中证报中证网讯（记者 齐金钊）央行日前发布了《2025年第三季度中国货币政策执行报告》（以下简 称"报告"）。平安证券首席经济学家钟正生认为，相较于二季度报告，此次报告在政策表述、调控重 点、框架转型等方面呈现多重调整，既体现了对当前经济金融形势的精准把握，也明确了后续政策发力 方向。 此外，值得关注的是，三季度报告还新增了结构性举措，旨在精准补强发展短板。钟正生介绍，本次报 告明确三大新增政策举措：其一，优化碳减排支持工具，丰富绿色金融产品，制定高碳行业金融机构碳 核算规则，推进金融机构参与碳市场建设；其二，完善脱贫攻坚过渡期后常态化金融支持机制，重点支 持县域经济发展；其三，研究实施个人信用修复支持政策，挖掘消费潜力释放空间。这些举措体现了结 构性货币政策工具向重点领域、薄弱环节的精准滴灌。 聚焦货币政策框架转型深化，钟正生认为，三季度报告的核心看点具体包括三方面：一是优化货币政策 中间变量，逐步淡化数量目标关注，构建科学稳健的政策体系；二是推进调控框架向价格型转型，重点 理顺由短及长的利率传导关系及不同资产收益率比价关系；三是增强银行资产端与负债端利率调整联动 性，支持银行稳定净息差，为逆周期调节拓宽空 ...

优化信贷结构不仅是宏观调控思路转变的需要，也是银行实现自身经营目标的客观要求。近年来，一些 银行通过改进内部资金转移定价、优化绩效考核标准等方式，持续完善内部治理，有效传导央行政策激 励，实现了信贷"量"的合理增长与"质"的不断提升。（本文来源：经济日报 作者：姚 进） 经济转型升级需要合适的工具来撬动。中国人民银行近日发布的2025年第三季度中国货币政策执行报告 显示，9月末，支持做好金融"五篇大文章"的结构性货币政策工具余额已接近4万亿元。央行的结构性工 具，主要是激励引导金融机构支持国家重大战略、经济社会发展的重点领域和薄弱环节。在这些领域， 初期社会资金进入的意愿比较低，需要中央银行的资金先期进入、发挥引导作用。 高质量发展阶段不需要片面追求垒高信贷规模。如果还像过去那样，只盯着贷款增速，既不符合经济规 律，也可能带来僵尸企业难以出清、资金空转等问题。中央金融工作会议提出，"随着经济从高速增长 转向高质量发展，货币信贷要从外延式扩张转向内涵式发展"，这是对新形势下做好金融宏观调控的深 刻阐述，未来重点是盘活存量金融资源，提升信贷资产质效。 深化金融供给侧结构性改革，优化信贷资源的投向，也有助于金融更好 ...

Core Viewpoints - The financial work during the "14th Five-Year Plan" focuses on building a strong financial nation, emphasizing systemic risk prevention, policy coordination, and institutional openness, with a monetary policy that will maintain moderate easing and enhance transmission efficiency and structural precision [2] Financial Data Overview - As of October 2025, the M2 balance reached 335.13 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.2%, showing a slight decline but remaining at a historically high level; the M1 balance was 11.10 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.2%, continuing to show positive growth [2] - The social financing scale stock was 437.72 trillion yuan at the end of October, with a year-on-year growth of 8.5%, and the balance of RMB loans to the real economy was 267.01 trillion yuan, growing by 6.3% year-on-year [2] Structural Contradictions - In October 2025, new RMB loans from financial institutions were 220 billion yuan, a significant drop from 1.29 trillion yuan in September, marking a new low for the year; market interest rates showed signs of weakness with the bill rate dropping to a historical low of 0.4% in August 2025 [3] - The banking system showed an excess reserve ratio of 1.40% in June 2025, higher than the average from 2018 to 2020, while the net interest margin of commercial banks was compressed to 1.42%, down from 2.08% in February 2021, indicating limited credit supply motivation [3] Current Financial Operation Characteristics - The current financial operation exhibits a dual characteristic of "ample liquidity and obstructed transmission," where despite a loose monetary policy and sufficient funds, the financing demand from the real economy shows structural weakness, particularly in traditional credit engines like real estate and local government financing platforms [3] Improvement Signs - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) removed the phrase "preventing fund circulation" from its third-quarter monetary policy report, suggesting that related risks may have been controlled to a certain extent [4] Monetary Policy Adjustments - The tone of monetary policy shifted from "implementing detailed moderate easing" in the second quarter to "implementing moderate easing well," indicating a focus on the effectiveness and efficiency