从出口市场看，中国（含香港）是今年最大的亮点，增幅近30%。《全面与进步跨太平洋伙伴关系 协定》（CPTPP）市场凭借关税优势，继续保持增长势头。对欧盟市场出口呈现积极复苏态势，但美国 市场因关税政策和技术壁垒受到较大影响。 据越南水产加工与出口协会数据显示，虾类仍是行业主力出口商品，出口额达46.5亿美元，同比增 长近20%，约占行业出口总额的41%。此外，查鱼出口额达21.9亿美元，同比增长逾8%。 （原标题：2025年越南水产品出口创下113亿美元新纪录） 越南《人民报》1月7日报道称，2025年，越南水产品出口成绩喜人，首次突破110亿美元大关，创 下113.4亿美元的新纪录。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The imposition of a 50% punitive tariff by the U.S. on Indian goods has severely impacted India's manufacturing sector, leading to significant job losses and economic downturns across various industries, including textiles, seafood, and gemstones [1][3][5]. Group 1: Textile Industry - The textile manufacturing hub of Tirupur, employing over 600,000 workers, has seen a 25% drop in production, with many workers facing reduced hours and wages due to the tariff [3]. - The Tamil Nadu region has lost orders worth 150 billion rupees, with daily losses nearing 6 billion rupees [1]. Group 2: Seafood Industry - India's seafood exports, which account for one-third of its total seafood market, have experienced a 30% to 35% year-on-year decline since the tariff's implementation, leading to factory shutdowns in major shrimp-producing areas [3][5]. - The demand from U.S. buyers has diminished significantly, affecting over 5 million jobs directly and indirectly in the seafood sector [3]. Group 3: Gemstone and Jewelry Industry - The U.S. is the largest market for Indian gemstones and jewelry, with exports reaching $9.23 billion in the 2024-2025 fiscal year, representing nearly one-third of the total exports in this sector [5]. - The tariff could jeopardize the jobs of 170,000 skilled workers in the diamond cutting and polishing industry, leading to increased prices for consumers in the U.S. [5]. Group 4: Economic Impact - The Indian rupee has depreciated over 6% against the dollar, with the currency falling below the 91 mark, making it one of the worst-performing currencies in Asia [9]. - Foreign direct investment in India has plummeted to $35.3 million in the 2024-2025 fiscal year, a stark decline from previous years [9]. Group 5: Government Response - The Indian government has suspended import tariffs on certain raw materials and is accelerating trade negotiations with other countries to diversify export markets [12]. - Despite these measures, the manufacturing sector continues to face immense pressure, with many foreign companies reconsidering their operations in India due to an unstable business environment [14].

【环球时报报道 记者 苑基荣】受美国50%高额关税影响，印度主要出口行业"危机不断升级"。《新印度快报》19日报道称，印度出口大邦泰米尔 纳德邦首席部长MK·斯塔林日前致函总理莫迪，再次敦促中央政府就美关税问题采取有效应对措施。他表示，美国关税已重创印度纺织、服装和 皮革行业，由此造成的经济挫折已将许多中小企业推向"破产边缘"，并使数十万个工作岗位面临严重风险。安得拉邦首席部长钱德拉巴布·奈杜也 对美国高关税对该邦虾类出口造成的损害表示担忧。 斯塔林表示，受美国对印加征关税冲击，泰米尔纳德邦纺织业正面临严重危机。由于订单流失惨重，企业不得不压缩产量。目前，出口商确认的 损失已达1500亿卢比（约合117.9亿元人民币），各生产单位被迫减产幅度高达30%。随着新订单持续萎缩，大量中小企业已处于破产边缘。据报 道，泰米尔纳德邦是印度纺织品和服装出口的支柱，占全国纺织品出口量的28%，为约750万工人提供就业岗位。 "当前的贸易僵局不仅是经济上的挫折，更因关税造成的不可挽回的损害而成为迫在眉睫的人道主义挑战，"斯塔林补充道。"数十万个工作岗位岌 岌可危，相关行业已经出现裁员和工资拖欠的情况。更糟糕的是，国际买家正迅 ...

