Core Viewpoint - The Strategic Emerging Industries Purchasing Managers Index (EPMI) fell by 3.1 points to 47.9 in June, marking the lowest level for the same period since 2014, indicating a weakening economic environment in the traditional manufacturing off-season [1][5][6]. Group 1: EPMI and Economic Indicators - The EPMI's decline is slightly greater than the seasonal average decline of 1.1 points observed from 2014 to 2024 [1][7]. - The absolute value of 47.9 is 1.4 points lower than the same period last year, reflecting a significant downturn in emerging industries [8][9]. - Among seven sub-sectors of strategic emerging industries, only two are in the expansion zone, a decrease of one from May [9]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Indicators - Production and product order indices fell by 5.5 and 6.0 points respectively in June [2][11]. - The production-to-order ratio increased to 2.0, indicating that demand is declining faster than supply, although it remains below the three-year average [2][12]. - Export orders decreased by 6.6 points, which is a larger drop than overall orders, suggesting a potential downward adjustment in export growth [2][11]. - Purchasing and selling prices fell by 2.4 and 1.2 points respectively, continuing a three-month trend of decline [2][13]. - Research and development activities increased by 2.1 points, ending a three-month decline, but new product launches have decreased for four consecutive months [2][15]. Group 3: Sector Performance - New materials and next-generation information technology are the only two sectors in the expansion zone, with new materials leading for two months and next-generation information technology for four months [3][16]. - The biotechnology sector showed a recovery after two months of decline, while other sectors experienced a slowdown in June [3][16]. - The electric vehicle sector saw a significant drop in production metrics, which was greater than the change in demand, possibly linked to strict accounting periods [3][15][17]. Group 4: Traditional vs. New Industries - The economy can be simplified into "traditional industries + new industries," with traditional industrial operating rates showing divergence [3][18]. - The steel and coking sectors have lower operating rates compared to May, while the chemical industry has seen some recovery [3][18]. - The EPMI data suggests that the manufacturing PMI may also see a slight decline in June [3][18]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The trends in EPMI, PMI, and BCI since the beginning of the year show a gradual increase until March, followed by a pullback in April and stabilization in May [4][18]. - The real estate market's performance and the potential for construction industry counter-cyclical support will be critical moving forward [4][18].

Economic Overview - The province's economy continues to show a stable and positive development trend, with industrial production maintaining rapid growth and investment and consumption growth rates slightly accelerating, all major indicators growing faster than the national average [1] Industrial Production - In May, the province's industrial added value above designated size increased by 7.4% year-on-year, exceeding the national average by 1.6 percentage points; from January to May, the growth was 8.4%, surpassing the national average by 2.1 percentage points [1] - High-tech manufacturing and strategic emerging industries saw added value growth of 12.4% and 7.6% respectively in May, outpacing the overall industrial growth rate by 5.0 and 0.2 percentage points [1] - The automotive manufacturing sector experienced significant growth, with added value increasing by 26.7% and 20.3% for electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing, exceeding the overall industrial growth rate by 19.3 and 12.9 percentage points respectively [1] - Lithium-ion battery and new energy vehicle production surged by 99.1% and 20.0% year-on-year [1] Fixed Asset Investment - From January to May, fixed asset investment in the province grew by 6.6% year-on-year, 2.9 percentage points higher than the national average [2] - Investment in projects worth over 100 million yuan increased by 11.4%, contributing 7.1 percentage points to overall investment growth [2] - Industrial investment saw a robust increase of 29.5% from January to May, marking a 2.9 percentage point acceleration compared to the previous four months, the highest growth rate since April 2022 [2] - Private investment also expanded, growing by 9.7% year-on-year, exceeding the overall investment growth rate by 3.1 percentage points [2] Consumer Demand - In May, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 235.22 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.5%, surpassing the national average by 2.1 percentage points; from January to May, the total retail sales were 1,182.01 billion yuan, growing by 7.5%, also higher than the national average by 2.5 percentage points [3] - The "Two New" policy effects continued to be released, with retail sales of machinery and equipment products increasing by 46.1% year-on-year due to large-scale equipment updates [3] - Retail sales of computers and related products, smartphones, wearable smart devices, home appliances, and audio-visual equipment saw significant increases of 170%, 160%, 86.1%, 47.3%, and 27.0% respectively, contributing 56.8% to the growth of retail sales above designated size [3] - Online retail sales through public networks grew by 69.1% year-on-year in May, contributing 4.9 percentage points to the overall retail sales growth [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is intensifying efforts to reform state-owned enterprises (SOEs) by focusing on enhancing technological innovation and integrating it with industrial innovation, aiming for a completion rate of over 80% for key reform tasks by the end of Q1 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Technological Innovation and Reform - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) emphasizes the importance of improving the quality of technological innovation supply and establishing mechanisms that accommodate the uncertainties and disruptive nature of original innovations [3][4]. - A series of targeted reforms will be implemented to enhance the overall effectiveness of the innovation system, including improving the quality of technological innovation supply and establishing a modern industrial system [1][5]. Group 2: Investment and Development Mechanisms - In Q1 of this year, central enterprises expanded effective investments, with fixed asset investments reaching 851.3 billion yuan, and investments in strategic emerging industries growing by 6.6% year-on-year [5]. - The SASAC plans to refine the development mechanisms for strategic emerging industries and future industries, focusing on identifying key strategic directions for nurturing these sectors [5][6]. Group 3: Talent and Innovation Evaluation - The meeting highlighted the need to establish a multi-dimensional and diversified innovation evaluation mechanism, including long-cycle and precise evaluation methods for different types of research [7][8]. - It is proposed that SOEs implement targeted evaluation indicators for various research areas, such as setting up a virtual quantitative evaluation system for major scientific research tasks [8][9]. Group 4: Integration and Collaboration - The SASAC encourages SOEs to deepen collaboration between industry, academia, and research institutions, leveraging their advantages in demand scale and application scenarios to accelerate the transformation of technologies into productive forces [4][5]. - There is a focus on enhancing the integration of newly acquired businesses post-merger and acquisition, ensuring that governance structures and operational mechanisms align with the development of strategic emerging industries [6][7].

