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久违的深跌出现了 下一步思路是什么?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-04 07:54
Market Overview - The market experienced a significant decline on September 4, with major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.25%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 2.83%, and the ChiNext Index by 4.25% [2][3] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.54 trillion yuan, an increase of 180.2 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2] Index Performance - The ChiNext Index and the Sci-Tech 50 Index saw the largest declines, with drops of 4.25% and 6.08% respectively [4] - The average stock price fell by 2.36%, marking a cumulative decline of 5.79% over three days [6] Sector Performance - Retail, food, paper, and photovoltaic sectors showed positive performance, while sectors such as CPO, semiconductors, components, and military industries faced significant declines [2] - Financial sectors, including banks and brokerages, showed signs of recovery in the afternoon, with notable gains in stocks like Agricultural Bank of China, which rose over 5% [8][10] Technology Sector - Technology leading stocks experienced substantial volatility, with major declines in stocks like Zhongji Xuchuang (-13.39%) and Xinyisheng (-15.58%) [15] - Despite the downturn, some analysts believe the mid-term logic for the technology sector remains solid, viewing the current adjustments as strategic opportunities for future investments [16] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - There is a prevailing sentiment of market correction, with questions raised about whether the market has reached its peak and how long the adjustment period will last [13] - Analysts suggest that the market is currently in a favorable environment with improved liquidity and potential inflows from global funds, indicating a possibility of steady upward movement in the near term [13]
A股三大指数回调,如何看待
IPO日报· 2025-09-03 09:10
Market Overview - On September 3, the Shanghai and Shenzhen indices opened high but showed weak performance, particularly the Shanghai Composite Index, which indicated a potential top formation [2] - The market saw 823 stocks rise and 4560 stocks fall, with a trading volume of 239.57 billion yuan, down approximately 51.67 billion yuan from the previous day [2] - The military industry sector led the decline, while the photovoltaic sector rebounded, and gold strengthened due to the depreciation of the US dollar [2] Market Sentiment - The net outflow of funds exceeded 100 billion yuan, indicating a continuous withdrawal of profit-taking funds from the market, which poses a risk [2] - The market's profitability indicator showed a poor performance with a profit-making effect of only 0.69% and a high failure rate of 52% for stocks hitting the limit up, suggesting a challenging environment for investors [3] Stock Performance - The market saw a lack of cohesion in the stock performance, with only one stock reaching a high of 9 consecutive boards, indicating a fragmented market and increasing risks [3] - Recent strong selling pressure and reduced trading volume suggest that the market may continue to decline, particularly for stocks that have risen significantly [3] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to remain cautious and protect their capital, avoiding stocks that are showing signs of weakness and waiting for the market to stabilize before targeting potential upward sectors [3]
月线收出中阳 近期大盘调整概率较高
Chang Sha Wan Bao· 2025-08-29 10:31
Market Performance - A-shares saw collective gains on August 29, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.37%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.99%, and the ChiNext Index by 2.23% [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets approached 2.8 trillion yuan, a decrease of nearly 200 billion yuan compared to August 28 [1] - Nearly 2,000 stocks rose, with over 70 stocks hitting the daily limit up [1] Sector Performance - The battery, insurance, energy metals, liquor, precious metals, medical services, aerospace, and minor metals sectors showed significant gains, while education, semiconductors, and communication services sectors experienced declines [1] - The strong performance in the battery sector was attributed to three main factors: the continuation of "anti-involution" policies, increased sales of new energy vehicles, and the ramp-up of solid-state batteries [2] - The insurance sector's strength was supported by the release of semi-annual reports from major insurers, with a total net profit of 178.19 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.7% [2] Individual Stock Highlights - Industrial Fulian's stock price hit the daily limit, closing at 53.83 yuan per share, with a market capitalization exceeding 1 trillion yuan [1] - Despite a 2.88% decline, Cambrian's stock price remained at 1,492.49 yuan per share, making it the highest-priced stock in the A-share market, surpassing Kweichow Moutai