Core Viewpoint - The Zahaheor open-pit coal mine is transitioning from traditional mining practices to a high-quality green development model, emphasizing ecological restoration and sustainable practices [3][11]. Group 1: Green Technology Implementation - The mine has introduced 120-ton pure electric mining trucks that utilize lithium iron phosphate batteries, reducing operational costs by 62.7% and achieving annual carbon emissions reductions of 7,351 tons, equivalent to planting 400,000 fir trees [4][5]. - A total of 135 autonomous wide-body trucks are part of a "green transportation army," enhancing operational efficiency to 90% of manual labor efficiency and achieving fuel savings of 20-30% [6][9]. Group 2: Ecological Restoration Efforts - The mine has invested 670 million yuan in six major ecological restoration projects, covering an area of 25,300 acres, significantly improving vegetation coverage to over 90% in certain areas [10]. - The restoration strategy focuses on reshaping terrain, improving soil quality, and reestablishing vegetation with local species, leading to a sustainable ecological model [10]. Group 3: Industry Transformation - The transition from coal mining to a green economy reflects a broader trend in traditional industries towards low-carbon development, integrating technological innovation with ecological protection [11].

Group 1: Pig Farming Industry - The report presents a unique research framework that suggests pig prices may stabilize before declining, reaching a low by the end of the year, with capacity reduction being a current industry theme [2][4] - The analysis indicates that the pig cycle consists of efficiency and breeding cycles, with a 7% year-on-year decline in breeding sows correlating with stable pig prices [3][4] - The report emphasizes that the current phase is characterized by price declines and capacity reduction, with a focus on the impacts of prices, policies, and diseases [4][5] Group 2: Duty-Free Industry - The report highlights a significant narrowing of the sales decline in the duty-free sector, with a strong rebound in average transaction value, indicating signs of data recovery [2][10] - The implementation of the "immediate buy and refund" policy nationwide is expected to enhance the shopping conversion rate for foreign consumers in China [12][20] - The report suggests that the duty-free channel has significant price advantages, allowing it to capture market share effectively, with products like cosmetics being priced at 70-80% of taxable prices [12][22] Group 3: Debt Market - The report anticipates a key strategy shift in the debt market, with expectations of a long-term decline in broad interest rates due to economic data divergence and capital market resilience [6][7] - It discusses the potential for credit bond rates to decrease, enhancing the attractiveness of government bonds [8][9] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring liquidity and interest rate trends, suggesting that the debt market may experience a rebound [6][7] Group 4: Solid-State Battery Industry - The report indicates that the solid-state battery industry is entering a phase of accelerated industrialization, supported by government policies and funding [24][25] - It highlights the significant market potential for solid-state batteries in various applications, including electric vehicles and low-altitude aircraft [25][26] - The report notes that leading companies are making progress in developing solid-state battery prototypes, which is expected to attract more players into the market [26][27] Group 5: Construction Industry - The report outlines that broad infrastructure investment increased by 9.2% year-on-year, while real estate investment decreased by 12% [28][30] - It emphasizes the need for continued policy support to stabilize the real estate market and improve market confidence [30][31] - The report recommends several construction companies with high dividend yields as potential investment opportunities [31]