Core Viewpoint - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) emphasizes the importance of enhancing technological and industrial innovation through reforms in state-owned enterprises (SOEs) as a priority for 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Reform Progress and Goals - As of the end of Q1 2025, the average completion rate of key reform tasks among central and local SOEs has exceeded 80% [2]. - The meeting highlighted that achieving high-quality completion of the reform actions is a top priority for SOE reform this year [2]. Group 2: Technological and Industrial Innovation - SOEs are urged to improve the quality of technological innovation supply and take responsibility for building a modern industrial system [4]. - The focus is on integrating artificial intelligence and digital technologies to drive the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries [4][8]. - There is a call for increased investment in new industries and to avoid blind diversification and "involution" competition [4]. Group 3: Integration and Support for New Industries - Emphasis is placed on the importance of restructuring and integrating new business models post-merger and acquisition [6]. - A supportive environment for new technologies and business models is necessary to nurture startups and cultivate specialized "little giants" and unicorns [6]. Group 4: Transformation and Workforce Adaptation - SOEs are encouraged to leverage digital technologies for the high-end, intelligent, and green transformation of traditional industries [8]. - There is a need for proactive workforce training to adapt to changes in business structures due to the "three transformations" [8]. Group 5: Innovation Evaluation and Incentives - The establishment of a robust innovation evaluation and incentive mechanism is crucial for activating innovation vitality [10]. - There is a focus on market-oriented salary systems for key scientific personnel to ensure competitive compensation [10].

Group 1 - The book "Decoding China's Economy" features insights from 12 economists, including Huang Qifan and Liu Shijin, discussing the bright prospects of China's economy and the importance of government investment funds in supporting tech innovation [1] - Local governments in China are actively exploring the operation of government investment funds to leverage more social capital for financing support to tech innovation enterprises [1][10] - The new type of national system aims to enhance the coordination between government and market forces, promoting a deep integration of both to foster innovation [4][11] Group 2 - The 20th National Congress emphasized the need to establish a new system for developing new quality productivity, which includes encouraging angel investment, venture capital, and private equity investment [4] - The government plays a crucial role in shaping the innovation ecosystem, and the highest form of this relationship is when the government acts subtly to support innovation [4][11] - The new "three driving forces" for high-quality economic development are identified as basic research, industrial upgrading, and tech finance, which complement the traditional drivers of investment, consumption, and exports [5][6] Group 3 - China has made significant advancements in strategic emerging industries and new technologies, particularly in areas like new energy and electric vehicles, showcasing a "leapfrog" effect in global trends [6] - The number of Chinese companies in the global top 2500 R&D firms has reached 679, making China the second-largest R&D country [7] - There are over 500,000 tech SMEs and more than 460,000 high-tech enterprises in China, indicating a comprehensive enhancement in innovation capabilities [7] Group 4 - The establishment of innovation consortia led by central enterprises has been initiated to promote collaboration among various innovation entities, including universities and private enterprises [8] - The government is shifting from a subsidy-based support model to a more refined approach through government-led investment funds, enhancing operational efficiency and attracting more social capital [10][12] - The integration of government and market forces in the tech finance sector is crucial for supporting innovation and fostering the growth of tech enterprises [11][12]

