Valuation Summary - The overall PE of the A-share market is 20.5 times, positioned at the historical 86th percentile [2][3] - The PE of the Shanghai 50 Index is 11.5 times, at the historical 60th percentile [2][3] - The PE of the ChiNext Index is 36.2 times, at the historical 23rd percentile [2][3] - The PE of the Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index is 147.1 times, at the historical 100th percentile [2][3] Industry Valuation Comparison - Industries with PE valuations above the historical 85th percentile include Real Estate, Steel, Building Materials, Power Equipment (Photovoltaic Equipment), National Defense and Military Industry, and Light Industry Manufacturing [2][3] - The Electronic industry has a PB valuation above the historical 85th percentile [2][3] - The Shipping and Port industry has both PE and PB valuations below the historical 15th percentile [2][3] Industry Midstream Prosperity Tracking New Energy - In the photovoltaic sector, the upstream polysilicon futures price increased by 4.1%, while downstream battery and silicon photovoltaic module prices showed weak price increases [2][3] - In the battery sector, lithium prices saw significant increases, with lithium carbonate rising by 15.9% and lithium hydroxide by 13.1% [2][3] Financial Sector - The non-performing loan ratio of commercial banks was 1.49% in Q2 2025, down by 2.2 basis points from Q1 [2][3] - The net interest margin was 1.42%, down by 1.3 basis points from Q1 [2][3] Real Estate Chain - The national commodity housing sales area decreased by 4.0% year-on-year from January to July 2025, indicating a gradual end to the previous backlog of demand [2][3] - Real estate development investment completed from January to July 2025 decreased by 12.0% year-on-year [2][3] Consumer Sector - The average price of live pigs increased by 0.4%, while the wholesale price of pork decreased by 1.8% [2][3] - Retail sales from January to July 2025 grew by 4.8% year-on-year, with July's growth rate of 3.7% falling short of expectations [2][3] Midstream Manufacturing - Manufacturing investment and narrow infrastructure investment grew by 6.2% and 3.2% year-on-year, respectively, from January to July 2025 [2][3] - The output of industrial robots increased by 32.9% year-on-year from January to July 2025 [2][3] Technology TMT - The domestic integrated circuit output grew by 10.4% year-on-year from January to July 2025 [2][3] Cyclical Industries - The price of Brent crude oil futures decreased by 0.3%, closing at $66.13 per barrel [2][3] - The price of thermal coal increased by 2.3%, closing at 698 yuan per ton [2][3]

Valuation Summary - The overall PE of the A-share market is 19.8 times, at the historical 79th percentile [2][5] - The PE of the Shanghai 50 Index is 11.4 times, at the historical 59th percentile [2][5] - The PE of the ChiNext Index is 33.9 times, at the historical 18th percentile [2][5] - The PE of the Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index is 139.8 times, at the historical 99th percentile [2][5] Industry Valuation Comparison - Industries with PE valuations above the historical 85th percentile include Real Estate, Steel, Power Equipment (Photovoltaic Equipment), National Defense, and Aviation [2][6] - The Passenger Vehicle industry has a PB valuation above the historical 85th percentile [2][6] - The Shipping and Port industry has both PE and PB valuations below the historical 15th percentile [2][6] Industry Midstream Prosperity Tracking New Energy - The price of polysilicon futures has risen by 8.2% to above 45,000 yuan, indicating a recovery in the market [2] - Battery cell prices increased by 7.7%, while prices for silicon wafers remained stable [2] Real Estate Chain - The price of rebar increased by 1.0%, while iron ore prices rose by 3.2% [2] - The national sales area of commercial housing decreased by 3.5% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [3] Consumption - The average price of live pigs decreased by 3.6%, while the wholesale price of pork increased by 0.3% [3] - Retail sales grew by 5.0% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with June's growth down to 4.8% [3] Midstream Manufacturing - Manufacturing investment grew by 7.5% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, while narrow infrastructure investment grew by 4.6% [3] - The production of industrial robots increased by 35.6% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [3] Technology TMT - The production of integrated circuits increased by 8.7% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [3] Cyclicals - The price of Brent crude oil futures fell by 2.0% to $69.23 per barrel [3] - The Baltic Dry Index rose by 23.4%, reaching its highest level since September 2024 [3]

