最近，段永平言论火了，先是捐款1500万股茅台股票，后又 捐赠2.2亿元给母校北师大。而更让资本市场关心的是他的 个人经历与投资理念。 关于茅台他提到，持仓茅台近4年已腰斩，但相信茅台一定会回来。可能5年，十年，但如果这个钱不放茅台，必须有地方去。 2021年茅台股价达2600-2700元时，曾因"觉得贵"想减持，但最终因"找不到更好的替代标的"选择持有。 段永平提出"茅台和其他白酒是两个东西"的观点，看重其独特口味与文化壁垒。"喜欢喝茅台的人认这个口味，茅台的稳定性很强。 他认为，茅台还是会有人喝。很多人说年轻人不喝茅台了，可那些不年轻的人还能活很久。其次，年轻人一直不喝茅台，以后谁知道他们会不会喝？喝酒 有害健康，这是真的，但它有情绪价值，所以还是会有人喝。 段永平认为，投资茅台肯定比放银行强。"一个股票若扛不住50%跌幅就不该买，茅台从2600掉到1200时，我反而补了仓，现在股息率能到3%-4%，比放 银行划算。" 在被问及"如果出现可以无缝切换、且未来 自由现金流折现 优于茅台的标的，是否会考虑换仓"时，他毫不犹豫地回答："当然会。" 他举例说明，假如在五年前就看懂了英伟达的发展潜力，而手中只有茅台 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is expected to perform well in 2025, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index leading global stock markets, driven by valuation attractiveness and structural changes in the economy [1] Investment Strategy - The investment strategy of the fund manager focuses on growth style, with a balanced approach that does not exceed 25% in any single industry, emphasizing valuation and a bottom-up investment approach [2][3] - The manager's investment philosophy includes three main characteristics: a growth-oriented style, balanced investment across sectors, and a focus on valuation [2][3] Stock Selection Framework - The stock selection framework is based on three dimensions: competitive barriers, market conditions, and valuation [3][4] - Competitive barriers are prioritized, focusing on business models and corporate culture, with an emphasis on differentiation and scale effects [3] - Market conditions are particularly important for TMT companies, while valuation is assessed using a five-year implied return to evaluate cost-effectiveness [4] Market Outlook - The outlook for the A-share market remains positive, with a focus on technology sectors such as 3D stacking, semiconductor manufacturing, and cloud computing [4] - The Hong Kong market is expected to benefit from economic stabilization and a potential influx of foreign capital due to the U.S. interest rate cuts [5][6] Investment Focus - The investment focus is on identifying companies with clear alpha characteristics rather than merely chasing beta trends, particularly in the context of small-cap stocks in the Hong Kong market [6] - The manager emphasizes the importance of free cash flow and believes that the valuation of leading companies in the Hong Kong market presents strong cost-effectiveness [5][6] Innovation Drug Sector - The innovation drug sector has entered a long-term reversal phase, with significant growth potential as leading companies achieve breakeven and improve self-sustainability [6][7] - The investment strategy in the innovation drug sector is shifting towards leading companies, with a focus on business development and commercialization stages [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article discusses the significance and characteristics of the Free Cash Flow Index, its historical performance, and its current valuation compared to other indices like dividends and value indices [1][27][35] - The article outlines four common types of indices in the A-share market: broad-based indices, strategy indices, industry indices, and thematic indices [5][6][7][8][9] - It highlights six major strategy indices, including Free Cash Flow, which is closely related to the investment philosophies of Warren Buffett and Benjamin Graham [10][11][12][13][14] Group 2 - The Free Cash Flow Index is defined as the cash available to a company after it has paid for its operating expenses and capital expenditures, emphasizing its importance in assessing a company's financial health [18][20] - The Free Cash Flow Rate is introduced as a key metric, calculated as Free Cash Flow divided by Enterprise Value, which helps in selecting stocks with the highest Free Cash Flow Rate [21][22][23] - The article differentiates the Free Cash Flow Index from dividend and value indices, noting that it includes companies with strong cash flows that may not pay high dividends, thus providing a broader investment opportunity [24][25][26] Group 