证券研究报告：食品饮料 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 12.77 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）28.19 | / 25.10 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）360 | / 320 | | 周内最高/最低价 52 | 14.36 / 8.26 | | 资产负债率(%) | 32.1% | | 市盈率 | 34.05 | | 第一大股东 | 北京燕京啤酒投资有限 | | 公司 | | 二季度公司 U8 销量继续保持增长势头，带动公司整体上半年实 现销量和均价的增长。公司通过数字化采购和生产端卓越管理实现成 本优化，2025 年原料采购价格取得较低水平，同时通过标准化管理使 能耗、人力等成本持续下降。利润端公司有望继续享受经营改革红利。 l 盈利预测与投资建议 我 们 预 计 公 司 2025-2027 年 分 别 实 现 营 收 155.73/164.27/172.35 亿元，同比增长 6.17%/5.48%/4.92%；实现归 母 净 利 润 14.84/17.95/20.34 亿 元 ， 同 比 增 长 ...

2025 年 7 月 8 日 事件：燕京啤酒发布 2025 年半年度业绩预告，25H1 预计实现归母净利润 10.62-11.37 亿元，同比增长 40%-50%；预计实现扣非归母净利润为 9.26-10.00 亿元，同比增长 25%-35%。其中 25Q2 预计实现归母净利润 8.96-9.72 亿元， 同比增长 36.7%-48.3%；预计实现扣非归母净利润 7.73-8.47 亿元，同比增长 21.1%-32.7%。 25Q2 利润维持高增，降本增效持续推进。公司在一季度"开门红"的基础上， 二季度继续保持高质量发展态势。公司构建了"立体化降本增效"模型，助力实 现降本增效：一方面公司借助数字化工具跟踪大宗物料价格波动，在低位锁定采 购价格，同时在保障供应安全的前提下，灵活运用长短期采购策略以降低成本； 另一方面通过标准化管理减少生产过程中的浪费及损耗，使啤酒年吨成本降低。 尽管公司生产成本已有改善，但在行业中仍处于中下游水平，劳动生产率、能耗 成本等仍有优化空间。 公司预计 2025 年行业原材料成本（如麦芽、玻瓶）仍处下行周期，燕京啤酒将 持续强化管理以释放成本红利，同时在人才方面推进梯队建设、优化 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Yanjing Beer [1] Core Views - The company is expected to continue its high growth momentum, driven by the U8 product line, with a projected net profit growth of 40% to 50% year-on-year for the first half of 2025 [7] - The report highlights the effectiveness of regional and channel collaboration, which is anticipated to sustain the high growth rate of the U8 product [7] - The company is positioned as a quality investment in the beer sector, benefiting from both offensive and defensive strategies, with expectations of improved dividend yields in the future [7] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue is projected to grow from 14,213 million RMB in 2023 to 17,010 million RMB by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 4.80% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase significantly from 644.71 million RMB in 2023 to 2,204.42 million RMB in 2027, with a peak growth rate of 83.02% in 2023 [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.23 RMB in 2023 to 0.78 RMB in 2027, indicating a strong upward trend in profitability [1] Market Data - The closing price of Yanjing Beer is reported at 12.77 RMB, with a market capitalization of approximately 35,992.75 million RMB [5] - The company has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 55.83 for 2023, which is expected to decrease to 16.33 by 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics [1] Operational Insights - The report emphasizes the ongoing reforms within the company, which are expected to yield positive results in terms of sales and profitability [7] - The U8 product line is highlighted as a key driver of growth, with sales volume expected to maintain a growth rate of over 30% [7]

Key Insights - The report highlights a recovery in the real estate market, with new home sales showing slight improvement while the second-hand home market remains subdued. Price stabilization is anticipated, with land premium rates at low levels [2][4] - The fixed income market is expected to remain strong, particularly in credit bonds, with a focus on medium to high-grade industrial bonds and city investment bonds for investment opportunities [3][5] - The international fertilizer prices have risen significantly, driven by increased global planting areas and limited new production capacity, benefiting domestic leading companies in the fertilizer sector [4] - The transportation sector is experiencing a mixed performance, with passenger transport profitability improving due to strong travel demand, while freight transport shows divergence in profitability across different segments [5][6] - The automotive industry is entering a phase of consolidation, with a focus on key players in the humanoid robot market, as technological advancements continue to drive market confidence [6][7] - The communication sector is projected to see a 7% year-on-year increase in net profit for the second quarter, with strong performance expected from telecom operators and the optical communication segment [8] Fixed Income - The credit bond market is expected to continue its upward trend, with a focus on long-term investments and opportunities in high-quality city investment bonds [3] - Investors are advised to consider extending duration in their portfolios and to look for wave opportunities in the credit market [3] Fertilizer Industry - International fertilizer prices have increased by 42% for urea, 24% for diammonium phosphate, and 23% for potash since the beginning of the year, while domestic prices show a mixed trend [4] - The report recommends companies like Hualu Hengsheng and Xingfa Group as beneficiaries of the improving fertilizer demand and profitability [4] Transportation Sector - The second quarter is expected to show improved profitability in passenger transport, particularly in aviation and railways, driven by strong travel demand [5] - Freight transport profitability is mixed, with some segments experiencing growth while others face challenges due to competition and demand fluctuations [5] Automotive Industry - The humanoid robot market is shifting towards a more competitive landscape, with a focus on companies that have strong supply chain orders and innovative technology [6] - The report suggests that the market will increasingly favor companies with significant advancements in technology and production capabilities [6] Communication Sector - The communication sector is expected to see a 7% increase in net profit, with strong growth in the optical communication and IDC segments [8] - The report highlights the potential for continued expansion in the communication industry, driven by domestic and international demand [8]