氮气流轻柔地托起煤渣，气动螺杆马达安静地旋转，碎软煤层在"我"的温柔攻势下乖乖让出一条通路。 在山焦华晋沙曲二矿（以下简称沙曲二矿）的井下巷道里，"我"——曾经靠高压清水"横冲直撞"的定向钻机，如今正以全新的"绅士姿 态"工作着。从"蛮力冲击"到"精准微创"的转型，背后是沙曲二矿的工程师们为我精心设计的一场升级革命，更是山焦华晋以科技创新驱动 新质生产力发展的生动实践。 一个月前，"我"还是矿上赫赫有名的"水力猛将"，300L/min的高压清水从"我"的身体里喷涌而出，钻头旋转如电风扇，所过之处煤渣四 溅、浆水横流。可每当遇到碎软煤层，"我"就陷入了困境，水流冲垮煤壁，钻杆搅碎孔壁，煤渣像滚雪球一样堵住钻孔。看着工人师傅们 每天皱着眉头从钻孔里拖出沾满泥浆的钻杆，"我"第一次感到了力不从心。直到在一次技术研讨会上，沙曲二矿的工程师们提出："必须用 科技破局，给钻机换上'氮气心脏'！" 有时候，征服不需要蛮力，读懂煤层的心，比钻透它更重要，沙曲二矿以科技创新培育新质生产力，让传统煤炭开采焕发新生，在这 幽深的巷道里，"我"用氮气书写着新时代矿工的智慧，最强大的力量，从来不是横冲直撞，而是科技赋能下的那份恰到好处 ...

报告编制人员一览表 姓名 毕业院校及学历 职称 担负工作 长春地质学院， 地质调查与矿产勘 张丽娟 主编 大学本科 查高级工程师 黑龙江省科技学 孙平 地质技术员 图件清绘 院，函授本科 河北经济学院， 报告组卷及主编安排 王隆章 地质技术员 大学本科 的其它工作 摘 要 根据黑龙江省人民政府办公厅《关于印发黑龙江省资源整合煤矿审查标准的通知》(黑 政办规20197 号)中："（十）整合煤矿矿区范围（原界、整合矿区范围、扩大后矿区范 围，下同），不得与国有大中型煤矿井田平面投影重叠、不得与不同开采主体之间平面投 影重叠、不得与城镇建成区或城镇建设规划用地平面投影重叠"。单井扩建升级改造的煤 矿审查标准参照本标准执行。 鸡西市宝泰隆投资有限公司恒山煤矿 2014 年下发的"划定矿区范围批复"（黑国土矿 划2014016 号）中的扩大区矿区范围与鸡西市鑫电煤矿部分矿区范围平面投影重叠，2009 年，鸡西市安全生产监督管理已出具《关于鸡西煤业鑫安煤矿与相邻矿井资源重叠情况的 函》(鸡安监200969 号)，核实互不产生影响，不构成安全隐患。按照省政府最新要求， 恒山煤矿予以缩减原"划定矿区范围批复"中矿区范围，缩减 ...

Group 1: Copper Industry - In May, domestic air conditioner sales increased by 2.3%, while production decreased by 1.8%. The copper industry is facing supply disruptions, with both domestic production and imports of scrap copper declining in May. Demand for air conditioning is weaker than expected, leading to potential risks in copper demand. Short-term copper prices are expected to remain volatile, with a gradual increase anticipated following domestic stimulus policies and potential interest rate cuts in the US [4]. Group 2: Oil and Gas Industry - The ongoing military conflict between Israel and Iran continues to dominate the crude oil market. On June 22, the US bombed Iranian nuclear facilities, marking its formal involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict. Despite geopolitical uncertainties, the medium to long-term supply-demand dynamics for crude oil remain favorable, with a continued positive outlook for major oil companies and related services [5]. Group 3: Agriculture and Animal Husbandry - The "618" shopping festival results indicate a significant growth in the pet economy, with over 400 pet brands reporting sales increases of over 100% year-on-year. The number of pet transaction users grew by 32%, and new pet owners increased by 39% [6]. Group 4: Coal Industry - The coal market is experiencing a supply contraction and a rebound in demand, suggesting that coal prices may have reached a temporary bottom. Port coal prices are stable, and there has been an increase in iron and steel production. Coal inventories at Qinhuangdao Port have decreased and are now lower than the same period last year [8]. Group 5: Renewable Energy and Environmental Protection - The wind power sector is advised to focus on wind turbine manufacturers, as second-quarter performance may be under pressure. The solid-state battery sector is seeing increased capital expenditure due to advancements in production lines and policy support. The photovoltaic sector is expected to benefit from upcoming supply and demand policies, with a focus on integrated companies with lower production costs [9]. Group 6: Retail Industry - The recent promotional period concluded with stable results, as e-commerce platforms reported a cumulative sales figure of 855.6 billion yuan, reflecting a 15.2% year-on-year increase. Instant retail sales reached 29.6 billion yuan, up 18.7% year-on-year. This year, platforms are focusing more on ecosystem building and consumer experience, with instant retail gaining traction [10]. Group 7: Pharmaceutical Industry - The review process for innovative drugs is accelerating, with the National Medical Products Administration seeking opinions on optimizing clinical trial approvals. This is expected to enhance the value of quality pipelines and improve market sentiment towards the innovative drug sector. Long-term, the policy aims to support the transition of Chinese innovative drugs from a combination of imitation and innovation to global original research [11].

