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瑞达期货生猪产业日报-20250703
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-07-03 09:07
Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating Core Viewpoints - Short - term supply decreases due to farmers' price - holding and reduced weight of pigs for sale at the beginning of the month, but there is a risk of delayed supply in the third quarter as sow production capacity is in an increasing cycle. High temperatures and school holidays suppress pork demand, resulting in slow terminal sales and a decline in slaughterhouse operating rates. The entry of second - fattening investors boosts the near - month price of live pigs. Continuous attention should be paid to farmers' selling rhythm and the entry rhythm of second - fattening investors [2] Summary by Directory Futures Market - The closing price of the main futures contract for live pigs is 14,370 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan; the main contract's open interest is 79,652 lots, down 4,273 lots; the number of warehouse receipts is 450 lots, unchanged; the net long position of the top 20 futures holders is - 10,158 lots, down 2,550 lots [2] Spot Market - The spot price of live pigs in Henan Zhumadian is 15,400 yuan/ton, up 200 yuan; in Jilin Siping is 14,800 yuan/ton, unchanged; in Guangdong Yunfu is 17,500 yuan/ton, up 400 yuan. The basis of the main live - pig contract is 1,030 yuan/ton, up 170 yuan [2] Upstream Situation - The monthly live - pig inventory is 41.731 million heads, down 1.012 million heads; the inventory of breeding sows is 4.042 million heads, up 4,000 heads. The monthly CPI year - on - year change is - 0.1%, unchanged. The spot price of soybean meal in Zhangjiagang is 2,840 yuan/ton, unchanged; the spot price of corn is 2,436.86 yuan/ton, up 0.19 yuan. The Dalian Commodity Exchange's pig feed cost index is 950.52, up 1.21. The monthly output of feed is 27.621 million tons, up 981,000 tons. The weekly price of binary breeding sows is 1,640 yuan/head, unchanged. The weekly breeding profit for purchasing piglets is - 131.71 yuan/head, up 55.08 yuan; for self - breeding and self - raising is 50.25 yuan/head, up 30.85 yuan. The monthly import volume of pork is 90,000 tons, up 10,000 tons. The weekly average price of white - striped chickens in the main production areas is 13 yuan/kg, unchanged [2] Downstream Situation - The monthly slaughter volume of designated live - pig slaughtering enterprises is 32.16 million heads, up 1.39 million heads. The monthly value of catering revenue in total social consumer goods retail is 457.82 billion yuan, up 41.12 billion yuan [2] Industry News - According to Mysteel data, the planned live - pig output of key provincial breeding enterprises in July 2025 is 13.005 million heads, a month - on - month decrease of 1.69%. At the beginning of the month, farmers hold prices and reduce the volume of pigs for sale, and the average weight of pigs for sale decreases, resulting in a short - term reduction in supply. The sow production capacity in the third quarter is in an increasing cycle, with a risk of delayed supply [2]
养殖端缩量挺价,猪价偏强震荡
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-07-03 05:53
农产品日报 | 2025-07-03 养殖端缩量挺价,猪价偏强震荡 生猪观点 市场要闻与重要数据 期货方面,昨日收盘生猪 2509合约14340元/吨,较前交易日变动+475.00元/吨,幅度+3.43%。现货方面,河南地 区外三元生猪价格15.34元/公斤,较前交易日变动+0.19元/公斤,现货基差 LH09+1000,较前交易日变动-285;江 苏地区外三元生猪价格 15.54元/公斤,较前交易日变动+0.16元/公斤,现货基差LH09+1200,较前交易日变动-315; 四川地区外三元生猪价格14.68元/公斤,较前交易日变动+0.23元/公斤,现货基差LH09+340,较前交易日变动-245。 据农业农村部监测,7月2日"农产品批发价格200指数"为112.38,比昨天下降0.01个点,"菜篮子"产品批发价格指数 为112.37,与昨天持平。全国农产品批发市场猪肉平均价格为20.54元/公斤,比昨天上升1.7%;牛肉63.64元/公斤, 比昨天上升0.3%;羊肉59.73元/公斤,比昨天上升0.8%;鸡蛋7.10元/公斤,比昨天下降0.8%;白条鸡17.10元/公斤, 比昨天下降0.1%。 市场分析 ...
