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2026年1月固定收益投资策略:转债市场研判及“十强转债”组合
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-31 15:22
1. Report's Investment Rating for the Industry - No information provided regarding the industry's investment rating. 2. Core Views of the Report - Bullish on the equity market during the "Spring Rally". With the expected strengthening of underlying stocks and seasonal effects, there is a slight room for convertible bond valuations to increase. When selecting bonds, focus on the performance elasticity of the underlying stocks. For near - maturity convertible bonds, consider participating in the underlying stocks [27]. - In the stock market, in December 2025, the risk appetite was high. Looking ahead, the RMB appreciation expectation is strengthening, and with the end of the year - end ranking assessment of financial institutions, the "Spring Rally" is expected to gradually kick off. In January, if the market adjusts during the intensive performance forecast period, investors can buy on dips and focus on resources, AI computing power, batteries, polyester industry chain, AI edge devices, and securities [27]. - In the convertible bond market, in December 2025, the CSI Convertible Bond Index reached a new high since July 2015. Although the share of convertible bond ETFs continued to decline, the market premium rate increased. In the future, due to seasonal effects, some institutional investors may gradually increase their positions in January, and convertible bond valuations have a slight room for improvement [27]. 3. Summary of Each Section 3.1 2025 December Convertible Bond Market Review - **Stock and Bond Market Review**: In December, the equity market fluctuated upwards, and the bond market generally fluctuated. The Shanghai Composite Index rose for nearly 10 consecutive trading days in the middle and late - December, closing at 3963.68 on December 26, with a monthly increase of 1.27%. The 10 - year Treasury bond yield closed at 1.838% on December 26, up 0.10bp from the beginning of the month, and the 30 - year Treasury bond yield closed at 2.223%, up 3.32bp from the beginning of the month [4][8]. - **Convertible Bond Market Review**: The convertible bond market generally rose following the equity market. The premium rates of convertible bonds in all parity ranges increased, but convertible bond ETFs continued to face outflow pressure. Five convertible bonds announced downward revisions, one more than the previous month, and 10 convertible bonds announced forced redemptions, two less than the previous month. The CSI Convertible Bond Index closed at 493.2 on December 26, up 2.31% [5][8]. - **Industry Performance**: In the Shenwan industry classification, sectors such as national defense and military industry (+12.25%), communication (+10.55%), and non - bank finance (+8.27%) performed well, while sectors such as media (-4.77%), banks (-3.68%), and coal (-3.62%) declined [8]. 3.2 2026 January Convertible Bond Allocation Strategy - **Stock Market Outlook**: The RMB appreciation expectation is strengthening, and the "Spring Rally" is expected to start. In January, if the market adjusts during the performance forecast period, investors can buy on dips. Focus on resources, AI computing power, batteries, polyester industry chain, AI edge devices, and securities [27]. - **Convertible Bond Outlook**: Due to seasonal effects, some institutions may increase their positions in January. Convertible bond valuations have a slight room for improvement. When selecting bonds, relative - return funds should focus on high - probability sectors with a high - beta underlying stocks, and absolute - return funds should focus on high - odds sectors [27][28]. - **Bond Selection Suggestions**: For relative - return funds, focus on sectors such as lithium - battery materials, semiconductor equipment and materials, power semiconductors, high - quality auto parts, anti - involution industries, and securities. For absolute - return funds, focus on industry leaders with low valuations, sectors such as pig farming, power, and water supply, and convertible bond debt - to - equity conversion [28]. 