Valuation Summary - The overall PE of the CSI A-shares is 19.7 times, positioned at the historical 78th percentile [2][5] - The PE of the Shanghai 50 Index is 11.4 times, at the historical 59th percentile [2][5] - The PE of the CSI 500 Index is 29.5 times, at the historical 51st percentile [2][5] - The PE of the ChiNext Index is 33.1 times, at the historical 16th percentile [2][5] - The PE of the CSI 1000 Index is 39.7 times, at the historical 55th percentile [2][5] - The PE of the National CSI 2000 Index is 52.1 times, at the historical 69th percentile [2][5] - The PE of the Sci-Tech 50 Index is 137.8 times, at the historical 98th percentile [2][5] - The PE of the North Exchange 50 Index is 67.5 times, at the historical 94th percentile [2][5] - The ChiNext Index PE relative to the CSI 300 is 2.5 times, at the historical 7th percentile [2][5] Industry Valuation Comparison - Industries with PE valuations above the historical 85th percentile include Real Estate, Steel, Electric Equipment (Photovoltaic Equipment), National Defense and Military Industry, Aviation and Airports, Light Industry Manufacturing, Chemical Pharmaceuticals, and Computer (IT Services, Software Development) [2][6] - The Passenger Vehicle industry has a PB valuation above the historical 85th percentile [2][6] - No industries have both PE and PB valuations below the historical 15th percentile [2][6] Industry Midstream Prosperity Tracking New Energy - In the photovoltaic sector, upstream prices continue to rebound due to expectations of "anti-involution" policies, with polysilicon futures prices rising by 15.5% and spot prices by 17.1% [2][3] - In the battery sector, cobalt and nickel prices decreased by 1.7% and 1.0% respectively, while lithium carbonate prices increased by 3.1% [2][3] - In June 2025, the retail sales of narrow passenger vehicles in China increased by 18.1% year-on-year, with new energy vehicles seeing a 29.7% increase [2][3] Real Estate Chain - The spot price of rebar increased by 1.7%, while iron ore prices rose by 2.8% [2][3] - The national cement price index decreased by 1.6% due to slow inventory digestion [2][3] - Glass prices saw a slight increase, with spot prices up by 0.5% [2][3] Consumption - The average price of live pigs decreased by 3.5%, while wholesale pork prices increased by 0.1% [2][3] - The wholesale price index for liquor increased slightly by 0.04% [2][3] - Corn prices fell by 0.7%, while wheat prices decreased by 0.2% [2][3] Technology TMT - China's semiconductor sales increased by 13.0% year-on-year in May 2025, although the growth rate slowed compared to April [2][3] Cyclicals - Brent crude oil futures prices rose by 3.1% to $70.63 per barrel, driven by summer travel and power generation demand [2][3] - The price of thermal coal increased by 1.4% due to rising consumption during the summer peak [2][3]

Valuation Summary - The overall PE of the A-share market is 19.4 times, positioned at the historical 77th percentile [2][5] - The PE of the Shanghai 50 Index is 11.3 times, at the historical 58th percentile [2][5] - The PE of the CSI 500 Index is 28.9 times, at the historical 48th percentile [2][5] - The PE of the ChiNext Index is 32.4 times, at the historical 14th percentile [2][5] - The PE of the CSI 1000 Index is 38.7 times, at the historical 50th percentile [2][5] - The PE of the National CSI 2000 Index is 50.9 times, at the historical 67th percentile [2][5] - The PE of the Sci-Tech 50 Index is 136.3 times, at the historical 97th percentile [2][5] - The PE of the North Exchange 50 Index is 67.2 times, at the historical 94th percentile [2][5] - The ChiNext Index's PE relative to the CSI 300 is 2.4 times, at the historical 6th percentile [2][5] Industry Valuation Comparison - Industries with PE valuations above the historical 85th percentile include Real Estate, Steel, Electric Equipment (Photovoltaic Equipment), National Defense and Military Industry, Aviation and Airports, Chemical Pharmaceuticals, and Computer (IT Services, Software Development) [2][6] - No industries have PB valuations above the historical 85th percentile [2][6] - Industries with both PE and PB below the historical 15th