国内黄金市场近期表现强劲，完全符合前期预期。沪金最高触及1010元/克，融通金最高达到1000元/ 克。回顾上周布局，沪金在976、988元/克，以及融通金在966、978元/克的多单均取得较好收益。在价 格冲高至阶段性高点后，建议根据持仓情况适当减仓，同时保留部分仓位以捕捉后续行情。 在马杜罗被捕两天后，华盛顿对后续战略仍不明朗。白宫称行动属执法性质，非政权更迭，但特朗普偏 好戏剧性打击，可能在经济崩溃的委内瑞拉面临严峻考验。罗德里格斯被视为关键人物，美方相信她会 听从指令，否则将面临军事行动威胁。 罗德里格斯态度已由最初谴责转为表示愿与美国合作。美国除军事选项外，还可利用解除制裁、冻结资 产等经济杠杆施压。分析认为，她在平衡对马杜罗事件的立场与推行亲美政策之间任务艰巨。 目前，美方设想后续工作以远程方式进行，并可能重开驻加拉加斯使馆，但面临委内瑞拉内部权力斗争 及亲马杜罗势力武装存在的挑战。 【最新黄金期货行情解析】 今日周二（1月6日）亚盘时段，黄金期货目前交投于1004附近，截至发稿，黄金期货暂1004.58元/克， 涨幅1.23%，最高触及1004.88元/克，最低下探991.60元/克。目前来看， ...

北京时间1月5日上午，现货黄金日内一度大涨2.00%，最高触及4420美元/盎司。 新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 责任编辑：朱赫楠 北京时间1月5日上午，现货黄金日内一度大涨2.00%，最高触及4420美元/盎司。 新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 责任编辑：朱赫楠 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 ...

Core Viewpoint - The international gold market is currently experiencing a slight downward trend, with prices fluctuating around $4,127.63 per ounce, reflecting a decrease of 0.13% [1]. Group 1: Gold Supply and Demand - Gold production is stable, with a total above-ground gold supply projected to reach 216,000 tons by 2024, and a compound annual growth rate of 1.5% from 1960 to 2024 [2]. - The main demand drivers for gold are central bank purchases, investment, and jewelry manufacturing, with central bank purchases becoming a key driver in recent years [2]. - In 2024, the demand structure is expected to consist of 24% from central banks, 26% from investments, and 44% from jewelry manufacturing, with the remainder from technology [2]. - Central bank gold purchases increased from 450 tons in 2021 to 1,089 tons in 2024, while investment demand rose from 1,107 tons to 1,181 tons during the same period [2]. - However, central bank purchases have started to decline as gold prices rise, with a 13% year-on-year decrease in the first three quarters of 2025 [2]. Group 2: Market Trends and Technical Analysis - The gold market exhibited significant volatility recently, with prices initially rising before facing resistance around the 4,100 mark, then rebounding from a strong support level at 4,087 [4]. - The market is expected to continue its upward trend, with key focus areas being the upper line and upper channel region on the daily chart [4]. - Current support levels for gold are concentrated around 4,105 and 4,117 [5].

Group 1 - The core point of the news is the performance of gold prices, with spot gold declining by 0.26% to $4066.21 per ounce and a weekly cumulative drop of 0.44% [1] - COMEX gold futures increased by 0.10% to $4064.20 per ounce, but experienced a weekly cumulative decline of 0.73% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing extreme volatility, raising questions about whether it has reached a turning point and what larger shifts may be forthcoming [1] Market Dynamics - Recent fluctuations in gold prices have been dramatic, with prices dropping from $4025 to $3945, and domestic prices falling from over 1000 to just above 900 [3] - Despite the loss of confidence among retail investors, central banks continue to buy gold, with China increasing its reserves by several tons over three months, indicating a long-term value recognition [3] - The Federal Reserve's monetary policy, currently at a 3.75% interest rate, adds uncertainty to the gold market, contributing to its volatility [3] Investor Behavior - Investor experiences vary widely, with some suffering significant losses while others profit through strategic buying at lower prices [4] - A specific investor strategy involves buying when prices dip and selling during rebounds, demonstrating the potential for profit even in a volatile market [4] Technical Analysis - The technical outlook for gold is concerning, with a two-week decline in weekly prices and a critical support level at $3850; a breach of this level could lead to further declines [4] - The largest gold fund recently reduced its holdings by four tons, and a decrease in trading volume has raised suspicions among market participants [4] - Current gold prices are fluctuating between $3960 and $4045, with a focus on the $4030 weekly closing price as a potential pivot point [4] Future Outlook - The future trajectory of gold prices remains uncertain, heavily influenced by the Federal Reserve's policy decisions; a failure to lower interest rates could lead to a sharp decline in prices [5] - Historical precedents show that unexpected events, such as government shutdowns, can lead to significant price increases, adding to the unpredictability of the market [5] - Investors are advised to adopt cautious strategies, including phased buying and strict stop-loss measures, while closely monitoring key price levels to navigate the volatile gold market [5]

