Core Viewpoint - Company SanKe Tree (三棵树) is expected to report significant growth in net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by strategic adjustments in product structure and improved cost management [1][3]. Performance Disclosure Highlights - SanKe Tree forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 to be between RMB 38 million and RMB 46 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 80.94% to 119.04% [1][3]. - The company anticipates a non-GAAP net profit (deducting non-recurring gains and losses) in the range of RMB 23 million to RMB 31 million, reflecting a substantial year-on-year growth of 190.04% to 290.92% [1][3]. Company Announcement Summary - The performance increase is attributed to several factors, including the optimization of product structure, growth in retail business scale and overall gross margin, enhanced cost control measures, and a decrease in impairment provisions compared to the previous year [1].

Cement Industry - The short-term peak-shifting coordination strength in the cement industry is expected to remain high, supporting continuous price improvement [1] - The average price of cement per ton in April-May 2025 was 390 yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 24 yuan (+6%) compared to the previous quarter [1] - Medium to long-term policies regarding carbon trading and capacity replacement are expected to drive the elimination of outdated capacity, optimizing the competitive landscape [1] - High dividend returns from some cement companies highlight their long-term investment value [1] Traditional Building Materials - The traditional building materials sector is experiencing continued pressure on downstream demand, leading to intensified market competition [2] - The glass fiber sector is seeing structural price increases due to strong demand from wind power and thermoplastics, although overall demand remains weak [2] - The demand for conventional electronic yarn is at historical low price levels, presenting potential opportunities for improvement [2] High-end Electronic Fabrics - The demand for Low Dk electronic fabrics is expected to remain high due to the surge in AI computing power, driving continuous growth in high-layer CPB demand [3] - Domestic companies are gradually breaking the overseas monopoly in Low Dk electronic fabrics, with some achieving small-scale production of second-generation products [3] - The demand for Low CTE electronic fabrics is also high, benefiting from innovations in advanced packaging technology [3] Mergers and Acquisitions - The new restructuring regulations released by the CSRC on May 16, 2025, are expected to stimulate market-driven mergers and acquisitions in the traditional building materials sector [4] - Companies are actively pursuing asset integration to drive transformation in a challenging demand environment [4] - The optimization mechanisms in the new regulations may accelerate industry consolidation [4] Overall Investment Opportunities - The cement sector is highlighted for its value recovery and long-term investment potential, particularly in regional cement leaders [5] - The high-end electronic fabric sector is recommended for investment, focusing on companies with strong expansion momentum [5] - The transformation prospects driven by asset integration in traditional building materials are also emphasized [5]

General Principles - The document outlines the management system for the shares held by the board members and senior management of Guangzhou Seagull Housing Industrial Co., Ltd, aiming to strengthen the management of shareholding and trading activities [1][2]. - The system is applicable to all shares held by the company's directors and senior management, including those held in others' accounts and through margin trading [1][2]. Share Trading Management - Directors and senior management must notify the board secretary in writing before trading shares, who will verify compliance with relevant laws and regulations [2]. - There are restrictions on share transfers during specific periods, such as within one year of the company's stock listing and within six months after leaving the company [2][3]. - A prohibition on trading exists during certain windows, including 15 days before the annual and semi-annual reports and 5 days before quarterly reports [3][4]. Short-term Trading Restrictions - Directors and senior management are prohibited from short-term trading, defined as selling shares within six months of purchase or buying shares within six months of selling [4][5]. Reporting Requirements - Any changes in shareholding must be reported within two trading days, including details such as the number of shares held before and after the change [5][6]. Transfer Limits - During their term and for six months after, directors and senior management can only transfer up to 25% of their shares each year, with specific exceptions for legal circumstances [6][7]. Shareholding Increase Regulations - Directors and senior management must disclose any plans for increasing their shareholdings and report on the progress of such plans [7][8]. Accountability Measures - The company is responsible for monitoring compliance with shareholding and trading regulations, with the board secretary overseeing the reporting and disclosure of shareholding changes [9][10]. - Violations of these regulations may result in penalties from regulatory authorities and internal disciplinary actions [10][11].