3.3 2026 January "Top Ten Convertible Bonds" Portfolio | Convertible Bond Code | Convertible Bond Name | Underlying Stock Name | Industry | Balance (Billion Yuan) | Convertible Bond Price (Yuan) | Convertible Bond Parity (Yuan) | Conversion Premium Rate (%) | Rating | Recommendation Reason | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 113043.SH | Caitong Convertible Bond | Caitong Securities | Securities II | 37.99 | 133.52 | 109.71 | 21.70 | AAA | The securities sector will see a double - hit of valuation and profit in a bull market [30]. | | 123254.SZ | EVE Convertible Bond | EVE Energy | Battery | 49.98 | 167.64 | 134.65 | 24.51 | AA+ | The demand for energy storage is strong, and the shipment volume in the third quarter increased significantly year - on - year and quarter - on - quarter [30]. | | 113695.SH | Huachen Convertible Bond | Jiangsu Huachen | Power Grid Equipment | 4.60 | 160.16 | 122.10 | 31.17 | A+ | The company's new production capacity is put into operation just as the demand for energy storage is growing rapidly [30]. | | 113634.SH | Proya Convertible Bond | Proya | Cosmetics | 7.51 | 125.13 | 70.36 | 77.83 | AA | As a domestic beauty leader, its brand and product strength are outstanding, and its valuation at a historical low is expected to be restored [30]. | | 113616.SH | Will Semiconductor Convertible Bond | Will Semiconductor | Semiconductor | 24.32 | 124.07 | 78.35 | 58.36 | AA+ | The company is accelerating its introduction into intelligent driving and emerging markets and has launched new mobile phone products with strong competitiveness [30]. | | 118040.SH | Hongwei Convertible Bond | Hongwei Technology | Semiconductor | 4.30 | 149.72 | 116.17 | 28.88 | A | Power semiconductors benefit from the growth of power supply and energy storage demand [30]. | | 113674.SH | Huashe Convertible Bond | Huashe Group | Engineering Consulting Service II | 4.00 | 129.29 | 89.47 | 44.51 | AA | As a leader in infrastructure design, its main business is stabilizing, and intelligent design and low - altitude economy provide growth points [30]. | | 123222.SZ | Bojun Convertible Bond | Bojun Technology | Auto Parts | 2.44 | 224.63 | 194.72 | 15.36 | A+ | The growth of customer sales and the increase in ASP per vehicle drive up revenue and profit [30]. | | 113666.SH | Aima Convertible Bond | Aima Technology | Motorcycle and Others | 19.99 | 125.11 | 79.63 | 57.12 | AA | The new national standard may promote the market share of the two - wheeled vehicle leader [30]. | | 123247.SZ | Wankai Convertible Bond | Wankai New Materials | Plastics | 19.64 | 172.30 | 150.18 | 14.73 | AA | Under the "anti - involution" of bottle chips, the processing fee is expected to stabilize, and the company is entering the rPET blue - ocean market [30]. |
A股第二牛股被出具监管函,4个月已停牌核查5次
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-12-31 14:50
12月30日,天普股份发布公告,12月3日至12月30日股票价格多次涨停,累计上涨48.31%,公司股票将于12月31日开市起停牌,自披露核查公告后复牌。 这是天普股份近四个月第五次发布核查公告。 2025A股第二牛股,昨天被停牌核查,今天就被出具监管函! 12月31日,上交所向天普股份(605255)下发监管工作函,涉及对象为上市公司、董事、高级管理人员、控股股东及实际控制人;处理事由为宁波市天普 橡胶科技股份有限公司涉嫌信息披露违规。 | 证券商称 | 监管类型 处理事由 涉及对象 外理日期 | | --- | --- | | 天普股份 | 监管工作函 关于宁波市天普橡胶科技股份有限公司涉嫌信息披露违规的监管 上市公司,董事,高级管理人员,控股股东及实际控 2025-12-31 | | | 工作函 制人 | 天普股份2025年整体上涨1645%,涨幅居A股第二。汽车零部件企业中昊芯英拟要约收购天普股份实现控股,重组利好刺激下,天普股份全年走出33个涨 停板。 SFC 8月21日天普股份公告,中昊芯英(杭州)科技有限公司拟入主公司,自此开启本轮股价上涨,8月22日至12月30日累计上涨718.39%。8月2 ...
A股第二牛股被出具监管函,4个月已停牌核查5次
21世纪经济报道· 2025-12-31 14:46
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant stock price increase of Tianpu Co., which rose 1645% in 2025, making it the second-best performer in the A-share market [2] - Tianpu Co. experienced multiple trading halts due to stock price volatility, with a cumulative increase of 48.31% from December 3 to December 30, leading to a suspension of trading on December 31 for regulatory review [2][4] - The company has been under scrutiny for information disclosure violations, as indicated by the regulatory letter issued by the Shanghai Stock Exchange on December 31 [1] Group 2 - The stock price surge began after an announcement on August 21 regarding a proposed acquisition by Zhonghao Xinying Technology Co., which led to a cumulative increase of 718.39% from August 22 to December 30 [4] - Tianpu Co. faced multiple trading halts and regulatory reviews due to abnormal trading fluctuations, with the stock hitting the daily limit up for 15 consecutive trading days from August 22 to September 23 [4] - The company has issued several announcements regarding stock price fluctuations, indicating ongoing regulatory attention and market volatility [4]
16倍大牛股,涉嫌信息披露违规
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-12-31 14:41
此前,天普股份于12月30日晚间发布公告称,公司股票于12月31日开市起停牌核查。 数据显示,12月30日,天普股份股价收报218.02元/股,2025年,该股累计涨幅达1645.35%。 公司股票多次停牌核查 12月31日,上交所向天普股份(605255)下发监管工作函,涉及对象为上市公司、董事、高级管理人员、控股股东及实际控制人;处理事由为公司涉嫌 信息披露违规。 天普股份12月30日晚间公告,公司股票价格自2025年8月22日至2025年9月23日连续15个交易日涨停,期间多次触及股票交易异常波动,公司已就上述股 票交易波动情况进行三次停牌核查;复牌后2025年10月16日至11月27日股票价格多次涨停,期间多次触及股票交易异常波动,公司已就上述股票交易波 动情况进行第四次停牌核查;复牌后2025年12月3日至12月30日股票价格多次涨停,累计上涨48.31%。 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 监管类型 处理事由 | 涉及对象 | 处理日期 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 605255 | 天蒿股份 | 监管工作函 关于宁波市天音橡胶科技股份有限 | 上市公司,董 ...
