黄金储备战略
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中国加速接盘俄罗斯黄金,不是简单买卖,而是金融安全的先手妙棋
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-28 06:51
你以为中俄之间激增的黄金交易,只是简单的"卖家找买家"?答案可能超出你的想象。最新通关数据显示,今年前11个月俄罗斯对华黄金出口额直接冲到19 亿美元,较去年同期暴涨近10倍,尤其是11月单月就入账9.61亿美元,而去年这个时候,这笔交易还是零。一组悬殊数据的背后,藏着的是大国金融博弈的 深层布局。 要搞懂这盘棋,得先问个关键问题:俄罗斯的黄金,为啥非要千里迢迢卖到中国?答案很现实,西方的封锁把路堵死了。地缘冲突升级后,西方不仅冻结了 俄罗斯近3000亿欧元的外汇储备,还把俄罗斯黄金踢出了伦敦、纽约等主流交易市场。这就好比手里攥着一堆硬通货,却进不了正规菜市场,根本换不来急 需的现金流。前线要开支、国内民生要保障,俄罗斯必须找个靠谱的"新市场",而中国,就是他们最稳妥的选择。 可能有人会问,中国为什么要"争分夺秒"地接盘?看看全球央行的动作就明白了。世界黄金协会的调查显示,95%的受访央行都认为,未来一年会继续增持 黄金,还有近43%已经明确了加仓计划。高盛更是预测,到2026年底,金价可能会涨到4900美元一盎司。核心逻辑其实很简单,2022年俄罗斯外汇储备被冻 结的教训,让全球都看清了一个道理:只有存放在 ...
美国罕见承认:中美已平起平坐!特朗普访华前,中方亮出黄金底牌
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-10 08:51
特朗普还没开始访华,美国政府就已经罕见地承认,中美两国的实力如今已不分上下。就在这一关键时 刻,中国央行公布了一份非常引人注目的成绩单——连续13个月增持黄金。这一动作背后,传递出的信 息远比黄金本身更为深远。根据观察者网的报道,美国最近悄然发布了新版《国家安全战略》,其核心 内容可以用四个字来概括:美国优先。这也是特朗普政府治国方略的精简版。报告中,最引人注目的一 点便是美国首次对中国定位升级。报告坦言,中国经过迅猛的发展,已经成为与美国实力几乎平等的大 国。在33页的报告中,有6页专门聚焦中国,但其语气的微妙变化颇具深意。报告将中国定位为主要经 济竞争对手和贸易伙伴,而非主要威胁或最严峻挑战。 从长期来看,战略定力变得尤为关键。美国部分力量的撤退在全球范围内可能会产生权力真空,国际社 会或许会有所期待,但中国必须保持冷静。历史反复证明,战略透支是大国衰退的开始。如果盲目填补 所有空白,四处承担超出自身能力的责任,最终可能耗尽国家的力量。中国的崛起之路,关键在于根据 自身的节奏稳步推进,做好自己的事,夯实国家综合实力。就在这一敏感的国际背景下,中国央行选择 在同一时刻更新了相关数据,吸引了全球金融市场的广泛 ...
首次突破3000亿美元大关!连续第4个月刷新纪录,俄黄金储备飙至历史新高,全球排第五
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 05:54
从占比上看,目前黄金储备占俄国际储备总量的42%,创下1995年以来的最高比例。世界黄金协会上月将俄罗斯列为全球第五大黄金投资 国,排名前四的分别是美国、德国、意大利和法国。 根据俄罗斯央行的数据显示,截至今年12月1日,俄罗斯黄金储备的市场价值飙升至历史新高,达3107亿美元,连续第4个月刷新最高纪 录。这也是俄罗斯黄金储备的市场价值首次突破3000亿美元的大关。数据显示,俄罗斯在过去一年内的黄金投资增加了创纪录的920亿美 元。 ▲俄罗斯黄金储备的市场价值飙升至历史新高,达3107亿美元 资料图片 有分析认为,这说明在全球金融环境持续动荡的背景下,俄罗斯在继续实施黄金储备战略。 俄央行上月表示,近年来由于黄金流动性增强,其黄金交易量有所上升。俄乌冲突爆发后,西方对俄实施了严厉的经济制裁。在这样的背 景下,俄罗斯已经在2023年将美元、欧元和其他西方国家的货币从其财政储备的货币结构中剔除,而黄金则成了俄重要的财政储备形式。 据此前报道,印度央行也已大幅增加其在国内的黄金储备比例,在本财年上半年(4月至9月)期间,已将约64吨黄金运回国内(红星新闻 相关报道>>)。摩根大通CEO杰米·戴蒙10月预计,在当下关 ...
