证券研究报告 | 2025年6月21日 估值周观察(6月第4期) 日韩估值扩张 策略研究 · 专题报告 证券分析师：王开 021-60933132 wangkai8@guosen.com.cn S0980521030001 证券分析师：陈凯畅 021-60375429 chengkaichang@guosen.com.cn S0980523090002 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 核心观点 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 • 近一周（2025.6.16-2025.6.20）海外市场分化明显，日韩估值扩张。美股横盘震荡，欧股普跌，亚太多数走强，韩国持续强劲，韩国 综合指数和KOSPI50涨幅均超过4%，港股结束上涨趋势，指数均回调超1%。估值方面，日韩温和扩张，其余市场整体小幅收缩。德国 DAX指数虽下跌0.7%，但PE扩张1.04x，为唯一PE变化幅度超过1x的指数。港股除恒生科技指数，其余估值分位数仍处高位区间。韩 国综合指数各项估值分位数快速拉升，滚动1年PE分位数从20%到86%，PS分位数位于极高水平。 • A股核心宽基全线下跌，中小盘成长估值大幅收缩。近一周(2025 ...

Group 1 - The domestic market sentiment remains low, with overall opportunities lacking, and the three major indices slightly declined [3] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets is a critical indicator of market sentiment, with a difficult maintenance of 1 trillion yuan, indicating a downward trend [3][4] - The Hong Kong market faces more significant challenges, with a noticeable contraction in trading volume and a larger overall decline compared to the mainland market [3][4] Group 2 - Recent hot sectors, such as the new consumption sector, have seen declines exceeding 6%, reflecting a cooling off after previous hype [4] - The enthusiasm for funds has not yet recovered, making it difficult for the Hong Kong market to rebound, especially with the upcoming Dragon Boat Festival holiday affecting liquidity [4]