General Principles - The rules are established to protect the legal rights of the company and its shareholders, ensuring the proper exercise of shareholder meeting powers in accordance with relevant laws and regulations [1][27] - The company must strictly follow legal and regulatory requirements when convening shareholder meetings [1][3] Nature and Powers of the Shareholder Meeting - The shareholder meeting is the highest authority of the company [3] - The meeting has the authority to elect and replace directors, approve remuneration, and make decisions on significant corporate actions such as mergers, asset sales exceeding 30% of total assets, and amendments to the articles of association [4][22] Convening of Shareholder Meetings - Shareholder meetings are categorized into annual and temporary meetings, with specific timelines for their convening [3][5] - The board of directors is responsible for timely convening of meetings and must report to regulatory authorities if unable to do so [6][8] Proposals and Notifications - Proposals for the shareholder meeting must fall within its authority and be clearly defined [14] - Shareholders holding more than 1% of shares can submit proposals 10 days before the meeting [9] Conducting the Meeting - The meeting must be held at the company's registered location and can utilize online methods for shareholder participation [12][13] - Shareholders can attend in person or through proxies, and each share carries one vote [12][13] Voting Procedures - Voting can be conducted through various methods, and the results must be announced immediately [19][21] - Ordinary resolutions require a majority, while special resolutions require two-thirds approval from attending shareholders [53][55] Record Keeping and Execution - Meeting records must include details such as time, location, attendees, and voting results, and must be preserved for at least 10 years [23][24] - The board of directors is responsible for executing the resolutions passed during the shareholder meeting [25]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials sector [4] Core Viewpoints - The construction materials sector is experiencing a demand season that is not significantly weak, supported by delayed renovations in the second-hand housing market [2] - The glass market is facing a contradiction between supply and demand, with a continuous decline in demand expected post-2025, although there has been marginal improvement since March [2] - The cement industry is in a phase of seeking a bottom, with increased off-peak production efforts by companies, leading to fluctuating prices around unprofitable levels [2] - The fiberglass market has shown signs of bottoming out, with price wars ending and prices beginning to recover, particularly in the wind power sector [2] - Carbon fiber demand is slowly recovering, with growth expected in downstream sectors such as wind power and hydrogen bottles [2] Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of June 20, 2025, the national cement price index is 362.67 yuan/ton, down 0.21% from the previous week, with a total cement output of 2.781 million tons, a decrease of 2.88% [3][16] - The cement market is currently in a phase of "weak reality" and "weak expectations," with potential for weak recovery by the end of Q3 if policies are strengthened or the rainy season ends [16] Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass is 1209.75 yuan/ton, down 1.64% from the previous week, with inventory levels increasing [32] - The market is expected to experience short-term price fluctuations downward, with ongoing challenges in meeting demand during the seasonal downturn [32] Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The price of non-alkali roving has shown a stable decline, with demand for high-end products like wind power yarn performing relatively well [6] - The overall price of fiberglass is expected to maintain a weak and stable trend in the short term [6] Carbon Fiber Industry Tracking - The carbon fiber market price remains stable, with a weekly production of 1781 tons and an operating rate of 60.13% [7] - The industry continues to face losses, with a production cost of 106,500 yuan/ton and a negative gross margin [7] Key Stocks - Recommended stocks include Beixin Building Materials (Buy), Weixing New Materials (Overweight), and China Jushi (Buy) with respective EPS forecasts for 2024A to 2027E [8]

