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Expect markets to do well going into 2026, especially growth trade: BMO's Schleif
Youtube· 2025-12-22 21:57
Kicking off the short holiday trading week with gains and a broad-based rally. Everything from AI names to banks to retailers, industrials getting a bump. Can this broadening out continue into 2026.Well, joining us now, Carol Schlife from Beimo Private Wealth and Bob Dah from Cross Market Global Investments. It's great to have you both here. And Carol, I will start this conversation with you.How does this set us up for 2026. Well, clearly markets seem to be indicating that there's a lot of things going on u ...
“美版支付宝”申请成立银行
3 6 Ke· 2025-12-17 02:24
有"美版支付宝"之称的PayPal已经在美国提交了成为一家银行的申请,这家国际支付巨头希望在当前较 宽松的监管环境下进入银行体系。 周一,PayPal Holdings, Inc.在官网宣布,公司已向犹他州金融机构部和联邦存款保险公司(FDIC)提交 申请,计划成立一家犹他州特许工业贷款公司(ILC),名为"PayPal银行"。 声明称,PayPal银行将使PayPal能够更高效地向美国小型企业提供商业贷款解决方案,同时减少对第三 方机构的依赖,并增强PayPal自身的业务实力。 自特朗普年内早些时候上任以来,随着监管机构推行放松管制政策并采取更加有利于经济增长的路线, 美国银行牌照申请数量激增。 上周,美国货币监理署(OCC)初步批准了Ripple、Circle等加密货币巨头建立全国性信托银行的申 请,这一重大举措可能会进一步将数字资产融入银行体系。 总部位于明尼阿波利斯的"先买后付"公司Sezzle也对获得银行牌照感兴趣,因为监管环境正在发生变 化。Sezzle CEO表示,繁重的州级监管是Sezzle正在探索工业贷款牌照的原因之一。 需要指出的是,欧洲的一些支付企业实际上已经以银行身份开展业务。例如,先 ...
【环时深度】米莱上台两周年,阿根廷民众怎么看
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-12-04 22:51
Core Points - The recent midterm elections in Argentina resulted in a surprising victory for Javier Milei's right-wing coalition, the "La Libertad Avanza" party, which is seen as a public endorsement of his austerity measures and neoliberal policies [2][4] - Milei's government has implemented strict austerity measures, leading to a significant reduction in monthly inflation rates from 25% in December 2023 to around 2% recently, and a decrease in poverty rates from 52.9% to 31.6% [3][8] - Despite the economic improvements, there are concerns about the social costs of these reforms, with many citizens feeling the burden of austerity measures and expressing dissatisfaction with the growing inequality [3][5] Political Landscape - The "La Libertad Avanza" party secured over one-third of the seats in Congress, allowing Milei to block opposition attempts to overturn presidential decrees, thus strengthening his political foundation [2][4] - Public sentiment is mixed, with some citizens preferring the uncertainty of Milei's reforms over a return to previous governance, reflecting a broader disillusionment with traditional political parties [4][6] Economic Implications - Milei's victory has created new opportunities for debt issuance, potentially attracting much-needed foreign investment, particularly in sectors like oil and gas [2][3] - The government has made significant cuts to federal spending, reducing it by approximately 30% and cutting the number of public employees by about 15% [3][8] - Argentina's debt stands at approximately $56.944 billion, and the country is seeking to attract investment in infrastructure to support economic growth [3][7] Social Reactions - Many citizens express a sense of stability but also highlight the increasing financial strain, with reports of rising debt among working individuals [3][5] - There is a growing concern that the benefits of Milei's policies are disproportionately favoring the wealthy, leading to a perception of increased inequality [3][6] International Relations - The relationship between Argentina and the United States has become complex, with recent support from the U.S. government for Milei's administration, including a $20 billion currency swap agreement [7][8] - However, there are fears that U.S. support may come with strings attached, potentially undermining Argentina's economic sovereignty [7][8] Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that while Milei's reforms have shown some success, the sustainability of these policies remains in question, particularly regarding social equity and long-term economic stability [8][9] - The upcoming elections in 2027 could pose significant challenges for Milei if social discontent continues to grow due to ongoing austerity measures [9]
特朗普周年庆造势翻车!吹完100亿投资遭丰田拆台,3个漏洞藏不住
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 04:35
