Core Insights - The article discusses the initiatives taken by the People's Bank of China Shanghai Headquarters to support the development of a globally influential technology innovation center in Shanghai through a diversified financial ecosystem for technology enterprises [1][2][6]. Group 1: Financial Ecosystem Development - The Shanghai Financial Innovation Alliance aims to provide a comprehensive financial service model for technology enterprises, targeting a total investment of 2 trillion yuan over three years through various financial instruments [2][6]. - The "stock-loan-debt-guarantee" linkage model is emphasized as a core strategy to support technology enterprises throughout their lifecycle, ensuring that financial services are not interrupted by changes in business stages or financial needs [2][3]. Group 2: Customized Financial Solutions - Financial institutions like Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) have tailored financial products for startups, including a 5 billion yuan special financing quota and 2 billion yuan in equity investment for participants in innovation competitions [1][4]. - The Bank of China has developed a "stock-loan linkage" business model, providing equity financing and other financial services to unicorn companies facing significant funding needs due to long R&D cycles [2][4]. Group 3: Collaborative Financial Services - Various banks, including China Construction Bank and Agricultural Bank of China, have launched integrated financial service models that combine investment, loans, and guarantees to create a comprehensive support system for technology enterprises [3][5]. - The Shanghai Financial Innovation Alliance has established strategic partnerships with local incubators and industry parks to create an ecosystem that integrates capital, technology, and resources [7][8]. Group 4: Innovative Financial Products - The "New Power Loan" product is designed for new productivity enterprises, offering diversified financing options and utilizing central bank monetary policy tools to provide low-cost funding [7]. - The "Innovation Loan" product, developed by ten banks in Shanghai, aims to meet the financing needs of technology enterprises at different stages through a "investment-loan linkage" credit package [7].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Horizon Robotics, setting a target price of HK$8.60, representing a potential upside of 33% from the current price of HK$6.46 [1][6][10]. Core Insights - Horizon Robotics is positioned as a key beneficiary in the high-end assisted driving industry, with a strong market share exceeding 40% in China's OEM advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) market as of 2024 [7][29]. - The company is expected to benefit significantly from the global growth potential of smart driving, with projections indicating that global and Chinese smart vehicle sales will reach approximately 80 million and 30 million units by 2030, respectively [7][29]. - The unique BPU (Brain Processing Unit) architecture of Horizon Robotics provides a competitive edge by optimizing hardware and software collaboration, achieving higher computational efficiency at lower power consumption [30][42]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for Horizon Robotics are projected at RMB 3.43 billion, RMB 5.41 billion, and RMB 7.46 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 43.7%, 57.9%, and 37.9% [9][31]. - The company is expected to achieve profitability in 2027, with a projected net profit of RMB 901 million, following losses in the preceding years [9][31]. Market Comparison - The report compares Horizon Robotics with peers such as NVIDIA, ARM, Mobileye, and Black Sesame Intelligence, applying a 20x price-to-sales (P/S) ratio to derive the target price [32][71]. - The competitive landscape indicates that Horizon Robotics has established itself as a leader in the mid-to-low-end smart driving hardware market, with plans to penetrate the high-end market further with the launch of the Journey 6 series chips [71][72]. Product Solutions - Horizon Robotics offers three main smart driving solutions: Horizon Mono, Horizon Pilot, and Horizon SuperDrive, catering to different levels of driving assistance [44][60]. - The Journey 6 series chips, set to launch in 2025, will cover a wide range of smart driving needs, enhancing the company's product matrix [62][67].

Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - Recent increase in overseas ultra-long-term government bond yields, with Japan's 30-year bond yield reaching 3.15% and the US 30-year bond yield at 5.08%, the highest since October 2023 [2][4] - Concerns over inflation and fiscal policies are driving the rise in yields, with expectations of a potential short-term pullback in Japanese bond yields after temporary factors dissipate [2][4] - The report suggests that the long-term outlook for US Treasury yields may remain elevated [2] Group 2: Currency Dynamics - The US has adjusted tariffs, leading to a slight rebound in the US dollar index and a 0.5% increase in the RMB against the USD [3] - The report indicates that the RMB may have upward appreciation potential due to structural rebalancing in global asset allocations, particularly in Asia [3] Group 3: Fixed Income Market - Global bond yields have risen, with Japan's 10-year bond yield increasing to 1.53% and the US 10-year bond yield reaching 4.58% [4] - The report highlights that the rise in yields is influenced by various factors, including uncertainty surrounding tariff policies and inflation expectations [4] Group 4: Real Estate Sector - The report discusses the "pre-sale + current sale" model used in many overseas real estate markets, emphasizing the importance of third-party fund supervision to protect buyers [5] - This model ensures that most payments are made after project completion, reducing the risk of fund misappropriation [5] Group 5: Oil and Gas Sector - Oil prices have rebounded due to revised demand expectations following tariff reductions and OPEC+ production adjustments, with WTI and Brent prices rising by 5.8% and 2.8% respectively [6] - The report notes that trade tensions and OPEC+ production strategies are key short-term factors affecting oil prices [6] Group 6: Hong Kong Market Dynamics - The report highlights the recent surge in liquidity in Hong Kong's banking system, driven by currency interventions and successful IPOs, such as that of CATL [6] - It suggests that Hong Kong's market may benefit from a structural shift in global capital flows, particularly in the context of de-dollarization [6] Group 7: Company-Specific Insights - Black Sesame Intelligence is highlighted as a leading supplier of AI chips for smart driving and robotics, with a target price of 24.04 HKD and a "buy" rating [14] - Meitu's strategic partnership with Alibaba is expected to enhance growth prospects, with a "buy" rating maintained [16] - ZTO Express reported a revenue of 10.89 billion RMB, with a focus on market share despite short-term profit pressures, maintaining a "buy" rating [18] - Baidu's transition towards AI cloud services is noted, with a "buy" rating based on strong revenue growth in this segment [23]

Core Viewpoint - Horizon Robotics is a leading provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and high-level intelligent driving (AD) solutions in China, focusing on a software-hardware integrated technology path to cover low, medium, and high-end markets with its chips and algorithms [2][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Horizon Robotics was established in 2015 and has released multiple generations of its Journey series chips since 2017, with cumulative shipments expected to exceed 10 million by 2025 [3]. - The company has a diverse customer base, including major automakers such as Volkswagen, BYD, and Geely, and is projected to hold over 40% and 30% market shares in the Chinese OEM ADAS and AD markets by 2024, ranking first and second respectively [3][4]. - The company has experienced strong revenue growth, with a CAGR of 72% from 2021 to 2024, expecting total revenue of 2.4 billion yuan in 2024 [3][18]. Group 2: Market Potential - The intelligent driving solutions market is expected to reach a scale of 1 trillion yuan by 2030, with significant growth driven by the penetration of high-level intelligent driving technologies [4][44]. - The market for high-level intelligent driving is anticipated to rapidly penetrate the 100,000 to 200,000 yuan segment, with a forecasted increase in demand for intelligent driving solutions [4][35]. - The global market for advanced driver assistance systems and high-level autonomous driving solutions is projected to grow from 61.9 billion yuan in 2023 to 1,017.1 billion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of 49.2% [44]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Revenue from automotive solutions is expected to grow significantly, with automotive product solutions revenue projected to reach 664 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 47% [25]. - The company has maintained a high gross margin, with gross margins of 71%, 69%, 71%, and 77% from 2021 to 2024 [19]. - Despite strong revenue growth, the company has reported net losses from 2021 to 2024, primarily due to high R&D expenditures, with an adjusted net loss of 1.681 billion yuan in 2024 [18][19]. Group 4: Technological Advancements - The company has developed a comprehensive product matrix, including the Journey series chips, which cover all levels of intelligent driving needs, with the latest Journey 6 series expected to achieve significant performance improvements [54][55]. - Horizon Robotics has a strong focus on R&D, with R&D expenditures projected to reach 3.16 billion yuan in 2024, and a high proportion of its workforce dedicated to R&D [30][32]. - The company has secured numerous patents, with a total of 673 patents, including 585 invention patents, establishing a strong competitive barrier [32].