■田鹏 6月16日，多个A股市场重要指数完成样本调整，此次调整涉及深证成指、创业板指、深证100、创业板 50、上证50、上证180、上证380、科创50、沪深300、中证500、中证1000等极具市场影响力的指数，备 受市场瞩目。 与此同时，创业板指编制规则也迎来迭代升级，一是引入ESG负面剔除机制，剔除国证ESG评级在B级 以下的股票，降低指数样本发生重大风险事件概率；二是引入个股权重上限机制，通过设置权重调整因 子，使单只样本股权重在每次定期调整时不超过20%，将单只样本股对指数的影响控制在合理范围内。 在笔者看来，此次A股多个指数样本调整及创业板指编制规则迭代升级，主要受以下三个核心因素驱 动。 一是产业结构升级，指数样本也随之调整更迭。当下，我国经济正处于转型升级的关键节点，传统产业 面临着数字化、智能化改造的迫切需求，以人工智能、半导体、新能源、生物医药为代表的"硬科技"产 业，则成为推动经济持续增长、提升国家竞争力的核心力量。在此背景下，A股相关指数样本必须顺应 产业结构变化，才能更好发挥经济"晴雨表"作用。 例如，深证100指数此番调入领益智造（002600）、润泽科技（300442）、中航成 ...

Group 1 - The National Defense Science and Technology University is conducting a high-tech knowledge training class for senior military officials in Shandong Province, emphasizing the importance of local economic and social development [2][3] - Shandong's leadership, represented by Secretary Lin Wu, highlighted the province's commitment to implementing Xi Jinping's directives and fostering a modern industrial system while ensuring economic stability and growth [2] - The training program aims to strengthen cooperation between the National Defense Science and Technology University and Shandong Province in areas such as talent cultivation, scientific research, and academic exchange [3] Group 2 - The training class includes visits to high-level military and local units, allowing participants to experience the rich cultural heritage of Shandong and the advancements in military reform and technology [3] - The event reflects Shandong's strategic role as a major military province, with a focus on enhancing national defense mobilization and supporting military readiness [2][3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In May 2025, the China-US tariff war eased, but there are still significant uncertainties. Trump's tariff policy is influenced by the "Great and Beautiful" Act. If it passes the Senate, the tariff policy may ease; otherwise, it may intensify [1][33]. - The suspension of the tariff war promoted panic exports, leading to a month-on-month increase in the manufacturing PMI in May. The improvement in demand was mainly supported by external demand, but enterprises were worried about future demand, as indicated by the continuous decline in the finished - product inventory index [1][34]. - Despite the easing of the tariff war, its negative impact has formed, squeezing enterprises' willingness to produce and invest. Enterprises prefer to maintain the original re - export trade rather than direct exports due to the expiration of the tariff suspension period in early July [2][34]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Tariff War Risk Temporarily Eased, but Uncertainty Remains 3.1.1 Tariff War News Since May - In the China - US high - level economic and trade talks from May 10 - 11, significant progress was made, including a substantial reduction in bilateral tariffs and the establishment of a bilateral consultation mechanism. However, there is a risk of tariff war escalation after the 90 - day suspension period ends on July 9 [7][8]. - There were legal disputes over Trump's tariff policy in May. On May 28, a federal court blocked Trump's tariff policy, but on May 29, the federal appeals court temporarily suspended the lower - court's ruling. On June 3, Trump increased steel and aluminum tariffs from 25% to 50% [8]. - There are internal differences in the US on tariff policy, but Trump adheres to a tough stance, making the future of the tariff war uncertain [9]. 3.1.2 Assessment of Trump's Future Tariff Policy - Trump's tariff policy is stubborn. His purposes include creating political legacies and expanding family assets, as well as generating fiscal revenue for tax cuts. The "Great and Beautiful" Act's passage in the Senate will affect the intensity of his tariff policy [10][11]. 3.2 Tariff War Suspension Promoted Panic Exports, and the Manufacturing PMI Rose Month - on - Month in May - In May, the manufacturing PMI rebounded by 0.5 points to 49.5 but remained in the contraction range. The panic - export effect drove the recovery of most sub - indicators except price - related and finished - product inventory indicators [12]. - In terms of production, the PMI production index rose by 0.9 points to 50.7, higher than the rebound of the demand index and the seasonal average. Enterprises accelerated production during the 90 - day buffer period to ship goods [12][13]. - In terms of demand, the new order index rose by 0.6 points, and the new export order index rose by 2.8 points, indicating that external demand supported the improvement. However, the finished - product inventory index continued to decline by 0.8 points, reflecting enterprises' concerns about future demand [13]. 3.3 Enterprises Remain Cautious about Direct Trade with the US and Prefer Re - export Trade - In May, the weekly average throughput of monitored ports increased slightly month - on - month, and the import container data of the Port of Los Angeles showed a recovery but did not reach previous highs. Enterprises prefer re - export trade due to the cumulative effect of tariffs and the short suspension period [18]. - Different industries are affected differently by tariff policies. Strategic emerging industries are less affected, while traditional labor - intensive foreign - trade enterprises are more cautious. Forward - looking indicators show that the actual production and operation recovery of enterprises is slower than expected [24]. - In April, more than half of the 13 export - dependent industries saw profit improvements, but there was a deviation between price - volume changes and profit recovery. Profit improvement driven by cost reduction is not sustainable, so enterprises choose to reduce inventory [29]. 3.4 Summary - The China - US tariff war eased in May, but Trump's tariff policy remains uncertain, depending on the "Great and Beautiful" Act's passage in the Senate [1][33]. - The suspension of the tariff war promoted panic exports and a month - on - month increase in the manufacturing PMI in May. External demand supported the improvement in demand, but enterprises were worried about future demand [1][34]. - The negative impact of the tariff war has formed, squeezing enterprises' willingness to produce and invest. Enterprises prefer re - export trade due to the expiration of the tariff suspension period in early July [2][34].