此外，CPTPP成员国继续发挥着支撑越南水产发展的重要作用。前10个月对成员国出口突破10亿美 元。日本、加拿大和澳大利亚保持稳定的需求，帮助越南企业在美加强贸易救济措施的背景下平衡市 场。 前10个月，对美出口额7.02亿美元，同比增长9%。尽管厄瓜多尔和印度的竞争带来了压力，但10 月越南对美虾类出口额仍达到1.14亿美元，表明市场需求并未减弱。虾类产业整体增长良好，但由于美 国（虾类第二大出口市场）的关税和贸易保护措施的影响，预计第四季度虾类产业增速将放缓。鉴于亚 洲尤其是中国市场强劲的增长势头，全年前景依然乐观。 （原标题：中国成为越南虾类出口增长最快市场） 《越南快讯》11月19日报道，越南水产出口和生产协会（VASEP）表示，中国是增长最快的市场， 前10个月对华出口水产39亿美元，同比增长22%。其中，虾类出口大幅增长，前10 个月出口额11亿美 元，同比增长64%。仅10月，越南虾类出口额就达4.98亿美元，创下年初以来最高纪录。其中，中国内 地和中国香港的订单额达1.4亿美元，占据较大份额。 ...

Core Insights - India's trade deficit in October reached a record high of $41.68 billion, influenced by increased gold imports and a decline in exports to the U.S. [1] - The trade deficit in September was already elevated at $32.15 billion, marking a 13-month high [1] - Economists had initially projected the October trade deficit to be $28 billion, lower than the previous month's figure [1] Trade Data Summary - Exports to the U.S. fell nearly 9% year-on-year in October, decreasing from $6.91 billion to $6.31 billion, although there was a recovery compared to September [1] - Imports from the U.S. rose from $3.98 billion in September to $4.47 billion in October [1] - Gold imports in October surged to $14.7 billion, up from $9.6 billion in September [1]

Core Insights - The India-US bilateral trade agreement appears to be nearing completion, with most issues reportedly agreed upon, but India emphasizes that any decision will prioritize national interests over external pressures [1][3][4] - Tariff issues are central to the negotiations, with the US imposing high tariffs on Indian exports, leading to a significant drop in India's exports to the US [4][7] - India is considering some concessions, such as relaxing import restrictions on corn and soybean meal, while firmly protecting its agricultural markets to safeguard local farmers [6][10] Trade Negotiation Dynamics - The US has imposed tariffs of up to 50% on Indian goods, severely limiting market access for Indian products [4] - India's exports to the US fell from $6.87 billion in August to $5.43 billion in September, a decrease of $1.4 billion in just one month [4] - India is unlikely to compromise on agricultural products, as approximately 60% of its population relies on agriculture, with 85% being small farmers [6][10] Energy Procurement Issues - The procurement of Russian oil remains a contentious topic, with the US pressuring India to reduce its purchases, but India maintains that its energy security is paramount [9][12] - Despite US sanctions on Russian oil producers, India has reduced its Russian oil imports from 1.2 million barrels per day in September to 800,000 barrels per day in October, which may be seen as a gesture towards the US [12] Conclusion on Negotiation Strategy - India's approach to the negotiations is cautious, balancing the need for trade agreements with the protection of domestic interests [13] - The potential for an agreement hinges on mutual concessions, particularly regarding tariffs and agricultural imports, with both parties needing to demonstrate goodwill for a successful outcome [13]

Group 1 - The East China Sea fishing moratorium has ended, leading to an influx of seafood in markets, particularly in Shanghai [1] - The San Sha Hong market in Chongming District, Shanghai, is bustling with various seafood products, including newly arrived hairtail and pomfret, attracting many customers due to competitive pricing [3] - Seafood prices vary significantly based on specifications, with hairtail and yellow croaker priced between tens to hundreds of yuan per jin, while larger pomfret exceeds 100 yuan per jin [4] Group 2 - In Zhoushan, the first batch of fishing boats has returned, increasing seafood supply in the market, with prices experiencing slight fluctuations due to rising demand from the upcoming Mid-Autumn and National Day holidays [6][10] - The Zhoushan International Aquatic City is busy with sorting and distributing various seafood as boats return, indicating a robust supply chain [8] - Market demand is expected to rise, leading to a short-term increase in seafood prices, although overall supply is projected to stabilize as more boats return [10] Group 3 - In Luoyuan, Fujian, the first harvest of 100,000 greenfin horse mackerel, also known as "Hao Er Yu," has been successful, showcasing the potential for aquaculture in the region [11] - The greenfin horse mackerel has a high survival rate of over 98% in warmer waters, indicating successful adaptation to local conditions [14] - Plans are in place to cultivate 3 to 5 million fish seedlings next year, aiming for year-round aquaculture of greenfin horse mackerel in the Luoyuan area [14]