供应端有所收紧,价格上涨加快
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-07-02 12:52
Report Overview - Report Title: "Pig Daily Report - July 2, 2025" [2] - Researcher: Chen Jiezheng [3] Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - The supply side of the pig market has tightened, leading to an accelerated increase in prices. The overall supply pressure has decreased due to reduced sales motivation from large - scale enterprises, decreased inventory of ordinary farmers after a round of concentrated sales, and general enthusiasm for secondary fattening sales [4]. - Although the futures market has risen significantly, the substantial change in the fundamental situation is limited. The significant increase in the futures market is mainly a reflection of expectations for future price increases, and the room for a large - scale increase is expected to be limited. The inter - month spread of the futures market is expected to be mainly volatile and strong [6]. Summary by Content Spot Market - Spot prices in various regions showed an overall upward trend. The average price increased from 14.60 yuan/kg yesterday to 14.87 yuan/kg today, with an increase of 0.27 yuan/kg [4]. - The supply side has tightened. Large - scale enterprises have less motivation to sell, ordinary farmers' inventory has decreased, and the enthusiasm for secondary fattening sales is average. The overall weight of pigs for sale has decreased, and future market pressure may still exist [4]. Futures Market - Futures prices of various contracts showed an upward trend. For example, LH09 increased by 475 yuan from 13865 yuan yesterday to 14340 yuan today [4]. - The futures market's significant increase is mainly due to expectations of future price increases. The room for a large - scale increase is limited, and the inter - month spread is expected to be mainly volatile and strong [6]. Breeding and Slaughter - Piglet prices remained at 431 yuan this week, and sow prices remained at 1621 yuan. The self - breeding and self - raising profit increased from 19.40 yuan/head yesterday to 50.25 yuan/head today, and the profit from purchasing piglets increased from - 186.79 yuan/head yesterday to - 131.71 yuan/head today [4]. - The slaughter volume decreased from 138670 heads yesterday to 136895 heads today, a decrease of 1775 heads [4]. Trading Strategies - Unilateral trading: Mainly range - bound [7]. - Arbitrage: LH91 long spread [7]. - Options: Wait and see [7]
中国良种羊在乌干达“安家落户”
Xin Hua She· 2025-07-02 09:26
Group 1 - Uganda has successfully received the first batch of 9 Jianzhou Big-eared sheep from China under the South-South Cooperation project with the FAO [1] - The Jianzhou Big-eared sheep, a hybrid of Nubian goats and local Sichuan goats, is a new meat sheep breed developed in China, known for its large size, fast growth, high reproduction rate, and good meat production [1] - The imported sheep will undergo a 21-day quarantine before being sent to the agricultural research development center in Mbarara, Uganda, for breed improvement and promotion [1] Group 2 - Since 2012, China has sent nearly 60 experts and technicians to Uganda under the South-South Cooperation project, assisting in various agricultural sectors including grains, livestock, aquaculture, horticulture, and machinery [2] - The introduction of Jianzhou Big-eared sheep is expected to enhance Uganda's sheep meat and milk production, increase exports, and improve farmers' income [1][2] - Future collaboration between China and Uganda will focus on breeding technology, forage cultivation, and the sheep meat food industry chain [2]
现代牧业集团首批20台电动装载机成功投运,开启绿色牧场新纪元
Core Viewpoint - Modern Dairy is actively promoting the use of new energy vehicles, specifically electric loaders, to align with national "dual carbon" strategies and enhance green, low-carbon development in its operations [1][3]. Group 1: Strategic Initiatives - The introduction of electric loaders is part of Modern Dairy's strategic layout in the new energy equipment sector, aimed at reducing carbon emissions and optimizing operational costs [3][11]. - The first batch of 20 electric loaders will be deployed in regions with significant electricity cost advantages, such as Inner Mongolia, to validate their adaptability and reliability [5][11]. Group 2: Environmental Impact - Electric loaders achieve "zero tailpipe emissions" during operation, with each unit estimated to reduce carbon dioxide emissions by over 60 tons annually, significantly improving environmental quality [8][9]. - The introduction of electric loaders contributes to a comprehensive green upgrade for the farms, enhancing sustainability and operational efficiency [7][11]. Group 3: Economic Benefits - The operational cost of electric loaders is notably lower, with initial data indicating a reduction of over 200,000 yuan in annual energy costs compared to traditional diesel models [9][10]. - The noise reduction from electric loaders creates a more comfortable environment for both cattle and employees, promoting a better working atmosphere [10][11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Following the successful operation of the initial batch, Modern Dairy plans to expand its new energy equipment initiatives and collaborate with other manufacturers to replicate success across more farms [13]. - The commitment to green practices is becoming a defining characteristic of Modern Dairy's high-quality development strategy [13].