percentile include Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, Fishery, and Medical Services [2][6] Industry Midstream Prosperity Tracking New Energy - In the photovoltaic sector, spot prices continue to decline while multi-crystalline silicon futures prices rise by 5.4% due to "anti-involution" policy expectations [2] - The price of silicon wafers decreased by 1.5%, while battery cell prices fell by 3.7% [2] - Lithium prices show mixed trends, with lithium carbonate rising by 2.2% and lithium hexafluorophosphate falling by 0.3% [2] Real Estate Chain - In the steel sector, rebar prices increased by 1.3%, and iron ore prices rose by 2.3% [3] - The cement price index decreased by 0.8% due to seasonal demand weakness [3] - Glass prices saw a short-term emotional rebound, with a 1.5% increase in spot prices [3] Consumption - The average price of live pigs increased by 4.3%, driven by reduced output plans from leading enterprises [3] - The wholesale price index for liquor saw a slight increase of 0.01% [3] - Corn prices rose by 0.6%, while soybean prices remained stable [3] Technology TMT - Domestic smartphone shipments saw a year-on-year decline of 2.8% from January to May 2025, with leading brands focusing on the high-end market [3] Cyclical Industries - The Brent crude oil futures price increased by 1.8%, closing at $68.51 per barrel [3] - The coal price at Qinhuangdao Port rose by 0.5% due to seasonal demand improvements [3] - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) fell by 5.6%, indicating a decrease in shipping rates [3]

Valuation Summary - The overall PE of the A-share market is 19.2 times, positioned at the historical 74th percentile [2][5] - The PE of the Shanghai 50 Index is 11.2 times, at the historical 57th percentile [2][5] - The PE of the ChiNext Index is 31.9 times, at the historical 13th percentile, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to historical levels [2][5] - The PE of the Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index is 136.8 times, at the historical 98th percentile, suggesting a high valuation [2][5] Industry Valuation Comparison - Industries with PE valuations above the historical 85th percentile include Real Estate, Steel, Electric Equipment (Photovoltaic Equipment), National Defense, Aviation, Chemical Pharmaceuticals, and IT Services [2][6] - No industries have PB valuations above the historical 85th percentile [2][6] - Industries with both PE and PB valuations below the historical 15th percentile include Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, Fishery, and Medical Services [2][6] Industry Midstream Prosperity Tracking New Energy - In the photovoltaic sector, the spot price of the photovoltaic industry chain continues to decline, while the futures price of polysilicon has increased by 5.8% [2] - The price of silicon wafers has decreased by 1.4%, and the price of battery cells has remained stable [2] - The cumulative year-on-year growth rate of newly installed wind power from January to May 2025 has increased by 134.2% [2] Financial Sector - Insurance companies' premium income from January to May 2025 has increased by 3.8% year-on-year, with a growth rate improvement of 1.5 percentage points compared to the first three months [3] Real Estate Chain - The price of rebar has remained stable, while the price of cement has decreased by 1.6% due to weak demand from real estate and traditional infrastructure projects [3] Consumer Sector - The average price of live pigs has increased by 3.5%, while the wholesale price of pork has decreased by 0.5% [3] - The wholesale price index of liquor has decreased by 0.11% [3] Midstream Manufacturing - The cumulative year-on-year growth rate of foreign contracted engineering business from January to May 2025 has increased by 5.4% [3] Cyclical Industries - The price of Brent crude oil has decreased by 12.9%, closing at $67.31 per barrel [3] - The price of thermal coal has increased by 1.8%, closing at 620 yuan per ton [3]

