重要一体化组织的伙伴关系。在全球变革背景下,在2030年之前,应将欧亚经济联盟建设成 为多极世界中和谐发展的一极。 ...
德国终于站起来对美国说“不”,放出狠话:想打仗?奉陪到底!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-22 07:42
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Germany's strong response to the potential increase in tariffs by the United States, marking a significant shift in its historical stance towards U.S. pressure, indicating a potential turning point in global trade dynamics [2][30]. Group 1: U.S. Tariff Threats - The U.S. government has proposed increasing tariffs on most European goods to 15% and potentially up to 30%, which has alarmed Germany, a major exporter to the U.S. with exports valued at €58 billion [4][6]. - The proposed 30% tariff could lead to a GDP decline of 0.3-0.5% for Germany, resulting in potential losses of up to €20 billion [6]. Group 2: Germany's Response - Germany's leadership has shifted from compliance to a more confrontational stance, indicating a readiness to challenge U.S. demands [9]. - The visit of European leaders to China is seen as a strategic move to strengthen Germany's position against U.S. tariffs, with China being Germany's largest trading partner, with bilateral trade expected to reach €240 billion by 2024 [11][13]. Group 3: Historical Context and Lessons - The article contrasts Germany's current situation with Japan's past experience during the 1980s trade tensions with the U.S., which led to Japan's prolonged economic stagnation [21][24]. - In contrast, China's response to U.S. tariffs has resulted in significant trade surpluses, providing a model for Germany to follow [17][19]. Group 4: Global Trade Dynamics - The article highlights a broader trend of shifting global power dynamics, with emerging economies like China, India, and Brazil challenging U.S. dominance, suggesting that the era of unilateral U.S. trade policies may be coming to an end [30][32]. - Germany's awakening signifies a potential shift in European unity against U.S. trade practices, with the possibility of forming a coalition with other EU nations to resist U.S. pressure [35][37].
为何说“大而美”法案是本世纪最危险的债务陷阱?
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-04 14:24
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the Trump 2.0 era represents a significant shift in U.S. domestic and foreign policy, characterized by aggressive economic measures and a departure from multilateralism [1][2][3] - Trump 2.0 is marked by a series of controversial actions, including large-scale deportations, threats to international territories, and the imposition of a "Trump tax" on over 60 countries, which has severely impacted the post-World War II global trade system [2][3] - The article suggests that Trump's approach is not merely chaotic but reflects a strategic intent to reshape the global order to prioritize U.S. interests, potentially leading to a fragmented international landscape [1][5][6] Group 2 - The article discusses the potential for a "tax-debt" style of imperialism under Trump, where the U.S. seeks to impose high tariffs and sell interest-free bonds to other nations, aiming to alleviate its own economic burdens while extracting resources from global partners [6][7] - It highlights the changing dynamics of global power, with Russia regaining status as a significant player while Europe is losing its influence, as evidenced by the ongoing Ukraine conflict and the shifting geopolitical landscape [7][9] - China's position is portrayed as steadily rising, with its diplomatic stance during the Ukraine conflict earning it respect and recognition as a responsible global power, contrasting with the U.S. approach [9][10] Group 3 - The article posits that the world is moving towards a multipolar era, where the traditional U.S.-centric global order is disintegrating, leading to increased competition and potential conflicts among major powers [10][11] - It emphasizes the need for a new global order characterized by "competitive coexistence," where major powers engage in rivalry while avoiding total conflict, suggesting a complex interplay of competition and cooperation [13][14] - The future of the Trump 2.0 era remains uncertain, with questions about its lasting impact on global politics and economics, indicating a need for ongoing observation and analysis [14][15]
光刻机锁死日本工厂运转?材料大国陷困局,氢能芯片能否弯道超车
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-04 00:25
