Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][28][31] Core Views - The company is experiencing a short-term revenue decline due to storage price impacts, with a revenue of 1Q25 at 1.543 billion yuan, down 10.62% YoY and 7.58% QoQ. However, a gradual recovery in storage prices is expected in 2Q25, which may lead to performance improvement [1][20][28] - Embedded storage revenue for 2024 reached 4.241 billion yuan, a significant increase of 151.68% YoY, with products entering major client supply chains. AI-related products are also seeing rapid revenue growth, particularly in AI glasses, which are expected to grow over 500% YoY in 2025 [2][28] - The company is making progress in enterprise-level and automotive-grade storage, with advanced wafer-level packaging expected to drive long-term growth. The company has passed various tests and is set to meet advanced storage packaging demands [3][28] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - 1Q25 revenue was 1.543 billion yuan, with a net profit of -216 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline in profitability due to increased R&D expenses and inventory write-downs [1][28] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.78 billion, 2.00 billion, and 3.82 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 156, 139, and 73 [3][28] Revenue Breakdown - Embedded storage is projected to generate revenues of 5.439 billion, 6.459 billion, and 7.363 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, driven by a recovery in storage prices and increased shipments [28] - PC storage revenue is expected to be 2.206 billion, 2.283 billion, and 2.363 billion yuan for the same period, benefiting from a gradual market recovery [25][28] - Automotive-grade storage is anticipated to grow to 1.55 billion, 2.94 billion, and 4.18 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, as customer adoption increases [26][28] Market Trends - The global storage market is experiencing a cyclical downturn, with NAND Flash prices expected to stabilize in 2Q25 after a decline in 1Q25. The company anticipates a recovery in prices due to inventory adjustments and increased demand from OEMs [20][24][28] - The company is well-positioned in the supply chains of major clients across various sectors, including AI, automotive, and consumer electronics, which supports its growth outlook [2][3][28]

证券研究报告 | 2025年05月03日 德明利（001309.SZ） 优于大市 1Q25 收入逆势同环比增长，产品线与客户结构加速升级 公司 1Q25 收入逆势同比增长 54.41%。公司以存储颗粒为原材料进行存储模 组开发，产品包括嵌入式存储、固态硬盘、移动存储及内存条等。24 年存储 价格呈现前高后低趋势，受存储价格回落影响 4Q24 上游厂商再次减产，存 储价格于 1Q25 触底，预计 25 年存储价格有望温和复苏。在此背景下：尽管 1Q25 存储价格下降触底，公司通过渠道及客户拓展仍逆势实现营收 12.52 亿 元(YoY+54.4%，QoQ+6.5%)，短期受研发投入同比增长 97.77%、银行贷款增 加带来的财务费用增加及存货跌价准备等影响，扣非归母净利润-0.75 亿元 (YoY-138.9%，QoQ+24.7%)同比下降，随价格触底企稳公司 1Q25 亏损环比收 窄，毛利率 5.8%(YoY-31.4pct，QoQ+5.5pct)环比改善。目前公司研发投入 已在收入端逐步体现，未来待规模稳定后盈利有望逐步改善。 自研主控顺利推进，逐步构建"主控+模组"模式。目前公司新一代自研 SD6.0 存 ...