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EDA出口管制解除,对中国半导体影响几何?
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-05 12:59
Core Viewpoint - The recent lifting of the EDA export ban by the U.S. government is a significant development for the Chinese semiconductor industry, allowing access to advanced EDA technologies and potentially accelerating chip design capabilities and high-end chip development [6][24]. Group 1: EDA Export Ban and Its Lifting - The U.S. government lifted the export ban on EDA software for Chinese companies, with Siemens, Synopsys, and Cadence resuming their services [6][7]. - The original ban was imposed on May 29, 2025, targeting EDA tools related to AI chip development and entities on the entity list [8]. - U.S. companies dominate the global EDA market, holding a combined market share of 74% as of 2024, with over 80% in the Chinese EDA market [9]. Group 2: Importance of EDA - EDA, or Electronic Design Automation, is crucial for chip design, encompassing tools for design, layout, and verification, significantly impacting the success rate and cost of chip production [13][14]. - The complexity and high costs associated with chip design necessitate the use of EDA tools to minimize errors and reduce losses [13][14]. Group 3: Challenges for Domestic EDA - Domestic EDA companies face significant challenges, including a lack of comprehensive EDA toolchains and a gap in advanced process support, particularly for nodes below 3nm [21]. - The Chinese EDA industry has historically been slow to develop due to limited investment and reliance on foreign technologies [16][17]. Group 4: Future Implications of the Ban Lifting - The lifting of the EDA export ban may lead to a rapid resumption of collaboration between Chinese semiconductor firms and international EDA giants, potentially accelerating high-end chip design projects [25]. - However, there is a risk that increased reliance on imported EDA tools could weaken the motivation to develop domestic alternatives [25][26]. - To achieve true technological independence, the Chinese semiconductor industry must prioritize the development and adoption of domestic EDA solutions [26].
成交额逼近3亿元,信创板块热度持续飙升,聚焦信创ETF(562570)布局机遇
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-05 03:09
聚焦信息技术自主可控领域的信创ETF(562570)早盘走强,现涨近1%,截至发稿,成交额逼近3亿 元。 信创板块投资热度飙升,核心驱动因素或围绕以下几个方面: 1、稳定币站上风口。稳定币的底层技术(区块链、跨境清算系统)需要信息技术高度安全并且自主可 控,我国需避免在金融基础设施上依赖海外技术。因此稳定币的推广,倒逼国产化技术(如操作系统、 数据库、安全加密)的加速渗透。 2、EDA催化国产化替代。美国限制EDA工具出口,给国产EDA厂商提供了宝贵的发展契机。华大九 天、概伦电子等国内EDA领军企业通过并购整合等方式快速提升自身实力,力求在这一关键领域实现 技术突破和市场占有率的提升。 3、海光信息&中科曙光战略重组。两大国产算力龙头或拉开并购整合序幕,助力国产半导体设备企业 从重复性较高的单点竞争发展为更良性的平台竞争。值得关注的是,海光信息、中科曙光均位列中证信 创指数前十大权重股,合计权重超10%。 或由于两大算力龙头海光信息&中科曙光合并、稳定币草案通过、华为鸿蒙PC发布等多个重磅事件催 化,信创板块热度持续飙升。重仓软件开发行业的信创ETF(562570)跟踪的中证信创指数,覆盖基础 硬件、基础软 ...
计算机行业周报:国产EDA有望加速发展,产业空间广阔
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-06-03 04:15
[Table_Main] 行业研究|信息技术|软件与服务 证券研究报告 计算机行业周报 2025 年 06 月 03 日 [Table_Title] 国产 EDA 有望加速发展,产业空间广阔 ——计算机行业周报 [Table_Summary] 报告要点: 本周(2025.5.26-2025.5.30)市场回顾 1) 本周(2025.5.26-2025.5.30)计算机(申万)指数上涨 1.77%,扭转 了前两周持续下跌的趋势,位居涨幅榜第五。本周上证指数下跌 0.03%,深证成指下跌 0.91%,创业板指下跌 1.40%。 2) 细分板块方面,申万二级行业指数:计算机设备(801101.SL)、软件 开发(801104.SL)、IT 服务Ⅱ(801103.SL)涨跌幅分别为 2.14%、 2.04%、1.18%,均呈现上涨趋势。 本周重点公告 1) 新国都发布《2025 年股票期权激励计划(草案)》:本计划授予的 股票期权所涉及的标的股票总数为 1900 万股,占本激励计划草案公 告时公司股本总额 567299123 股的 3.35%,本计划授予的股票期权 的行权价格为 25 元/份,行权考核年度为 2025 ...