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 报告摘要 供给收缩、需求回升，煤价阶段性底部或已出现 （1）5月全国火电发电量4615亿千瓦时，同比+1.69%，结束了年初以来火电发电量持续低于去年同期的态 势；（2）5月以来，全国铁水产量始终高于去年同期水平，本周日均铁水产量环比+0.3%，较上周小幅反 弹，延续高位水平；（3）5月以来，Mysteel统计的523家炼焦煤矿山产能利用率持续回落，目前已明显低 于去年同期水平；（4）本周港口煤价小幅反弹，在供给收缩、旺季需求季节性上升的背景下，预计煤价 阶段性底部可能已经出现。 本周港口煤价平稳运行，海外油、气价格上涨 （1）本周（6.14-6.22）秦皇岛港口动力煤平仓价（5500大卡周度平均值）为609元/吨，环比+0元/吨 （ ...

Credit Spread Performance - In May, the supply of credit bonds decreased, leading to a general decline in credit spreads, with lower-rated credit bonds experiencing a more significant narrowing [1] - The AAA-rated industrial bonds saw a uniform narrowing of credit spreads across all sectors, with the real estate sector showing the largest reduction of 18.98 basis points, while the financial holding sector had the smallest reduction of 2.36 basis points [8][9] - For private placement bonds, the pharmaceutical and biological sector had the largest narrowing of 17.18 basis points, while the environmental protection sector had the smallest at 0.99 basis points [8][9] City Investment Bonds - In May, credit spreads for city investment bonds across major ratings and maturities all declined, with the largest narrowing observed in Qinghai province for both public and private bonds [1] - The overall trend indicates that credit spreads for city investment bonds are moving downward across various regions and issuer levels [1] Financial Bonds - The credit spreads for bank perpetual bonds and other financial instruments generally narrowed, with most varieties experiencing a decrease, although some maturity spreads widened [1] - Securities companies' subordinated bonds and insurance companies' capital replenishment bonds saw a complete decline in credit spreads during the month [1] Historical Context - By the end of May, various types of credit bonds maintained historically low credit spreads, particularly for short-duration non-financial credit bonds and short-duration financial bonds, while medium to long-term financial bonds remained at relatively high historical percentiles [1][6]