of policies [5] - The PBOC emphasized the need to activate financing demand in the real economy as a core task to stabilize macroeconomic operations [5] Structural Monetary Policy Tools - Structural monetary policy tools are expected to have greater space in the future, with a shift from quantity indicators to price indicators being an absolute trend [5][19] - The current structural monetary policy scale is at least 5 trillion yuan, indicating significant potential for future expansion [10] Coordination of Fiscal and Monetary Policies - The PBOC's purchase of government bonds is seen as a key manifestation of the coordination between fiscal and monetary policies, enhancing liquidity management and stabilizing market expectations [23][24] - The central bank's support for fiscal policy is expected to increase as the scale of government bond issuance expands [24] Future Economic Outlook - The financial sector is urged to play a role in technological innovation, as the low-interest-rate environment may lead to a normalization of low financial and consumption demand [22] - The PBOC's approach to managing liquidity and interest rates will be crucial in navigating the economic landscape, especially in light of potential structural challenges [20][21]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Market Weight" indicating that the industry index is expected to perform within -10% to 10% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [26]. Core Insights - The report highlights a slowdown in credit and government financing, with new policy tools being introduced to stimulate lending. The total social financing stock grew by 8.5% year-on-year, while RMB loans increased by 6.3% year-on-year [4][5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of new policy tools that are expected to have a positive impact on credit growth, particularly in sectors like technology innovation and infrastructure [4][5]. - The report notes that the loan interest rates have remained stable, with the average interest rate for new corporate loans and personal housing loans both at approximately 3.1% [4][5]. Summary by Sections Credit and Financing Trends - As of October, the total social financing stock increased by 8.5% year-on-year, while RMB loans grew by 6.3% year-on-year. The M2 and M1 money supply grew by 8.2% and 6.2% respectively [4]. - New corporate loans decreased by 201 billion RMB year-on-year, reflecting weak demand in the real economy [4]. - The report indicates that the introduction of new policy tools, particularly in the form of entrusted loans, is aimed at stabilizing credit growth [4][5]. Loan and Deposit Dynamics - The report notes a seasonal outflow of deposits post-quarter, with both M2 and M1 growth rates declining. This is attributed to seasonal factors and a slowdown in credit and government bond issuance [4]. - The average interest rates for new loans have stabilized, which is expected to ease pressure on interest margins in 2025 compared to 2024 [4][5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the impact of new policy tools on credit dynamics in the upcoming months, particularly in the context of government financing becoming less robust [5]. - It is recommended to monitor the banking sector's performance, as the dividend advantage of the banking sector is expected to attract medium to long-term capital [5].

