Report Investment Rating - The outlook for stock index futures is "shockingly bullish," for stock index options is "shockingly," and for Treasury bond futures is "shockingly bearish" [7][8][9] Core Viewpoints - Stock index futures are moving upward due to inertia, with the ChiNext and STAR Market indices leading the gains. A-shares are deviating from the trend of the Asia-Pacific stock market, and the CSI 2000 has underperformed the CSI 1000 in the past two weeks. The turnover rate of the Wind All A Index is approaching a relatively high level, and it may be better to shift to small and micro-cap stocks in September [7]. - The optimism in the stock index options market is waning, with trading volume and implied volatility both dropping. The market sentiment remains positive, but the trading pace has slowed down. It is advisable to set appropriate stop-profit and stop-loss points and re-anchor trading levels [8]. - The performance of the Treasury bond futures market depends on the stock market. Although the stock market was strong yesterday, the bond market also showed an upward trend, and the bullish sentiment may have recovered. The market is concerned about a potential short-term adjustment in the stock market, which could boost the bullish sentiment in the bond market. The bond market should be approached with caution [3][9]. Summary by Directory Market Views Stock Index Futures - The basis of the current contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM closed at -13.11, -1.60, -95.49, and -120.55 points respectively, with a month-on-month change of -22.55, -5.13, -48.35, and -48.47 points. The spreads between the current and next-month contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM were 7.6, 1.6, 51.6, and 66.4 points respectively, with a month-on-month change of 2.2, -1.6, 3.0, and 4.8 points. The total positions of IF, IH, IC, and IM changed by -16713, -11062, -12442, and -12786 lots respectively [7]. - The market moved upward due to inertia yesterday, with the ChiNext and STAR Market indices leading the gains. Metal materials, electronics, and healthcare sectors had significant increases, while the large financial sector was relatively weak. A-shares are deviating from the Asia-Pacific stock market, and the CSI 2000 has underperformed the CSI 1000 in the past two weeks. The turnover rate of the Wind All A Index is approaching a relatively high level, and it may be better to shift to small and micro-cap stocks in September. It is recommended to hold IM [7]. Stock Index Options - The trading volume of each option variety decreased by 33.31%, and the liquidity of all varieties declined consistently. The implied volatility of options decreased by an average of 2.55%. It is speculated that the decline in volatility is mainly due to the closing of long option positions, rather than the suppression of short option positions. The average position PCR increased by 1.08%, indicating that the sentiment remains positive, but the trading pace has slowed down. It is advisable to set appropriate stop-profit and stop-loss points and re-anchor trading levels. A small amount of covered call strategy is recommended [8]. Treasury Bond Futures - The trading volumes of the next-quarter contracts of T, TF, TS, and TL were 84189, 60563, 25178, and 121725 lots respectively, with a one-day change of 10472, 4284, -8257, and -19489 lots. The positions were 185116, 113156, 67204, and 125481 lots respectively, with a one-day change of 7482, -145, 605, and 4819 lots. The spreads between the current and next-quarter contracts of T, TF, TS, and TL were 0.300, 0.105, -0.080, and 0.410 yuan respectively, with a one-day change of 0.060, -0.045, -0.010, and -0.100 yuan. The spreads between TF*2-T, TS*2-TF, TS*4-T, and T*3-TL of the next-quarter contracts were 103.190, 99.277, 301.744, and 207.090 yuan respectively, with a one-day change of -0.030, -0.044, -0.118, and 0.210 yuan. The basis of the next-quarter contracts of T, TF, TS, and TL were 0.340, 0.021, -0.048, and 0.549 yuan respectively, with a one-day change of -0.109, -0.032, -0.009, and -0.178 yuan. The central bank conducted 1827 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchases yesterday, with 2884 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing [8]. - Treasury bond futures rose across the board yesterday. The T, TF, TS, and TL main contracts rose 0.17%, 0.08%, 0.02%, and 0.30% respectively. The T main contract opened lower in the morning but then rebounded quickly and showed an upward trend throughout the day. The PMI data in August showed a slight increase, and the equity market continued to be strong yesterday. The bond market sentiment was weak in the morning, but the stock-bond seesaw effect weakened during the day. The bond market also showed an upward trend, and the bullish sentiment may have recovered. The market is concerned about a potential short-term adjustment in the stock market, which could boost the bullish sentiment in the bond market. Although the central bank net withdrew 105.7 billion yuan from the open market on the first day of September, the liquidity in the money market was relatively loose, and the money market rates declined. DR001 and DR007 dropped to 1.31% and 1.45% respectively. In the future, although the stock-bond seesaw effect was not obvious yesterday, it is still necessary to closely monitor the performance of the stock market and the risk appetite. The bond market should be approached with caution. Trend strategy: Be cautiously bullish. Hedging strategy: Pay attention to short hedging at low basis levels. Basis strategy: Pay attention to long-end arbitrage opportunities. Curve strategy: Appropriate attention can be paid to the steepening of the yield curve [3][9]. Economic Calendar - The economic data to be released this week includes the eurozone's unemployment rate, CPI, core CPI, PPI, the US ISM manufacturing PMI, ADP employment, and new ADP employment [10]. Important Information and News Tracking - From July 1 to August 31, the national railway carried a total of 943 million passengers, a year-on-year increase of 4.7%, and the national railway carried a total of 702 million tons of goods, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%. Both passenger and freight volumes reached record highs for the same period [11]. - At the end of the SCO Tianjin Summit on September 1, 2025, Wang Yi, a member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Minister of Foreign Affairs, introduced the eight achievements of the summit, including formulating a 10-year development strategy for the SCO, making a political decision to establish the SCO Development Bank, and setting up six practical cooperation platforms [11]. Derivatives Market Monitoring - The report also includes data on stock index futures, stock index options, and Treasury bond futures, but the specific data is not provided in the text [12][16][28]

