| 贵金属期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2026年3月3日 | | | | 叶得己 | Z0016628 | | 国内期货收盘价 | | | | | | | 品种 | 3月2日 | 2月27日 | 不跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | AU2604合约 | 1197.22 | 1147.90 | 49.32 | 4.30% | 元/兄 | | AG2604合约 | 24431 | 23019 | 1412 | 6.13% | 元/千克 | | PT2606合约 | 626.50 | 623.75 | 2.75 | 0.44% | | | | | | | | 元/完 | | PD2606合约 | 463.65 | 464.85 | -1.20 | -0.26% | | | 外盘期货收盘价 | | | | | | | 品和 | 3月2日 | 2月27日 | 张跌 | 氷跌幅 | 单位 | | COMEX黄金主力合约 | 5335.90 | 5296.40 | 39.50 | 0.75 ...

| 项目类别 | 数据指标 环比 数据指标 最新 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 铂金主力合约收盘价（日，元/克） 12.65↑ 钯金主力合约收盘价（日，元/克） 463.65 | 626.50 | +4.60↑ | | | 主力合约持仓量:铂金(日,手) -277.00↓ 主力合约持仓量:钯金(日,手) 3179.00 | 10387.00 | +90.00↑ | | 现货市场 | 上金所铂金现货价（Pt9995） -3.64↓ 长江钯金现货平均价 431.00 | 606.35 | 6.00↑ | | | 铂金主力合约基差(日,元/克) -16.29↓ 钯金主力合约基差(日,元/克) -32.65 | -20.15 | 1.40↑ | | 供需情况 | 铂金CFTC非商业多头持仓（周，张） 9966.00 -243.00↓ 钯金CFTC非商业多头持仓（周，张） 3003.00 | | -342.00↓ | | | 供应量:铂金:总计(年,吨):2025预计 -0.80↓ 供应量:钯金:总计(年,吨):2025预计 293.00 | 220.40 ...

产 业 服 务 研 究 商 品 研 究 2026 年 03 月 02 日 铂：小幅跟随黄金走强 钯：震荡为主 刘雨萱 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020476 liuyuxuan023982@gtjas.com 【基本面跟踪】 铂钯基本面数据 | | | 昨日收盘价 | | 涨幅 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 铂金期货2606 | 623.75 | | 5. 81% | | | | 金交所铂金 | 609. 99 | | 3.11% | | | | 纽约铂主连(前日) | 2376. 20 | | 3.97% | | | | 伦敦现货铂金(前日) | 2375. 70 | | 4. 13% | | | | 锂金期货2606 | 464. 85 | | 8. 09% | | | 价格 | 人民币现货包金 | 424. 00 | | -3.20% | | | | 纽约肥主连(前日) | 1.788.00 | | 1.02% | | | | 伦敦现货锂金(前日) | 1.784.50 | | -0. 08% | | | | | 昨日成交 | 较前日变动 | ...

铂钯周报 国泰君安期货研究所 有色及贵金属 刘雨萱 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020476 杨蕤（联系人）从业资格号：F03151404 日期：2026年03月01日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 铂、钯：避险情绪发酵，预计波动率提升，单边铂偏强 强弱分析：铂金偏强、钯金中性 价格区间：广铂主力560-700元/克、广钯主力410-510 元/克 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 数据来源：Wind、国泰君安期货研究所 2 铂钯本周表现较为强势或为此前在2月26日晨报种提及的市场受消息面牵动情绪偏乐观，铂金领涨，钯金跟随。本周伦敦现货铂金周涨幅为9.4%，广铂周涨幅 13.03%；伦敦现货钯金周涨幅为0.56%，广钯周涨幅6.02%。具体交易的消息为2月25日津巴布韦颁布限制原矿及锂精矿出口公告，由于津巴布韦是世界第三 大铂族金属资源国，引发了市场上对于铂族金属供应的担忧。但实际津巴布韦的PGM ...

商 品 研 究 2026 年 02 月 27 日 铂：箱体震荡 钯：高频数据偏弱 刘雨萱 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020476 liuyuxuan023982@gtjas.com 【基本面跟踪】 铂钯基本面数据 | | | 昨日收盘价 | | 涨幅 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 铂金期货2606 | 589. 50 | | 8. 18% | | | | 金交所铂金 | 591. 60 | | 1. 30% | | | | 纽约铂主连(前日) | 2285. 40 | | -0. 20% | | | | 伦敦现货铂金(前日) | 2281. 40 | | 0. 16% | | | | 纪金期货2606 | 446. 55 | | 3. 84% | | | 价格 | 人民币现货纪金 | 438. 00 | | 1. 39% | | | | 纽约肥主连(前日) | 1.817.00 | | 0. 61% | | | | 伦敦现货包金(前日) | 1.786.00 | | -0. 22% | | | | | 昨日成交 | 较前日变动 | 昨日持仓 | 较前 ...