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Index futures: Long - term optimistic, buy on dips [1][5] - Treasury bonds: Range - bound [1][5] - Coking coal: Range trading [1] - Rebar: Range trading [1] - Glass: Sell call options [1][8] - Copper: Exit long positions at high levels or range short - term trading [1][11] - Aluminum: Buy on dips [1] - Nickel: Wait and see or short on rallies [1][16] - Tin: Range trading [1][18] - Gold: Range trading [1][20] - Silver: Range trading [1][18] - PVC: Range - bound with a weak bias, focus on the 4700 level for 01 contract [21][22] - Caustic soda: Range - bound with a weak bias, focus on the 2400 level for 01 contract [23][24] - Benzene ethylene: Range - bound with a weak bias, focus on the 6500 level [24][26] - Rubber: Range - bound, focus on the 15000 level as support [26] - Urea: Range - bound, 01 contract range 1600 - 1700 [28][29] - Methanol: Range - bound, 01 contract range 2030 - 2250 [29] - Polyolefins: PE to range - bound and focus on 6800 support, PP to range - bound weakly and focus on 6500 support [31] - Soda ash: Short - selling for 01 contract [31][33] - Cotton and cotton yarn: Range - bound [34] - PTA: Low - level range - bound, range 4400 - 4700 [34][35] - Apples: Range - bound with a strong bias [35] - Red dates: Range - bound with a weak bias [36][37] - Live pigs: Rebound under pressure [38][39] - Eggs: Limited upside [40][41] - Corn: Bottom - building in range [42][43] - Soybean meal: Range - bound [44][45] - Oils and fats: Bottom - building and rebounding, buy cautiously for 01 contracts of soybean, palm, and rapeseed oils [45][51] Core Views - The market is affected by multiple factors such as macro - policies, supply - demand relationships, and international events. Different futures varieties show different trends and investment opportunities due to their own fundamentals and external influences [5][7][10] - For most varieties, the short - term market is in a state of range - bound or with a certain bias, and investors need to pay attention to key price levels, supply - demand changes, and policy signals [21][23][26] - Some varieties are expected to have long - term positive trends, but short - term fluctuations and uncertainties still exist, and investment strategies should be adjusted according to market conditions [5][11][40] Summary by Industry Macro - finance - Index futures may range - bound in the short - term due to market hot - spot rotation and unclear main lines, but are long - term optimistic. The end of the US government shutdown, changes in China's social financing and loan data, and market regulatory policies are influencing factors [5] - Treasury bonds are expected to range - bound. The third - quarter monetary policy report shows a stable and moderately loose tone, and the follow - up interest - rate cut space is affected by the relationship between various interest rates [5] Black building materials - Coking coal and rebar are recommended for range trading. The coking coal market has weak demand and falling prices, while rebar has low valuation and limited downward space despite production and demand declines [1][7] - Glass is advised to sell call options. With production cuts, weak demand, high inventory, and no strong short - to - medium - term positive expectations, the market is bearish [8] Non - ferrous metals - Copper is in high - level range - bound. Although there are long - term positive factors such as supply tightening and increasing demand, short - term price increases suppress downstream demand, and inventory accumulation may lead to price adjustments [10][11] - Aluminum is recommended to strengthen observation. The supply and demand of aluminum and its upstream materials are complex, and the market is trading the expectation of overseas supply reduction, but there are risks of over - trading [10][12] - Nickel is suggested to wait and see or short on rallies. The new RKAB policy in Indonesia brings supply uncertainty, and the long - term supply is expected to be in surplus [16] - Tin is for range trading. The supply of tin ore is expected to improve, while downstream consumption is weak, and the price is supported by inventory levels [18] - Gold and silver are for range trading. Affected by the US government shutdown, employment data, and interest - rate cut expectations, the prices are in a short - term adjustment state but have medium - term support [18][20] Energy and chemicals - PVC, caustic soda, and benzene ethylene are expected to range - bound with a weak bias. They are affected by factors such as high supply, weak demand, cost fluctuations, and macro - policies [21][23][26] - Rubber is range - bound. Cold weather in Yunnan and the rainy season in southern Thailand support raw material prices, but terminal demand is weak, and inventory is seasonally increasing [26] - Urea and methanol are range - bound. Urea production increases, and demand and inventory changes affect the price; methanol shows a pattern of increasing supply and decreasing demand, with inventory accumulation [28][29] - Polyolefins are expected to be range - bound with a weak bias. Supply pressure increases, demand improvement is limited, and cost support weakens [31] - Soda ash is recommended for short - selling for the 01 contract. Supply exceeds demand, and although cost increases, supply pressure remains high [31][33] Cotton textile industry chain - Cotton and cotton yarn are expected to range - bound. Global cotton supply and demand are adjusted, and the price is affected by factors such as