Valuation Summary - The overall PE of the CSI A-shares is 18.7 times, positioned at the historical 70th percentile [3][6] - The PE of the Shanghai 50 Index is 11.1 times, at the historical 56th percentile [3][6] - The PE of the CSI 500 Index is 27.7 times, at the historical 40th percentile [3][6] - The PE of the ChiNext Index is 30.4 times, at the historical 10th percentile [3][6] - The PE of the CSI 1000 Index is 36.9 times, at the historical 40th percentile [3][6] - The PE of the National 2000 Index is 48.3 times, at the historical 65th percentile [3][6] - The PE of the Sci-Tech 50 Index is 131.8 times, at the historical 97th percentile [3][6] - The PE of the North Exchange 50 Index is 63.9 times, at the historical 92nd percentile [3][6] - The ChiNext Index's PE relative to the CSI 300 is 2.4 times, at the historical 4th percentile [3][6] Industry Valuation Comparison - Industries with PE valuations above the historical 85th percentile include Real Estate, Steel, Electric Equipment (Photovoltaic Equipment), National Defense, Aviation, Chemical Pharmaceuticals, and IT Services [3][4] - No industries have PB valuations above the historical 85th percentile [3][4] - Industries with both PE and PB below the historical 15th percentile include Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Medical Services [3][4] Industry Midstream Prosperity Tracking New Energy - In the photovoltaic sector, upstream polysilicon futures prices fell by 12.2%, and spot prices decreased by 0.7% [3][4] - The price of silicon wafers dropped by 2.8%, while battery prices fell by 6.9% [3][4] - Lithium prices for lithium hexafluorophosphate and lithium carbonate decreased by 1.0% and 1.1%, respectively [3][4] Real Estate Chain - The price of rebar increased by 0.6%, while iron ore prices fell by 1.7% [3][4] - National commercial housing sales area decreased by 2.9% year-on-year from January to May 2025 [3][4] - Real estate development investment completed from January to May 2025 fell by 10.7% year-on-year [3][4] Consumption - The average price of live pigs increased by 1.4%, while pork wholesale prices rose by 0.3% [3][4] - The retail sales growth rate from January to May 2025 was 5.0%, with a significant rebound in May [3][4] Midstream Manufacturing - Manufacturing investment and narrow infrastructure investment grew by 8.5% and 5.6% year-on-year, respectively [3][4] - The output of industrial robots increased by 32.0% year-on-year from January to May 2025 [3][4] Technology TMT - The output of integrated circuits grew by 6.8% year-on-year from January to May 2025 [3][4] - The export value of optical communication modules decreased by 6.9% year-on-year [3][4] Cyclicals - Brent crude oil futures prices rose by 2.9% to $77.32 per barrel [3][4] - The Baltic Dry Index fell by 14.2% [3][4]

Valuation Summary - The overall PE of the A-share market is 18.7 times, positioned at the historical 71st percentile [2][5] - The PE of the Shanghai 50 Index is 10.9 times, at the historical 52nd percentile [2][5] - The PE of the ChiNext Index is 31.0 times, at the historical 11th percentile, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to historical levels [2][5] - The PE of the Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index is 137.9 times, at the historical 98th percentile, suggesting a high valuation [2][5] Industry Valuation Comparison - Industries with PE valuations above the historical 85th percentile include Real Estate, Steel, Power Equipment (Photovoltaic Equipment), National Defense, and Pharmaceuticals [2][6] - No industries have PB valuations above the historical 85th percentile [2][6] - Industries with both PE and PB valuations below the historical 15th percentile include Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Medical Services [2][6] Industry Midstream Economic Tracking New Energy - The price of polysilicon futures decreased by 2.4%, while spot prices remained stable [2][3] - The retail sales of new energy vehicles in May 2025 increased by 28.2% year-on-year, although the growth rate has slowed compared to previous months [2][3] Real Estate Chain - The price of rebar fell by 0.8%, and iron ore prices decreased by 1.9% [2][3] - The national cement price index rose by 0.1%, indicating some stability in the cement market [2][3] Consumption - The average price of live pigs decreased by 0.2%, and the wholesale price of pork fell by 1.0% [2][3] - The wholesale price index for liquor dropped by 0.17% in early June 2025 [2][3] Midstream Manufacturing - Excavator sales in May 2025 increased by 2.1% year-on-year, but the growth rate has slowed significantly [2][3] Cyclical Industries - Brent crude oil futures closed at $75.18 per barrel, up 12.8%, driven by geopolitical tensions [2][3] - The Baltic Dry Index rose by 20.5%, indicating an increase in shipping rates [2][3]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an overall investment rating for