2025 年 6 月 23 日 晨会速递 总量研究 【宏观】如何解读 5 月份财政数据？——2025 年 5 月财政数据点评 5 月份财政收支同比增速均较上月回落，主要关注以下三点：其一，财政支出仍较为 强劲，兜底"三保"支出力度较强，但基建支出同比增速回落幅度较大，需关注地方 投资动能和意愿表现；其二，非税收入同比增速继续回落指向地方资金环境持续好转， 但税收收入同比增速依然不高，在加强征管之外仍需提振价格表现；其三，土地市场 改善并不持续，指向房地产市场向下"惯性"仍在，积极财政政策仍需择机推出。风 险提示：政策落地不及预期，重大项目开工不及预期。 【宏观】美联储在等待关税"冲击"——2025 年 6 月 FOMC 会议点评 美联储在 6 月会议如期按兵不动、将继续观察，点阵图也并未调整 2025 年的利率预 测。观察 5 月以来的数据，关税对消费的冲击已经逐步显现，对就业造成了结构性的 影响，但对通胀的影响尚未体现出来。我们理解，美联储依然在等待关税对通胀的"一 次性冲击"，并权衡其对于经济和就业的冲击，才会决策是否要推动降息。 【策略】被动型资金和个人资金仍是资金面的主要变量——资金面系列报告之四 公 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Maintain Overweight" [4] Core Viewpoints - The current coal price adjustment has been ongoing for nearly four years since the historical peak in Q4 2021, with prices generally returning to levels before the recent uptrend. The market is well aware of the price decline, indicating that the bottom may be near. It is essential to understand the industry's fundamental attributes and maintain confidence and determination [3] - The report highlights that domestic coal companies are increasingly facing losses, with over half (54.8%) of coal enterprises reporting losses as of March 2025. This situation may lead to a higher probability of production cuts as prices continue to decline [3] - The report recommends key coal enterprises such as China Shenhua (H+A), China Coal Energy (H+A), and others, emphasizing that performance-driven stocks will outperform [3][7] Summary by Sections Coal Mining - In May 2025, India's coal imports rebounded, primarily supported by coking coal imports, with total imports reaching 25.82 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.72% and a month-on-month increase of 15.28%, marking the highest level since July 2022 [6][2] - The report notes that the coking coal market remains relatively stable, particularly for high-quality hard coking coal, due to tightening supply from Australia [6] - The performance of the electricity, steel, and cement sectors shows significant divergence, with electricity generation from coal declining by 9.5% year-on-year, while crude steel production increased by 9.5% due to infrastructure development [6] Key Stocks - Recommended stocks include: - China Shenhua (601088.SH) - Buy - Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry (601225.SH) - Buy - China Qinfa (00866.HK) - Buy - China Coal Energy (601898.SH) - Buy - Electric Power Investment Energy (002128.SZ) - Buy - Jinneng Holding (601001.SH) - Buy - Yanzhou Coal Mining (600188.SH) - Buy - Xinjie Energy (601918.SH) - Buy [7] Price Trends - As of June 20, 2025, Newcastle coal prices (6000K) are at $218.90 per ton, unchanged from the previous week, while IPE South African Richards Bay coal futures settled at $91.35 per ton, up by $0.10 per ton [35] - The report indicates that coal prices in Europe ARA ports remain stable at $89.00 per ton, with no change from the previous week [35]

5月份，全省社会消费品零售总额2352.21亿元、同比增长8.5%，比上月加快0.4个百分点，今年以来呈 逐月加快态势，高于全国2.1个百分点；其中，限额以上单位消费品零售额增长16.2%，比上月加快1.3 个百分点，高于全国8.2个百分点。1-5月，全省社会消费品零售总额11820.14亿元、增长7.5%，比上月 加快0.3个百分点，高于全国2.5个百分点；其中，限额以上单位消费品零售额增长14.3%，比1-4月加快 0.4个百分点，高于全国8.0个百分点。超八成商品零售保持增长。5月份，在限额以上单位的23类商品 中，有19类商品零售额实现同比增长，增长面达82.6%、与上月持平。两新政策效应持续释放。5月 份，在大规模设备更新等政策措施带动下，全省限额以上单位机电产品及设备类商品零售额增长 46.1%；在消费品以旧换新等政策措施带动下，全省限额以上单位计算机及其配套产品、智能手机、可 穿戴智能设备、家用电器和音像器材类、新能源汽车零售额分别增长1.7倍、1.6倍、86.1%、47.3%、 27.0%，对全省限额以上单位零售额增长贡献率达56.8%、同比提高23.6个百分点。基本生活消费品增长 较快。5月 ...