the progress of seed - cotton acquisition and Sino - US trade negotiations [34] - PTA is in low - level range - bound. Oil prices, supply - demand relationships, and weak fundamentals lead to inventory accumulation and price suppression [34][35] - Apples are range - bound with a strong bias. With the end of ground trading and the start of出库, the decrease in production and quality supports the price [35] - Red dates are range - bound with a weak bias. The purchase enthusiasm of merchants is low, and the price shows a slight decline [36][37] Agricultural and livestock - Live pigs: The short - term price is in narrow - range consolidation, and the medium - to - long - term supply before the first half of next year remains high, with prices under pressure. Different contracts have different investment strategies [38][39][40] - Eggs: The short - term supply is abundant, and the price increase is limited. The 12 - contract can be shorted on rallies, and the 01 - contract is range - bound [40][41] - Corn: The short - term price rebounds under pressure, and the medium - to - long - term has cost support but limited upside space. The 01 - contract can be hedged on rallies, and 3 - 5 positive spreads can be concerned [42][43] - Soybean meal: It is in range - bound. The US soybean market is affected by reports and Brazilian planting progress, and domestic prices are affected by supply and demand and policy expectations [44][45] - Oils and fats: They are expected to bottom - build and rebound. Different oils have different supply and demand situations, and short - term long - buying and certain spread - trading strategies are recommended [45][51]

11月13日，中国人民银行发布的金融统计数据显示，今年前10个月我国新增人民币贷款近15万亿元。新增贷款投向了哪些领域？信贷结构出现 哪些亮点？ 中国人民银行当日发布的金融统计数据显示，10月末，我国人民币贷款余额270.61万亿元，同比增长6.5%；社会融资规模存量为437.72万亿元， 同比增长8.5%。 "今年以来，金融总量保持合理增长，为实体经济提供了有力的金融支持。"西南财经大学中国金融研究院副教授万晓莉认为，今年以来，各家 银行积极运用各类结构性货币政策工具，加力支持科技创新、提振消费、小微企业、稳定外贸等重点方向。 从新增信贷的结构来看，企业贷款增长呈现出一些亮点。 今年以来，企业贷款特别是企业中长期贷款新增较多，为企业投资提供了较为充足的资金支持。数据显示，前10个月，我国企（事）业单位贷 款增加13.79万亿元，是贷款增加的主力军。其中，中长期贷款增加8.32万亿元，占比超六成。 具体来看，信贷资金流向了哪里？ 记者从中国人民银行了解到，10月末，普惠小微贷款余额为35.77万亿元，同比增长11.6%；制造业中长期贷款余额为14.97万亿元，同比增长 7.9%。这些贷款增速均高于同期各项贷款 ...

11月13日，中国人民银行发布的金融统计数据显示，今年前10个月我国新增人民币贷款近15万亿元。新增贷款投向了哪些领域？信贷结构 出现哪些亮点？ 中国人民银行当日发布的金融统计数据显示，10月末，我国人民币贷款余额270.61万亿元，同比增长6.5%；社会融资规模存量为437.72万亿 元，同比增长8.5%。 "今年以来，金融总量保持合理增长，为实体经济提供了有力的金融支持。"西南财经大学中国金融研究院副教授万晓莉认为，今年以来， 各家银行积极运用各类结构性货币政策工具，加力支持科技创新、提振消费、小微企业、稳定外贸等重点方向。 从新增信贷的结构来看，企业贷款增长呈现出一些亮点。 记者从中国人民银行了解到，10月末，普惠小微贷款余额为35.77万亿元，同比增长11.6%；制造业中长期贷款余额为14.97万亿元，同比增 长7.9%。这些贷款增速均高于同期各项贷款增速。 "10月建行发布了支持新型工业化的服务方案，推出六大专项行动，力争未来三年制造业融资规模突破5万亿元。"中国建设银行公司业务部 总经理尚朝辉说，目前建行制造业中长期贷款持续增长，在制造业贷款中占比超过50%。 中国人民银行近日发布的2025年第三 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Report's Core View The Q3 2025 China Monetary Policy Report continues the main tone of "appropriately accommodative monetary policy" and emphasizes structural monetary policy and promoting a reasonable price recovery. Compared with the Q2 report, it focuses more on reducing banks' liability costs and promotes the transformation of the monetary policy framework. The central bank maintains a supportive attitude towards liquidity, and the bond market is expected to remain strong with fluctuations [1][4][8]. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Implement an appropriately accommodative monetary policy and maintain relatively loose social financing conditions - The overall tone of the monetary policy remains "appropriately accommodative," with the Q3 2025 report further emphasizing maintaining relatively loose social financing conditions. The central bank will maintain ample liquidity through various monetary policy operations and promote a decline in overall financing costs, which may imply that bond yields may remain at low levels in the short term [1][5]. 2. Implement various structural monetary policy tools and emphasize financial support for technology, consumption, etc. - The Q3 2025 report mentioned leveraging the dual functions of total volume and structure of monetary policy tools, implementing various structural monetary policy tools, and increasing support for key areas such as technological innovation, boosting consumption, micro and small enterprises, and stabilizing foreign trade [1][6]. 3. Prioritize promoting a reasonable price recovery as an important consideration for monetary policy implementation - The Q3 2025 report still emphasized promoting a reasonable recovery in prices. Although inflation data has stabilized, the absolute level remains low, and monetary policy needs to focus on promoting price recovery and expanding domestic demand [1][6]. 4. Reduce banks' liability costs to widen the space for counter - cyclical monetary policy adjustments - The Q3 2025 report frequently mentioned reducing banks' liability costs. The central bank will improve the interest rate control framework, strengthen policy interest rate guidance, and take measures to reduce banks' liability costs and drive down social financing costs. Some small and medium - sized banks have started to reduce deposit rates, and after net interest margins stabilize, the space for monetary policy will expand [2][7]. 5. Continue to promote the transformation of the monetary policy framework - The monetary policy framework places more emphasis on the role of price - type regulation. Through deepening interest rate marketization reforms, it aims to smooth the interest rate transmission relationship from short to long and the comparison relationship between different asset yields [3][7].