the industry but highlights specific sectors with high PE ratios above the historical 85th percentile, indicating potential investment opportunities in those areas [2][3]. Core Insights - The overall PE for the CSI A-share index is 18.6 times, positioned at the historical 70th percentile, suggesting a relatively high valuation compared to historical averages [2][3]. - The report identifies several industries with PE valuations above the historical 85th percentile, including Real Estate, Steel, Electric Equipment (Photovoltaic), Defense, and Pharmaceuticals, indicating strong investment potential [2][3]. - The report notes that the photovoltaic industry is experiencing stable prices, with upstream polysilicon prices down by 1.1% and downstream prices remaining consistent, reflecting a cautious market outlook [2][3]. Industry Valuation Comparison - The report provides a detailed comparison of various indices and sectors, highlighting the following: - The CSI 500 index has a PE of 29.1 times, at the historical 49th percentile [2][3]. - The ChiNext index has a PE of 30.9 times, at the historical 11th percentile, indicating it is undervalued compared to its historical range [2][3]. - The report emphasizes that the real estate sector is currently at a high valuation, with a PE ratio above the historical 85th percentile [2][3]. Sector-Specific Insights - **New Energy**: The photovoltaic supply chain is stable, with limited transaction volumes and a cautious outlook for production in June due to weak demand [2][3]. - **Real Estate Chain**: Steel prices have increased slightly, while cement prices have rebounded, indicating some recovery in construction materials [2][3]. - **Consumer Sector**: Pork prices have decreased by 2.4%, reflecting supply pressures, while white liquor prices have also seen a slight decline [2][3]. - **Technology (TMT)**: Semiconductor sales in China grew by 14.4% year-on-year, indicating strong demand in the sector despite challenges in consumer electronics [2][3]. - **Cyclical Industries**: The report notes fluctuations in commodity prices, with gold reserves increasing and oil prices rising due to geopolitical tensions [2][3].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The overall PE of A-shares is 19.0 times, positioned at the historical 51st percentile - The real estate, steel, power equipment (photovoltaic equipment), national defense, aviation, chemical pharmaceuticals, and IT services sectors have PE valuations above the historical 85th percentile - The agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and medical services sectors have both PE and PB valuations below the historical 15th percentile [1][2][3] Valuation Comparison - A-shares overall PE is 19.0 times, with the Shanghai 50 Index at 10.9 times, the CSI 500 Index at 28.8 times, and the ChiNext Index at 30.7 times, indicating varying levels of valuation across different indices [1][5] - The CSI 1000 Index has a PE of 39.3 times, while the National Index 2000 has a PE of 50.9 times, reflecting higher valuations in smaller cap indices [1][5] - The ChiNext Index's PE relative to the CSI 300 is 2.4 times, at the historical 5th percentile, indicating a significant premium [1][5] Industry Tracking New Energy - Photovoltaic sector shows a decline in upstream polysilicon prices by 2.6% and a 0.9% drop in spot prices, with terminal demand decreasing and high inventory levels persisting [2][3] - Battery materials like cobalt and nickel have mixed price movements, with lithium carbonate prices down by 6.0% [2][3] Financial Sector - The commercial bank non-performing loan rate increased by 1 basis point to 1.51%, while the net interest margin decreased by 9 basis points to 1.43% [2][3] Real Estate Chain - Steel prices increased by 1.4% for rebar, while cement prices fell by 1.0% due to reduced demand from real estate investments [2][3] Consumer Sector - Pork prices decreased by 1.4%, while wholesale pork prices increased by 1.6%, indicating a mixed trend in the meat market [2][3] Midstream Manufacturing - Heavy truck sales increased by 6.5% year-on-year, benefiting from the application of new energy [2][3] Technology TMT - Domestic smartphone shipments grew by 3.3% year-on-year in March 2025, showing signs of recovery in consumer electronics [2][3] Cyclical Industries - The price of Brent crude oil increased by 2.3% to $65.33 per barrel, reflecting improved market sentiment due to easing trade tensions [2][3]