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货币政策下一步如何干?重要会议释放信号
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-25 04:14
12月18日,中国人民银行货币政策委员会召开2025年第四季度(总第111次)例会。 会议认为,今年以来宏观调控力度加大,货币政策适度宽松,持续发力、适时加力,强化逆周期调节, 综合运用多种货币政策工具,服务实体经济高质量发展,为经济稳中向好创造适宜的货币金融环境。 金融的"输血"换来了经济"造血"能力的提升。业内专家表示,近期,经济运行呈现出诸多积极信号,市 场对前景的预期边际改善。"今年以来,构建全国统一大市场、综合整治低价过度竞争有序推进,效果 已逐步显现,市场竞争秩序不断优化,工业企业利润有望维持增长态势。从政策支持来看,适度宽松的 货币政策持续显效,货币金融条件相对宽松,财政部近期又提前下达了2026年度新增地方专项债额度, 5000亿元新型政策性金融工具资金也全部投放完毕,项目总投资约7万亿元,将对投资形成有力支撑。 10月,制造业生产经营活动预期指数为52.8%,企业信心不断恢复。"招联首席研究员董希淼对《金融 时报》记者表示,"货币政策既对冲了下行压力,又没搞'大水漫灌',这种平衡很难得。" 围绕下一阶段,王青等业内专家普遍认为,2026年央行还会通过各类流动性工具搭配组合,适时向市场 注入短 ...
中国人民银行:要继续实施适度宽松的货币政策,加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-24 17:37
中国人民银行货币政策委员会召开2025年第四季度例会。会议分析了国内外经济金融形势,认为当前外 部环境变化影响加深,世界经济增长动能不足,贸易壁垒增多,主要经济体经济表现有所分化,通胀走 势和货币政策调整存在不确定性。我国经济运行总体平稳、稳中有进,高质量发展取得新成效,但仍面 临供强需弱矛盾突出等问题和挑战。要继续实施适度宽松的货币政策,加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度, 更好发挥货币政策工具的总量和结构双重功能,加强货币财政政策协同配合,促进经济稳定增长和物价 合理回升。 (文章来源:期货日报网) ...
央行:要继续实施适度宽松货币政策,加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 12:23
新京报贝壳财经讯 12月24日,中国人民银行货币政策委员会2025年第四季度(总第111次)例会于12月18 日召开。会议分析了国内外经济金融形势,认为当前外部环境变化影响加深,世界经济增长动能不足, 贸易壁垒增多,主要经济体经济表现有所分化,通胀走势和货币政策调整存在不确定性。我国经济运行 总体平稳、稳中有进,高质量发展取得新成效,但仍面临供强需弱矛盾突出等问题和挑战。要继续实施 适度宽松的货币政策,加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度,更好发挥货币政策工具的总量和结构双重功能, 加强货币财政政策协同配合,促进经济稳定增长和物价合理回升。 ...
中国人民银行:要继续实施适度宽松的货币政策
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 12:02
中国人民银行12月24日发布消息称,要继续实施适度宽松的货币政策,加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度,更好发挥货币政策工具的总量和结构双重功能,加强 货币财政政策协同配合,促进经济稳定增长和物价合理回升。 中国人民银行货币政策委员会近日召开2025年第四季度例会,研究下阶段货币政策主要思路。会议提出,建议发挥增量政策和存量政策集成效应,综合运用 多种工具,加强货币政策调控,根据国内外经济金融形势和金融市场运行情况,把握好政策实施的力度、节奏和时机。保持流动性充裕,使社会融资规模、 货币供应量增长同经济增长、价格总水平预期目标相匹配,促进社会综合融资成本低位运行。 会议还研究了政策发力方向。会议指出,有效落实好各类结构性货币政策工具,扎实做好金融"五篇大文章",加强对扩大内需、科技创新、中小微企业等重 点领域的金融支持。用好证券、基金、保险公司互换便利和股票回购增持再贷款,探索常态化的制度安排,维护资本市场稳定。持续做好支持民营经济发展 壮大的金融服务。切实推进金融高水平双向开放,提高开放条件下经济金融管理能力和风险防控能力。 此外,会议还提出,把做强国内大循环摆到更加突出的位置,统筹好总供给和总需求的关系,增强宏观政 ...