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is a leading third-party intelligent driving chip and solution provider in China, with a strong software-hardware integration technology and a leading strategic and business model [1][2] - The year 2025 marks the mass production year for the J6 series chips and high-level full-stack intelligent driving solutions (HSD), with expected shipment volumes exceeding one million units for J6M/E chips [1][2] - The company's intelligent driving solutions are expected to become the primary choice for OEMs, initiating a new growth cycle [1][3] Company Positioning - The company is positioned as an algorithm software company with a focus on intelligent driving solutions, aiming to become the Wintel of the robot era [2][17] - The company has transitioned from a pure software focus to a software-hardware integration model since 2019, becoming the leading third-party intelligent driving solution provider in China [2][17] Industry Trends - The intelligent driving sector is experiencing a shift towards higher penetration rates and a trend of self-sufficiency in the supply chain, with the new car penetration rate expected to rise significantly by 2025 [3][8] - The company is set to benefit from the trend of intelligent driving equality, with mid-to-high-end intelligent driving configurations becoming more accessible [3][8] Competitive Advantages - The company possesses a unique software-hardware integration model, enabling it to provide high-value solutions across the intelligent driving industry [3][8] - The company is leveraging its advanced algorithms and engineering capabilities to optimize performance and production efficiency [3][8] Investment Value - The company is recognized as a leader in self-sufficient intelligent driving chips and is expected to create significant value in high-level intelligent driving solutions [4][10] Financial Performance - The company anticipates total revenue of 2.38 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 53.6%, with a gross margin of 77.3% [2][36] - The revenue from technology licensing and services is projected to reach 1.65 billion yuan in 2024, with a gross margin of 92% [2][36] Product and Business Model - The company focuses on providing full-stack hardware and software products, including chips, algorithms, and development tools, covering low, mid, and high-level intelligent driving solutions [32][35] - The business model is flexible, allowing OEMs and Tier 1 customers to choose from a variety of solutions or components [43][50]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][59]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as the market leader in the ADAS integrated machine market in China, with a projected hardware shipment exceeding 10 million units by 2025, driven by the "intelligent driving equality" trend [2][4]. - The J6E/M series has secured multiple model designations from major automotive brands, indicating strong short-term revenue growth potential [2][4]. - The HSD system, launched in April 2025, marks a significant advancement in high-level intelligent driving solutions, with initial deployment in Chery's models [2][4][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Business Progress - The company holds a 43.58% market share in the Chinese ADAS market for 2024, ranking first among domestic brands [11]. - The J6E/M series has been designated for over 310 models, with a delivery volume of 2.9 million units expected in 2024 and a cumulative total of 7.7 million units [11][12]. - The J6P and HSD system are set to begin mass production in Q3 2025, with significant performance improvements over previous generations [22][26]. 2. Capital Market Situation - Following the pre-IPO lock-up expiration, the stock price showed resilience, with only a slight decline on the day of the release [52][55]. - The company is expected to meet the conditions for inclusion in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, which will enhance liquidity [56][58]. 3. Revenue Growth Forecast - The company anticipates continued rapid revenue growth, with a clear growth logic in the short, medium, and long term [2][59]. - The introduction of the J6P is expected to drive an increase in average selling prices (ASP) for hardware due to its enhanced capabilities [22][26].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that Horizon Robotics is not merely a chip company but aims to become a software company, focusing on integrated hardware-software systems for autonomous driving, particularly in urban environments [2][4][5]. Group 1: Company Background and Development - Horizon Robotics was founded in 2015, and its founder, Yu Kai, recognized the nearing end of the mobile internet boom, leading the company to focus on robotics chips instead of algorithms [7]. - The company faced significant challenges in 2019, including a reduction in workforce by one-third, but pivoted to focus solely on the automotive sector [7][8]. - Collaborations with major automotive manufacturers like Changan and Li Auto have been pivotal in establishing trust and achieving market penetration [8][10]. Group 2: Market Position and Achievements - Horizon Robotics has achieved over 8 million units of front-mounted production and has a market share of 33.97% in the L2 autonomous driving computing solutions market for domestic brands [13]. - The company claims that one in three smart vehicles is equipped with its technology, projecting rapid growth towards 10 million units [14]. Group 3: Future Vision and Strategy - Horizon Robotics aims to redefine the essence of smart driving, focusing on both functional and emotional value, similar to how smartphones evolved beyond basic communication [15]. - The company plans to transition from L2 to L3 and L5 autonomous driving capabilities, requiring significant computational power and extensive real-world data [18][21]. - The introduction of the Horizon Smart Driving (HSD) system, featuring the Journey 6P chip, is set to enhance urban autonomous driving capabilities and is expected to be launched in 2025 [24][28]. Group 4: Technological Approach and Innovation - The HSD system utilizes a one-piece end-to-end technology architecture, ensuring high performance and efficiency in data processing [24]. - Horizon Robotics emphasizes the importance of a robust software-hardware integration strategy, akin to successful models like Apple and NVIDIA, to maintain a competitive edge [23]. Group 5: Market Dynamics and Competitive Landscape - The article discusses the competitive landscape, highlighting that while other companies may have launched similar technologies earlier, Horizon Robotics prioritizes product quality over timing [30]. - The company is aware of the potential pitfalls of technological advancements leading to homogenization in the market and focuses on building a sustainable competitive advantage through consistent R&D efforts [20].

