（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，10月3日，贵金属期货短线走高，COMEX黄金期货涨0.70%，报3895.3美元/盎司； COMEX白银期货涨近3%，报47.725美元/盎司。 ...

摘要9月26日，国内贵金属期货涨跌不一，截止目前，沪金主力报价为857.48元/克，涨幅0.18%，沪银 主力报价为10628.00元/千克，涨幅2.23%；国际贵金属期全线飘绿，COMEX黄金报价3776.70元/盎司， 跌幅0.11%，COME... 9月29日，国内贵金属期货涨跌不一，截止目前，沪金主力报价为865.90元/克，涨幅1.27%，沪银主力 报价为10919.00元/千克，涨幅3.73%；国际贵金属期全线飘红，COMEX黄金报价3843.40元/盎司，跌幅 1.41%，COMEX白银报价47.13美元/盎司，涨幅1.64%。 【消息面】 临近国庆长假，海外地缘冲突不断、美国面临政府关门危机、美联储货币政策转向，黄金长线逻辑未 变，警惕长假风险。美国再次面临政府关门危机，上周五美国总统放狠话，政府关门要关就关、全怪民 主党，众院拟休会到下月，除此之外，本周一白宫国会两党领袖可能会见。 美联储依赖的9月非农就业报告或被迫延迟发布。国庆期间还有一份美联储9月议息会议纪要公布，接下 来降息路径依然是市场关注重点。 【盘面分析】 9月29日，现货黄金上周五小幅上涨0.3%，周度上涨约2%，上周五盘中触 ...

Group 1 - The domestic precious metals market showed a positive trend on September 22, with both gold and silver futures prices increasing [1] - The main contract for gold (沪金) closed at 840.80 CNY per gram, reflecting a rise of 1.33%, while the main contract for silver (沪银) closed at 10,270.00 CNY per kilogram, with a gain of 3.34% [1] - The opening prices for gold and silver futures were 831.02 CNY per gram and 9,971.00 CNY per kilogram, respectively, with previous closing prices of 830.56 CNY and 9,971.00 CNY [2] Group 2 - As of September 19, the silver futures warehouse receipts totaled 1,159,443 kilograms, a decrease of 44,080 kilograms compared to the previous trading day, while gold futures warehouse receipts increased by 999 kilograms to 57,429 kilograms [3] - There were no instances of "backwardation" (where spot prices exceed futures prices) reported for any commodity contracts as of September 19 [3] - The basis for gold was calculated at -2.3 with a basis rate of -0.28%, while the basis for silver was -93 with a basis rate of -0.94% [3]

Group 1 - Domestic precious metal futures showed mixed results on August 6, with Shanghai gold main contract priced at 783.72 CNY per gram, down 0.08%, and Shanghai silver main contract at 9192.00 CNY per kilogram, up 1.29% [1][2] - International precious metal futures also displayed mixed performance, with COMEX gold priced at 3430.80 USD per ounce, down 0.12%, and COMEX silver at 37.89 USD per ounce, up 0.15% [1][2] Group 2 - The U.S. trade balance recorded a deficit of 60.2 billion USD in June, the smallest since September 2023 [3] - The final S&P Global Services PMI for July in the U.S. was 55.7, exceeding expectations of 55.2 and matching the previous value [3] - The probability of maintaining interest rates in September is 7.6%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 92.4% [3] Group 3 - On August 5, COMEX gold prices increased by 0.25% to 3435.00 USD per ounce, while Shanghai gold main contract rose by 0.01% to 784.40 CNY per gram [4] - The market currently anticipates a greater than 90% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, which is expected to support stronger gold prices [4]

Market Overview - Domestic precious metal futures showed a positive trend on July 18, with the main gold contract priced at 776.40 CNY per gram, an increase of 0.16%, and the main silver contract at 9227.00 CNY per kilogram, up by 0.85% [1] - International precious metals also experienced gains, with COMEX gold priced at 3344.90 USD per ounce, down by 0.01%, and COMEX silver at 38.49 USD per ounce, up by 0.16% [1] Price Data - The opening, highest, and lowest prices for the main contracts on July 18 were as follows: - Main Gold (沪金): Opened at 772.00 CNY, reached a high of 777.66 CNY, and a low of 771.90 CNY per gram [2] - Main Silver (沪银): Opened at 9110.00 CNY, peaked at 9244.00 CNY, and dropped to a low of 9095.00 CNY per kilogram [2] - COMEX Gold: Opened at 3347.50 USD, with a high of 3350.30 USD and a low of 3337.20 USD per ounce [2] - COMEX Silver: Opened at 38.42 USD, reached a high of 38.58 USD, and a low of 38.38 USD per ounce [2] Market Sentiment - The market sentiment remains mixed, with significant divergence between bulls and bears, leading to unclear short-term trends in gold prices [4]

