新能源行业反内卷
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新能源车ETF(159806)涨超1.7%,新能源利好催化不断
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-15 06:27
相关机构表示,新技术方面,固态电池界面接触问题是产业化难点之一,据新华社报道,我国科研人员 在全固态金属锂电池界面接触问题上取得突破,有望加速固态电池产业化落地,后续关注相关材料和设 备企业验证进展。 国家发改委、市场监管总局发布《关于治理价格无序竞争维护良好市场价格秩序的公告》,强化"反内 卷"力度,光伏产业链仍存在涨价动力。后续光伏组件价格能否顺利传导取决于终端装机需求以及终端 光伏电站收益率要求,近期《关于完善价格机制促进新能源发电就近消纳的通知》发布,有望从经济性 角度疏导光伏电站矛盾,建议关注行业格局较好的胶膜、硅料、电池组件、BC、贱金属降本方向。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) 新能源车ETF(159806)跟踪的是CS新能车指数(399976),该指数从沪深市场中选取涉及锂电池、电 机、电控及整车制造等关键领域业务的上市公司证券作为指数样本,全面反映新能源汽车产业链相关上 市公司证券的整体表现。该指数行业配置高度集中于新能源汽车相关制造业,风格偏向成长型。 今年以来高层对新能源行业"反内卷"的持续发声,体现了有关部门对行业供需失衡的重视,板块或将迎 来底部反转。 ...
政策提振叠加新技术利好,新能源车ETF(159806)涨近3%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-30 11:06
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the continued rebound in the new energy sector, with significant increases in the performance of new energy vehicle ETFs [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology plans to optimize tax incentives for new energy vehicle purchases, which is expected to drive high growth in domestic sales of new energy vehicles by 2025, subsequently boosting demand for batteries and materials [1] - In the power battery sector, there is strong demand for lithium battery inventory, and production is expected to continue rising as year-end demand increases, marking the start of the peak season for the lithium industry chain [1] Group 2 - In the photovoltaic sector, the investment theme remains focused on "anti-involution," with continued price increases for photovoltaic batteries and signs of rising prices for centralized components, although the sustainability of these price increases is still under observation due to weak installation in August [1] - A recent notice on improving pricing mechanisms to promote the local consumption of new energy power generation is expected to help alleviate conflicts related to photovoltaic power stations from an economic perspective [1] - The ongoing emphasis from higher authorities on "anti-involution" in the new energy industry reflects the government's concern over supply-demand imbalances, suggesting a potential bottom reversal for the sector [1]
电力设备新能源行业周报:政策窗口开启,本土制造升级-20250924
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-09-24 06:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the energy and new energy sectors, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [7]. Core Insights - The report highlights the opening of policy windows and the upgrade of domestic manufacturing in the power equipment and new energy sectors, suggesting a favorable environment for investment [2]. - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing a "de-involution" movement, which has reached the highest strategic level in the country, focusing on capacity integration in the silicon material segment and strengthening price regulation across the industry [4]. - The wind power industry is experiencing sustained high prosperity, with a reasonable supply-demand structure and good profitability for enterprises [4]. Weekly Market Review - From September 15 to September 19, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.30%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.14%, and the ChiNext Index increased by 2.34%. The Shenwan Power Equipment Index rose by 3.07%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 3.51 percentage points [12]. - Among sub-sectors, photovoltaic equipment decreased by 0.84%, wind power equipment increased by 5.26%, battery equipment rose by 5.56%, and grid equipment increased by 2.06% [12]. Key Sector Tracking - The report notes a significant increase in the bidding prices for wind turbine models, with the lowest bid price for 5 MW units rising from 1,157 RMB/kW in 2024 to approximately 1,700 RMB/kW in the first half of this year. This trend indicates that all models' bidding prices are now above their minimum cost prices, effectively curbing the industry's vicious low-price competition [3][21][22]. Investment Recommendations - For the photovoltaic sector, the report suggests focusing on silicon materials, glass, and battery segments that have undergone sufficient corrections and have clear alpha. Companies to watch include Aiko Solar, Flat Glass Group, GCL-Poly Energy, and Junda Technology [4]. - In the wind power sector, the report recommends focusing on companies like Goldwind Technology and Yunda Co., as well as cable manufacturers like Orient Cable and Zhongtian Technology [4]. - The new energy vehicle sector is experiencing rapid growth, with a recommendation to prioritize companies benefiting from low upstream raw material prices, such as CATL and EVE Energy [5]. Industry Price Data - The report provides insights into the price trends of key materials in the industry, including silicon material prices, which have shown significant fluctuations, indicating a dynamic market environment [33][35].
