中共中央政治局9月29日召开会议，研究制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划重大问 题。会议决定，中国共产党第二十届中央委员会第四次全体会议于10月20日至23日在北京召 开。 近日，中国人民银行货币政策委员会召开第三季度例会。例会将此前的"实施好适度宽松的货 币政策"改为"落实落细"，与7月底中央政治局会议的部署保持一致，这意味着政策着力点将转 向执行层面。 而货币政策之所以着力在存量的执行层面，应主要基于两个原因：一方面，当前经济保持平 稳，宽松必要性不强。例会对国内经济运行的描述从二季度的"呈现向好态势"调整为"稳中有 进"，将"高质量发展扎实推进"改为"取得新成效"，在困难和挑战方面删掉了此前"风险隐患较 多"的表述，仅保留"国内需求不足、物价低位运行"，显示出对经济基本面的信心有所增强。 从今年前8个月数据来看，规模以上工业增加值累计同比增长6.2%，略低于上半年的6.4%，服 务业生产指数累计同比增长5.9%，与上半年持平。当前经济增速保持在5.0%的目标水平之 上，实现全年经济社会发展目标任务可期，暂时无需政策加码。 另一方面，则由于货币宽松一定程度上受到净息差收窄的影响。央行多次表示，中国的货 ...

Group 1 - The bond market experienced a tightening of funds in March, with economic data showing stability and improvement, leading to a divergence in the performance of interest rate bonds and credit bonds [5] - In March, the yields on 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year interest rate bonds increased, while the credit spreads for short-term credit bonds narrowed significantly, with reductions exceeding 20 basis points [5][11] - The default amount in March slightly decreased to 3.78 billion, down from 3.82 billion in the previous month, with no new defaulting entities reported [31] Group 2 - The U.S. service sector showed signs of recovery, with a slight increase in new employment, while core inflation in the U.S. declined, maintaining high inflation expectations [5][41][42] - Domestic economic indicators suggest a steady improvement, with a GDP growth rate of approximately 5.1% year-on-year for January-February, slightly lower than the previous month, but still above the annual target [5][53] - The domestic demand continues to show signs of recovery, while external demand remains resilient, although the effect of export competition has noticeably weakened [5][57] Group 3 - The monetary policy meeting in the first quarter emphasized the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy and increased coordination between monetary and fiscal policies [5][102] - The high-frequency macro diffusion index from Guosen Securities indicates a continuous rise, suggesting improved economic growth momentum, particularly in real estate and infrastructure [5][75][71] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring the relationship between policy rates and market rates, especially in the context of a potential "negative interest rate" environment [5][107]