进出口贸易
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7月出口加快,哪些品类在增长?
HUAXI Securities· 2025-08-08 01:24
Export Performance - In July 2025, China's total export value reached $321.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.2%, exceeding market expectations of 5.79%[1] - Exports to economies excluding the U.S. increased by 3.0 percentage points to 12.6%, contributing 2.5 percentage points to the overall export growth[1] - Key regions driving export growth included Latin America (+0.8 pct), South Korea (+0.5 pct), and Taiwan (+0.4 pct)[1] U.S. Export Trends - Exports to the U.S. fell by 21.6% year-on-year in July, a decline of 5.6 percentage points compared to June, impacting overall exports by 3.3 percentage points[2] - Container shipping rates to the U.S. dropped approximately 28% in the last week of July compared to the last week of June, indicating a slowdown in trade[2] - The expected monthly export range to the U.S. is projected between $35.8 billion and $38.2 billion, with year-on-year growth unlikely to return to positive figures[2] Regional Export Dynamics - South Korea's exports grew by 5.9% in July, the highest rate this year, driven by semiconductor exports which rose by 31.6%[3] - Vietnam maintained a high export growth rate of 17.7% in July, with exports to the U.S. increasing by 26%[3] - The export growth of labor-intensive products, machinery, and high-tech products showed varying degrees of slowdown, with labor-intensive products declining to -0.6%[4] Import Trends - Total imports in July reached $223.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.3%, up 3 percentage points from June[4] - Significant contributors to import growth included bulk commodities, pharmaceuticals, and agricultural products, with increases of 1.6, 0.5, and 0.3 percentage points respectively[4] - The import of crude oil and copper ore saw notable rebounds, while iron ore imports fell by 8.8%[4] Future Outlook - China's export resilience is expected to continue, with positive year-on-year growth anticipated from August to October 2025, despite potential short-term declines in November and December due to high base effects[6] - The recent increase in U.S. tariffs may further impact global trade dynamics, with uncertainties surrounding the U.S. economic outlook and potential tariff expansions to other economies[6]
21社论丨中国外贸有望保持“量稳质升”的强劲韧性
21世纪经济报道· 2025-08-08 01:06
Core Viewpoint - China's foreign trade shows resilience and steady growth despite complex international economic conditions, with a 3.5% year-on-year increase in imports and exports in the first seven months of the year, driven by supportive policies and enhanced international cooperation [1][4]. Group 1: Trade Performance - In the first seven months of the year, China's total import and export value reached 3.91 trillion yuan in July, marking a historical monthly high with a year-on-year growth of 6.7% [1]. - Exports grew by 7.3% while imports decreased by 1.6%, indicating a strong performance in external demand [1]. - The trade value with ASEAN reached 4.29 trillion yuan, a 9.4% increase, making it China's largest trading partner [2]. Group 2: Trade Structure - The export of mechanical and electrical products reached 9.18 trillion yuan, accounting for 60% of total exports, with integrated circuits and automobiles being key growth drivers [3]. - Traditional labor-intensive product exports declined by 0.8%, indicating a shift towards high-tech and high-value products [3]. - The export of new energy vehicles and related products has seen significant growth, reflecting the industry's adaptation to global energy transition trends [3]. Group 3: Policy Support and Future Outlook - The Chinese government has implemented a series of supportive policies, including tax reductions and improved business environments, to stabilize foreign trade growth [4]. - There is an expectation for continued strong growth in trade with emerging markets, enhancing resilience against external risks [5]. - The ongoing deepening of economic cooperation with Europe is expected to foster mutual benefits and industry development [5].
