金融自由化
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以色列央行原行长独家专访:控通胀如何铸就“创业国家”传奇
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-10-30 11:44
Core Viewpoint - The independence of central banks is crucial for economic stability, especially in the current international context where political pressures can undermine effective monetary policy [1][14]. Group 1: Central Bank Independence - Central bank independence is essential for implementing necessary and sometimes difficult decisions, as political systems tend to focus on short-term goals [1][14]. - The independence of central banks allows for a long-term perspective in monetary policy, which is vital for sustainable economic outcomes [14][15]. Group 2: Israel's Economic Transformation - Israel's economic success in the 1990s was attributed to a comprehensive strategy that included stabilizing inflation, reducing budget deficits, developing capital markets, and enhancing exchange rate flexibility [2][12]. - The influx of highly skilled immigrants and improved geopolitical conditions contributed to Israel's transformation into a "startup nation," with high-tech exports accounting for over half of its total exports [2][12]. Group 3: Global Economic Governance - The shift from globalization to fragmentation is concerning, as countries are increasingly competing rather than cooperating, which can lead to unhealthy economic practices [6][8]. - China is recognized as a vital player in the global economy and should take on a larger role in global governance, responding to traditional systems' inadequacies [3][8]. Group 4: Emerging Markets Representation - Emerging markets have shown resilience and performed better than developed countries in recent years, but their representation in international institutions like the IMF does not reflect their economic weight [7][8]. - There is a growing recognition of the need to enhance the representation of emerging markets in global governance structures [7]. Group 5: Debt and Economic Stability - The accumulation of public debt is a long-term issue resulting from persistent budget and current account deficits, which can lead to systemic risks [9][10]. - Responsible government behavior and the development of robust capital markets are essential to manage high debt levels and maintain economic stability [10]. Group 6: Lessons from Israel - The experience of Israel in achieving price stability and economic openness can serve as a model for other emerging or middle-income economies [14][15]. - Effective public communication and building public support for monetary policy are critical for central banks to maintain their independence and achieve economic stability [15].
东京实力吊打全球,实力仅次于纽约,究竟靠什么赚钱?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-07 08:40
Economic Positioning - Tokyo ranks as the second largest city in the world by GDP, following New York, and holds the top position in Asia with a commercial land investment of $19.3 billion (approximately 2 trillion yen) [3] - The city has transformed from a small fishing village to a major economic center in just 80 years, contrasting with New York's 200-year ascent [5][8] Historical Development - Tokyo's rise began in the Edo period when the Tokugawa shogunate established the city as a political center, leading to its eventual prominence [7][8] - The Great Kanto Earthquake in 1923, which destroyed 60% of Tokyo's buildings, prompted a major urban reconstruction that modernized the city [12] Industrial and Financial Growth - Post-World War II, Tokyo experienced significant industrial growth, aided by the Korean War economic boom, and the establishment of the Shinkansen (bullet train) [12][13] - By the 1970s, Tokyo's financial sector began to internationalize, establishing itself as a global financial hub alongside New York and London [13][15] Current Economic Landscape - Despite the burst of Japan's real estate bubble, Tokyo's land prices remain high, reflecting its critical role in the global economy [16] - The city continues to face competition from other financial centers in the Asia-Pacific region, yet it maintains a strong competitive position [15][16]
冰冻三尺的美国产业空心化
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-09 12:36
Group 1 - The manufacturing sector's share of the US GDP has shrunk to 10%, a historical low, significantly below Japan (21%), Germany (18%), and South Korea (24%), as well as the global average of 15% [2] - The decline in manufacturing has led to severe wealth distribution imbalances, with the bottom 50% of households owning only 2.5% of national wealth, while national debt exceeds $36 trillion [3] - The core issue behind the manufacturing decline is a gap in technical capabilities and talent, with a shortage of 2.1 million skilled workers in the US manufacturing sector [3][10] Group 2 - The US manufacturing industry was once a global leader, producing ships and steel at unprecedented rates during World War II, with high worker benefits and a strong labor-innovation cycle [4] - The decline of US manufacturing began in the late 20th century due to financial liberalization policies that shifted corporate focus from technological innovation to maximizing shareholder value [5] - The financialization of manufacturing led to short-term profits but created systemic risks, culminating in the 2008 financial crisis, which severely impacted companies like General Electric [7][8] Group 3 - Current challenges for the US manufacturing sector include a significant skills gap, cost disadvantages due to aging infrastructure, and a fragmented supply chain [10][11] - Policies aimed at revitalizing manufacturing are often contradictory, such as promoting domestic production while simultaneously tightening immigration policies, which exacerbates labor shortages [11] - The historical rise and fall of US manufacturing highlight the importance of balancing technological innovation, labor rights, and capital returns, providing lessons for other countries like China [12]