Group 1 - New York gold futures reached $3,350 per ounce, with a daily increase of 0.73% [1] - New York silver futures surpassed $38 per ounce, with a daily increase of 1.86% [1]

Group 1 - Domestic precious metal futures experienced a rise, with Shanghai gold quoted at 781.30 CNY per gram, an increase of 0.03%, and Shanghai silver at 8770.00 CNY per kilogram, up by 0.35% [1] - International precious metals showed mixed results, with COMEX gold priced at 3369.60 USD per ounce, down by 0.44%, while COMEX silver was at 36.09 USD per ounce, up by 0.38% [1] Group 2 - The price movements of gold are influenced by multiple factors, including the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates unchanged, which has tempered expectations for rate cuts, putting pressure on gold prices [3] - The recent military actions by the U.S. against Iran's nuclear facilities have introduced new uncertainties into the global economy, leading to a sharp rise in energy prices, which could suppress consumer spending and investment activities [3] - Morgan Stanley's chief economist highlighted that rising oil prices, in the context of high tariffs from the Trump administration, could significantly pressure household consumption and overall economic growth [3] Group 3 - Last week, COMEX gold prices fell by 1.98% to 3384.40 USD per ounce, while Shanghai gold futures dropped by 1.99% to 778.58 CNY per gram [4] - Current CME data indicates an 84.5% probability of maintaining interest rates in July, with a 15.5% chance of a 25 basis point cut, and a 60% cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut by September [4]

Price Performance - London Gold latest price is 3339.90, down 34.70 [1] - London Silver latest price is 36.19, up 0.39 [1] - London Platinum latest price is 1134.00, up 55.00 [1] - London Palladium latest price is 1014.00, up 14.00 [1] - WTI Crude latest price is 64.58, up 1.21 [1] - LME Copper latest price is 9756.00, up 118.50 [1] - Dollar Index latest is 99.20, up 0.46 [1] - Euro to US Dollar latest is 1.14, no change [1] - Pound to US Dollar latest is 1.35, no change [1] - US Dollar to Japanese Yen latest is 144.86, up 1.27 [1] - US 10 - year TIPS latest is 2.20, up 0.09 [1] Trading Data - COMEX Silver inventory data not provided [2] - SHFE Silver latest inventory is 1117.94, up 10.63 [2] - Gold ETF latest holding is 934.21, down 1.44 [2] - Silver ETF latest holding is 14709.29, up 36.76 [2] - SGE Silver latest inventory is 1396.61, no change [2] - SGE Gold latest deferred fee payment direction is 1, no change [2] - SGE Silver latest deferred fee payment direction is 1, down 1.00 [2]

Group 1 - Domestic precious metal futures experienced an overall increase, with the main Shanghai gold contract priced at 777.30 CNY per gram, up by 0.29%, and the main Shanghai silver contract at 8280.00 CNY per kilogram, up by 0.49% [1] - International precious metal prices showed mixed results, with COMEX gold priced at 3332.10 USD per ounce, down by 0.76%, and COMEX silver at 33.57 USD per ounce, down by 0.21% [1] Group 2 - As of May 17, the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. was 227,000, slightly below the market expectation of 230,000, indicating a healthy job market despite trade policy uncertainties [3] - The U.S. manufacturing PMI rose to a three-month high of 52.3, while the services PMI initial value also reached 52.3, marking a two-month high [3] - The CME "FedWatch" tool indicates a 94.4% probability of maintaining interest rates in June, with a 5.6% chance of a 25 basis point cut [4]

Group 1 - Domestic precious metal futures showed mixed results, with Shanghai gold futures at 780.10 CNY per gram, up 0.10%, and Shanghai silver futures at 8263.00 CNY per kilogram, down 0.37% [1] - International precious metals saw an overall increase, with COMEX gold priced at 3329.60 USD per ounce, up 1.05%, and COMEX silver at 33.39 USD per ounce, up 0.63% [1] - The opening prices for Shanghai gold and silver were 775.22 CNY and 8236.00 CNY respectively, with their highest prices reaching 780.58 CNY and 8286.00 CNY [2] Group 2 - The S&P Global reported that the U.S. manufacturing PMI rose to 52.3 in May from 50.2 in April, exceeding expectations of 50.1, while the services PMI also increased to 52.3 [3] - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending May 17 were 227,000, lower than the previous week's 229,000 and below the expected 230,000, indicating a stable labor market [3] - Recent market analysis indicated that gold faced profit-taking pressure after a recent rally, with a stronger dollar acting as a negative factor, although the overall outlook for gold remains bullish due to global bond market volatility [3]