证券研究报告 | 金融工程 gszqdatemark 2025 12 26 年 月 日 量化分析报告 攻守兼备，穿越周期——华夏中证 A500ETF 基金投资价值分析 中证 A500 是适合作为风险分散的配置资产 1）中证 A500 指数未来一年预期收益为 12.9%。我们对各分项进行预 测并加总得到：未来一年中证 A500 预期收益为 12.9%，其中盈利预计有 较强支撑，贡献 8.7%的收益，估值项预测仍有 3%的上涨空间。 中证 500ESG 基准指数和中证 500 指数基日以来累计收益分别为 3.96% 和 2.42%，ESG 负面剔除后的指数超额收益显著，且年化波动率更低。 3）指数成分股：大市值、高流动性。中证 A500 指数前十大成分股龙头集 中度高，新经济与传统经济均衡配置，充分体现 A500 指数"大盘蓝筹 + 行业龙头"的编制特征。从中证 A500 指数成分股中信一级行业分布来看， 主要集中在电子、电力设备及新能源、银行、有色金属、医药等行业。中 证 A500 指数成分股在行业龙头、陆股通重仓、核心资产、基金重仓、成 交主力等概念的暴露较高，具备较好的市场流动性和较高的机构认可度。 华夏中 ...

Core Viewpoint - Pension funds prefer companies with stable profits and dividends, focusing on industry leaders and quality blue-chip stocks [1][4]. Group 1: Pension Fund Holdings - As of the end of Q3, pension funds entered the top ten shareholders of 176 stocks, with a total market value of 38 billion [5]. - The holdings are primarily concentrated in sectors such as machinery (24 stocks), basic chemicals (14 stocks), pharmaceuticals, and electronics [5]. - Stocks held by pension funds typically exhibit stable profitability, high technical barriers, or align with national industrial upgrade directions, reflecting a clear preference for industry leaders and quality blue-chip stocks [5][19]. Group 2: Key Stocks in Pension Fund Portfolio - The six stocks with a market value exceeding 1 billion at the end of Q3 are: Chuanfeng Power, Zhejiang Chint Electric, Transsion Holdings, GF Securities, Bluestar Technology, and Hongfa Technology [5]. - Chuanfeng Power, a leader in high-end motorcycles and ATVs, reported a net profit growth of 30.89% year-on-year for the first three quarters and has maintained a dividend payout ratio exceeding 30% for three consecutive years [7]. - GF Securities, newly added to the pension fund's portfolio, benefited from a recovering capital market, with a net profit growth of 61.6% year-on-year for the first three quarters and a stable dividend payout ratio above 30% over the past five years [10]. Group 3: Investment Trends - In Q3, pension funds actively adjusted their portfolios, increasing holdings in growth sectors, particularly machinery, automotive, electronics, and communications [14]. - Notable increases in holdings include stocks like Tiancheng Technology, Aopu Mai, and Keta Bio, with significant increases in their respective ownership percentages [15]. - The pension fund's long-term holding strategy is evident, with some stocks held for over eight consecutive quarters, including Changhai Co., Huamao Logistics, and Jiasite Technology [13]. Group 4: Performance and Growth Potential - The electronic concept stock, Ziguang Guowei, saw a significant increase in market value to nearly 900 million, driven by a recovery in the special integrated circuit market and strong growth in automotive electronics [16]. - In the automotive sector, stocks like Xinz坐标, Jingzhu Technology, and Changshu Auto Parts saw notable increases in pension fund holdings, with Jingzhu Technology focusing on key components for new energy vehicles and showing signs of improvement in performance [17].