Group 1: Gold Market - The gold market experienced a significant decline last week, with spot gold closing down $138.26, a drop of 3.25%, ending at $4,112.65 [1] - Currently, gold is trading around $4,036, indicating continued downward pressure [1] Group 2: U.S. Economic Indicators - The total U.S. national debt has surpassed $38 trillion, with a recent downgrade of the U.S. sovereign credit rating from "AA" to "AA-" by Scope Ratings due to deteriorating public finances and governance standards [6] - The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a 25 basis point rate cut, bringing the target range to 3.75%-4% during its meeting on October 28-29 [9] - There is uncertainty regarding the release of inflation data next month due to a government shutdown, which could complicate the Fed's decision-making process [10] Group 3: International Relations and Conflicts - Pakistan's defense minister warned of "full-scale war" if no agreement is reached during talks with Afghanistan in Istanbul [14] - The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine has escalated, with Russia targeting Ukrainian defense and energy infrastructure, leading to temporary power outages in Ukraine [16] - A joint statement from multiple Western nations, including Canada and the EU, emphasized support for Ukraine and the need for a ceasefire [17]

Core Insights - The recent surge in gold prices has become a hot topic among investors and consumers, driven by international geopolitical changes and complex global economic fluctuations [1] - The gold market is experiencing significant activity, with reports of a rush to purchase gold at retail outlets, indicating heightened consumer interest [1] Market Dynamics - Gold prices have shown extreme volatility, with reports of prices fluctuating from 980 to 1018 per gram within a single day, reflecting a rollercoaster-like experience for buyers [2] - The psychological tendency of consumers to buy during price increases is evident, as many fear missing out on potential gains, leading to a surge in purchases [4] Consumer Sentiment - Online discussions reveal mixed sentiments, with some consumers expressing concerns about the sustainability of gold's value and potential future market corrections [4] - The perception that gold serves as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty remains strong, with many believing it has long-term value despite short-term volatility [6]

Core Viewpoint - The market is currently focused on the impact of the upcoming CPI data on gold and silver prices, with expectations of potential volatility based on the data's outcome [5][6][7]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold opened at 3395 and dropped to a low of 3342, completing the anticipated adjustment range after a previous rise from 3268 to 3410 [5][6]. - The key levels to watch are 3370 for resistance and 3320 for support, with potential movements depending on whether the CPI data is favorable or unfavorable [5][6]. - The overall trend remains bullish, with expectations that if the CPI data is positive, gold could rise to 3390, while negative data could push it down to 3320 [5][6]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver has shown a rebound after reaching a low of 37.5, which is seen as a support level, and further movements will depend on the CPI data [7]. - The resistance levels for silver are at 38.5 and 39.5, while a break below 37.5 could lead to a decline towards 36 [7]. Oil Market Analysis - International crude oil showed a slight rebound, reaching a high of 64.4, indicating a low-level consolidation phase [8]. - The support level for oil is at 63.5, and a sustained move above 66 is necessary to confirm a bullish trend towards 70 [8]. - Domestic fuel oil is recommended to maintain a bullish stance, with a target of 3000, while holding positions above 2800 [8].

Gold Market Analysis - The gold market experienced significant volatility this week, with daily price fluctuations exceeding 100 points on multiple occasions [1][2][4] - On Monday, gold prices surged from 3331 to 3430, marking a rise of 100 points [1] - Tuesday saw gold reach a historical high of 3499.9 before dropping to 3369, resulting in a decline of 130 points [1] - Wednesday opened with a 60-point drop, followed by a rise to 3386 and a subsequent fall to 3260, showcasing a volatility of over 120 points [2] - Thursday's market showed some recovery, with prices opening at 3287 and rising to 3367, an increase of 80 points [3] - On Friday, gold fluctuated from 3349 to 3370 before retreating to 3265, with a volatility exceeding 100 points [4] - Weekly analysis indicates a bearish sentiment for the upcoming week, as the K-line formed a star cross with a longer upper shadow than lower shadow [6] - Anticipated corrections may lead to a potential decline of 200 points next week, coinciding with the release of non-farm payroll data, which could introduce further market volatility [6] Silver Market Analysis - The silver market also displayed notable fluctuations this week, with a bullish trend on Monday followed by a bearish trend on Tuesday, where prices oscillated between 33.1 and 32.2 [9] - Wednesday marked a significant rally, with prices dropping to a low of 32.07 before rebounding to a high of 33.65, followed by a period of consolidation [9] - Thursday and Friday saw silver prices stabilize within a range of 33.15 to 33.66 [9] - The weekly closing pattern indicates a strong potential for bearish momentum in the silver market for the upcoming week, as evidenced by the formation of a large bullish candle with a longer upper shadow [9]