昨日基金共对26家公司进行调研，扎堆调研恺英网络、兴齐眼药、我武生物等。 证券时报·数据宝统计，9月1日共43家公司被机构调研，按调研机构类型看，基金参与26家公司的调研 活动，其中，5家以上基金扎堆调研公司共12家。恺英网络最受关注，参与调研的基金达34家；兴齐眼 药、博思软件等分别获24家、9家基金集体调研。 基金参与调研的公司中，按所属板块统计，深市主板公司有11家，创业板公司有10家，沪市主板公司有 2家，科创板公司有2家，北交所公司有1家。所属行业来看，基金调研的公司共涉及17个行业，所属电 力设备、电子、医药生物等行业个股最多，均有3只个股上榜。 市场表现上，基金调研股中，近5日上涨的有10只，涨幅居前的有坤恒顺维、兴齐眼药、华力创通等， 涨幅为15.13%、14.77%、14.39%；下跌的有16只，跌幅居前的有广信科技、祥生医疗、珠城科技等， 跌幅为8.37%、7.83%、7.57%。 数据宝统计，基金参与调研股中，近5日资金净流入的有7只，博杰股份近5日净流入资金1.12亿元，主 力资金净流入最多；净流入资金较多的还有三晖电气、蒙娜丽莎等，净流入资金分别为8267.21万元、 5085.94 ...

Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing a shift towards large-cap growth stocks, with institutional funds favoring companies with strong fundamentals and high cash flow certainty. Group 1: Market Performance - As of September 1, 2025, the large-cap growth index rose by 15.03% in August, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 300, and CSI 2000, which increased by 7.97%, 10.33%, and 9.67% respectively [1] - The large-cap growth ETF (159203) saw a 4.56% increase over the past week, with a current price of 1.23 yuan and a trading volume of 163.07 million yuan [1] Group 2: Institutional Insights - There is a preference for large-cap companies with solid fundamentals and high cash flow, indicating a shift from small-cap stocks to technology and large-cap growth sectors [3][4] - The dividend sector is showing differentiation, with a broader focus on quality cash flow and low volatility rather than solely on dividend yield [3] Group 3: ETF Details - The large-cap growth ETF tracks the National Growth Index and includes major companies like Kweichow Moutai (12%), CATL (10%), and Zijin Mining (4%) among its top holdings [5][9] - The ETF's latest size reached 158.12 million yuan, marking a one-month high, with a maximum monthly return of 14.97% since inception [6] - The ETF has a management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10% [7]

