智通财经APP获悉，港股今日低开高走，三大指数午后强势拉红，恒科指数一度涨超3%。南向资金持 续加码托举大市，全日净买额超355亿港元，创历史最高单日净买入纪录。截止收盘，恒生指数涨 0.68%或136.81点，报20264.49点，全日成交额4123.85亿港元；恒生国企指数涨1.41%，报7535.68点； 恒生科技指数涨2.64%，报4689.19点。 银河证券指出，中长期来看，港股市场配置价值较高的三大主线分别是：第一，在国内扩内需、稳消费 等政策刺激下，消费行业业绩有望继续改善，从而促进当前估值水平处于历史中低水平的消费股上涨。 第二，科技政策支持与产业趋势将迎来共振，相关公司业绩改善预期较强，科技板块有望持续上涨。第 三，港股高股息策略仍具备吸引力，尤其是积极进行市值管理的央企高股息标的。 蓝筹股表现 小米集团-W(01810)表现亮眼。截至收盘，涨7.71%，报41.9港元，成交额274.28亿港元，贡献恒指87.55 点。汇丰研究报告指出，小米受美国关税政策的影响小于苹果的供应商，因为其对美国市场的依赖极 低，而且其产品定位对于不确定的经济前景更具防御性。大和认为，近期小米集团的股价在车祸和配 ...

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of the "immediate refund" service for outbound travelers is expected to boost consumption and enhance China's attractiveness as an international tourism destination [1][3][4] Group 1: Policy Impact - The State Taxation Administration announced the nationwide promotion of the "immediate refund" service for outbound travelers starting April 8 [1] - The policy targets foreign travelers and residents from Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan who stay in China for no more than 183 days [1] - The immediate refund service allows travelers to receive VAT refunds directly at the point of purchase, enhancing convenience [3][4] Group 2: Company Responses - Companies like China Duty Free Group indicated that their main tax exemptions are on imported goods, while the immediate refund applies to VAT for foreign travelers [1] - Ctrip Research Institute noted that the core purpose of the refund policy is to encourage tourist spending and promote consumption return [3] - Several listed companies, including Zhongbai Group and Gome Retail, have established stores eligible for the immediate refund service [6][7] Group 3: Market Reaction - Stocks related to the duty-free concept surged, with companies like Wangfujing and China Duty Free Group hitting their daily price limits [1][7] - The market response reflects investor optimism regarding the potential increase in tourist spending due to the new refund policy [1][7]

中国中免港股一度涨超18%，创逾六个月盘中最大涨幅。 ...

中国中免（601888）涨幅扩大至5.20%，旅游ETF(159766)持有该股票15.31%，当前涨幅为0.45%，成交 额9639.09万元，近1月份额增加30.28%，增加10.79亿份。 打包市场龙头，抢反弹就买指数ETF>> ...

Group 1: Semiconductor Industry - New Kai's impressive showcase at SEMICON China 2025 included over thirty semiconductor equipment products across four categories, indicating a significant advancement in domestic semiconductor equipment localization [4][10][12] - The exhibited equipment supports future advancements towards cutting-edge nodes, which may alleviate supply constraints in advanced process expansion in China [4][10][12] - Investment recommendations include companies such as Zhichun Technology, Xinlai Materials, Fuchuang Precision, Pioneer Precision, Chip Source Micro, and SMIC [4][12] Group 2: Fund Market Outlook - The fund market in April suggests a shift in asset allocation logic, with a recommendation to reduce equity asset positions due to increased market volatility and a downward trend in private sector financing growth [5][14] - The sentiment index for the A-share market indicates a mixed outlook, with only a few stocks reaching new highs, while overall market sentiment is declining [5][14] - The report recommends focusing on large-cap and growth styles, particularly those with high profitability quality, while suggesting stable fixed-income products [5][14] Group 3: Hong Kong Stock Market - The Hong Kong IPO market is experiencing a recovery, driven by favorable policies and a shift in companies seeking to list abroad, particularly in the tech sector [6][16][18] - The report highlights that the Hong Kong Stock Exchange's listing conditions are more flexible compared to A-shares, attracting companies that do not meet A-share requirements [6][16][18] - The trend of companies listing in Hong Kong is expected to provide more quality targets for investment and enhance market liquidity [6][16][18] Group 4: Banking Sector - The banking sector is seeing a continued decline in revenue, with a projected net profit growth of 1.8% for listed banks in 2024, indicating a challenging environment [30][31] - Regulatory changes are being implemented to optimize securities issuance and underwriting management, aiming to attract long-term capital into the market [30][31] - Investment in the banking sector is recommended for its high dividend yield, despite ongoing pressures from interest rate declines and asset quality risks [30][31] Group 5: Food and Beverage Industry - The white liquor market remains stable, with expectations of positive growth for major brands in Q1 2025, driven by strong demand for high-end products [32][33] - The snack industry is highlighted as a high-growth area, with new product launches and channel expansions continuing to drive consumer interest [32][33] - The restaurant industry is anticipated to show signs of recovery, with recommendations for related sectors such as beer and frozen foods [32][33]