Core Viewpoint - The implementation plan for equipment purchase and renovation loan interest subsidies aims to enhance enterprise experience by simplifying application processes and maintaining stable subsidy rates and periods [2][3] Summary by Relevant Sections Basic Principles - The plan emphasizes immediate application and enjoyment of subsidies, catering to the high flexibility and rapid changes in equipment purchases [2] Support Policies - The applicable projects must involve fixed asset investments with equipment purchase amounts of at least 5 million RMB - Eligible projects can receive a maximum interest subsidy of 2.5 percentage points, with a subsidy period of 2 years, potentially reducing financing costs by over 70% during the subsidy period [2][3] Supported Fields - The plan supports eight key areas: technological innovation and R&D, strategic emerging industries, future industries, advanced manufacturing, modern service industry integration, new infrastructure, social investment public services, and agricultural upgrades [3][4] Application Process - Companies can apply for subsidies at any time without a centralized collection phase, with the policy effective until December 31, 2027 [3] Economic Impact - In the first four months of the year, fixed asset investment in Beijing grew by 21.2%, with equipment purchase investment increasing by 110% - The plan is expected to drive traditional industry upgrades and foster the development of strategic emerging industries, enhancing overall competitiveness [4][5] Recommendations for Improvement - In addition to optimizing application processes, there is a need for enhanced project supervision and complementary industrial policies, including tax incentives and talent acquisition [5]

超八成为科创企业 刚刚过去的5月份，沪深北交易所共受理16家企业的上市申请，不仅创下年内单月受理数量新高，还超 过前4个月受理数量的总和，引起市场热议。 实际上，无论是从今年还是从5月份单月来看，受理上市申请的企业都以科创企业为主。据沪深北交易 所官网数据统计，截至6月6日，今年以来，交易所共受理29家企业上市申请，计划募资合计441.8亿 元。其中，有25家为科创企业，占比86.21%，超过八成，拟登陆科创板、创业板、北交所的分别有4 家、2家和19家。而5月份受理的16家企业中，有科创企业13家，占比亦超过八成。 6月5日，深圳市优优绿能股份有限公司、中策橡胶集团股份有限公司2只新股上市。据Wind资讯数据统 计，截至6月6日，今年以来，45家公司登陆A股，同比增长17.95%，合计募资332.09亿元，同比增长 20.8%。 今年以来，监管部门统筹一二级市场协调发展，发挥逆周期调节作用，市场融资规模和节奏更加科学合 理。与此同时，监管部门对科创企业支持力度加大。年内新上市公司中，超过九成为战略性新兴产业企 业。 接受采访的专家认为，随着注册制改革深入推进，今年IPO市场将继续强监管、优结构、提效率，从源 ...