by over 12 yuan [1] - Zhongke Electric led the gains among Hunan stocks with a 14.59% increase, driven by its magnetic equipment and lithium battery anode businesses, reporting a net profit of 272.28 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year growth rate of 293.13% [4] Technical Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index closed August with a bullish monthly candlestick, but the likelihood of a market correction in September is high due to the historical pattern of market behavior [3] - The MACD indicator shows a reduction in bullish momentum, suggesting a potential decline before the index surpasses 4,000 points [3] - Despite the potential for adjustments, the overall market remains in a bullish trend with active trading, indicating a low probability of significant downturns [3]
上攻无量 大盘大概率要调整
Chang Sha Wan Bao· 2025-07-07 10:19
Market Overview - A-shares showed mixed performance on July 7, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.02% to 3473.13 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.70% to 10435.51 points, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 1.21% to 2130.19 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 120.87 billion yuan, a decrease of 21.99 billion yuan compared to the previous Friday [1] Industry Performance - The power sector emerged as the strongest performer in the market, particularly driven by thermal power due to recent high temperatures, which have increased electricity demand [2] - Nearly 70% of listed thermal power companies reported year-on-year profit growth in Q1, with an expected annual electricity consumption growth rate of around 5% [2] - The decline in coal prices has positively impacted the performance of thermal power companies, with some regions expected to outperform market expectations [2] Company Insights - Hunan's Huayin Power has been the best-performing stock among local companies, achieving a significant increase in stock price due to high temperatures leading to record electricity loads [3] - For Q1 2025, Huayin Power reported earnings per share of 0.04 yuan and a net profit of 75.67 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 894.61% [3] - The company is a leading player in thermal power in Hunan and also engages in hydro, wind, solar power generation, and electricity sales [3]
和讯投顾韩东峰:3400点上方本就有压力,大盘借机调整
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-13 10:29
Group 1 - The market is currently experiencing a sideways fluctuation around the 3400-point level, with recent unexpected declines attributed to geopolitical tensions, specifically Israel's sudden attack on Iran [1] - The market is observing a wait-and-see approach, particularly regarding potential Iranian retaliation and its implications for market dynamics in the coming days [1] - Only two sectors showed significant gains today: oil extraction-related services and precious metals, indicating a shift in investor focus towards these industries amid uncertainty [1] Group 2 - It is advised to maintain a position of 60-70% in the market, with 20-30% allocated for short-term trading, especially around the 3400-point mark [2] - The fundamental market conditions remain unchanged, with macroeconomic policies and central bank support providing stability, suggesting no immediate cause for concern [2] - The market is expected to continue fluctuating within the 3300-3400 point range, with a focus on leading companies in strong sectors, while monitoring broker reactions in the upcoming week [2]
午评:没量能推动再涨已很难,今若收在3360之下,很可能就是调整之相了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-13 05:38
Group 1 - The market showed an upward opening but faced resistance in the 3364-3394 pressure zone, indicating a potential short-term adjustment if trading volume remains insufficient [2] - The key support levels are identified at 3327-3317, and maintaining above this range is crucial for a bullish outlook [2] - The afternoon trading session requires the index to close above 3362 for acceptance, above 3372 for a good signal, and above 3386 for a strong indication [3] Group 2 - The daily critical area for the market is between 3328-3313, with a strong trend only if it remains above the upper boundary [3] - The mid to long-term trend indicates that the market must stay above the 60-day moving average to maintain a bullish state and above the 250-day moving average to avoid reverting to a bearish market [3]
无聊,煞是无聊
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 12:10
今天低开在3292,最低3279,最高3296,收盘在3288。个股涨跌家数比1216:4110,跌多涨少。 就调整来说,不下10日线的就还不能说是已走弱,如果20日线的支撑还在,调整也还是可以说是良性的状态,如果20日线都撑不住了,那就真的是走弱 了。不失20日线就不能说那只"无形之手"撒手了。 继续小心在这里又一次走成局部喇叭口的形态。 补掉3317周缺口是一定的,只是早晚的事。但3342缺口则未必能一口气补掉。 中期态势:已见底,转好可能已增大。站回250日线避免了陷入熊市状态,目前处于非牛非熊的状态中。 目前的策略:上下俩缺口间振荡,反复做T;先补上面,看多;先补下面,看空。 三大指数明天日级别关键区域:在上沿之上为强,跌破上沿为弱,跌破下沿为坏。 大盘在3285-3304,目前收在下沿之上。强弱点看3342。 创指在1941-2040,目前收在下沿之下。强弱点看2065。 今天明显是在调整的,是拒绝深调之相。盘中击穿了3280,收盘卡位在关键点位3288。无聊磨叽了一整天,几乎啥也没改变。空头占优但优势不大。所以 也就没啥可说的。 继续小心两点:一根中大阳完成任务或一根中大阴调整展开。 收盘结论:收 ...