农产品日报:二育较为谨慎,猪价维持震荡-20250702
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-07-02 05:18
农产品日报 | 2025-07-02 二育较为谨慎,猪价维持震荡 生猪观点 市场要闻与重要数据 期货方面,昨日收盘生猪 2509合约13865元/吨,较前交易日变动-5.00元/吨,幅度-0.04%。现货方面,河南地区外 三元生猪价格15.15元/公斤,较前交易日变动+0.15元/公斤,现货基差 LH09+1285,较前交易日变动+155;江苏地 区外三元生猪价格 15.38元/公斤,较前交易日变动+0.11元/公斤,现货基差LH09+1515,较前交易日变动+115;四 川地区外三元生猪价格14.45元/公斤,较前交易日变动+0.10元/公斤,现货基差LH09+585,较前交易日变动+105。 据农业农村部监测,7月1日"农产品批发价格200指数"为112.39,比昨天下降0.10个点,"菜篮子"产品批发价格指数 为112.37,比昨天下降0.11个点。全国农产品批发市场猪肉平均价格为20.20元/公斤,比昨天下降0.4%;牛肉63.47 元/公斤,比昨天下降0.8%;羊肉59.27元/公斤,比昨天下降0.4%;鸡蛋7.16元/公斤,比昨天下降1.4%;白条鸡17.12 元/公斤,比昨天下降0.2%。 市场 ...
建信期货生猪日报-20250702
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-07-02 03:51
行业 生猪日报 日期 2025 年 06 月 27 日 021-60635740 期货从业资格号:F3055047 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F0301101 021-60635727 期货从业资格号:F0230741 研究员:洪辰亮 021-60635572 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures.co m 期货从业资格号:F3076808 021-60635570 农业产品研究团队 研究员:林贞磊 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 研究员:余兰兰 研究员:王海峰 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 研究员:刘悠然 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 数据来源:涌益,建信期货研究中心 生猪行情: 期货方面,1 日生猪主力 2509 合约平开后冲高回落震荡走跌,尾盘收阴,最 高 13940 元/吨,最低 13840 元/吨,收盘报 13865 元/吨,较昨跌 0.18%,指数总 持仓减少 3031 手至 161051 手。现货方面, ...