央行:加强货币财政政策协同配合 促进经济稳定增长和物价合理回升
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-12-24 11:36
经济观察网中国人民银行货币政策委员会2025年第四季度(总第111次)例会于12月18日召开。会议分析 了国内外经济金融形势,认为当前外部环境变化影响加深,世界经济增长动能不足,贸易壁垒增多,主 要经济体经济表现有所分化,通胀走势和货币政策调整存在不确定性。我国经济运行总体平稳、稳中有 进,高质量发展取得新成效,但仍面临供强需弱矛盾突出等问题和挑战。要继续实施适度宽松的货币政 策,加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度,更好发挥货币政策工具的总量和结构双重功能,加强货币财政政策 协同配合,促进经济稳定增长和物价合理回升。 ...
21社论丨推动货币政策措施落实落细,充分释放政策效应
21世纪经济报道· 2025-09-29 23:50
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the shift in China's monetary policy focus towards execution, reflecting confidence in the economy's stability and growth potential [1][2] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has adjusted its language regarding monetary policy from "implementing appropriate easing" to "ensuring detailed implementation," indicating a more stable approach in the short term [1][2] - Economic indicators show that industrial added value increased by 6.2% year-on-year in the first eight months, while the service production index remained steady at 5.9%, suggesting that the economy is performing above the 5.0% growth target [1] Group 2 - The narrowing net interest margin for commercial banks, which fell to a historical low of 1.42% in Q2, poses a challenge for monetary easing, as it could further pressure banks' profitability [2] - The PBOC is focusing on maintaining liquidity and has been using various tools like reverse repos to ensure sufficient market liquidity, especially across quarters [3] - Structural monetary policy tools are being utilized to support key sectors such as technology innovation, consumption, small and micro enterprises, and foreign trade [3] Group 3 - Coordination between fiscal and monetary policies is being emphasized, with discussions between the Ministry of Finance and the PBOC on enhancing financial market operations and government bond management [3][4] - The introduction of new policy financial tools, amounting to 500 billion yuan, aims to boost effective investment and promote stable economic growth [3] - The PBOC plans to adapt its monetary policy based on macroeconomic conditions and price trends, indicating a readiness to adjust policies as necessary [4]
债海观潮,大势研判:盘整等待方向
Guoxin Securities· 2025-04-03 02:43
Group 1 - The bond market experienced a tightening of funds in March, with economic data showing stability and improvement, leading to a divergence in the performance of interest rate bonds and credit bonds [5] - In March, the yields on 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year interest rate bonds increased, while the credit spreads for short-term credit bonds narrowed significantly, with reductions exceeding 20 basis points [5][11] - The default amount in March slightly decreased to 3.78 billion, down from 3.82 billion in the previous month, with no new defaulting entities reported [31] Group 2 - The U.S. service sector showed signs of recovery, with a slight increase in new employment, while core inflation in the U.S. declined, maintaining high inflation expectations [5][41][42] - Domestic economic indicators suggest a steady improvement, with a GDP growth rate of approximately 5.1% year-on-year for January-February, slightly lower than the previous month, but still above the annual target [5][53] - The domestic demand continues to show signs of recovery, while external demand remains resilient, although the effect of export competition has noticeably weakened [5][57] Group 3 - The monetary policy meeting in the first quarter emphasized the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy and increased coordination between monetary and fiscal policies [5][102] - The high-frequency macro diffusion index from Guosen Securities indicates a continuous rise, suggesting improved economic growth momentum, particularly in real estate and infrastructure [5][75][71] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring the relationship between policy rates and market rates, especially in the context of a potential "negative interest rate" environment [5][107]