农行安徽分行:以科技金融之笔 绘就高质量发展新画卷
Zhong Guo Jin Rong Xin Xi Wang· 2025-12-31 14:11
转自:新华财经 近年来,中国农业银行安徽省分行(以下简称"农行安徽分行")以做好金融"五篇大文章"为抓手,深入贯彻落实国家创新驱动发展战略,对标安徽现代化产 业体系建设,制定实施"徽聚合力·农银助企"行动计划,通过运用产业金融服务平台,强化科技赋能,为新质生产力发展注入金融动能。截至2025年11月 末,该行战略性新兴产业贷款余额1759亿元,较2024年末增长404亿元;科技贷款余额722亿元,较2024年末增长193亿元。 在矿山智能化改造领域,农行淮南分行瞄准中感集团特码斯派克工业技术(安徽)有限公司(以下简称"特码斯派克")的行业突破性技术,量身定制金融服 务方案。2025年初,该行率先为企业提供票据金融服务,解决企业日常运营资金周转难题;随着企业规模扩大,又迅速对接信贷需求,于2025年9月成功发 放500万元短期流动资金贷款,为企业技术研发、市场拓展注入及时雨。目前,农行淮南分行正推进将其短期流动资金授信额度提升至1500万元的审批流 程,将以更大力度的金融支持,助力企业在矿山智能装备领域持续深耕。 在农行淮南分行的"精准滴灌"与大力支持下,目前,特码斯派克自主研发的"矿山智能换绳机器人成套装备" ...
大昌科技创业板IPO获受理
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-12-31 12:37
北京商报讯(记者马换换王蔓蕾)12月31日晚间,深交所官网显示,安徽大昌科技股份有限公司(以下简 称"大昌科技")创业板IPO获得受理。 据了解,大昌科技主要从事汽车零部件及相关工装模具的研发、生产和销售,主要产品为车身结构件总 成、底盘组件及相关工装模具。本次冲击上市,大昌科技拟募集资金约5.02亿元。 ...
汽车智能化月报系列(三十一):工信部许可两款 L3 级自动驾驶车型产品,希迪智驾、图达通港交所上市-20251231
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-31 12:16
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the automotive intelligence industry [5][6]. Core Insights - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has approved two L3 autonomous driving vehicle models, marking a significant step towards commercial application in China [15]. - Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology is expected to receive full approval in China by early 2026 [16]. - XPeng Motors has obtained a road testing license for L3 autonomous driving in Guangzhou, indicating progress in the industry [18]. - WeRide's Robotaxi service has successfully launched in over 10 cities globally, showcasing the commercial viability of autonomous driving technology [20]. - Xidi Intelligent Driving has officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, becoming the first public company focused on commercial vehicle intelligent driving [22]. Summary by Sections Industry News - The approval of L3 autonomous driving models by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology [15]. - Tesla's FSD technology is on track for full approval in China [16]. - XPeng Motors and Xiaomi have both received L3 road testing licenses [18][19]. - WeRide's Robotaxi service has expanded to multiple cities worldwide [20]. - Xidi Intelligent Driving has successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [22]. High-Frequency Core Data Updates - The penetration rate of 8 million pixel cameras in passenger vehicles is projected to reach 66.1% by October 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 7 percentage points [2]. - The market share of LiDAR in passenger vehicles is expected to rise to 14.3% by October 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.9 percentage points [2]. Intelligent Driving - The penetration rate of passenger vehicles with L2 and above functions has increased by 19 percentage points year-on-year, reaching 33% by October 2025 [3]. - The penetration rates for various sensors, including front-view cameras and LiDAR, have shown significant growth [3]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies for investment include XPeng Motors, Leap Motor, and Geely for complete vehicles, while L4 recommendations include Pony.ai and WeRide [3]. - For components, recommended companies include SUTENG for data acquisition and Horizon Robotics for data processing [3].
