Core Viewpoint - The gold market is currently experiencing a wide range of fluctuations, indicating a shift in momentum and a potential for a trading range rather than a clear trend direction [1][3]. Technical Analysis - On Tuesday, gold traded within a range of 4235 to 4166, showing a pattern of initial decline followed by a rise, which suggests a lack of strong continuation in either direction [3]. - The daily closing price for gold was 4217, while silver closed at 58.2, indicating a continuation of the bullish trend despite the observed fluctuations [3]. - The H4 timeframe shows a convergence of Bollinger Bands and moving averages around the mid-band, suggesting limited movement within the range of 4260 to 4150 [4]. - The 10-day moving average is a critical support level; if it holds, gold is likely to continue its upward trend, but a break could lead to lower targets around 4120 or lower [4]. Trading Strategy - The domestic gold market has seen two profitable trades this week, with a focus on short-term fluctuations rather than long-term positions due to the high price levels [5]. - For domestic gold, key levels to watch are 970 on the upside and 955 on the downside, while for domestic silver, the focus is on the resistance at 59 and support at 56.5 [5]. - The international silver market remains strong, with a closing price of 58.5, and traders are advised to monitor for potential changes in trend over the coming days [5][6]. Market Conditions - The international crude oil market is currently stable, closing at 58.5, with expectations of potential upward movement if it surpasses the 61 mark [6]. - Domestic fuel oil is trading at 2450, with no significant changes observed, and a focus on establishing a bottom above 2530 is emphasized [6].

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market is currently testing the 4000 level multiple times without breaking through, showing a potential for bottom formation despite appearing weak after a decline [2] - The geopolitical environment, Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and central bank purchases of gold are all contributing to a long-term bullish outlook for gold [2] - Recent fluctuations in gold prices have shown significant volatility, with movements of over 100 dollars, indicating a fierce tug-of-war between bulls and bears [4] Group 2: Silver Market Insights - Silver is currently showing weak performance but may be forming a bottom around the 47.5 level, requiring more time to confirm a bullish reversal [2] - The international silver market has seen minor fluctuations, with a recent low maintained at 47.5 and a closing price of 48.2, suggesting potential for upward movement if it breaks above 50 [5] - Domestic silver prices have rebounded slightly, with a focus on stabilizing above the 11500 level to confirm further bullish potential [5] Group 3: Oil Market Overview - The oil market is currently observing support levels at 56 and 55, with potential for bullish trades if these levels hold [6] - Recent upward movements in oil prices have reached around 60, indicating a confirmed rebound, with targets set for higher levels around 63 [6] - Domestic fuel oil has shown a recovery, with a recent support level at 2600 and a closing price around 2720, suggesting continued bullish sentiment [6]

Core Viewpoint - The strong performance of the US dollar is suppressing gold prices, with the market awaiting the impact of non-farm payroll data [1][3][4] Group 1: Market Data and Trends - Recent data including ADP, unemployment claims, and PCE have been favorable for the dollar and unfavorable for gold, contributing to the dollar's significant rise this year, nearing the 100 mark [3][4] - Gold and silver have been under pressure, failing to establish a strong upward trend despite attempts at rebounds [3][4] - The upcoming non-farm payroll data is expected to influence the relationship between the dollar and gold, with a focus on whether a negative correlation will emerge [3][5] Group 2: Technical Analysis - Gold is currently in a weak consolidation phase, with key resistance levels at 3315 and 3345, and support levels at 3280 and 3260 [4][5] - The market anticipates a range-bound movement for gold before the non-farm data release, with a trading range set between 3280 and 3315 [5] - The previous non-farm payroll figure was 147,000, with a forecast of 110,000, suggesting that if actual data aligns closely with predictions, the impact on gold may be limited [5] Group 3: Domestic Market Insights - Domestic gold prices have shown a continuation of weak trends, with recent fluctuations failing to establish a clear upward trajectory [5] - The Shanghai gold contract is currently trading around 772, with a medium-term bullish outlook targeting 790 [5] - The silver market is also under pressure, with a critical support level at 36, and potential for a rebound if this level holds [6] Group 4: Oil Market Overview - International crude oil has successfully risen to 70, with previous long positions yielding significant profits [6] - The overall bullish trend in oil remains intact, with potential upward targets set at 72 or higher [6] - Domestic fuel oil has shown an upward trend, with a focus on maintaining positions above 3000 [7]

Group 1 - The overall trend for gold remains bullish despite recent fluctuations, with key resistance levels at 3355 and potential targets at 3380, 3400, and 3430 [2][3] - The market is expected to react to upcoming non-farm data, with a focus on the continuation of bullish or bearish trends following the data release [3] - Technical analysis indicates that gold has not shown significant downward momentum, with support around 3285 and resistance at 3400, suggesting a range-bound movement before data impacts [3][4] Group 2 - Domestic gold trading strategies have been adjusted, with previous positions taken at high points and new entries suggested around 776 for Shanghai gold and 770 for Rongtong gold, maintaining a bullish outlook [4] - International silver is expected to maintain its bullish trend as long as it does not break below 37.5, with trading opportunities around the 38 level [4] - Shanghai silver is also projected to follow a bullish trend, with key levels to watch at 9400 and 9550, indicating a preference for long positions [5] Group 3 - International crude oil has shown limited volatility, with support at 65 and potential upward movement if this level holds, targeting 68 as a breakout point [5] - Domestic fuel oil is in a similar state of low volatility, with a focus on maintaining long positions around 2850, anticipating a rise to 3000 and eventually 3200 [5]

Core Viewpoint - The market is currently experiencing volatility in gold prices, with both bullish and bearish opportunities available as traders await the release of PCE data, which may influence gold's movement [1][3]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold has shown significant oscillation this week, lacking a clear trend, making it challenging for mid to long-term analysts to secure profits without risking losses [3]. - The recent trading day saw gold prices rise to around 3350 before falling to a low of 3310, indicating a lack of strong directional movement [4]. - The overall trend for gold remains bullish as long as it does not drop below 3280, with key resistance levels at 3355 and support levels at 3310 and 3295 [4][5]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver prices have not yet completed their upward movement, with expectations for further increases, particularly targeting around 37 [3][5]. - After a recent profit-taking at 35.2, silver has shown potential for further gains, with a current trading price around 36.7 and a target of 37 for potential short positions [5][6]. Domestic Market Insights - Domestic gold prices have remained stable, with expectations for upward movement, particularly for Shanghai gold, which is projected to reach around 795 [5]. - The domestic silver market has also shown positive movement, with recent trades indicating a bullish trend as long as support at 35.2 holds [5][6]. Oil Market Overview - International crude oil has shown limited movement, maintaining a bullish trend with support at 64, but future price movements will depend on market news and developments [6]. - Domestic fuel oil has experienced adjustments but is still viewed as bullish in the long term, with potential targets of 3000 to 3200 [7].