外媒评中国外贸7月“成绩单”:出口增长“超预期”
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-08-07 22:50
【环球时报综合报道】海关总署7日发布的数据显示,2025年前7个月,我国货物贸易进出口总值25.7万 亿元人民币,同比增长3.5%。其中,出口15.31万亿元,同比增长7.3%。此外,7月当月,我国货物贸易 进出口总值3.91万亿元,同比增长6.7%,增速比6月加快1.5个百分点,创今年以来新高。 "中国7月出口激增超预期。"诸多外媒如此评价中国外贸7月的"成绩单"。据路透社6日报道,中国前7月 出口同比增长7.3%的数据,超过该媒体此前预测的5.4%,而中国7月进口1.6万亿元,同比增长4.8%,也 超出国际经济学家的预期。美国《华尔街日报》评论称,外贸持续增长有助于促进中国经济增长,今年 上半年,中国GDP同比增长 5.3%,其中出口是重要推动力。 "中国外贸进出口持续增长,亚非地区在其中扮演关键角色。"古巴拉丁美洲通讯社7日报道称,在今年 前7个月中,中国对东盟、欧盟、非洲、中亚进出口同比分别增长9.4%、3.9%、17.2%、16.3%。 保银投资总裁兼首席经济学家张智威告诉美国消费者新闻与商业频道(CNBC),今年以来,中国出口 对经济的支撑"强劲"。但他也担忧,中美关税"暂缓期"即将于本月12日到 ...
21社论丨中国外贸有望保持“量稳质升”的强劲韧性
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-07 22:43
Core Insights - China's foreign trade maintained a steady growth momentum in the first seven months of the year, with total imports and exports increasing by 3.5% year-on-year, driven by supportive policies and enhanced adaptability of enterprises [1][2][5] Group 1: Trade Performance - In July, the total value of imports and exports reached 3.91 trillion yuan, marking a historical monthly high with a year-on-year growth of 6.7% [1] - Exports grew by 7.3% while imports declined by 1.6% in the first seven months [1] - The growth rates for exports and imports in July were 8% and 4.8%, respectively, indicating a simultaneous improvement in domestic and external demand [1] Group 2: International Cooperation - China is actively deepening international economic cooperation through multilateral mechanisms and regional agreements, aiming to strengthen trade ties and boost enterprise confidence [2] - Trade with countries along the "Belt and Road" has become significant, accounting for nearly half of China's total trade value, with high-tech products showing double-digit growth [2] Group 3: Regional Trade Dynamics - A diversified trade pattern has emerged, with ASEAN being China's largest trading partner, accounting for 16.7% of total trade, followed by the EU at 13% [3] - Trade with emerging markets in Africa and Central Asia grew by 17.2% and 16.3%, respectively, highlighting rapid growth in these regions [3] Group 4: Export Structure and Quality - The export of electromechanical products reached 9.18 trillion yuan, representing a 9.3% year-on-year increase and accounting for 60% of total exports [4] - Exports of integrated circuits and automobiles grew by 21.8% and 10.9%, respectively, becoming key drivers of export growth [4] - Traditional labor-intensive product exports declined by 0.8%, indicating a shift towards higher value-added products [4] Group 5: Policy Support and Future Outlook - The government has implemented a series of supportive policies to stabilize foreign trade, including tax reductions and improved business environments [5] - There is an expectation for continued growth in trade with emerging markets, enhancing resilience against external risks [5] - The integration of supply chains between China and Europe is expected to deepen, particularly in the automotive sector [5]
中国外贸有望保持“量稳质升”的强劲韧性
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-07 22:27
Core Viewpoint - China's foreign trade shows resilience and steady growth despite global challenges, with a 3.5% year-on-year increase in imports and exports in the first seven months of the year, driven by supportive policies and improved adaptability of enterprises [1][2][5]. Group 1: Trade Performance - In the first seven months of the year, China's total import and export value increased by 3.5%, with exports growing by 7.3% and imports declining by 1.6% [1]. - In July alone, the total import and export value reached 3.91 trillion yuan, marking a historical monthly high with a year-on-year growth of 6.7% [1]. - The growth rates for exports and imports in July were 8% and 4.8%, respectively, indicating a simultaneous improvement in domestic and external demand [1]. Group 2: International Cooperation - Amid rising global unilateralism and protectionism, China is actively deepening international economic cooperation through multilateral mechanisms and regional agreements [2]. - Trade with countries along the "Belt and Road" has become significant, accounting for nearly half of China's total trade value, with double-digit growth in high-tech products [2]. Group 3: Regional Trade Dynamics - A diversified trade pattern has emerged, with ASEAN being China's largest trading partner, accounting for 16.7% of total trade, followed by the EU at 13% [3]. - Trade with emerging markets in Africa and Central Asia has seen rapid growth, with increases of 17.2% and 16.3%, respectively [3]. Group 4: Export Structure and Quality - The export of electromechanical products reached 9.18 trillion yuan, representing a 9.3% year-on-year increase and accounting for 60% of total exports [4]. - Exports of integrated circuits and automobiles grew by 21.8% and 10.9%, respectively, highlighting their role as key growth drivers [4]. - Traditional labor-intensive product exports declined by 0.8%, indicating a shift towards higher value-added products and green trade opportunities [4]. Group 5: Policy Support and Future Outlook - China is implementing a "policy combination" to stabilize foreign trade, including tax reductions and improved business environments [5]. - Supportive measures for small and micro foreign trade enterprises have been expanded, and efforts to enhance trade facilitation are ongoing [5]. - Future trade growth is expected to be robust, particularly with emerging markets, as China continues to strengthen international cooperation [5].
特朗普39%关税正式生效,瑞士:暂不考虑反制,将继续与美国磋商
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-08-07 17:43
Core Viewpoint - The United States has officially implemented a 39% tariff on Swiss products, prompting Switzerland to seek negotiations to lower the tax rate while maintaining its principles in trade relations [1] Group 1: Tariff Impact - The 39% tariff on Swiss products took effect on August 7 [1] - Switzerland is committed to negotiating with the U.S. to reduce the tariff rate as soon as possible [1] Group 2: Switzerland's Response - The Swiss Federal Council has not considered retaliatory measures against the U.S. tariff increase, citing potential additional costs to the Swiss economy [1] - Switzerland aims to diversify its trade relationships with all international partners [1] Group 3: Political Stance - Swiss President Keller-Sutter stated that the U.S. is using tariffs as leverage to increase prices, but Switzerland will not compromise on its principles to maintain stable relations [1]
德国6月出口额环比增长0.8%
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-07 16:33
Group 1 - Germany's export value in June 2025 increased by 0.8% month-on-month, reaching approximately 130.5 billion euros, surpassing economists' expectations of 0.5% [1] - In the first half of 2025, Germany's total export value grew by 0.6% year-on-year, amounting to 785.6 billion euros [1] - Exports to EU countries in June were 73 billion euros, a month-on-month increase of 2.4%, while imports from the EU rose by 3.5% to 59.6 billion euros [1] Group 2 - Exports to non-EU countries decreased by 1.2% month-on-month to 57.5 billion euros, while imports from non-EU countries increased by 5.0% to 56 billion euros [1] - Exports to the United States, Germany's most important export market, fell by 2.1% month-on-month to 11.8 billion euros, marking the third consecutive decline and the lowest level since February 2022 [1] - The increase in tariffs on EU goods exported to the U.S. is expected to impact the competitiveness of German products in the U.S. market [1] Group 3 - In June, Germany's total import value rose by 4.2% month-on-month to approximately 115.6 billion euros [2] - Imports from China increased by 5.8% to 14.6 billion euros, making it the largest source of imports [2] - Imports from the United States surged by 19.8% to 8.8 billion euros, reaching the highest level since June 2022 [2]