华盛雷达、锐石创芯、韬盛科技等5家公司上交所IPO已受理
智通财经网· 2025-12-31 11:31
Group 1: Company Overview - Zhejiang Huasheng Radar Co., Ltd. focuses on meteorological precision detection and short-term warning forecasting, developing and selling phased array weather radar systems and related software solutions [1] - Ruishi Chuangxin (Chongqing) Technology Co., Ltd. specializes in RF front-end chips and modules, covering a complete range of RF components including filters, amplifiers, and switches [2] - Shanghai Taosheng Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. is a key player in the semiconductor testing interface sector, providing critical testing hardware solutions for the chip design and manufacturing industry [3] Group 2: Market Position and Growth - Huasheng Radar aims to become a leading enterprise in the meteorological perception field, expanding its product offerings to include laser wind radar and ubiquitous sensing devices [1] - Ruishi Chuangxin has a comprehensive product and technology layout, demonstrating rapid development and iteration capabilities in high-integration RF front-end modules [2] - Taosheng Technology is recognized for its domestic production of high-end chip testing interfaces, ranking first in China for revenue in this sector and 11th globally in 2024 [3] Group 3: Industry Leadership - China Salt Industry Corporation is the only central enterprise in China's salt business, leading the market in production and sales of various salt products, with a strong national presence [3] - Tianbo Intelligent Technology is a well-known manufacturer of automotive thermal management systems, serving major automotive clients and expanding into non-automotive sectors like energy storage and AI data centers [4]
渤海汽车27亿元收购北汽模塑等四家公司 关联交易下的业绩拯救?|并购谈
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-31 10:41
连续四年亏损,累计额高达16亿元的困境面前,渤海汽车计划收购控股股东旗下的其他资产。 12月30日晚间,渤海汽车发布关于就发行股份及支付现金购买资产并募集配套资金暨关联交易事项签署 相关补充协议的公告。根据公告,渤海汽车拟通过发行股份及支付现金方式,收购控股股东海纳川旗下 的四家合资公司股权,其中包括北汽模塑51%的股权。 北汽模塑的财务数据看起来相当亮眼:2024年销售收入45亿元,净利润4.78亿元。与之形成鲜明对比的 是,渤海汽车同期亏损12.64亿元,经营活动现金流仅1277万元。 渤海汽车与控股股东海纳川之间的这次资产重组,是一次典型的关联交易。 交易的核心资产是北汽模塑51%的股权,这家公司由海纳川和模塑科技(维权)分别持股51%和49%。 除北汽模塑外,渤海汽车还将收购廊坊安道拓51%股权、智联科技100%股权以及莱尼线束50%股权。 渤海汽车的亏损情况十分严峻。从2021年至2024年,该公司已经连续四年亏损,累计亏损16亿元。 北 汽模塑的注入无疑将大幅改善渤海汽车的财务状况。仅北汽模塑一家公司,2024年净利润就达到了4.78 亿元。 渤海汽车计划通过"发行股份及支付现金"的方式完成收购。 ...
智能汽车产业深度研究:L3车型产品准入,智能汽车发展加速
Shanghai Aijian Securities· 2025-12-31 09:58
Investment Rating - The report rates the automotive industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology approved two models with L3 conditional autonomous driving capabilities, marking the transition of L3 autonomous driving from testing to commercial application in China [2] - The penetration rate of electric vehicles is expected to exceed 50%, with smart technology becoming a survival necessity for automakers. By 2030, smart vehicle sales in China are projected to exceed 30 million units [2][6] - The evolution of high-level autonomous driving technology is expected to accelerate, with significant breakthroughs anticipated in L4/L5 levels around 2027-2028 [2][13] Summary by Sections 1. Automotive Intelligence Transition - Automotive intelligence is moving from an introduction phase to a growth phase, transforming vehicles from traditional fuel-powered tools to AI-driven mobile terminals [6] - The penetration rate of electric vehicles in China is expected to rise from 50% to 80% between 2025 and 2030, with smart technology becoming essential for leading automakers [6] 2. High-Level Autonomous Driving as a Key Technology - High-level autonomous driving (L3-L5) is the main technological development line, with L2+ functionalities becoming widespread and L3 commercial trials beginning [7] - The report highlights the challenges faced in the development of high-level autonomous driving, including regulatory improvements and user acceptance [7] 3. Automotive Industry Chain Overview - The automotive industry chain consists of upstream suppliers providing core components, midstream solution providers integrating systems, and OEM manufacturers responsible for final vehicle performance [22] 4. Upstream Components: Computing Power as a Foundation - Domain controllers are crucial for the evolution of automotive electronic architectures, transitioning from distributed to centralized systems [30] - The demand for high computing power in autonomous driving and cockpit systems is increasing, with SoC chips becoming essential [51] 5. Midstream Vehicle Manufacturing: New Players Leading the Charge - New entrants in the automotive market are leveraging smart technology to gain competitive advantages, with a focus on high-end models priced above 200,000 yuan [2] 6. Downstream Operations: Emergence of New Business Models - The shift towards smart mobility is driving the development of new business models like Robotaxi, with expectations of over 30% penetration in the smart mobility market by 2030 [2][4] 7. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading automakers with full-stack self-research capabilities and component suppliers with technological advantages in high-growth segments [2]