赵伟对记者表示，在当前社会融资规模的主要支撑来自政府债券发行的背景下，此表述实际上从侧面凸 显了货币政策正着力加强与财政政策的协同配合。 在结构性货币政策工具方面，《报告》指出，发挥好货币政策工具总量和结构双重功能，落实好各类结 构性货币政策工具，扎实做好金融"五篇大文章"，加力支持科技创新、提振消费、小微企业、稳定外贸 等重点方向。 中经记者 谭志娟 北京报道 央行日前发布了《2025年第三季度中国货币政策执行报告》（以下简称《报告》）。在国内经济形势方 面，《报告》指出，我国经济运行依然面临不少风险挑战，国内经济回升向好基础仍需加力巩固。同 时，我国经济基础稳、优势多、韧性强、潜能大，长期向好的支撑条件和基本趋势没有变，要保持战略 定力，增强必胜信心，推动事关中国式现代化全局的战略任务取得重大突破。 申万宏源证券首席经济学家赵伟对《中国经营报》记者表示，《报告》指出"我国经济运行依然面临不 少风险挑战"，但新增"国内经济回升向好基础仍需加力巩固"的表述，这进一步突显政策层面对巩固经 济复苏态势的重视。同时，《报告》提出"要保持战略定力，增强必胜信心"，既表明对当前经济的清醒 认知，也传递出完成全年经济增长 ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) will implement a moderately accommodative monetary policy in the next phase, utilizing various tools to maintain relatively loose social financing conditions while improving the monetary policy framework and enhancing execution and transmission [1][4]. Group 1: Monetary Policy Implementation - The PBOC's upcoming monetary policy will focus on maintaining a moderately accommodative stance and ensuring that social financing conditions remain relatively loose [1][4]. - The report indicates that structural monetary policy tools will continue to play a significant role in optimizing financing structures and supporting key areas of the economy [4][6]. Group 2: Financing Structure Optimization - As of the end of September, various types of loans have shown significant year-on-year growth: technology loans increased by 11.8%, green loans by 22.9%, inclusive loans by 11.2%, elderly care industry loans by 58.2%, and digital economy industry loans by 12.9% [3][12]. - The total balance of structural monetary policy tools supporting the "Five Major Articles" reached 3.9 trillion yuan, indicating a reasonable growth in financial volume and low social financing costs [3][4]. Group 3: Focus on Key Areas - The growth rate of loans in areas related to the "Five Major Articles" has exceeded 10%, with elderly care industry loans approaching 60% growth [6][8]. - The PBOC's structural monetary policy tools are designed to incentivize financial institutions to support major national strategies and key areas of economic and social development [8][10]. Group 4: Future Directions - The report emphasizes that future monetary policy will prioritize support for technological innovation, consumption stimulation, small and micro enterprises, and stabilizing foreign trade [1][14]. - The balance of loans to technology-based small and medium-sized enterprises reached 3.6 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 22.3%, and technology loans accounted for over 30% of new loans [12].