The Timken Company (TKR) Q1 2025 Earnings Call April 30, 2025 11:00 AM ET Company Participants Neil Frohnapple - Vice President - IRRichard Kyle - Interim President & CEOPhilip Fracassa - EVP and CFOStefan Diaz - Vice President, Equity ResearchChristopher Dankert - SVP - Equity Research Conference Call Participants Bryan Blair - Managing Director & Senior Research AnalystKyle Menges - Vice President - Equity Research AnalystMichael Shlisky - Managing Director & Senior Equity Research Analyst Operator Good m ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Wuzhou New Spring Group Co., Ltd. reported a revenue increase of 5.10% in 2024, but net profit decreased significantly by 33.88%, primarily due to losses from overseas subsidiaries [1][3][22] Financial Performance Analysis - Revenue for 2024 reached 3.265 billion yuan, up from 3.106 billion yuan in the previous year, indicating a growth of 5.10% [2] - The automotive parts sector saw a revenue increase of 20.24%, while the thermal management system components grew by 11.70%. However, bearing products only grew by 0.22%, suggesting slower growth in traditional business areas [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 91.37 million yuan, down from 138 million yuan in 2023, marking a decline of 33.88% [3] - Basic earnings per share fell to 0.25 yuan from 0.40 yuan, a decrease of 37.50% [4] Expense Analysis - Sales expenses increased by 30.22% to 109 million yuan, attributed to the consolidation of WJB Holdings, indicating a stronger market promotion effort [5] - Management expenses rose by 10.50% to 164 million yuan, reflecting increased operational costs [6] - Financial expenses surged by 122.21% to 33.04 million yuan, primarily due to increased short-term borrowings and the consolidation of WJB Holdings, indicating heightened debt pressure [7] Cash Flow Analysis - Net cash flow from operating activities decreased by 30.92% to 196 million yuan, mainly due to the consolidation of WJB Holdings, which may affect liquidity and operational efficiency [10] - Net cash flow from investing activities worsened to -374 million yuan from -119 million yuan, indicating increased investment efforts [11] - Net cash flow from financing activities turned positive at 140 million yuan, up from -69.12 million yuan, due to increased bank borrowings [12] R&D Investment - R&D expenses slightly decreased by 2.60% to 98.70 million yuan, representing 3.02% of revenue, showing continued commitment to innovation [8][13] - The company established a central research institute to enhance R&D capabilities and product upgrades [13] - The R&D team consists of 378 personnel, with a focus on attracting top talent for technological advancements [14] Overall Evaluation - Despite revenue growth, the significant decline in net profit highlights challenges in overseas operations and cost management. The company needs to enhance overseas business management and optimize its business structure to improve profitability while continuing to invest in R&D to address market competition [22]

Core Insights - Xingtai City has established 44 county-level characteristic industrial clusters, making it a significant hub for cashmere and cashmere products, children's car production, wire and cable manufacturing, and bearing industry aggregation [1] - The city has seen a total revenue of 139.23 billion yuan from these industrial clusters in the first quarter of this year, reflecting an 8.5% year-on-year growth [1] Group 1: Industrial Development - Xingtai's county-level characteristic industrial clusters include 22 with annual revenues exceeding 10 billion yuan, 4 national-level, and 9 provincial-level small and medium-sized enterprise clusters [1] - The city is focusing on optimizing and upgrading these clusters to build a modern industrial system with local characteristics and comparative advantages [1] Group 2: Technological Innovation - The bearing component industrial cluster in Linxi County has been recognized as a national-level small and medium-sized enterprise cluster, emphasizing technological innovation and product upgrades [2] - Xingtai's overall R&D expenditure is projected to increase by 64.3% in 2024, with technology contract transaction values reaching 9.586 billion yuan, a 61.22% increase [2][3] Group 3: Automation and Efficiency - Qinghe County is a key hub for cashmere processing, where companies are upgrading traditional equipment to enhance production efficiency, achieving a 20% cost reduction and a 25% increase in efficiency through smart manufacturing [3] - The city has established numerous innovation platforms, with 420 platforms at provincial and above levels, promoting the integration of industrial design and traditional manufacturing [3] Group 4: Collaborative Development - Xingtai City has cultivated 79 leading enterprises and 667 specialized small and medium-sized enterprises, focusing on collaborative development within industrial clusters [4] - The children's car industry cluster in Pingxiang has captured approximately 50% of the domestic market and 40% of the international market, showcasing the effectiveness of nurturing leading enterprises [4] Group 5: Shared Resources - The wire and cable industrial cluster in Ningjin County has seen a revenue increase of 28.9% in 2024, with shared platforms allowing small and medium-sized enterprises to reduce costs by over 30% [5] - Xingtai has initiated 21 clusters with 32 enterprises establishing shared factories, resulting in an average profit increase of 10% for participating companies [5] Group 6: Business Environment - Xingtai City has implemented mechanisms for regular communication between government and enterprises, enhancing the business environment and facilitating access to low-interest loans for companies [6] - Financial institutions have developed tailored loan products for specific industrial clusters, creating a "one industry, one product" financial service model [6] Group 7: Investment Attraction - The Xingtai High-tech Zone is attracting electronic information production lines from Shenzhen, with supportive measures such as housing and transportation for employees [7] - By March 2025, the total number of business entities in Xingtai is expected to reach 979,000, reflecting a 5.33% year-on-year growth [7]