Group 1 - The article highlights Japan's precarious position in the semiconductor supply chain, particularly due to U.S. restrictions on exports of critical materials and technologies [1][3] - Japan is home to 23% of the world's semiconductor raw material factories, particularly in Kumamoto, which produces high-purity fluorinated polyimide essential for 3nm chips [1] - The U.S. has imposed conditions on Japan's exports, including the requirement for EUV lithography machines to have geofencing systems, effectively monitoring Japan's semiconductor capabilities [3] Group 2 - Japan's reliance on the U.S. for raw materials is increasing, with 43% of its high-purity rare earth production directed to North America, raising concerns about becoming a technology dependency nation [5] - Toshiba's 2023 financial report indicates a 12% drop in yield for silicon carbide chips due to a lack of domestic etching equipment, while Shin-Etsu Chemical faces rising wafer costs from using U.S. substitutes [6] - The average age of semiconductor engineers in Japan is 51, with a 38% decrease in young professionals over five years, indicating a talent crisis in the industry [6] Group 3 - Japan is exploring alternative technologies, such as quantum computing and hydrogen energy chips, as part of a strategic pivot in its semiconductor approach [8] - Panasonic has developed a miniaturized hydrogen production reactor, and advancements in hydrogen fuel cell technology have been made at the University of Tokyo [10] - Hitachi has created a "three-layer protection" verification system to enhance security in semiconductor material transport [11] Group 4 - Chinese manufacturers are benefiting from Japan's technological constraints, with new domestic etching machines utilizing expired Japanese patents and lower-cost rare earth extraction methods [13][14] - In 2023, Japan was compelled to relax 63 expired patent licenses, leading to a significant outflow of semiconductor talent to China [14] - The article suggests that the ongoing semiconductor conflict is a reflection of broader resource competition and emphasizes the need for Japan to rebuild its innovation ecosystem independently [16]
特朗普两天内大转弯,威胁变豁免延期,美国到底怎么了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 12:15
Group 1 - The U.S. Trade Representative's office quietly extended tariff exemptions on Chinese goods, contrasting with President Trump's recent aggressive rhetoric towards China [1][3] - Trump's rapid policy shifts have left observers confused, as he oscillates between threats and concessions within a short timeframe [3][5] - The U.S. is facing significant internal crises, including rising inflation, which has led to public discontent and criticism of the administration's handling of economic issues [7][11] Group 2 - The U.S. government's layoffs have sparked protests, revealing the disconnect between political promises and the harsh realities faced by supporters of the administration [9][11] - Legal challenges to Trump's tariff policies have emerged, with courts questioning the constitutionality of his actions, indicating a potential shift in international trade dynamics [9][11] - The U.S. is experiencing a decline in diplomatic credibility and increasing social division, highlighting the vulnerabilities of its hegemonic position [11][12] Group 3 - China's dominance in rare earth elements has become a critical leverage point against U.S. trade policies, exposing weaknesses in U.S. industrial capabilities [12][14] - Technological advancements in China, such as Huawei's chip production and the development of domestic aircraft, are undermining U.S. efforts to impose technological sanctions [14][17] - China's expanding diplomatic relationships and trade agreements contrast sharply with the U.S.'s isolationist approach, suggesting a shift towards a multipolar world [19][21] Group 4 - The recent policy reversals by the Trump administration reflect a recognition of the unsustainability of high tariffs and trade restrictions, signaling a potential shift towards negotiation [22][24] - The evolving international landscape indicates that unilateral actions by the U.S. are increasingly met with resistance, as countries seek to strengthen multilateral ties [21][24] - The current situation illustrates a broader historical trend towards multipolarity, where cooperation becomes essential for navigating global challenges [24][26]
马克·乌赞:“无论如何,美国总能成为避风港”,这种信念正经历战后首次动摇
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-27 07:27
