Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The fundamentals of glass remain weak. With supply declining to a relatively low level and demand in the seasonal off - season, downstream buyers purchase as needed, leading to continuous accumulation of glass factory inventories. It is expected that glass will mainly fluctuate at a low level in the short term [2][5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Glass Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract decreased from 1052 yuan/ton to 1039 yuan/ton, a decline of 1.24%. The spot price of Shahe Safety large - board remained unchanged at 1056 yuan/ton. The main basis increased from 4 yuan/ton to 17 yuan/ton, a rise of 325.00% [6]. Glass Spot Market - The market price of 5mm white glass large - board in the spot benchmark area of Hebei Shahe was 1056 yuan/ton, remaining the same as the previous day [11]. Cost - side of Fundamentals - Glass production profit is at a low level, which has led to an increase in cold repairs in the industry, with the number of operating production lines and production volume dropping to historical lows. The national float glass production line has 222 operating lines, with an operating rate of 75.15%, and the daily melting volume is 15.68 tons, at the lowest level in the same period in history [21][23]. Demand - side of Fundamentals - In April 2025, the apparent consumption of float glass was 468.08 tons. The real - estate terminal demand is still weak, and the number of orders from glass deep - processing enterprises is at a historical low in the same period. The capital collection in the deep - processing industry is not optimistic, and traders and processors are cautious, mainly digesting the original glass inventory [27][4]. Inventory - side of Fundamentals - The inventory of national float glass enterprises is 69.085 million weight boxes, a decrease of 0.19% from the previous week, and the inventory is running above the five - year average [42]. Supply - Demand Balance Sheet - From 2017 to 2024E, the production and consumption of float glass have shown different trends. For example, in 2021, production increased by 9.88% and consumption increased by 6.87%, while in 2018, production decreased by 3.50% and consumption decreased by 2.64% [43]. Influencing Factors - **Positive factors**: The negative feedback of production profit is obvious, and glass production has continuously declined to a historical low. The photovoltaic glass industry is expected to implement a production - reduction plan, which boosts the market sentiment [3]. - **Negative factors**: The real - estate terminal demand is weak, and the number of orders from glass deep - processing enterprises is at a historical low in the same period. The capital collection in the deep - processing industry is not optimistic, and traders and processors are cautious, mainly digesting the original glass inventory [4].

Group 1 - The main contract for glass futures experienced a rapid increase, reaching a peak of 996.00 yuan, with a current price of 988.00 yuan, reflecting a rise of 2.92% [1] - New Century Futures indicates that the glass market lacks upward momentum due to weak fundamentals, emphasizing the need to monitor the recovery of downstream demand [2] - New Lake Futures views the glass market as a short-selling opportunity, noting that the current inventory levels remain high and demand is weak, particularly as the market transitions from peak to off-peak season [3] Group 2 - The float glass industry operates at a capacity utilization rate of 78.62%, with a daily production of 15.75 million tons, marking a five-week high [2] - National float glass inventory decreased by 0.46% to 67.769 million heavy boxes, marking the first decline from a two-month high [2] - The real estate sector is still in an adjustment phase, with housing completion area down by 28.2%, leading to a challenging environment for glass demand recovery [2]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The glass market has a weak fundamental situation. In the short term, it is expected to mainly show a weak and volatile trend. Although there are some positive factors such as a significant negative feedback on production profit leading to a continuous decline in glass production to a historical low and progress in Sino - US tariff negotiations, the negative factors are more prominent, including weak real - estate terminal demand and cautious attitudes of traders and processors. Overall, the glass is expected to be in a low - level, volatile, and slightly strong operation, but there are risks such as accelerated industry复产 and less - than - expected macro and real - estate policies [2][3][4][5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Glass Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract decreased from 1036 yuan/ton to 1005 yuan/ton, a decline of 2.99%. The spot price of Shahe Safety large - board glass decreased from 1092 yuan/ton to 1076 yuan/ton, a decline of 1.47%. The main basis increased from 56 yuan/ton to 71 yuan/ton, an increase of 26.79% [6]. 3.2 Glass Spot Market The market price of 5mm white glass large - board in Hebei Shahe, the spot benchmark, is 1076 yuan/ton, a decrease of 16 yuan/ton from the previous day [12]. 3.3 Cost - side of Fundamentals - Coal production lines have seen a recovery in profitability, the losses of natural gas production lines have narrowed, and the profits of petroleum coke production lines have turned negative [17]. 3.4 Production - side of Fundamentals - The number of operating national float glass production lines is 222, with an operating rate of 75%, and the number of operating production lines is at a historical low for the same period. The daily melting capacity of national float glass is 156,700 tons, and the production capacity is at the lowest level in the same period in history [21][23]. 3.5 Demand - side of Fundamentals - In February 2025, the apparent consumption of float glass was 431,430 tons. The real - estate terminal demand is still weak, and the number of orders from glass deep - processing enterprises is at a historical low for the same period. The capital collection situation in the deep - processing industry is not optimistic, and traders and processors are cautious, mainly focusing on digesting the inventory of raw glass [27][4]. 