行业 贵金属日评 日期 2026 年 02 月 27 日 宏观金融团队 研究员：何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 021-60635739 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3008762 研究员：黄雯昕(国债集运) 021-60635739 huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3051589 研究员：聂嘉怡(股指) 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03124070 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 一、贵金属行情及展望 日内行情： 美国关税政策变动带来的避险需求有所减退并削弱贵金属板块的上涨动能， 但美元指数偏弱回调支撑伦敦黄金在 5150-5200 美元/盎司区间附近企稳，美国总 统 3 月底访华消息推动人民币汇率走高进而抑制贵金属内盘价格。我们判断贵金 属中长期上涨驱动力不变，贵金属板块已有从 1 月底暴跌中恢复的迹象，建议投 资者继续持偏多思路参与交易；但波动性显著上升也加大了杠杆交易的风险，建 议投资者严格控制仓位以规避短期波动风险。本周关注美国关税政策、美伊谈 ...

| 项目类别 | 数据指标 环比 最新 | 最新 | 数据指标 | | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 铂金主力合约收盘价（日，元/克） 11.55↑ 钯金主力合约收盘价（日，元/克） | 589.50 | | 446.55 | -10.35↓ | | | 主力合约持仓量:铂金(日,手) -277.00↓ 主力合约持仓量:钯金(日,手) | 10387.00 | | 3179.00 | +90.00↑ | | 现货市场 | 7.58↑ 长江钯金现货平均价 上金所铂金现货价（Pt9995） | 591.60 | | 436.00 | 5.00↑ | | | 铂金主力合约基差(日,元/克) -3.97↓ 钯金主力合约基差(日,元/克) | 2.10 | | -10.55 | 15.35↑ | | 供需情况 | 铂金CFTC非商业多头持仓（周，张） 9966.00 -243.00↓ 钯金CFTC非商业多头持仓（周，张） | | | 3003.00 | -342.00↓ | | | 供应量:铂金:总计(年,吨):2025预计 -0.80↓ 供应量 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints of the Report - The precious metals market showed a slightly stronger trend with fluctuations on the day. The main contract of Shanghai Gold closed flat, Shanghai Silver rose 0.47%, Platinum rose 2%, and Palladium fell 2.27%. The short - term core logic is that while the trade - war risk has eased, geopolitical risks still exist. The US employment is strong and inflation pressure remains, with low expectations of interest - rate cuts. [1] - Trump's 10% global tariff has come into effect, and the White House plans to raise it to 15%. China will adjust counter - measures as appropriate. The US - Iran conflict risk still exists. [1] - The Fed's January meeting minutes showed great differences among policymakers on the future direction of interest rates, with discussions on the possibility of interest - rate hikes mentioned for the first time. The market expects the Fed to complete interest - rate cuts this year, with the next cut possibly in July. The US dollar index and US Treasury yields fluctuated weakly. [1] - The People's Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for 15 consecutive months. Silver is supported by tight supply, platinum has strong demand expectations for platinum - based catalysts in the hydrogen energy industry, and palladium has short - term demand resilience but faces long - term structural pressure in the fuel - vehicle market. The CRB commodity index fluctuated weakly, and the appreciation of the RMB was negative for domestic prices. [1] - It is expected that precious metals will show a slightly stronger trend with fluctuations in the short term, high - level fluctuations in the medium term, and a long - term bullish trend. [1] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Gold - **Strategy**: Conservative investors should wait and see, while aggressive investors can buy low and sell high. Good position management and strict stop - loss and take - profit are recommended. [2] - **Price Data**: International prices (Comex Gold and London Gold) increased, while domestic prices (Shanghai Gold main contract and Gold T + D) showed mixed trends. The basis and spreads also had different changes. [2] - **Position and Inventory**: Comex Gold and Shanghai Gold main contract positions decreased, while Gold T + D positions increased slightly. Inventory changes were relatively small. [2] - **Net Position Ranking**: The top 10 futures companies' net long and net short positions in Shanghai Gold on the Shanghai Futures Exchange had different changes. [3] Silver - **Strategy**: Similar to gold, conservative investors should wait and see, and aggressive investors can buy low and sell high with proper position management. [5] - **Price Data**: International prices (Comex Silver and London Silver) increased significantly, while domestic prices (Shanghai Silver main contract and Silver T + D) decreased. The basis and spreads changed greatly. [5] - **Position and Inventory**: Positions in Comex Silver, Shanghai Silver main contract, and Silver T + D all decreased. Inventory also decreased. [5] - **Net Position Ranking**: The top 10 futures companies' net long and net short positions in Shanghai Silver on the Shanghai Futures Exchange had different changes. [6] Platinum - **Strategy**: Conservative investors should wait and see, and aggressive investors can buy low and sell high with good position management. [7] - **Price Data**: International prices (NYMEX Platinum and London Platinum) had different trends, and domestic prices (Platinum main contract on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange and Platinum on the Shanghai Gold Exchange) increased. The basis and spreads changed. [8] - **Position and Inventory**: The position of NYMEX Platinum active contract decreased, and the inventory decreased slightly. [8] - **Net Position Ranking**: The top 10 futures companies' net long and net short positions in Platinum on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange had different changes. [9] Palladium - **Strategy**: Conservative investors should wait and see, and aggressive investors can buy low and sell high with proper position management. [10] - **Price Data**: International prices (NYMEX Palladium and London Palladium) increased, and the domestic price (Palladium main contract on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange) also increased. The basis and spreads changed. [10] - **Position and Inventory**: The position of NYMEX Palladium active contract decreased significantly, and the inventory decreased slightly. [10] Precious Metals Fundamental Key Data - **Monetary Attributes**: The Federal Reserve's relevant interest rates decreased, and the total assets decreased slightly. Key economic indicators such as M2, ten - year US Treasury real yield, and US dollar index had different changes. [11][13] - **US Economic Data**: GDP, unemployment rate, employment data, real estate market data, consumption data, industrial data, trade data, and economic survey data all showed different trends. [13] - **Central Bank Gold Reserves and IMF Foreign Exchange Reserves**: China's central bank gold reserves increased slightly, and the proportion of different currencies in IMF foreign exchange reserves changed. [13] - **Safe - Haven and Commodity Attributes**: The geopolitical risk index and VIX index decreased, and the CRB commodity index increased slightly. The offshore RMB exchange rate decreased slightly. [13] Fed's Latest Interest - Rate Expectations - The probability distribution of the Fed's interest - rate levels at different meetings from 2026 to 2027 is provided, showing the market's expectations of the Fed's interest - rate decisions. [15]