Group 1: Industry Insights - The drug regulatory authority has introduced a new data protection policy for drug trial data, granting 6 years of protection for innovative drugs and 3 years for improved and first-generic drugs [3] - The policy aims to accelerate the development of innovative drugs through faster approval processes and supportive pricing and reimbursement policies, particularly for differentiated innovative drugs [3] - The performance of major drug varieties is expected to accelerate, with significant growth anticipated for PD-1/IL-2 drugs by 2025 [3] Group 2: Automotive and Chip Industry - Local governments are promoting the implementation of L3 autonomous driving, particularly in cities like Beijing and Wuhan, supported by legal frameworks [4] - The cost of intelligent driving systems is significantly decreasing, with expectations that models priced above 150,000 yuan will standardize high-level intelligent driving systems [4] - Horizon Robotics, a leading domestic intelligent driving chip manufacturer, is expected to ship over 10 million units of its chips by 2025 [4] Group 3: Nuclear Fusion Industry - The nuclear fusion sector is attracting significant investment and participation from various companies, with strong government support for its development [5] - The U.S. is constructing the world's first commercial nuclear fusion power plant, with notable advancements in plasma confinement and fusion power output from international facilities [5] - The advantages of nuclear fusion power include stability and minimal greenhouse gas emissions, which are driving interest in the sector [5] Group 4: Chemical Industry - The demand structure for chromium salts is changing, with significant growth expected in the aerospace sector due to the material's properties [6] - Global gas turbine orders are projected to increase from 40 GW/year in 2023 to 80 GW/year by 2026, driving demand for chromium salts [6] - The chemical sector is anticipated to enter a restocking cycle as inventory levels are low and demand is expected to rebound [6]

地平线机器人-W系列 车中旭霞 智能驾驶芯片深度 《 智能驾驶芯片行业专题-智能驾驶进入快车道，地平线机器人-W和黑芝麻智能的投资价值分析 》——20250207 公司点评 《 地平线机器人-W（09660.HK）-2024年收入同比增长54%，智能平权时代征程6系列芯片加速放量》 ——20250328 《地平线机器人-W（09660.HK）-地平线征程6量产上车，共启全民智驾时代新篇》 ——20250309 核心观点 2024年公司实现营业收入23.8亿元，同比增长54% 2024年，地平线机器人-W实现总收入为23.8亿元，同比增长53.6%；净利润为23.5亿元，2023年为-67.39亿元，主要系 优先股及其他金融负债的公允价值变动收益46.77亿元影响（2023年为-47.6亿元）。2024年公司经调整经营亏损14.95 亿，相比2023年的16.87亿元有所收窄。 分业务来看， 2024年，汽车解决方案收入23.12亿元，同比增加57.2%，1）汽 车产品解决方案收入6.64亿元，同比增加31.2%，主要系公司全年交付量增加所推动；2）授权及服务业务收入16.58亿 元，同比增加70.9%，主要是 ...

Group 1 - The core focus of the article is on the advancements in AI computing capabilities for intelligent driving, emphasizing the shift from data-driven to knowledge-driven algorithms [2] - The founder and CEO of Black Sesame Technology, Shan Jizhang, highlighted that the year 2023 is seen as the year of large-scale mass production for intelligent driving, driven by end-to-end algorithms and high-performance AI chips [2] - A significant challenge identified is the bandwidth limitation following breakthroughs in computing power, with future advancements expected to focus on improving bandwidth [2] Group 2 - Black Sesame Technology has strategically developed foundational chips, including the A1000 chip launched in 2020 and the C1296 chip introduced in 2023, which is crucial for central computing in electronic and electrical architecture [3] - The company has upgraded its intelligent driving capabilities with the C1236 chip, based on 7nm technology, enabling comprehensive urban Navigation on Autopilot (NOA) functions [3] - The latest A2000 chip, which has been delivered to clients, represents a significant breakthrough in AI computing efficiency and supports data closed-loop and multi-chip high-speed interconnection [4]