Group 1 - Dongyue Silicon Materials' subsidiary Future Materials has completed the listing guidance acceptance for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, with Dongyue holding 5.14% of its shares [1] - Dameng Data expects a revenue increase of 40.63%-45.74% for the first half of the year, projecting revenue between 495 million to 513 million yuan [1] - Conch New Materials plans to acquire 80% of Kangning Special and 100% of Kangning Environmental Engineering for 186 million yuan to accelerate its SCR denitration catalyst industry development [1] Group 2 - Mongolian Grass Ecology signed a contract worth 251 million yuan for a degraded grassland restoration project, responsible for 29.11% of the construction tasks [3] - Lens Technology has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for its H-share issuance, planning to issue up to 431 million shares [4] - Yahua Group intends to establish "Yahua Lithium Industry Group" to integrate its lithium business resources [5] Group 3 - United Imaging Healthcare has obtained multiple medical device registrations, including a significant breakthrough with its DSA system receiving FDA approval, marking it as the first Chinese DSA device approved for the U.S. market [6] - Yashi Chuangneng's major shareholder plans to reduce their stake by up to 3% due to forced liquidation [7] - He Sheng New Materials' executives plan to collectively reduce their holdings by up to 240,600 shares for personal financial needs [8] Group 4 - Qingnong Commercial Bank has been approved to issue up to 2 billion yuan in capital supplement tools [9] - Lixing Co. plans to reduce its shares by up to 0.74% due to personal financial needs of its executives [11] - Shuangfei Group's shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by up to 0.96% for personal financial needs [12] Group 5 - Zhongyou Capital intends to invest 655 million yuan in Kunlun Capital for a controllable nuclear fusion project [13] - BOE Technology Group plans to acquire 30% of Xianyang Rainbow Optoelectronics for 4.849 billion yuan to strengthen its competitive advantage in the display industry [14] - Wanli Stone signed a framework agreement for a cross-border strategic resource mining research project with several institutions [15] Group 6 - Wutong Holdings is acquiring a 20% stake in its subsidiary for 84 million yuan to enhance its dual-driven development strategy [17] - Guangku Technology's shareholder plans to reduce their stake by up to 800,000 shares for personal financial needs [18] - Dash Smart intends to terminate a PPP project and transfer a 69.77% stake in its subsidiary for 165 million yuan, impacting its profit by -309 million yuan [18]

Group 1: Capital Expenditure Cycle Analysis - The capital expenditure (CAPEX) cycle is a dominant driver of industry cycles in China, influencing the relationship between CAPEX, price-to-book (PB) ratio, and return on equity (ROE) [4] - The CAPEX cycle is divided into three stages: Stage 1 (oversupply leads to declining ROE and poor market performance), Stage 2 (declining CAPEX results in rising free cash flow and market rebound), and Stage 3 (supply-side clearing leads to improved ROE and better market performance) [4][14][15] - The PB-ROE model indicates significant investment value in Stage 2 (low PB and improving ROE) and Stage 3 (reasonable PB and steadily rising ROE) [16] Group 2: Market and Industry Comparisons - In Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, the overall capital expenditure of A-share companies (excluding finance and real estate) is contracting, while free cash flow is improving [20] - The median CAPEX/depreciation ratio for secondary industries decreased from 1.35 to 1.29, while the median free cash flow/equity ratio increased from 4.4% to 4.8% [21] - The proportion of secondary industries with free cash flow greater than 0 has significantly increased, indicating a positive trend in cash flow [21][24] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - The consumer sector shows overall CAPEX contraction and slight decline in free cash flow, with CAPEX levels below market averages and free cash flow above market averages [26] - The advanced manufacturing sector also experiences CAPEX contraction, while free cash flow shows slight improvement [4][26] - Eight industries within the consumer sector are highlighted as potential investment opportunities based on supply-side improvements [4][26]

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·建筑材料 建筑材料行业跟踪周报 家庭消费仍有潜力，期待服务消费刺激 2025 年 06 月 08 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券分析师 黄诗涛 执业证书：S0600521120004 huangshitao@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 房大磊 执业证书：S0600522100001 fangdl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 石峰源 执业证书：S0600521120001 shify@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -20% -16% -12% -8% -4% 0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 2024/6/11 2024/10/9 2025/2/6 2025/6/6 建筑材料 沪深300 相关研究 《建筑业 PMI 底部区间波动，推荐消 费建材》 2025-06-03 《继续推荐消费建材》 2025-05-25 东吴证券研究所 1 / 20 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 本周（2025.6.3–2025.6.6，下同）：本周建筑材料板块（SW）涨跌幅 0.63%， 同期沪深 300、万得全 A 指数 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a standard rating for the construction materials sector [2] Core Views - The real estate market is showing signs of recovery, particularly in high-energy cities, with improved sales of larger residential units. The demand for real estate and construction