现代化鹅产业集群加速成型 嫩江大鹅产业发展"风头正劲"
Core Insights - The goose industry in Nenjiang City, Heilongjiang Province, is experiencing unprecedented growth driven by both policy and market forces, establishing a modern industrial model known as the "Longjiang Model" [1][2][3] Group 1: Industry Growth Metrics - The number of breeding geese in Nenjiang has surpassed 42,000, a year-on-year increase of 147%, with expectations to exceed 100,000 by the end of the year [1] - The hatching volume is projected to exceed 3 million this year, with 1.58985 million goslings hatched by June 15, marking a 348.03% increase compared to the same period last year [1] - The expected output of market-ready geese in 2024 is 2.712 million, reflecting a growth of 59.11% [2] Group 2: Processing and Value Addition - The slaughter volume of geese is anticipated to reach 1.7 million in 2024, supported by a new slaughterhouse with an annual capacity of 10 million geese set to begin operations in August [2] - From 2022 to 2024, the total increase in livestock output value is projected to be 1.439 billion yuan, accounting for 18.48% of the total livestock output value over three years [2] Group 3: Employment and Economic Impact - The booming industry has created over 1,500 jobs and has led to an average annual income increase of over 12,000 yuan for farmers through a "company + cooperative + farmer" model [2] Group 4: Policy Support - Nenjiang City has implemented the "Goose Industry High-Quality Development Plan (2025-2030)" to ensure a clear development blueprint and continuous policy support [3] - Special support policies have been in place for four consecutive years, covering breeding, hatching, farming, and processing, providing preferential loans and 50% interest subsidies [3] - The integration of technological innovation and efficient services has strengthened the technical support for the goose industry, including on-site expert guidance and a 24-hour response system for quarantine services [3]
立华股份近两成股份被质押 实控方套现4.2亿元拟再减持3%
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-07-01 17:10
Core Viewpoint - The actual controller of Lihua Co., Ltd. plans to reduce its holdings while implementing incentive measures for core employees as the breeding business shows significant recovery [1][2]. Group 1: Shareholding and Reduction Plans - The actual controller Cheng Lili and its action partner, Pentium Animal Husbandry, plan to reduce their holdings by up to 25.12 million shares, accounting for 3% of the total share capital [1]. - The reason for the reduction is to repay equity pledge loans and interest, while also incentivizing long-term employees who have contributed to the company's growth [1]. - Prior to this, Cheng Lili's action partners had multiple reduction plans, including a 5.98% reduction plan in February 2023, followed by a total reduction of 4.24% from March to August 2023 [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, Lihua Co., Ltd. achieved operating revenue of 17.725 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.44%, and net profit of 1.521 billion yuan, marking a return to profitability [3]. - The chicken breeding segment generated 14.531 billion yuan in revenue, up 8.01%, accounting for 81.98% of total revenue [3]. - The company sold 1.298 million pigs, a 51.80% increase, with the pig segment revenue rising by 76.51% to 292.7 million yuan [3].
山东省牛产业技术体系2024年度工作总结暨考评会议在东营召开
Qi Lu Wan Bao Wang· 2025-07-01 14:54
据悉,会议由首席专家林雪彦教授主持。省农业农村厅科技教育处副处长渠通洋在讲话中,对省牛产业技术体系2024年工作给予高度评 价与充分肯定,并围绕技术创新、成果转化、产业融合等维度,对2025年工作提出新目标与新期望。东营市农业农村局党组成员、东营 市现代畜牧业发展服务中心党总支书记、主任刘志强发表致辞,向与会嘉宾介绍东营市依托黄河三角洲资源禀赋形成的牛产业发展优势 与规划,诚邀各方深化合作,共同推动产业提质增效、转型升级。 6月25—26日,山东省牛产业技术体系2024年度工作总结暨考评会议在东营成功召开。本次会议由山东农业大学动物科技学院、东营市现 代畜牧业发展服务中心联合承办,省农业农村厅科技教育处副处长渠通洋,省牛产业技术体系顾问、国家奶牛产业技术体系研究室主任 兼岗位科学家王中华、省牛产业技术体系顾问侯明海,东营市农业农村局党组成员、东营市现代畜牧业发展服务中心党总支书记、主任 刘志强等领导专家出席会议,省牛产业技术体系首席专家、各岗位专家和试验站站长及其团队有关人员近50人参会。 在考评环节,首席林雪彦教授率先代表省牛产业技术体系述职,全面回顾总结体系年度工作成效、存在问题,明确后续工作打算。随 后 ...