Group 1 - The core message of Trump's speech was to highlight his economic policies, claiming significant achievements such as "deregulation" and "energy independence" [1][3] - Trump emphasized a recent trip to Asia, claiming it resulted in "transformative breakthroughs" and large investments from Japan, specifically mentioning a $10 billion investment, which was later disputed by Toyota [3][4] - Despite Trump's claims of controlling inflation and increasing employment, public sentiment reflected concerns over high prices and job availability, as indicated by a survey of over 17,000 voters [4][5] Group 2 - The October ADP employment data showed an increase of 42,000 jobs, which, while slightly better than expected, was significantly lower compared to earlier in the year when job growth was much higher [5][20] - The core Consumer Price Index (CPI) was reported at 3.2%, indicating inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's target of 2% [5][21] - Trump's claims of economic prosperity were contradicted by data showing a decline in manufacturing PMI and a lack of job growth in the goods-producing sector, with only 9,000 new jobs added in one month [20][21] Group 3 - The choice of Miami for the forum was strategic, as Florida is a key swing state in elections, and local political support was evident from Miami's mayor [10][12] - Trump's plans for the G20 summit to be held at his own golf club raised concerns about potential conflicts of interest, as it could serve to promote his family business [12][23] - The proposed location for Trump's presidential library in Miami is currently facing legal disputes, which could delay the project [15][23] Group 4 - The forum included the FIFA president to promote the upcoming 2026 World Cup, linking sports to economic growth and enhancing Miami's international profile [18][26] - Trump's rhetoric about economic achievements was seen as a blend of politics, business, and sports, aiming to create a favorable public image while facing criticism for lacking substantive results [26]
安桥首席执行官:美国正在“极其迅速地”推进放松管制。加拿大放松管制的行动尚未发生。
news flash· 2025-08-01 14:42
Core Insights - The CEO of Onkyo stated that the United States is rapidly advancing in deregulation efforts, while Canada has yet to take similar actions [1] Group 1 - The U.S. is moving towards deregulation at an "extremely rapid" pace [1] - Canada has not yet initiated any deregulation measures [1]
机构:印尼与美国达成关税协议或缓解冲击、刺激改革
news flash· 2025-07-21 03:17
Core Viewpoint - The tariff agreement between Indonesia and the United States is expected to alleviate the severe impact on exporters, stimulate reforms, and create investment opportunities [1] Group 1: Tariff Impact - The agreed tariff of 19% is lower than the previously proposed 32%, which is anticipated to help preserve manufacturing jobs and stabilize consumer spending [1] - The exemption from tariffs on certain goods entering the U.S., particularly feed and capital goods, is likely to benefit industries such as poultry, food, metals, and healthcare [1] Group 2: Investment and Regulatory Environment - The relaxation of import regulations and potential reforms may attract foreign investment, especially in downstream industries [1] Group 3: Risks and Challenges - Despite the positive outlook, risks remain from foreign exchange fluctuations, pressure on local producers, and the potential loss of leverage in future trade negotiations [1]
24小时环球政经要闻全览 | 7月16日
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-16 02:19
Group 1: Market Performance - Major stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down by 436.36 points (-0.98%) at 44023.29, while the Nasdaq increased by 37.47 points (0.18%) to 20677.8 [1] - The S&P 500 decreased by 24.8 points (-0.40%) to 6243.76, while the Hang Seng Index rose by 386.8 points (1.60%) to 24590.12 [1] - The Nikkei 225 increased by 218.4 points (0.55%) to 39678.02, and the KOSPI rose by 13.25 points (0.41%) to 3215.28 [1] Group 2: U.S.