Group 1 - The company expects a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, projecting a range of 1.06-1.14 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 40%-50% [1] - The company anticipates a non-recurring net profit of 930-1,000 million yuan for the same period, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 25%-35% [1] - For Q2 2025, the expected net profit is projected to be between 900-970 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of approximately 37%-48% [1] Group 2 - The U8 product line continues to show strong growth, with sales of 696,000 tons in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 31.4% [2] - In the first five months of 2025, total sales of the Yanjing U8 series have surpassed 400,000 tons, increasing its share of total sales by 5.5 percentage points to 23% [2] - The company aims to enhance efficiency in strong markets while increasing efforts in weaker markets, focusing on high-capacity and high-growth cities [2] Group 3 - The company has shown consistent performance improvements, with revenue projected to grow from 11.96 billion yuan in 2021 to 14.67 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 7.0% [3] - The U8 product line's sales are expected to increase from 260,000 tons in 2021 to 696,000 tons in 2024, with a CAGR of 38.8% [3] - The net profit is projected to rise from 230 million yuan in 2021 to 1.06 billion yuan in 2024, indicating a CAGR of 66.7% [3]

Market Overview - The A-share market is experiencing a mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly up by 0.02% while the Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index are down by 0.70% and 1.21% respectively [2][7] - The overall market sentiment is cautious as investors await the upcoming mid-year earnings reports, leading to a divergence in index performances [9][10] Financial Data - As of July 2025, the total market capitalization of the Shanghai Composite Index is 6,743.38 billion yuan with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 12.43 and a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.29 [3] - The ChiNext Index shows a significantly higher PE ratio of 27.91, indicating a higher valuation compared to the broader market [3] Industry Dynamics - The wind power equipment industry is highlighted as a sector with growth potential, particularly following the Central Financial Committee's focus on high-quality development of the marine economy [48][50] - The report indicates that the wind power sector is entering a new inventory replenishment cycle after a period of demand stagnation from 2022 to 2024, with expectations for improved performance in 2025 [52][53] Company Updates - Yanjing Beer (000729.SZ) is projected to see a net profit growth of 40-50% in the first half of 2025, driven by effective management and market strategies [36] - Zhaowei Electromechanical (003021.SZ) has launched a new generation of bionic dexterous hands, enhancing its product offerings in the robotics sector [38][40] - Anji Food (603345.SH/2648.HK) has successfully listed its H-shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising approximately 2.302 billion HKD [41] Economic Indicators - As of June 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves reached 3,317.4 billion USD, reflecting a slight increase of 0.98% from the previous month [15][16] - The second quarter of 2025 saw China's shipping prosperity index rise to 120.81 points, indicating a recovery in the shipping sector [19][20]

Core Viewpoint - Yanjing Beer is strategically entering the soda market, launching the Beiste soda and planning to integrate beer and soda production, primarily targeting the restaurant sector to compete with major brands like Dajiao [1][2][8] Group 1: Market Context - The domestic beer market has reached a saturation point, with production peaking in 2013 and declining to 35.68 million kiloliters by 2022, indicating a shift to a stock market era [10][12] - In contrast, the carbonated beverage market is projected to grow, potentially exceeding 200 billion yuan by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of 5% to 8% [12][13] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Dajiao's revenue surpassed 3.2 billion yuan in 2023, making it a formidable competitor in the soda market [2] - Yanjing Beer’s Beiste soda is priced lower than Dajiao, with a supply price of 33 yuan per box compared to Dajiao's 38 yuan, allowing for greater profit margins for distributors [4][5] Group 3: Strategic Advantages - Yanjing Beer has an extensive distribution network, covering over 500,000 restaurant terminals, which overlaps significantly with soda channels, facilitating easier market entry for Beiste [5][8] - The company aims to achieve 80% coverage of its target terminals within three years, leveraging its existing beer sales infrastructure [5] Group 4: Financial Performance - Yanjing Beer reported a revenue of 14.667 billion yuan in 2024, a 3.2% increase from the previous year, with a net profit of 456 million yuan, marking a 63.74% growth [8][9] - The company’s high-end beer series, Yanjing U8, saw a 31.4% increase in sales volume in 2024, indicating strong performance despite market challenges [5][8] Group 5: Consumer Trends - The trend of "milk tea-ification" in beverages is gaining traction, with various brands introducing innovative flavors to attract younger consumers [14][19] - Yanjing Beer is attempting to reposition itself to appeal to younger demographics, who prioritize brand image and emotional value over just price [13][19]