TMT行业周报(5月第5周):关注海外AI链估值修复-20250603
Century Securities· 2025-06-03 01:34
Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook on the TMT sector, suggesting a focus on the recovery of overseas AI chain valuations [3]. Core Insights - Nvidia's B series shipments exceeded expectations, with Q1 FY26 revenue reaching $44 billion, surpassing guidance of $43 billion. The company anticipates Q2 FY26 revenue guidance of $45 billion (±2%). The acceleration in B series shipments is expected to boost the industry's overall outlook, particularly for domestic Nvidia supply chain companies [3]. - The DeepSeek-R1 model update has significantly improved reasoning performance, placing it among the top tier globally. The new model shows a 20% and 15% improvement in mathematical and programming capabilities, respectively, while still having limitations in multimodal recognition [3]. - The domestic EDA (Electronic Design Automation) industry is expected to accelerate its localization process due to potential service halts from U.S. semiconductor software suppliers. This could lead to increased market share for domestic companies [3]. Market Weekly Review - The TMT sector's performance from May 26 to May 30 showed a positive trend, with the computer sector up by 1.77%, media by 1.74%, and communication by 1.53%. The overall TMT sector outperformed the CSI 300 index, which declined by 1.08% [3][5]. - The top-performing sub-industries included vertical application software and other computer equipment, both up by 3.01%, while the optical components and brand consumer electronics sectors faced declines of 2.99% and 1.84%, respectively [3][5]. Industry News and Key Company Announcements - The report highlights significant events in the AI sector, including the upcoming global AI technology conference and various product launches from major companies like Apple and Tesla [17]. - DeepSeek's R1 model has been updated, enhancing its reasoning capabilities and narrowing the gap with leading international models [19]. - The report notes that the Chinese government is actively promoting AI integration in industrial applications, with financial support for companies developing industry-leading AI models [22].
TMT行业周报(5月第5周):关注海外AI链估值修复
Century Securities· 2025-06-03 01:23
Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on the recovery of overseas AI chain valuations, indicating a positive outlook for the TMT sector [1]. Core Insights - The TMT sector outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, with notable gains in the computer and media industries [3]. - Nvidia's B series shipments exceeded expectations, with Q1 FY26 revenue reaching $44 billion, surpassing guidance [3]. - The release of the updated DeepSeek-R1 model positions it among the top global models, showcasing significant improvements in reasoning capabilities [3]. - The acceleration of domestic EDA (Electronic Design Automation) processes is anticipated due to potential service halts from U.S. semiconductor software suppliers [3]. Market Weekly Review - The TMT sector's performance from May 26 to May 30 showed a rise in computer (1.77%), media (1.74%), and communication (1.53%) industries, while electronics saw a decline of 0.59% [3][5]. - The top-performing sub-industries included vertical application software and other computer equipment, both rising by 3.01% [3][5]. Industry News and Key Company Announcements - Nvidia's financial report indicated a strong outlook for Q2 FY26, with expected revenue guidance of $45 billion [3][26]. - The DeepSeek-R1 model's update enhances its reasoning performance, now ranking between Gemini 2.5 Pro and OpenAI-o3 [3][19]. - The potential U.S. ban on EDA software services could accelerate the domestic EDA industry's growth, with a market share currently dominated by three foreign companies [3][19].