逆变器持续增长,风电排产高增,光伏主链分化、辅链持续承压
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-09-11 01:37
Core Viewpoint - The report indicates a significant divergence within the new energy sector, with solar energy facing substantial challenges while wind energy shows strong performance. The overall financial performance in H1 2025 reflects a decline in revenue and profit across various segments, but there are signs of potential recovery in the latter half of the year due to industry consolidation and price stabilization efforts [2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance Overview - The new energy sector generated revenue of 729.7 billion yuan in H1 2025, a decrease of 3% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11 billion yuan, down 46% [2]. - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 411.5 billion yuan, showing no year-on-year growth but a 29% increase quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 6 billion yuan, down 8% year-on-year but up 23% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The photovoltaic segment reported H1 2025 revenue of 434.8 billion yuan, a 14% decrease, and a net loss of 7.1 billion yuan, a 276% decline year-on-year [2]. Group 2: Segment Performance - The wind energy sector achieved H1 2025 revenue of 155.8 billion yuan, a 32% decrease, but net profit increased by 20% to 9.1 billion yuan [2]. - In Q2 2025, wind energy revenue was 94.5 billion yuan, a 34% increase year-on-year and a 54% increase quarter-on-quarter, with net profit rising by 21% to 5.5 billion yuan [2]. - The inverter segment showed positive growth in H1 2025, while the photovoltaic supply chain faced ongoing pressure, particularly in the silicon material and wafer segments, which saw significant declines in revenue and profit [2][3]. Group 3: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The silicon material prices reached a bottom in Q2 2025, with expectations for profitability to improve in H2 2025 as industry consolidation and internal competition drive price recovery [2][3]. - The battery segment is anticipated to face profitability challenges due to excess capacity, but improvements are expected as P-type capacity exits the market and consolidation progresses [2]. - The demand for household storage is gradually recovering, with significant growth in commercial and large-scale storage, particularly in Europe and Southeast Asia, which is expected to positively impact inverter performance [3][4]. Group 4: Recommendations - The report highlights high-growth areas such as inverters and mounting structures, recommending companies like Sungrow Power Supply, DeYe Shares, and others for investment [5]. - It also suggests focusing on leading silicon material producers with cost advantages and strong channel capabilities in the component sector, including LONGi Green Energy and Canadian Solar [5]. - New technology leaders and companies in offshore and onshore wind sectors are also recommended for potential investment opportunities [5].
国元证券:新能源行业“反内卷”成果显著 业绩中枢上行
智通财经网· 2025-08-26 05:53
Group 1: Photovoltaic Industry Insights - The "anti-involution" movement in the photovoltaic industry has reached the highest strategic level of the state, indicating positive signals for the industry [1] - The current state of the photovoltaic industry is at the bottom of the cycle, with future policy strength being a key variable affecting industry trends [1] - The photovoltaic industry is expected to enter a phase of high-quality development, with technological upgrades and market structure optimization becoming core competitive elements [1] - Companies to focus on include Aiko Solar (爱旭股份), Flat Glass (福莱特), GCL-Poly Energy (协鑫科技), and Junda Technology (钧达股份) [1] Group 2: Wind Power Industry Performance - The supply-demand structure of the wind power industry is relatively reasonable, with good profitability among enterprises [2] - The profitability situation in the wind power industry chain is improving, as evidenced by the recent half-year reports from listed companies [2] - The offshore wind power sector is expected to accelerate construction by 2025, becoming a significant focus for the marine economy [2] - Recommended companies include Goldwind (金风科技), Yunda (运达股份) for complete machines, and Dongfang Cable (东方电缆), Zhongtian Technology (中天科技) for submarine cables [2] Group 3: New Energy Vehicle Sector Developments - The new energy vehicle sector continues to grow rapidly, with low-end capacity being quickly eliminated after two years of price declines, leading to marginal improvements in the industry [3] - Companies benefiting from low upstream raw material prices and stable profitability in battery and structural components include CATL (宁德时代), EVE Energy (亿纬锂能), and Haopeng Technology (豪鹏科技) [3] - As supply-side structure improves and excess capacity is gradually eliminated, leading companies such as Hunan YN (湖南裕能), Longpan Technology (龙蟠科技), and Wanrun New Energy (万润新能) are recommended for attention [3]
碳酸锂吨价日涨幅超千元 市场活跃度显著提升
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-07-22 19:05
证券时报记者 叶玲珍 需要关注的是,本轮价格上涨已经有向下游传导迹象,从而影响产业链采购情绪。 "还没来得及反应就涨上去了!"华中地区一位碳酸锂厂商告诉证券时报记者,"最近碳酸锂一天一个价,下游询 单明显变多了,今天我们还接到了两个小单,感觉市场渐渐活跃起来了。" 正如前述厂商所言,近期碳酸锂市场价格呈现快速上涨态势。期货方面,碳酸锂期货主力合约2509近一个月来持 续上行,目前已回升至7.29万元/吨,阶段涨幅超20%;现货市场亦同步上扬,上海有色数据显示,7月22日电池级 碳酸锂均价报6.91万元/吨,工业级碳酸锂均价报6.75万元/吨,双双较上一交易日上涨1100元/吨。而在此前几个工 作日,碳酸锂现货日涨幅均超1000元/吨。 "本轮碳酸锂价格上涨,与国内新能源行业'反内卷'密切相关。"鑫椤资讯高级研究员张金惠表示,近期市场传来多 个矿企整改、停产、检修等消息,刺激了市场对供给端收缩的预期,同时此前碳酸锂价格跌破6万元/吨,多数厂商 已成本倒挂,挺价意愿强烈。 消息面上,7月中旬,宜春市自然资源局下发通知,要求当地8家涉锂矿山企业编制储量核实报告,并在9月30日前 完成报告编制,从严治理锂资源违规开发 ...