Core Viewpoint - 崇德科技 has reported significant growth in revenue and profit for 2024, driven by its "one core, two wings" strategy focusing on the core business of dynamic pressure oil film sliding bearings while expanding into industrial services and international markets [1] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 518 million yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 115 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.07% [1] - The net cash flow from operating activities reached 141 million yuan, up 170.83% year-on-year [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 120 million yuan, a growth of 4.68% year-on-year, and a net profit of 27.81 million yuan [1] Industry Position and Innovation - 崇德科技 is recognized as a leading domestic manufacturer of dynamic pressure oil film sliding bearings, addressing the reliability challenges of bearings under high temperature and heavy load, thus breaking foreign technology monopolies [2] - The company has made significant advancements in the localization of key components, including overcoming challenges in the domestic production of third-generation nuclear power main pump bearings [2] International Market Expansion - The company has successfully entered the supply chains of international giants such as Siemens AG, GE, and ABB, with overseas revenue reaching 80.68 million yuan in 2024, marking a 27.87% increase [3] - 崇德科技 has established a European center to enhance local market sales and service capabilities, and has acquired 100% of German company Levicron to strengthen its international market presence [5] New Product Development - The company is actively expanding into new industries, focusing on wind power bearings, high-speed motors, and air-floating main shafts, achieving breakthroughs in these areas [4] - 崇德科技 has developed the second-generation wind power sliding bearings, which are positioned as industry-leading in design and manufacturing technology [4] Future Outlook - With the growth of downstream industries such as energy generation and petrochemicals, the demand for dynamic pressure oil film sliding bearings is expected to rise, positioning 崇德科技 for continued growth [6] - The company's strategic focus on innovation and international expansion is anticipated to enhance its competitive edge and facilitate the import substitution of key components [6]

Core Viewpoint - The report by Yuanzhi Yuan from Caixin Securities highlights the stable growth of Suzhou Axis Co., Ltd. in the bearing industry, with a focus on new product development and a recommendation for a buy rating. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 715 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.42% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 151 million yuan, up 21.32% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 148 million yuan, reflecting a 27.83% increase [1] - The gross margin for 2024 was 37.29%, an increase of 0.61 percentage points, and the net margin was 21.06%, up 1.54 percentage points [1] Quarterly Performance - In Q4 2024, revenue was 169 million yuan, down 1.27% year-on-year and down 10.50% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders in Q4 was 33 million yuan, a decrease of 10.90% year-on-year and 24.18% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The gross margin for Q4 was 33.24%, down 1.64 percentage points year-on-year and down 6.22 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] Product and Regional Analysis - Bearing products generated revenue of 635 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 11.96%, with a gross margin of 38.75% [3] - Rolling body revenue was 47 million yuan, up 24.61% year-on-year, but with a gross margin of 34.69%, down 11.37 percentage points [3] - Domestic revenue was 404 million yuan, a 10.13% increase year-on-year, while international revenue reached 311 million yuan, up 15.55% year-on-year [3] Future Outlook - The company is focusing on the development of new products, including thin-walled cross cylindrical roller bearings for harmonic reducers, which may drive future growth [4] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 870 million, 1.05 billion, and 1.25 billion yuan, with net profits of 183 million, 229 million, and 283 million yuan respectively [4] - The company is rated as a "buy" based on its stable business fundamentals and growth potential in the robotics sector [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][25]. Core Views - The company has reached a profit inflection point and is expected to enter a business release cycle, with significant growth potential in the TMT and small-cap sectors [1][20]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 296 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.65%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 103.41% [1][20]. - The increase in profit growth rate is attributed to improved gross margins, reduced financial expenses due to convertible bond redemption, increased government subsidies, and decreased credit impairment losses [7][20]. Financial Data and Valuation - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 988 million yuan in 2023 to 2.169 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of -5%, 16%, 22%, 28%, and 21% respectively [3][34]. - Net profit is expected to increase from 38 million yuan in 2023 to 217 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of -17%, -31%, 174%, 131%, and 31% respectively [3][34]. - The company’s PE ratio is projected to decrease from 162.6 in 2023 to 28.3 in 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics over time [3][35]. Market and Product Insights - The bearing market has significant growth potential, with China's bearing industry revenue reaching 250 billion yuan in 2022, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.7% [10][14]. - The company is focusing on the insulated bearing sleeve product, which is currently in the sampling phase and aims to prevent electrical corrosion in bearings, targeting applications in new energy vehicles and variable frequency air conditioners [24][25]. - The company is increasing investment in screw components, which are expected to benefit from the rapid growth of humanoid robots, leveraging its existing advantages in the bearing sleeve industry [24][25].