中国为什么要将黄金存入美国,不放在自己的国库中,万一赖账了该咋办?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-29 01:18
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rationale behind why China, despite having significant gold reserves, stores a portion of its gold in the United States, emphasizing that this practice is standard among many countries for reasons of security, liquidity, and international trust [1][3][10]. Group 1: Reasons for Storing Gold Abroad - Gold is a valuable asset that requires secure storage; keeping all gold domestically poses risks from potential wars, natural disasters, or political upheaval [3][4]. - Storing gold in the U.S. Federal Reserve's vault provides high security due to advanced protective measures and is considered one of the safest places globally [3][4]. - Liquidity is enhanced by having gold stored in the U.S., allowing for quick access for international trade settlements without the need for physical transportation [3][4]. Group 2: Ownership and Legal Considerations - The ownership of gold stored in the Federal Reserve is clearly defined, with detailed records and annual audits ensuring transparency [4][7]. - Contracts govern the storage of foreign gold in the U.S., binding both parties legally; any breach could lead to international litigation, impacting the U.S.'s legal reputation [6][10]. - Historical context shows that the U.S. has maintained its credibility in gold storage, as evidenced by its refusal to deny access to gold during past crises [9][10]. Group 3: Strategic and Economic Implications - Storing gold abroad reflects a balance between maintaining sufficient reserves for financial stability and ensuring liquidity for quick access [7][11]. - China's decision to store gold in the U.S. signifies its commitment to participating in the international financial system and adhering to established rules [10][11]. - The practice of diversifying gold storage across countries helps maintain international stability and prevents any single nation from exerting excessive power [9][10].
中美俄黄金储备量:美8133吨,俄2350吨,中国让人没想到
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-29 02:41
Core Viewpoint - Gold has evolved from a mere precious metal to a strategic asset in the geopolitical landscape, serving as a foundation for financial security and a symbol of safety for the public, particularly among the U.S., Russia, and China [4]. Group 1: U.S. Strategy - Post-World War II, the U.S. controlled 75% of global gold reserves and established the dollar's status as the world's currency through the Bretton Woods system [3]. - The U.S. holds 8,133 tons of gold, with approximately 70% stored in the New York Federal Reserve, which underpins the dollar's credibility despite a national debt of $36 trillion [3]. - The U.S. restricts other countries from accessing their gold reserves, maintaining its hegemonic position in the global financial system [3]. Group 2: Russian Strategy - Russia views gold as a tool to counter Western sanctions, significantly increasing its gold reserves from 400 tons to 2,350 tons over ten years [6]. - Following the 2022 Ukraine conflict, Russia converted its dollar reserves into gold, reducing its dollar asset share from 40% to below 11% [6]. - Russia's annual gold production of 300 tons helps create a "golden moat," allowing it to bypass the SWIFT system and stabilize the ruble [6]. Group 3: Chinese Strategy - China, with official gold reserves of 2,298.55 tons, has been increasing its gold holdings for eight consecutive months while selling off $400 billion in U.S. Treasury bonds [8]. - The country aims to reduce its reliance on the dollar and promote the internationalization of the renminbi [8]. - China's vast informal gold reserves exceed 12,000 tons, reflecting a cultural inclination towards gold as a means of financial security, with an average of 7.86 grams of gold held per person [8]. Group 4: Overall Importance of Gold - Gold plays distinct roles in the strategies of the U.S., Russia, and China, with the U.S. using it to maintain dominance, Russia to resist sanctions, and China to foster financial independence [10]. - As a value storage method transcending monetary systems, gold's significance is amplified during global turmoil, representing both national strategy and personal wealth preservation [10].