3 - The article lists four significant Free Cash Flow indices currently in the market, including the FTSE China A-Share Free Cash Flow Focus Index and the CSI 800 Free Cash Flow Index [27][28] - It provides detailed information about the CSI All Index Free Cash Flow Index, including its launch date, weighted methodology, and selection rules, which exclude financial and real estate stocks [29][30] - The industry distribution and top holdings of the CSI All Index Free Cash Flow Index are presented, showing a focus on sectors like industrials and materials, contrasting with the higher financial sector representation in dividend indices [32][34] Group 4 - Historical performance data indicates that the CSI All Index Free Cash Flow Index achieved an annualized return of 14.12% from December 31, 2013, to August 6, 2025, significantly outperforming the broader index [35][51] - The article discusses the valuation metrics of the Free Cash Flow Index, noting that it is essential to consider multiple factors when evaluating its performance [39][40] - The article concludes with insights on the potential of the Free Cash Flow Index as a valuable investment strategy, particularly in conjunction with dividend and value indices that have a higher financial sector exposure [54][55]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding investment from a long-term perspective, focusing on the intrinsic value of companies rather than short-term stock price fluctuations [2][3]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - Investment should be viewed as owning a business, where the focus is on the cash flow generated over time rather than daily price changes [2]. - The essence of successful investing lies in optimizing the allocation of retained earnings, akin to nurturing a hen that lays eggs, where returns come from dividends and reinvestment [2]. - Evaluating a company's value involves discounting all future free cash flows, leading to a distinction between overvalued and undervalued stocks based on their lifecycle value [2]. Group 2: Market Behavior and Psychology - Investors face both explicit financial costs and implicit psychological costs, with anxiety and uncertainty being significant factors in decision-making [3]. - The article suggests that a clear investment strategy can simplify complex decisions, reducing the emotional burden associated with market fluctuations [3]. - The mindset of focusing on long-term growth rather than short-term gains can lead to better investment outcomes, as illustrated by the example of holding onto a stock until its potential is fully realized [3]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - The "Snowball Three-Point Method" is introduced as a strategy for long-term investment and asset allocation, emphasizing diversification across assets, markets, and timing to enhance returns and mitigate risks [4].

文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 有朋友问，自由现金流指数是什么，有啥特征？和红利、价值指数有哪些区别呢？ 富时、国证、中证自由现金流指数有啥区别？当前估值如何呢？ 针对大家的这些疑问，螺丝钉也通过直播课，进行了讲解。 长按识别下面二维码，添加 @课程小助手 微信，回复「 0311 」即可观看直播回放。 （提示：回复后可以耐心等待几秒哦～） 自由现金流指数：起源于巴菲特等投资大师 A股常见的指数，主要分为四类。 第一类是宽基指数。 通常是按照上市公司的市值规模来选股的，会包含各个行业的股票，覆盖范围很"宽"。 第二类是策略指数。 通常是在宽基指数的基础上，用了某一种投资策略，覆盖的行业也会比较广泛。 策略指数丰富了我们投资的选项，满足了很多投资者个性化的需求。 第三类是行业指数。 自由现金流指数，最终选择自由现金流率最高的一批股票。 自由现金流率这个指标，带有一些价值风格的特点。 和红利、价值指数的区别 也就是仅覆盖了某个行业的股票，例如消费、医药、金融等。最常见的行业指数，是11个一级行业。 每个一级行业，其实都是社会不可或缺的一部分，长期也是跟着社会发展的。 第四类是主题指数。 所包含的股票，跟某个 ...

有朋友问， 自由现金流指数是什么，有啥特征？和红利、价值指数有哪些区别呢？ 富时、国证、中证自由现金流指数有啥区别？当前估值如何呢？ 在今晚的直播课里，螺丝钉详细介绍了这些问题。 文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 一、【直播回放】 最近新出来了自由现金流指数。 长按识别下面二维码，添加 @课程小助手 微信，回复「 0311 」即可观看直播回放。 （提示：回复后可以耐心等待几秒哦～） 二、【部分直播课内容如下】 1. A股常见的四类指数 A股常见的指数，主要分为四类。 第一类是宽基指数。 通常是按照上市公司的市值规模来选股的，会包含各个行业的股票，覆盖范围很"宽"。 第二类是策略指数。 通常是在宽基指数的基础上，用了某一种投资策略，覆盖的行业也会比较广泛。 策略指数丰富了我们投资的选项，满足了很多投资者个性化的需求。 第三类是行业指数。 也就是仅覆盖了某个行业的股票，例如消费、医药、金融等。最常见的行业指数，是11个一级行业。 每个一级行业，其实都是社会不可或缺的一部分，长期也是跟着社会发展的。 第四类是主题指数。 所包含的股票，跟某个主题密切相关，例如科技、新能源、人工智能等。 主题指数，通常会横跨多个 ...