3.6 Inventory - side of Fundamentals The inventory of national float glass enterprises is 68.082 million weight boxes, an increase of 0.77% from the previous week, and the inventory is running above the five - year average [45]. 3.7 Supply - Demand Balance Sheet The report provides the annual supply - demand balance sheet of float glass from 2017 to 2024E, including data on production, exports, imports, apparent supply, consumption, differences, production growth rates, consumption growth rates, and net import ratios. For example, in 2024E, the production is 55.1 million tons, the apparent supply is 54.61 million tons, and the consumption is 53.1 million tons [46]. 3.8 Influencing Factors - **Positive Factors**: Significant negative feedback on production profit has led to a continuous decline in glass production to a historical low, and there has been progress in Sino - US tariff negotiations [3]. - **Negative Factors**: The real - estate terminal demand is still weak, and the number of orders from glass deep - processing enterprises is at a historical low for the same period. The capital collection situation in the deep - processing industry is not optimistic, and traders and processors are cautious, mainly focusing on digesting the inventory of raw glass [4]. 3.9 Main Logic and Risk Points - **Main Logic**: The glass supply has declined to a relatively low level in the same period. Under the influence of the seasonal peak - season expectation, the spot price has increased, and the downstream has carried out phased restocking, resulting in a reduction in glass factory inventory. It is expected that the glass will mainly show a low - level, volatile, and slightly strong operation [5]. - **Risk Points**: Accelerated industry复产 and less - than - expected macro and real - estate policies [5].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report The glass market has a weak fundamental situation. In the short term, it is expected to mainly fluctuate weakly. The supply of glass has declined to a relatively low level in the same period. Affected by the expectation of the seasonal peak season, the spot price has risen, and the downstream has replenished stock periodically, leading to the reduction of glass factory inventory. It is expected that the glass will mainly fluctuate weakly at a low level [2][5]. Summary According to the Directory Daily View - The glass production profit is at a low level, with an increase in cold repairs in the industry. The operating rate and output have dropped to historical lows in the same period. The deep - processing orders are less than in previous years, and the terminal demand is weak. The factory inventory has started to accumulate again, which is bearish [2]. - The basis is 86 yuan, with the futures at a discount to the spot, which is bullish [2]. - The inventory of national float glass enterprises is 67.56 million weight boxes, an increase of 3.96% from the previous week, and the inventory is above the five - year average, which is bearish [2]. - The price is running below the 20 - day line, and the 20 - day line is downward, which is bearish [2]. - The main position is net short, and the short position is increasing, which is bearish [2]. - The glass fundamentals are weak, and it is expected to mainly fluctuate weakly in the short term [2]. Impact Factor Summary - Bullish factor: The negative feedback of production profit is obvious, and the glass output has continuously declined to a historical low [4]. - Bearish factors: The real - estate terminal demand is still weak, and the number of orders from glass deep - processing enterprises is at a historical low in the same period. The capital collection in the deep - processing industry is not optimistic, and traders and processors are cautious, mainly digesting the original sheet inventory [4]. Main Logic and Risk Points - Main logic: The glass supply has declined to a relatively low level in the same period. Affected by the expectation of the seasonal peak season, the spot price has risen, and the downstream has replenished stock periodically, resulting in the reduction of glass factory inventory. It is expected that the glass will mainly fluctuate weakly at a low level [5]. Glass Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract is 1034 yuan/ton, a decrease of 2.18% from the previous value. The spot price of Shahe Safety large - plate glass is 1120 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.71% from the previous value. The main basis is 86 yuan, an increase of 21.13% from the previous value [6]. Glass Spot Market - The market price of 5mm white glass large - plate in Hebei Shahe, the spot benchmark, is 1120 yuan/ton, a decrease of 8 yuan/ton from the previous day [11]. Fundamental - Cost Side - The profitability of the coal production line has recovered, the loss of the natural gas production line has narrowed, and the profit of the petroleum coke production line has turned negative [15]. Fundamental - Production Line and Output - The number of operating national float glass production lines is 222, with an operating rate of 75.24%. The number of operating glass production lines is at a historical low in the same period. The daily melting volume of national float glass is 155,800 tons, and the production capacity is at the lowest level in the same period in history [19][21]. Fundamental - Demand - In February 2025, the apparent consumption of float glass was 4.3143 million tons [25]. Fundamental - Inventory - The inventory of national float glass enterprises is 67.56 million weight boxes, an increase of 3.96% from the previous week, and the inventory is above the five - year average [43]. Fundamental - Supply - Demand Balance Sheet - The float glass annual supply - demand balance sheet shows the production, consumption, and other data from 2017 to 2024E, including changes in production and consumption growth rates and net import ratios [44].