Group 1 - The global financial system is at a critical turning point, necessitating reforms to the Bretton Woods framework due to changes in the international economic structure and the rise of emerging economies like China, Brazil, and South Africa [2][3][6] - Emerging economies express dissatisfaction with their lack of representation in existing international financial institutions, prompting calls for a rebalancing of the Bretton Woods system to ensure broader representation [3][6] - China is increasingly seen as a key player in global financial stability, with initiatives like the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank and the BRICS New Development Bank reflecting its growing influence [6][9] Group 2 - The current global economic landscape is characterized by multiple crises, including the pandemic, wars, and trade tensions, leading to rising inflation and necessitating a reevaluation of economic strategies [9][11] - The U.S. is perceived as attempting to rebalance the global economy, which could have profound implications for the dollar, yuan, and U.S.-China relations [8][9] - The need for a new set of rules in a multipolar world is emphasized, as the existing international order is being challenged by the U.S.'s shift from a rule-maker to a disruptor [7][12] Group 3 - The European perspective highlights the need to restore industrial competitiveness in light of the U.S.'s current behavior, which poses challenges to Europe's stability and reliance on American leadership post-World War II [12][13] - The shift in U.S. policy raises questions for Europe regarding trust in the U.S. as a stable partner and the necessity for Europe to invest in strategic autonomy [12][13] - The historical context of peace and prosperity in Europe is being threatened by current geopolitical tensions, necessitating a reconsideration of defense spending and identity [13]
中俄务实合作显示强大韧性和互补性
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-05-07 22:45
Group 1: Core Insights - The visit of President Xi Jinping to Russia signifies the deepening of pragmatic cooperation between China and Russia, showcasing resilience and complementarity despite external challenges [1][2] - The bilateral trade volume between China and Russia reached $244.8 billion in 2024, marking a 1.9% year-on-year increase, with China maintaining its position as Russia's largest trading partner for 15 consecutive years [2][4] - The strategic cooperation between the two nations is characterized by enhanced political trust, deepening strategic collaboration, and expanding cultural exchanges, reflecting their commitment to a multipolar world and a shared future [2][3] Group 2: Economic Cooperation - The pragmatic cooperation between China and Russia is showing strong momentum in emerging sectors such as technology innovation, automotive production, cross-border e-commerce, and medical equipment, indicating significant growth potential [4][5] - Traditional cooperation areas, including machinery manufacturing, heavy industry, aerospace, energy, and logistics, are expected to continue driving the strategic partnership forward [4][5] - New cooperation potentials are identified in complementary industrial sectors, with Russia excelling in raw materials and heavy machinery, while China leads in computer and precision equipment manufacturing [5][6] Group 3: Trade Dynamics - In the first three months of the year, the trade volume between China and Russia was $53.213 billion, reflecting a 6.6% year-on-year decline, although a significant increase of 16% was observed in March [6][7] - The decline in trade volume is attributed to seasonal factors and does not indicate a long-term trend, as both countries are committed to maintaining stable and predictable economic cooperation [6][7] - Despite challenges posed by external trade conflicts, the cooperation between China and Russia is expected to persist, with both nations aiming to establish a multipolar world [7][8]
王毅:时代不容倒退,公道自在人心
news flash· 2025-04-30 02:28
Core Viewpoint - The meeting emphasizes the importance of multilateralism in addressing global issues and advocates for a fair and just global governance system [1] Group 1: Multilateralism and Global Governance - Wang Yi, a member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Foreign Minister, highlighted the need to uphold and practice multilateralism as a solution to global problems [1] - The expanded "BRICS" should continue to promote shared development and maintain the basic norms of international relations, defending the multilateral trade system [1] - The call for a more equitable and reasonable global governance system is central to the discussions [1] Group 2: Trade Relations and Global Dynamics - Wang Yi addressed the challenges posed by the U.S. using tariffs globally, urging countries to make choices about whether to allow a return to a "survival of the fittest" scenario or to support a multipolar world [1] - The response to trade wars is clear: China is prepared to engage in negotiations based on equality and respect, while also standing firm in its rights and the common interests of all nations [1] - The emphasis is placed on not only protecting national dignity but also ensuring the integrity of international rules and cooperation [1]