国产EDA崛起,华大九天、概伦电子股价大涨,什么领域还需突破?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-29 13:40
每经记者|朱成祥 每经编辑|张海妮 5月29日,A股EDA(电子设计自动化)公司的股价出现全面上涨。截至收盘,概伦电子(688206.SH)、广立微(301095.SZ)涨停,华大九天 (301269.SZ)上涨超14%。 就行业情况,集微咨询资深分析师王凌锋当日通过微信告诉《每日经济新闻》记者:"我认为EDA厂商不会出现所谓的断供。通过许可证形式,美国商务部 还是想要增强控制能力,核心目的仍然是希望严格管控AI(人工智能)相关的芯片开发设计,以及进一步收紧对(所谓的)实体清单企业的管控。" 国产EDA崛起 据华大九天2024年年报,EDA行业市场集中度较高,全球EDA行业主要由楷登电子、新思科技和西门子EDA垄断。上述三家公司属于具有显著领先优势的 第一梯队。华大九天与其他几家企业凭借部分领域的全流程工具或在局部领域的领先优势,位列全球EDA行业的第二梯队。第三梯队的企业主要聚焦于某 些特定领域或用途的点工具,其整体规模和产品完整度与前两个梯队的企业存在明显差距。 头豹研究院认为,中国在晶圆制造和封测领域都取得突破,但在芯片设计领域的发展明显滞后,主要是因为EDA软件受制于人。因此,EDA工具的国产化 势在 ...
突发!特朗普一揽子关税被叫停!亚太股市全线拉升,A股超4300只个股上涨...
雪球· 2025-05-29 06:37
一则消息令全球市场嗨了起来:美国国际贸易法院"叫停"特朗普政府一揽子关税。 随后全球市场开始活跃,截至发稿,日经225指数、韩国综合指数涨近2%,恒生科技指数涨超2%,纳斯达克指数期货涨超2%,A股三大指数也纷 纷拉升。 截至发稿,上证指数涨0.7%,深指和创业板指数涨超1%,两市超4300只个股上涨。 01 特朗普政府一揽子关税被"叫停" 位于纽约的美国国际贸易法院28日裁定暂停特朗普政府4月2日宣布的一揽子加征关税政策生效。 特朗普4月2日签署行政令,援引《国际紧急经济权力法》,宣布美国进入紧急状态,对所有贸易伙伴征收所谓"对等关税"。 美国国际贸易法院28日的裁决认为,总统无权对几乎所有贸易伙伴征收全面关税。美国国会将"不受限制的关税权力"授予总统是违反宪法的。国会 在《国际紧急经济权力法》中设定了权限,限制总统何时以及如何征收关税。 4月23日,美国12个州组成联盟共同起诉特朗普政府,指控其关税政策违法。亚利桑那州、科罗拉多州、康涅狄格州、特拉华州、伊利诺伊州、缅 因州、明尼苏达州、内华达州、新墨西哥州、纽约州、俄勒冈州和佛蒙特州的总检察长当天向位于纽约的美国国际贸易法院提起诉讼,称特朗普政 府的关税 ...
华大九天(301269):内生外延双轮驱动 EDA龙头全流程覆盖将近
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-05 02:45
投资要点 我们预计公司 2025-2027 年:营收为17.56、25.05、35.10 亿元, CAGR 达41.4%;归母净利润为2.25、 3.49、4.74 亿元,CAGR 达45.0%;PS 倍数37/26/18 倍。公司营收实现强劲增长,利润显著提升,对比 全球巨头,公司市值仍有较大成长空间,维持"买入"评级。 股份支付致24 年利润承压,25Q1 归母净利润增26.72%1)24 全年:公司实现营收12.22 亿元,同比增 20.98%;归母净利润1.09 亿元,同比减45.46%;扣非净利润-0.57 亿元。公司毛利率93.31%,2023 年毛 利率为93.78%。利润端下滑主要系股份支付费用大幅增加:本期计提股份支付费用1.79 亿元,占归母 净利润的163.05%。 风险提示 2)25Q1:营收2.34 亿元,同比增9.77%;归母净利润0.10 亿元,同比增26.72%。 EDA 市场24-27 年CAGR 预计达36%,公司实控人变更带来新机遇EDA 国产化叠加正版化趋势明显, 预计25-27 年EDA 占半导体比重上升至1.1%、1.2%、1.4%。我们预计,24-27 年我国ED ...