我国外贸保持向上向好势头
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-08-07 16:31
Group 1: Trade Performance - In the first seven months of the year, China's total goods trade value reached 25.7 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.5%, with exports at 15.31 trillion yuan (up 7.3%) and imports at 10.39 trillion yuan (down 1.6%) [1] - In July alone, the total goods trade value was 3.91 trillion yuan, growing by 6.7%, with exports at 2.31 trillion yuan (up 8%) and imports at 1.6 trillion yuan (up 4.8%) [1] - Trade with ASEAN, EU, Africa, and Central Asia saw increases of 9.4%, 3.9%, 17.2%, and 16.3% respectively, while trade with the US decreased by 11.1% [1] Group 2: High-tech and Green Products - In the first seven months, the import and export of high-tech products reached 5.1 trillion yuan, growing by 8.4%, contributing 45.4% to the overall trade growth [2] - Exports of high-end machine tools increased by 23.4%, and imports of high-end textile machinery rose by 19.3% [2] - Exports of green and low-carbon products, referred to as the "new three samples," grew by 14.9% [2] Group 3: Commodity Imports - Major commodity imports showed a decline in prices, with iron ore imports at 69.7 million tons (down 2.3%) and crude oil at 32.7 million tons (up 2.8%) [3] - The average import price for iron ore fell by 15%, while crude oil prices decreased by 12.7% [3] - Imports of mechanical and electrical products reached 4.09 trillion yuan, growing by 5.8% [3] Group 4: Future Outlook - The recovery in July's import growth reflects enhanced import momentum, driven by price factors and increased exports [4] - The reliance on US exports has decreased, with emerging markets becoming significant growth areas [4] - Policies to stabilize growth and foreign trade are expected to be reinforced in the fourth quarter, potentially including targeted financial support for foreign trade enterprises [4]
【环球财经】中国等市场需求拉动德国6月出口回升
Xin Hua She· 2025-08-07 16:01
Core Viewpoint - Germany's exports showed a positive trend in June, driven by strong demand from China and the EU, marking a recovery from previous declines [1] Export Performance - In June, Germany's exports increased by 2.4% year-on-year and 0.8% month-on-month, totaling €130.5 billion [1] - The imports for the same month amounted to €115.6 billion [1] - Exports to EU member states rose by 2.4% month-on-month, while exports to non-EU countries decreased by 1.2%, with exports to China growing by 1.1% [1] Trade with the United States - Exports to the U.S. fell by 2.1% month-on-month in June, marking the third consecutive month of decline, with a year-on-year decrease of 8.4% [1] - For the first half of the year, exports to the U.S. decreased by 3.1% year-on-year [1] Industry Response - The President of the German Wholesale and Foreign Trade Association, Dirk Jandura, stated that the unpredictable trade policies of the U.S. have severely impacted Germany's foreign trade, leading to increased uncertainty and export losses [1] - There is a growing trend among German companies to seek alternative markets in response to the current situation [1] - Jandura called for the EU to establish more free trade agreements with other trading partners and to reform existing agreements [1]
中国等市场需求拉动德国6月出口回升
Xin Hua She· 2025-08-07 15:45
新华社柏林8月7日电(记者 车云龙 张毅荣)德国联邦统计局7日公布的数据显示,受中国和欧盟市 场强劲需求推动,德国6月出口同比增长2.4%,环比增长0.8%,结束此前连续两个月下滑趋势。 数据显示,经季节和工作日调整后,6月德国出口总额为1305亿欧元,进口总额为1156亿欧元。当 月德国对欧盟成员国出口环比增长2.4%,对欧盟以外国家出口下降1.2%,其中对中国出口增长1.1%。 数据显示,受美国加征关税等因素影响,6月德国对美出口环比下降2.1%,为连续第三个月下降; 同比降幅达8.4%。今年上半年,德国对美出口同比下降3.1%。 德国批发和外贸协会主席迪尔克·扬杜拉当天发表声明说,美国反复无常的贸易政策已对德国对外 贸易造成严重影响,不确定性持续上升,直接带来出口损失。越来越多德国企业正在应对当前形势,积 极寻找替代市场。他同时呼吁欧盟与其他贸易伙伴达成更多自由贸易协定,并对现有协定进行改革。 ...