Core Insights - Vietnam's shrimp industry achieved remarkable results with an export value of $479 million in August 2025, representing a nearly 19% year-on-year growth [1] - The total shrimp export value for the first eight months reached $2.97 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 23% [1] - Exports to mainland China and Hong Kong surged by 62% in August, accounting for nearly 30% of Vietnam's total shrimp exports, with demand primarily focused on high-end fresh products like lobsters and large tiger prawns [1] - The Vietnam Association of Seafood Exporters and Producers (VASEP) forecasts continued strong growth in shrimp exports to China in the remaining months of the year [1]

Core Points - The article discusses the escalating trade tensions between the United States and India, particularly following the U.S. imposition of a 50% tariff on Indian goods, which has led to significant diplomatic silence from Indian Prime Minister Modi [1][2][3] - The tariffs are a result of two executive orders from the Trump administration aimed at pressuring India to change its energy policies regarding Russian oil imports [3][14] - The impact of these tariffs is expected to severely affect India's export industries, particularly labor-intensive sectors [11][12] Tariff Impact on Indian Industries - The textile and apparel industry, a key sector for India, is expected to face significant profit erosion due to the 50% tariff, as it heavily relies on the U.S. market [4] - The jewelry sector has been warned of potential supply chain disruptions and a substantial reduction in overall export volume due to high tariffs [5] - The shrimp farming industry, which is India's largest seafood export category, will be severely impacted by the tariffs [6] - The carpet and furniture manufacturing sectors are also expected to suffer from a sharp decline in demand due to increased prices [7][8] Exemptions and Future Risks - The pharmaceutical industry currently enjoys tariff exemptions, but there are threats of a 200% tariff if trade disputes escalate [9] - The electronics and IT hardware sectors are temporarily shielded from tariffs due to strong demand in the U.S. market [10] - The oil products sector maintains its exemption but must remain vigilant regarding international oil price fluctuations and potential policy changes [10] Export Projections - A report from the Global Trade Research Initiative predicts that India's exports to the U.S. will plummet from $87 billion in FY2025 to $49.6 billion in FY2026, with approximately 66% of exports facing tariff impacts [11] India's Response Strategies - The Indian government is implementing measures to mitigate tariff impacts, including suspending import duties on certain raw materials and accelerating trade negotiations with other countries [12] - Diplomatically, India is maintaining a firm stance, prioritizing the protection of its farmers and small businesses while continuing to purchase Russian oil despite U.S. pressure [12][13] - Indian companies are also taking proactive steps, such as state-owned oil companies pausing Russian oil purchases until further government guidance is provided [13] Broader Implications of U.S. Tariffs - The U.S. aims to weaken Russia's oil revenue through these tariffs, which could have broader implications for global trade dynamics [14] - Concerns are rising that the U.S. approach to weaponizing tariffs may disrupt existing trade rules and accelerate the fragmentation of the global trade system [15]

Core Points - The United States has officially imposed a 50% tariff on Indian goods, effective from August 27, 2023, which is expected to significantly impact India's economy and trade relations with the U.S. [1][2] - The tariff is projected to reduce India's annual economic growth rate by 0.6 to 0.8 percentage points, according to Citigroup [6][7]. - Indian exporters have warned of a potential 20% to 30% decline in exports to the U.S. starting in September [4]. Group 1: Tariff Implementation - The 50% tariff applies to all Indian goods imported for consumption or storage, with limited exemptions for goods already in transit and humanitarian aid [2]. - The tariff was introduced following President Trump's executive order, which cited India's indirect importation of Russian oil as a reason for the increased duties [2]. - Major Indian exports affected include textiles, shrimp, and gemstones, with the U.S. accounting for approximately one-third of India's garment exports [5][3]. Group 2: Economic Impact - The Sensex 30 index in India fell over 1%, marking its worst performance in three months, as the rupee depreciated against the dollar [1][2]. - Foreign investors are reportedly accelerating their exit from the Indian market, with net sales of Indian stocks continuing for the second consecutive month in August [3]. - The overall trade volume between the U.S. and India is projected to reach $128.8 billion in 2024, with India exporting $87.3 billion worth of goods to the U.S. [3]. Group 3: Political Context - Reports indicate that Prime Minister Modi has refused multiple phone calls from President Trump, reflecting tensions over the tariff imposition and Trump's comments labeling India as a "dying economy" [8][9]. - Modi has publicly stated that he will protect the interests of Indian citizens and businesses against external pressures, emphasizing the importance of domestic manufacturing [9]. - The Indian government has expressed its discontent with the U.S. tariffs, labeling them as unfair and unacceptable, and has pledged to take necessary actions to safeguard national interests [9][10].