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【环时深度】米莱上台两周年,阿根廷民众怎么看
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-12-04 22:51
【环球时报报道 记者 白云怡】编者的话:12月3日,阿根廷国会众议院为新当选的国会议员举行了宣誓 就职仪式。这些议员在10月的中期选举中当选,并将于12月10日正式履职,这一天也是阿根廷总统米莱 执政两周年的日子。两年来,米莱推行大刀阔斧的"休克疗法"经济改革频繁引发争议,但其支持率却越 发稳固。美国财政部长12月2日宣布取消对阿根廷访问也引发阿媒对两国关系的疑虑。近日,《环球时 报》记者就上述问题对话阿根廷各界民众和国内学者,探究在米莱支持率上升和复杂舆论争议的背后, 民众真实心态究竟如何。 西尔维娜告诉记者,由于长年来阿根廷人对高通胀已经有了"创伤记忆",如果一任政府能把通胀维持在 每月2%到3%,社会自然会感觉更安心。"但问题是,我们必须评估这种稳定背后的成本。"她表示,"我 认为现在阿根廷试图建立的是一种宏观经济稳定、但代价是巨大的不平等和高失业率的经济模式。" 国家预算也可能再次承受压力:今年10月,阿根廷被国际货币基金组织列为其十大拉美债务国之首,债 务高达569.44亿美元。同时,阿根廷还急需在基础设施方面增加投资。作为经济增长战略的一部分,米 莱试图吸引对锂、页岩气和石油等采掘产业的投资。然而 ...
特朗普重返拉美,试图重新控制资源,中国要警惕了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 03:45
哈喽,大家好!今天的国际评论,我们来聊聊特朗普重返拉美背后的资源争夺。最近南美各国政治方向 发生了明显变化,尤其是智利大选,成为了中美两国在资源领域博弈的重要战场。随着阿根廷的米莱上 台推行右翼政策,玻利维亚的右翼势力也崛起,智利大选将成为决定未来局势的关键。特朗普的目标似 乎十分明确,那就是南美丰富的矿产资源。我们需要警惕的是,这场选举结果可能会使中国企业陷入困 境。 智利的锂矿储量占全球近40%,对全球新能源产业至关重要。掌控智利的锂矿,就意味着在新能源产业 链中占据了举足轻重的地位。特朗普推动拉美右转的核心目的之一,正是为了实现这一目标。 南美右倾是偶然还是必然?很多人可能认为,拉美国家这次大规模右转是民众心态突变,但背后实际上 有特朗普精准的时机把控。拉美拥有全球最为重要的锂、铜等矿产资源,这些资源是全球新能源和制造 业产业链的关键。此前,左翼政府推行的资源国有化政策以及外资管制,限制了美国资本对当地资源的 掠夺,而美国一直把拉美视为自己后院,资源的控制对他们至关重要。 现在,阿根廷的米莱和玻利维亚的右翼势力相继掌权,他们主张新自由主义政策,推崇私有化和放松外 资管制。这与特朗普提出的重塑西半球资源秩 ...
美国中产阶级的萎缩
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-30 16:28
Core Insights - The middle class in the United States is facing a silent crisis of decline, not just a slow erosion, as evidenced by the widening gap between official poverty lines and actual living costs [1][3][12] Economic Context - Since the 1980s, economic policies have shifted, leading to a significant decline in labor income's share of GDP, from approximately 64% in 1980 to an estimated 56% by 2025 [4][9] - The federal debt as a percentage of GDP has surged from 32% in 1980 to a projected 123% in 2025, partly due to tax cuts that expanded deficits [4][9] Poverty Line Discrepancies - The official poverty line for a family of four is set at $31,200 in 2025, while the actual survival cost is estimated to be around $136,000, creating a cognitive gap of nearly $100,000 [3][11] - A report suggests that the real poverty line should be approximately $166,400, indicating that over 70% of American households earn below this threshold [3][11] Changing Expenditure Patterns - Essential expenses such as housing, healthcare, and childcare now account for nearly 60% of family budgets, a significant increase from one-third in 1963 [2][6] - The median home price in 2025 is projected to be $416,900, which is five times the median household income of $83,150, far exceeding historical averages [6][7] Income and Wealth Inequality - The top 1% of wealth holders are projected to control 31% of GDP by 2025, a significant increase from 8% in 1964, highlighting growing inequality [8][9] - The median net worth for middle-class families is only $192,900, compared to $3 million for the top 10% [8] Future Projections - The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) predicts that by 2030, the middle-class contraction will worsen, with poverty rates potentially reaching 75% when recalibrated [11][12] - Structural reforms are necessary to address the middle-class crisis, including redefining the poverty line, reforming tax policies, and investing in vocational education [12]
全球中产大败局?
虎嗅APP· 2025-11-01 02:47
Group 1 - The article discusses the concept of the "middle class" and its ambiguous definition, which varies based on income, assets, education, and social status [6][8][9] - It highlights the increasing frequency of the term "middle class" in business news and its association with consumer behavior, particularly in the context of brands that cater to this demographic [6][9] - The article presents data showing a decline in the middle class's share of national income in various countries, such as the U.S. and France, indicating a long-term trend of "middle class shrinkage" [10][11][13] Group 2 - The article identifies the sources of anxiety for the middle class, including economic growth, job security, and the rising cost of living, which have led to a perception of instability [15][17] - It discusses the impact of globalization and technological advancements on job markets, resulting in a bifurcated labor market where "good jobs" are scarce [16][17] - The article emphasizes the need for diversified pathways to middle-class status, suggesting that vocational and technical education could help blue-collar workers ascend to middle-class positions [17][18] Group 3 - The article explores the internal factors contributing to middle-class anxiety, such as consumer behavior and the pursuit of a lifestyle that mimics wealthier classes [23][26] - It notes that many middle-class individuals engage in "status consumption," leading to financial strain and a distorted view of their economic standing [26][27] - The article concludes with a call for a "conscious reform" among the middle class to reassess spending habits and investment strategies, moving away from outdated notions of hard work leading to financial stability [28]