Group 1 - Star Source Material has submitted an application for public offering of H-shares and listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [1] - Qingdao University announced a procurement of 7217 air conditioners for student dormitories, following a tragic incident involving a staff member [2] - The U.S. President Trump announced a 25% tariff on all products imported from Japan and South Korea starting August 1, 2025 [2] Group 2 - The ticket sales for Jay Chou's concert in Xiamen include areas with limited visibility priced at 500 yuan and 900 yuan [3] - ROMOSS, a well-known power bank brand, announced a shutdown due to a recall of 491,700 units, leading to estimated monthly losses of 100 to 200 million yuan [4] - The EU is still negotiating a bilateral trade agreement with the U.S. and is prepared for all possible outcomes [5] Group 3 - The U.S. stock market saw a collective decline, with the Dow Jones down 0.94%, NASDAQ down 0.92%, and S&P 500 down 0.79% [6] - Apple has appealed against a 500 million euro fine imposed by the EU for violating the Digital Markets Act [7] - Xiaomi reported a surge in air conditioner sales in Northeast China, with sales reaching up to 20 times that of the same period last year [6] Group 4 - The Ministry of Finance announced the issuance of two electronic savings bonds totaling up to 450 billion yuan from July 10 to July 19, 2025 [9] - NIO's CEO Li Bin commented on the impact of battery weight on road damage and safety [10] - The Texas floods have resulted in at least 82 fatalities, including 28 children [10] Group 5 - The company "Yirenle" officially delisted due to continuous losses over four years [9] - The toy export value from Shanghai port increased by 8.2% in the first five months of the year, with significant counterfeit issues reported [11] - "Cloud Deep Technology" completed a new round of financing worth hundreds of millions of yuan to enhance its product development [14] Group 6 - Huayou Cobalt expects a net profit increase of 55.62% to 67.59% for the first half of 2025 [16] - Guoli Co. anticipates a net profit growth of 130.91% to 158.08% for the same period [17] - Yanjing Beer forecasts a net profit increase of 40% to 50% for the first half of 2025 [18]

青岛大学凌晨回应宿管大爷离世事件，此前公示采购7217台空调。 整理 ｜秋夏 点击上方【36氪随声听】，一键收听大公司热门新闻。听完音频记得添加进入 【我的小程序】 中哟！ 星源材质 36氪获悉，星源材质公告，公司已于7月7日向香港联合交易所有限公司递交了公开发行境外上市外资股（H股）并在香港联交 所主板挂牌上市的申请，并于同日在香港联交所网站刊登了本次发行上市的申请资料。 青 岛大学凌晨发布情况说 明，此前公示采购7217台空调 7月6日早，青岛大学一宿管大爷被发现在值班室昏迷，急救人员抵达现场确认其已不幸离世 ，对此，不少学生发文称大爷所住 平房只有风扇，没有空调，大爷疑似因高温中暑离世。7月7日 凌晨，青岛大学发布情况说明称，2025年7月6日7时30分许，我 校浮山校区一物业工作人员在值班室被发现身体情况异常。经公安机关调查，初步排除刑事案件可能，具体原因正在调查中。 记者注意到，今年3月，青岛大学就在山东政府采购网发布采购意向，包含"学生公寓空调安装项目"和"学生公寓空调安装敷设 线路工程项目"，其中提到该项目包含学生公寓7300余台空调购置及安装，空调性能1级能效，遥控操作、变频、冷暖电辅，实 际 ...

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码：000729 证券简称：燕京啤酒 公告编号：2025-63 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗 漏。 一、本期业绩预计情况 本次业绩预告数据仅为公司财务部门初步核算的数据，未经会计师事务所审计。公司与会计师事务所就 本次业绩预告有关事项进行了初步沟通，双方不存在重大分歧。 三、业绩变动原因说明 2025年上半年，燕京啤酒在党建引领下，在首季"开门红"的基础上，继续保持高效能、高质量发展态 势，预计实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润为106,150万元至113,732万元，比上年同期增长40%至 50%。 报告期内，公司以系统性变革为牵引，构建了多维度的价值创造体系；通过深耕九大变革，形成协同效 应，管理效能持续提升，市场活力不断增强。 四、风险提示 （一）业绩预告期间 2025年1月1日至2025年6月30日 （二） 业绩预告情况 预计净利润为正值且属于下列情形之一： □扭亏为盈 R同向上升 □同向下降 二、与会计师事务所沟通情况 本次业绩预告是公司财务部门初步测算的结果，具体财务数据将在2025年 ...