2026 年 02 月 26 日 铂：市场或受消息面提振情绪偏好 钯：跟随偏强 刘雨萱 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020476 liuyuxuan023982@gtjas.com 【基本面跟踪】 铂钯基本面数据 | | | 昨日收盘价 | | 涨幅 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 铂金期货2606 | 586. 00 | | 7.54% | | | | 金交所铂金 | 584. 02 | | 7. 14% | | | | 纽约铂主连(前日) | 2290.00 | | 5.11% | | | | 伦敦现货铂金(前日) | 2277.80 | | 4. 90% | | | | 纪金期货2606 | 457. 95 | | 6. 49% | | | | 人民币现货包金 | 432. 00 | | 0. 47% | | | 价格 | 纽约肥主连(前日) | 1.806.00 | | -0. 19% | | | | 伦敦现货纪金(前日) | 1.790.00 | | 0. 90% | | | | | 昨日成交 | 较前日变动 | 昨日持仓 | 较前日变动 | ...

行业 贵金属日评 日期 2026 年 02 月 26 日 宏观金融团队 研究员：何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 021-60635739 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3008762 研究员：黄雯昕(国债集运) 021-60635739 huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3051589 研究员：聂嘉怡(股指) 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03124070 请阅读正文后的声明 每日报告 一、贵金属行情及展望 日内行情： 特朗普政府暂未实施 15%的 122 条款临时关税，而且美伊形势展现出缓和可 能性，隔夜黄金冲高回落但仍大致维持在 5150 美元/盎司上方；市场初步消化美 国关税政策对宏观经济的负面冲击，工业需求预期修复以及关键矿产战略价值预 期推高银铂钯价格。我们判断贵金属中长期上涨驱动力不变，贵金属板块已有从 1 月底暴跌中恢复的迹象，建议投资者继续持偏多思路参与交易；但波动性显著 上升也加大了杠杆交易的风险，建议投资者严格控制仓位以规避短期波动风险。 ...