旅游零售Ⅱ 执业证书编号：S0740524040004 Email：zhangji01@zts.com.cn Email：zhengch@zts.com.cn 基本状况 执业证书编号：S0740523060001 | 总股本(百万股) | 2,068.86 | | --- | --- | | 流通股本(百万股) | 2,068.86 | | 市价(元) | 61.61 | | 市值(百万元) | 127,462.41 | | 流通市值(百万元) | 127,462.41 | 交易预期》2024-11-11 2、《23 年业绩符合预期，需求承压 下估值或不低》2024-04-09 中国中免（601888.SH） 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2025 年 03 月 31 日 | 评级： | 买入（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 分析师：郑澄怀 | | 营业收入（百万元 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for China Duty Free Group (601888.SH) [1] Core Views - The macro consumption environment has impacted operations, but the company continues to strengthen its competitive advantages [10] - Despite a challenging environment, the company has maintained its market position and is expected to recover in the coming years [10] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company achieved total operating revenue of 56.474 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.267 billion yuan, down 36.44% year-on-year [5] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 32.03%, an increase of 0.21 percentage points, while the net profit margin was 8.61%, a decrease of 2.15 percentage points [5] - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of 7.939 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 47.51% [5] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.05 yuan per share, with a total dividend payout of 2.172 billion yuan, maintaining a payout ratio of 50.91% [5] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, sales revenue from duty-free goods was 38.666 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.58% year-on-year, accounting for 68.45% of total revenue [9] - Sales revenue from taxable goods was 17.095 billion yuan, down 23.49% year-on-year [9] - Revenue from Hainan region was 28.892 billion yuan, a decline of 27.13% year-on-year, while Shanghai region revenue was 16.035 billion yuan, down 10.02% year-on-year [9] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 5.015 billion yuan in 2025, 5.925 billion yuan in 2026, and 6.582 billion yuan in 2027 [10] - The estimated P/E ratios for the upcoming years are approximately 25.4 for 2025, 21.5 for 2026, and 19.4 for 2027 [10] Competitive Positioning - The company has introduced over 200 well-known international and domestic brands and has strengthened its online and offline collaboration [10] - It has secured operating rights for 10 airport and port duty-free projects, contributing to significant growth in domestic duty-free sales [10]

长江商报消息 ●长江商报记者 沈右荣 "免税茅"中国中免（601888.SH）经营业绩再现下滑。 3月28日晚，中国中免披露了2024年年度报告。公司实现营业收入564.74亿元，同比下降逾16%；归属 母公司股东的净利润（以下简称"归母净利润"）42.67亿元，同比下降逾36%。 2009年A股上市以来，中国中免曾表现出较高的成长性。但是，近年来，其业绩增长压力较大。2024 年，是公司继2022年营收净利首次双降以来的第二次。其中，第四季度，公司归母净利润同比降幅更是 高达76%左右。 针对2024年经营业绩，中国中免解释称，受市场环境及行业周期等多重因素影响。 长江商报记者发现，中国中免的高层不太稳定。近两年，公司换了3名董事长、2名总经理。 二级市场上，中国中免股价从2021年2月高点开始持续下跌，目前市值仅为1275亿元，较巅峰时缩水了 逾6600亿元。 投资者似乎看不到中国中免短期内摆脱困境的希望，曾经持股比超过10%、位居第二大股东的陆股通， 持股比已降至3.57%，创近八年来新低。 净利连续三个季度大幅下降 抵御行业周期乏力，中国中免的经营业绩再度下降。 根据年报，2024年，中国中免实现的营 ...

这个周末我摄入的信息里，最有意思的是金沙创投朱啸虎的一篇采访，它起了一个比较醒目的标题：《我们正批量退出人形机器人公司》。 朱啸虎在创投圈名声很响，因为他不但投的准，压中了多个独角兽，更难得的是他卖的也挺准。他最著名的两个案例是滴滴和小黄车ofo，早期进 入，然后中间在估值高峰期果断退出股份，先后避开了网约车的政策转向，以及共享单车的行业大崩盘。 就是这么一个人，说目前批量退出人形机器人公司，让我很感兴趣他是怎么思考的。 朱啸虎的理由主要是两个： 人型机器人商业化路径不清晰 缺乏真实可持续的客户需求，现有客户多为高校研究机构、竞争对手或展示用途（如央企购买作前台展示），并非可持续的商 业化场景。 市场共识过高 行业估值因市场情绪快速上涨，但商业化能力未得到验证，多年从业经验告诉他这种时候该撤了。 说白了一句话，就是这些机器人公司估值涨太多了，但是又没想好怎么挣钱。 大致就这些，诸位也不必过于在乎他的观点，我前面没说朱啸虎也有不成功的交易，他卖小红书就卖的太早，踏空了后面巨大的利润空间。他这 次抛出的观点可以作为参考，尤其是现在全市场对人型机器人几乎全是溢美之词，很难看到泼冷水的话。 他提到的那两点，起码市场共 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of RMB 1.05 per share (including tax), which represents 50.91% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the year 2024 [1][2]. Profit Distribution Plan - The total cash dividend amount is RMB 2,172,301,996.20 for the current year, compared to RMB 3,413,617,422.60 in the previous year and RMB 1,655,087,235.20 in the year before that [1]. - The company's retained earnings at the end of the current year amount to RMB 5,241,149,013.42 [1]. - The average net profit over the last three accounting years is RMB 5,337,059,971.28 [1]. - The cumulative cash dividends over the last three accounting years total RMB 7,241,006,654.00 [1]. Decision-Making Process - The board of directors approved the profit distribution plan during the 22nd meeting of the 5th board on March 28, 2025, with 8 votes in favor and no opposition [1][3]. - The supervisory board believes the profit distribution plan complies with relevant laws and the company's articles of association, considering the company's profitability, financial status, and future development plans [3].