materials is expected to rise due to accelerated urban renewal initiatives [4][29] - The land market has seen a resurgence, with the top 100 companies acquiring land worth 405.19 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.8% [4][27] - The report suggests focusing on stable central state-owned enterprises and regional leaders in first and second-tier cities, such as Poly Developments, China Merchants Shekou, and others [4][29] Summary by Sections Real Estate Market Overview - In the first four months of the year, 20 out of 30 representative cities saw an increase in the proportion of residential units over 120 square meters sold, with cities like Nanjing and Qingdao showing increases exceeding 8% [4][27] - New home prices in first-tier cities rose by 0.90% month-on-month in May, while second-tier cities saw a slight increase of 0.06% [4][27] - The report indicates that the recovery in the real estate market will gradually expand from specific points to a broader area, potentially leading to a valuation recovery for the sector [29] Construction Materials Market Overview - National cement production from January to April 2025 was 495 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 2.8%, marking the lowest level for the same period since 2010 [5][47] - The report highlights that the cement industry is undergoing significant capacity reduction and is pushing for energy-saving and green transformation [6][49] - The construction materials sector is expected to benefit from increased fiscal spending and the issuance of special bonds, which will support demand for construction materials [51] Key Data and Trends - The report notes that the total amount of special bonds planned for issuance in June across 25 regions is approximately 885.64 billion yuan, with new special bonds accounting for 469.49 billion yuan [51] - The construction materials sector has seen a slight increase in prices, with the average cement price at 339 yuan per ton, down 4 yuan from the previous week [36][41] - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the cement industry, such as Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement, which are expected to benefit from industry consolidation and overseas expansion [6][50]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the building materials industry [1] Core Views - The construction materials sector is experiencing fluctuations at the bottom of the PMI range, with expectations for a gradual recovery in demand driven by government policies and market dynamics [4][16] - The report highlights the potential for recovery in the home decoration materials sector, particularly with the implementation of "old-for-new" subsidies and service consumption stimulus policies [4][16] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Overview - The building materials sector has shown a slight increase of 0.18% in the past week, outperforming the CSI 300 and the Wind All A indices, which decreased by -1.08% and -0.02% respectively, resulting in excess returns of 1.26% and 0.20% [4] - The construction industry PMI has shown signs of improvement, indicating a potential recovery in new orders due to eased tariffs [4][16] 2. Bulk Building Materials Fundamentals and High-Frequency Data 2.1 Cement - The national average price for high-standard cement is 367.8 RMB/ton, down by 3.0 RMB/ton from last week and 6.3 RMB/ton from the same period last year [20][21] - The average cement inventory among sample enterprises is 65.7%, with an average shipment rate of 47.8%, reflecting a slight increase in demand [25][19] - The report anticipates a stabilization or slight rebound in cement prices due to improved supply discipline among leading companies [12][19] 2.2 Glass Fiber - The report notes that the profitability of mid-range glass fiber remains resilient, with demand in domestic wind power and thermoplastics continuing to grow [13] - The industry is expected to see a gradual recovery in supply-demand balance, supported by the growth in high-end products [13] 2.3 Glass - The glass sector is facing weak terminal demand, with prices under pressure as the industry enters a seasonal downturn [14][15] - The report suggests monitoring production line adjustments to gauge future price recovery potential [14][15] 3. Industry Dynamics Tracking - The report emphasizes the importance of government policies aimed at stimulating domestic demand and stabilizing the real estate market, which are expected to positively impact the building materials sector [16] - The anticipated recovery in consumer confidence and the ongoing implementation of national subsidies are expected to drive demand for home decoration materials [16] 4. Weekly Market Review - The report provides a detailed analysis of price changes and inventory levels across various regions, indicating a mixed performance in the cement market with some areas experiencing price increases while others see declines [19][20][21]