债券“科技板”他山之石:从海外经验看我国科创债市场建设(发展历程篇)
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-13 04:06
Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - The development of science and technology innovation bonds (Sci - tech bonds) in the US, Japan, and Europe is mainly driven by relevant industrial policies, economic fundamentals, and the improvement of the bond market. In contrast, China has established a separate Sci - tech bond sector in the bond market and clearly regulates the Sci - tech attributes of issuers and projects. - Although China's Sci - tech bond market is still in its early stage of development globally, with continuous policy support, it is expected to expand rapidly in terms of market volume and align with mature overseas markets in terms of market structure [3]. Summary by Directory 1. US Sci - tech Bond Development History - 1950s - 1960s: The US Small Business Administration (SBA) established the Small Business Investment Company (SBIC) program in 1958 to support small innovative enterprises [1][10]. - 1970s - 1980s: There was a boom in high - yield bond issuance. Start - ups in emerging industries mainly issued high - yield bonds for leveraged buyouts, with most Sci - tech enterprises in the high - yield bond market being electronic communication, computer hardware, and software start - ups [1][12]. - 1990s: The US information technology developed rapidly. The 144A rule issued by the SEC in 1990 improved the liquidity and pricing efficiency of Sci - tech bonds. The development of risk - management derivatives such as CDS promoted the large - scale and mature development of the high - yield bond market, and start - ups in Sci - tech industries such as new energy vehicles, computers, and communications rose [1][15]. - Early 2000s: After the burst of the Internet bubble, the issuance of Sci - tech bonds in the communication and semiconductor industries declined, but the biomedical field became a new growth point for Sci - tech bond issuance from 2000 - 2005 [1]. - 2008 - 2015: After the financial crisis, in a low - interest - rate environment, technology companies at various stages issued long - term low - interest bonds, and the issuance of Sci - tech bonds continued to rise [1]. - Since 2015: With the strengthening of bond market supervision in the US, the supporting systems for Sci - tech bonds have gradually improved, promoting Sci - tech enterprise bonds to become an important part of the US credit bond market [1]. 2. Japanese Sci - tech Bond Development History - Late 1970s - early 1980s: Japan's economic growth slowed down, and the government increased support for the information and electronics industries. After a series of financial liberalization measures, the Sci - tech bond market became active [1][20]. - Late 1980s: To mitigate the impact of exchange - rate fluctuations, Japan increased support for export industries such as electronics. Emerging industries turned to bond issuance for financing, but the number of issuances did not increase significantly due to the under - development of the capital market [21]. - Early 1990s: After the economic bubble burst, the Japanese government protected high - tech industries. In 1996, the corporate bond issuance market was fully liberalized, but the real - estate crisis led to a preference for high - rated bonds among investors, and the Sci - tech bond market was sluggish [22]. - Since the 21st century: In a low - interest - rate environment, Japanese technology companies prefer bank loans or issuing bonds in the international market, and the Sci - tech bond market has remained sluggish [22]. 3. European Sci - tech Bond Development History - Before the 21st century: Due to differences in fiscal policies and industrial structures among EU member states, the bond market was fragmented, and the issuance of Sci - tech bonds was limited [25]. - After the 21st century: With the acceleration of the EU bond market integration process and the implementation of the Lisbon Strategy in 2000, the bond market showed more interest in high - tech and high - growth enterprises, and the issuance of Sci - tech bonds became more active [25]. - Since 2010: The establishment of the European Private Placement Platform (ECPP) in 2015 provided a simple financing channel for start - up high - tech enterprises. The European Central Bank's Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP) in 2020 increased the issuance of Sci - tech bonds [2][26]. 4. Comparison of Policy Trends between Overseas and Domestic Sci - tech Bonds - In the US, Japan, and Europe, there is no separate "Sci - tech bond" sector in the bond market guided by policies. The development of Sci - tech bonds is mainly driven by industrial policies, economic cycles, and bond - market improvement. In China, a separate Sci - tech bond sector has been established, with clear regulations on the Sci - tech attributes of issuers and projects [3]. - The US Sci - tech bond market has a relatively long history of development and is now an important part of the credit bond market. In Japan and Europe, the development of Sci - tech bonds started later. In recent years, the issuance of European Sci - tech bonds has been increasing, while the Japanese market has been sluggish. China's Sci - tech bond market is in the stage of continuous innovation and market upgrading [29][30][31].