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美国衰落
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美国衰落,不赖别人!早在50多年前,他们就给自己埋了一个大雷
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-27 06:58
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the decline of the United States is evident, marked by the downgrade of U.S. debt ratings by major agencies, indicating a significant shift in its global standing [1][3] - The U.S. national debt has reached $36 trillion, with annual interest payments exceeding $1 trillion, projected to consume 6.7% of GDP by mid-century, highlighting an unsustainable debt situation [3][5] - The industrial hollowing out of the U.S. is irreversible, with its industrial output dropping from 40% of global production to 15%, significantly lagging behind China [3][5] Group 2 - The decline of the U.S. is both absolute and relative, with China's rapid industrialization and economic growth making the U.S. appear diminished in comparison [5][6] - The root causes of the U.S. decline are internal, particularly the unsustainable debt crisis and industrial hollowing, rather than external factors like China's rise [5][6] - The greed of capital is identified as a fundamental reason for the U.S. decline, stemming from the abandonment of the gold standard and the shift towards debt expansion [6][8] Group 3 - The U.S. faces inevitable trade deficits due to the need to maintain dollar hegemony, leading to increased borrowing and a worsening debt crisis [8] - The reliance on cheap currency for resource acquisition has contributed to the industrial hollowing out, making U.S. production less competitive [8] - The decline of the U.S. is deemed inevitable, with China's rise seen as a historical consequence rather than a primary cause [8]
美国这几年为什么衰落得如此之快?巴菲特账上躺着3000多亿美金
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-26 15:56
Group 1 - The core issue is that significant capital, exemplified by Buffett's over $300 billion cash reserve, is unable to find suitable investment opportunities in the real economy, reflecting a broader dilemma faced by large capital in the U.S. [1][3] - Major U.S. companies are focusing on transformation and innovation, yet the actual investment in manufacturing and infrastructure remains minimal, leading to a disconnect between available capital and productive investment [3][5] - The U.S. leadership's call to rebuild manufacturing is contradicted by the inability to mobilize domestic capital effectively, resulting in funds flowing into stocks and bonds rather than creating jobs or supporting the middle class [5][9] Group 2 - Historical context shows that U.S. military interventions, such as the Iraq War, were partly motivated by economic interests, particularly in maintaining the dominance of the U.S. dollar against emerging currencies like the euro [7][9] - The financial crisis of 2008 significantly weakened the U.S. economy, while capital flowed to China, which became a manufacturing hub, highlighting a shift in global economic power [7][9] - The current global landscape indicates a rebalancing of power, with the U.S. struggling to maintain its previous level of influence, while China continues to strengthen its position [9][11] Group 3 - The reluctance of capital giants like Buffett to invest indicates systemic issues within the U.S. economy, raising questions about the willingness to address internal structural interests [11] - The ongoing competition between the U.S. and China is evolving, with the U.S. facing challenges in exerting its influence globally due to its internal issues [9][11] - The narrative emphasizes the importance of seizing opportunities in a rapidly changing world, suggesting that adaptability and proactive measures are essential for success [11]
美国正在衰落么?
伍治坚证据主义· 2025-02-25 12:17
特朗普对于俄罗斯和普京的态度,一直以来都是比较温和友好的。在他的第一任总统期间,经常被人诟病对俄罗斯的态度过于友善,甚至被怀疑有"通俄"的 嫌疑,并引发了前FBI局长罗伯特·穆勒对于特朗普的特别调查。在经过长达2年时间的调查后,穆勒得出结论:没有证据显示特朗普在2016年总统选 战时和俄罗斯勾结,但是特朗普可能犯下妨碍司法公正之罪。然后在2019年,穆勒宣布结束调查并退休,此案不了了之。 穆勒对于特朗普的调查,背后很大一部分主因是美国两党之间的党争,但说特朗普和普京之间完全没有干系,恐怕也说不过去,毕竟无风不起浪。在公开场 合的演讲和采访中,特朗普曾多次赞美普京,并用普京的例子来贬低拜登。在过去几天,特朗普和普京的友谊再一次升华:特朗普公开指责乌克兰总统泽连 斯基为"独裁者",批评泽连斯基故意拖延乌克兰的总统选举,同时派特别代表去乌克兰和泽连斯基见面,要求泽连斯基签字代表乌克兰出售该国未来的矿产 收入,以向美国偿还高达5000亿美元的战争援助款。同时,美国政府直接和俄罗斯在沙特就停战条件开始谈判,将乌克兰和欧盟排除在外。 特朗普做出的这些决定,和前任拜登相比可谓180度大转弯,美国在俄乌冲突中的立场,一下子从 ...