Core Viewpoint - New Qianglian has demonstrated significant growth in revenue and profit, driven by technological innovation and domestic substitution in the bearing industry, particularly in wind power and shield tunneling sectors [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, New Qianglian achieved a revenue of 2.946 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.32%, with a net profit of 65 million yuan [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 926 million yuan, marking a substantial year-on-year growth of 107.46%, and a net profit of 170 million yuan, indicating a turnaround from losses [1]. - The company announced a cash dividend of 0.92 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 33.0045 million yuan, which represents 50.48% of its net profit, reflecting a commitment to investor returns [1]. Industry Position and Product Development - New Qianglian specializes in the research, production, and sales of large slewing bearings and related components, with applications in wind power, marine engineering, and construction machinery [2]. - The company has made significant strides in the wind bearing market, narrowing the gap with international competitors and achieving advanced product standards [2]. - In the shield tunneling sector, New Qianglian has increased its R&D investment, enhancing product quality and technology, and has established strong partnerships with leading industry clients [3][4]. Technological Advancements - The company holds 134 patents, including 30 invention patents, with several technologies recognized as leading both domestically and internationally [5]. - New Qianglian's independently developed products, such as the split slewing bearing for wind installation vessels and the overall slewing bearing for floating cranes, have filled domestic gaps and replaced imported products [6]. - The company has achieved breakthroughs in ultra-large diameter shield machine main bearings, marking a significant advancement in China's manufacturing capabilities in this area [7].

另外，随着新能源汽车、机器人等新兴产业的快速发展，双飞集团也在积极布局相关领域业务，抢抓行 业发展机遇。双飞集团年报中提到，接下来，公司将以大客户开发和新能源、机器人用滑动轴承的产品 设计为重点，围绕客户使用条件开展定制化方案开发，推动核心产品适配性和技术含量进一步提升。 4月21日，双飞无油轴承集团股份有限公司（以下简称"双飞集团"）发布2024年年度报告，公司实现营 业收入8.49亿元，同比增长12.70%；实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润6737.01万元，同比增长 15.80%。公司两大核心业务均保持良好增长势头。2024年，公司滑动轴承板块实现营业收入5.37亿元， 同比增长6.84%；复合材料板块实现营业收入1.85亿元，同比增长14.87%。 业绩增长的背后，是双飞集团面对市场需求升级的主动变革。近年来，公司以技术投入破解高性能装备 需求难题，2024年研发投入达5484.84万元，同比增长14.39%。 具体来看，双飞集团通过引进国外先进设备与自主创新结合，成功开发出机械手、端面摩擦磨损试验机 等自动化生产检测设备，逐步扭转国内高性能滑动轴承装备依赖进口的局面，生产效率与自动化水平显 著提升。目 ...

星标 ★ IPO日报 精彩文章第一时间推送 又一家上市公司的并购重组项目发生变化。 深交所4月17日披露，2025年4月11日，宝塔实业股份有限公司（下称"宝塔实业"，000595.SZ）及独立财务顾问申请撤回重 大资产重组申请文件。根据相关规则，深交所决定终止对其申请重大资产置换及发行股份购买资产并募集配套资金的审核。 IPO日报发现，根据公司此前公告，公司虽然撤回了上述重组申请，但并未放弃此次资产置换，而是将对原重大资产重组方案进 行重大调整。 最早在2024年7月，公司首次披露了重组方案。 据悉，宝塔实业原重大资产重组方案为公司拟将除保留货币资金、其他流动资产（待抵扣进项税）、长期股权投资（桂林海威 75%股权、北京西轴销售45%股权）、其他权益工具投资（西北亚奥16%股权）、无形资产（柴油机土地）以外的全部资产负 债作为置出资产，与宁夏电力投资集团有限公司（以下简称"宁夏电投"）持有的宁夏电投新能源有限公司（以下简称"电投新能 源"）100%股权即置入资产的等值部分进行置换。针对置入资产和置出资产的差额部分，由上市公司发行股份向宁夏电投购买。 同时，公司拟向不超过35名特定对象发行股份募集配套资金。 ...

板块方面 ， 深海科技 、 军工 、 煤炭 、 风电等板块涨幅居前 ， 数据中心电源 、 游戏 、 白酒 、 消费电子等板块跌幅居前 。 值得关注的是新股N江南盘中涨超700%，实现一天7倍，创年内新股首日最大涨幅。 01 长按即可免费加入哦 市场全天震荡调整 ， 创业板指领跌 。 截至收盘 ， 沪指跌0.51% ， 深成指跌0.91% ， 创业板指跌1% 。 沪深两市全天成交额1.44万亿 ， 较上个交易日缩量249亿 。 个股跌多涨少 ， 全市场超3200只个股下跌 。 | | | なく | 74.43 | 2 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 买5 | 74.41 | ന | | | | | 明细 ▲ | | | -64.50 | | -711.95%14:56 | 74.30 | 34 | | 成交额 18.09亿 2.58亿 | | 14:56 | 74.00 | 121 | | | | 14:56 2 | 74.01 | 75 | | | | 14:56 | 74.30 | 21 | | | | 15:00 | 74.50 | 2099 | | | | ...