-China Trade Relations - U.S. Treasury Secretary stated that the current negotiations between the U.S. and China are in a "good state," with flexibility regarding the upcoming tariff ceasefire deadline [2] - President Trump announced that tariff letters to smaller countries will be sent soon, with rates expected to be "slightly above 10%" [3] Group 3: Trade Investigations - The U.S. Trade Representative initiated an investigation into Brazil's trade practices under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974, focusing on unfair restrictions on U.S. exports [4] Group 4: Economic Indicators - U.S. core inflation data showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.3% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year, with core CPI increasing by 0.2%, below the 0.3% market expectation [5] Group 5: Oil Demand Outlook - OPEC indicated that global economic performance in the second half of the year may exceed expectations, supporting oil demand due to high refinery crude absorption [6] Group 6: Corporate Investments - Apple is expected to announce a $500 million investment in MP Materials, the only rare earth mining operator in the U.S. [7] Group 7: Financial Performance - JPMorgan Chase reported Q2 revenue of $45.7 billion, exceeding market expectations, but down from $51 billion year-over-year, with net income of $15 billion [8] - CEO Jamie Dimon noted that tax reform and potential deregulation are favorable for economic outlook, despite existing risks from tariffs and trade [9] Group 8: Technology Developments - Nvidia's stock rose by 4.04% to $170.7, reaching a market capitalization of $4.17 trillion, following the approval of H20 chip sales to China [10]
摩根大通(JPM.N)CEO戴蒙:税制改革的最终确定和潜在的放松管制对经济前景有利。
news flash· 2025-07-15 10:36
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the finalization of tax reform and potential deregulation are beneficial for the economic outlook [1] Group 2 - JPMorgan Chase's CEO Jamie Dimon emphasizes the positive impact of tax reform on economic growth [1] - The potential for deregulation is also highlighted as a factor that could enhance economic prospects [1]
乌克兰总统泽连斯基:接下来六个月主要目标是增加乌克兰国内武器的生产,充分确保为乌克兰国防军签订必要数量的所有类型无人机的合同,实施重大放松管制,释放内部经济潜力。
news flash· 2025-07-15 10:32
Core Viewpoint - The primary goal for Ukraine in the next six months is to increase domestic weapon production and ensure necessary contracts for all types of drones for the Ukrainian Armed Forces, alongside implementing significant deregulation to unleash internal economic potential [1] Group 1 - Ukraine aims to enhance domestic weapon production over the next six months [1] - The government plans to secure contracts for various types of drones for the Ukrainian Armed Forces [1] - There will be a focus on significant deregulation to maximize internal economic potential [1]
壹快评丨少拧螺丝多松手,升腾经济烟火气
第一财经· 2025-07-01 07:43
Core Viewpoint - The recent policy change in Beijing, allowing large public events and temporary commercial activities without prior approval from fire safety departments, is expected to revitalize urban life and economic activity, reflecting public demand for a more vibrant city atmosphere [1][2]. Group 1: Policy Changes and Economic Impact - The new regulation aims to eliminate excessive bureaucratic restrictions, which have previously stifled urban vibrancy and economic dynamism [1][2]. - The policy is anticipated to enhance the "smoky atmosphere" of cities, promoting grassroots economic activities and public engagement [1][2]. Group 2: Historical Context and Public Sentiment - Overregulation in recent years has led to public discontent, with examples of strict enforcement harming local businesses and community activities [3][4]. - The article highlights specific cases where local regulations have negatively impacted small vendors and community members, indicating a need for a more balanced approach to urban management [3][4]. Group 3: Recommendations for Effective Implementation - To truly activate urban vibrancy, it is essential to not only remove unnecessary regulations but also to establish a supportive governance framework that prioritizes public service over control [5][6]. - The article suggests fostering a culture of safety awareness among consumers and businesses, ensuring that while regulations are relaxed, safety standards remain a priority [5][6].