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邓正红能源软实力:特朗普警告哈马斯 欧佩克产量分歧 潜在地缘风险推升油价
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-04 04:20
邓正红软实力表示,美国总统特朗普警告哈马斯必须接受其结束加沙战争的计划,否则将面临严重后果。这一言论掩盖了欧佩克联盟即将就原油产量做出决 定的影响,潜在的地缘溢价支持石油软实力向上,周五(10月3日)国际油价走高。截至收盘,纽约商品期货交易所西得克萨斯轻质原油11月期货结算价每 桶涨0.40美元至60.88美元,涨幅0.66%;伦敦洲际交易所布伦特原油12月期货结算价每桶涨0.42美元至64.53美元,涨幅0.66%。特朗普为哈马斯接受其提议 设定了周日晚的最后期限。特朗普的表态加剧了人们对爆发更大范围冲突的担忧,而这可能扰乱来自中东的石油供应。乌克兰声称对靠近哈萨克斯坦边境的 俄罗斯炼油厂发动了袭击。 石油软实力的三重维度解析。一是认知软实力。特朗普通过"20点计划"构建的叙事框架,将加沙问题简化为"接受或毁灭"的二元选择,这种认知塑造影响了 市场情绪。但哈马斯拒绝妥协的立场,暴露出西方规则体系与非国家行为体的认知鸿沟。二是系统软实力。欧佩克联盟内部呈现"双核治理"特征——俄罗斯 受制裁限制产能,沙特保留闲置产能作为战略储备。这种结构性差异导致该组织在危机中难以形成统一行动,削弱了其作为"规则制定者"的权威 ...
“为开放的世界”,全球大咖云集!凤凰网2025中国企业出海高峰论坛议程公布
凤凰网财经· 2025-06-11 14:11
当单边主义、贸易保护主义阴云笼罩全球供应链,技术封锁、碳壁垒、数据主权争端等新型贸易壁 垒层出不穷,中国企业的全球化征程面临前所未有的复杂挑战。 在此关键历史节点,由凤凰网主办 的 "2025 中国企业出海高峰论坛 " 将于 6 月 28-29 日在深圳 隆重举行。论坛以 " 为开放的世 界 " 为主题,旨在全球产业链深度重构之际,为中国企业搭建思想碰撞、资源对接、规则对话的高 端平台,系统性破解出海难题,探寻生态化、可持续的出海新路径。 大会参会报名平台于今日正式开启。 01 核心议程与顶尖嘉宾阵容揭晓 过去十年,中国企业全球化进程完成三次历史性跨越:从依托劳动力红利的 " 成本驱动型 " 商品 出海,到借力资本杠杆的 " 资源整合型 " 跨国并购,再到以新能源、 AI 、数字技术为载体的 " 规 则定义型 " 标准输出。这场从 " 产品输出 " 到 " 生态赋能 " 的质变,标志着中国角色正由全球产 业链的 跟随者 转向 规则共塑者 。 但另一方面,当中国智造巨轮驶向深海, 地缘政治裂变与规则重构的巨浪已扑面而来: 全球产业链格局深度重构叠加地缘政治紧张, " 效率优先 " 的全球化逻辑让位于 " 安全可 ...
离岸人民币稳定币的香港试验如何破局
经济观察报· 2025-06-08 04:21
Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong is adapting to changes in the global landscape of digital finance and the internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB) through the implementation of the Stablecoin Regulation, aiming to provide a Chinese solution to the digital finance challenge [1][9]. Summary by Sections Introduction of Stablecoin Regulation - The Stablecoin Regulation in Hong Kong officially took effect on May 30, following the U.S. passing the GENIUS Act on May 20, indicating a strategic response to the reshaping of digital currency regulations amid international competition [2]. Potential of CNH Stablecoin - Although the CNH stablecoin has not yet launched, the enactment of the Stablecoin Regulation opens up possibilities for its implementation, potentially establishing a new digital path for RMB internationalization and becoming a key component in the reconstruction of cross-border payment systems [3][5]. Historical Context and Regulatory Framework - The successful pilot of personal RMB business in 2003 laid the groundwork for RMB cross-border trade settlement in 2009. The current regulatory framework, characterized by a "regulatory closed loop + market-driven transmission" mechanism, may serve as a reference for the stablecoin experiment [5][6]. Policy Signals and Challenges - Recent statements from the People's Bank of China emphasize the orderly promotion of RMB international use, addressing challenges such as cross-border payment inefficiencies and fragmented offshore market liquidity, with stablecoins potentially offering solutions [6]. Implementation Phases for CNH Stablecoin - The implementation of the CNH stablecoin can be divided into three phases: sandbox testing (2025-2026), regional expansion (2026-2027), and global promotion (from 2028), with the aim of establishing it as a pricing tool for regional commodities [7][8]. Strategic Importance of CNH Stablecoin - If successful, the CNH stablecoin could not only serve as a new channel for RMB internationalization but also represent a digital model of China's institutional openness, positioning China advantageously in the restructuring of global monetary order [9].