产品及投资方案部 注：bp/bps=基点；pt/pts=百分点 中信证券财富管理 (香港) 免责声明请参考封底 2025 年 9 月 2 日 市。 环球市场动态 人 民 币 破 7 仍 需 要 更 多 催 化 股 票 中国市场 9 月开门红，A 股高开高 走，黄金股领涨大市；港股高位震 荡，阿里巴巴 (9988 HK) 业绩突出 大涨 18.5%；欧洲股市收高，防务 与医疗板块带动市场；美股周一休 外 汇 / 商 品 美国金融市场因公众假日休市，瑞 典克朗领涨 G-10 货币，日元表现 落后；石油交易员预计，OPEC+本 周末开会时将维持原油产量不变， 周一原油期货窄幅波动。 固 定 收 益 美国假期休市，市场静淡。投资者 对美联储本月降息乐观。欧洲经济 数据向好，降息暂缓预期下，欧债 收益率普涨。亚洲债市交投清淡， 中国投资级债券利差基本持平。 欧美主要指数 主要指数 指数 收盘点位 1日涨跌 (%) 道琼斯 45,544.9 (0.2) 标普 500 6,460.3 (0.6) 纳斯达克 21,455.6 (1.2) 巴西圣保罗证交所指数 141,422.3 0.3 标普墨西哥 IPC 指数 58,708 ...

Core Viewpoint - The current valuation levels in the A-share market are relatively high, indicating potential investment risks, particularly in certain sectors and indices [6][7][8]. Market Overview - The current Buffett Indicator for A-shares is at 87.14%, which is above the safe zone [6][22]. - Major broad market indices have a PE valuation (TTM) above 20%, with specific indices like the CSI 300 and SSE Composite Index at 96.91% and 91.44% historical percentiles, respectively, indicating high valuation levels [7][8]. Industry Valuation Levels - The food and beverage, and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sectors have PE valuations (TTM) below the 20% historical percentile, at 11.67% and 12.72%, respectively, making them areas of focus [8]. - Industries such as construction materials, steel, communication, media, retail, electronics, computers, and real estate have PE valuations (TTM) at high historical percentiles, ranging from 80.90% to 99.79%, suggesting caution in investment [8]. Index Valuation Performance - The current PE valuation levels for key indices are as follows: - CSI 500: 33.33 (↑5.59%) - STAR Market 50: 185.69 (↑26.20%) - CSI 1000: 46.87 (↑7.04%) [12][19][28]. Overall Market Valuation Levels - The overall market PE valuation is reported at 30.395 times, with the Shanghai market having a total market capitalization of 619,625.60 billion [18][26]. - The average PE for the Shenzhen market is 30.23, indicating a similar high valuation trend [26]. Industry PE Valuation Levels - Specific industry PE valuations include: - Agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery: 18.94 (↑5.87%) - Food and beverage: 22.04 (↑5.51%) - Real estate: 45.66 (↑0.44%) [34][36]. Industry PB Valuation Levels - The PB valuation levels for various industries are as follows: - Agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery: 2.62 (↑4.80%) - Food and beverage: 4.31 (↑8.02%) - Real estate: 0.81 (↑2.53%) [37][39]. Industry PS Valuation Levels - The PS valuation levels for key sectors include: - Agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery: 1.15 (↑5.10%) - Food and beverage: 4.42 (↑5.31%) - Real estate: 0.63 (↑0.61%) [41][43].

创业板公司最新融资余额4713.11亿元，已连续16个交易日增加，其间累计增加710.75亿元。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，截至9月1日，创业板两融余额合计4728.59亿元，较上一交易日增加65.07亿 元。其中，融资余额合计4713.11亿元，较上一交易日增加64.84亿元，为连续16个交易日增加，其间累 计增加710.75亿元。 创业板融资余额连增期间，以金额统计，融资余额增加最多的是新易盛，最新融资余额为134.16亿元， 其间增加67.30亿元，融资余额增加较多的还有胜宏科技、中际旭创、东方财富等，分别增加61.91亿 元、58.21亿元、41.15亿元。融资余额减少较多的有光线传媒、硕贝德、景嘉微等，分别减少3.56亿 元、1.96亿元、1.96亿元。（数据宝） 创业板融资余额变动排名 其间融资余额变动幅度居前个股 | 代码 | 简称 | 最新融资余额（万 | 其间增减 | 代码 | 简称 | 最新融资余额 | 其间增减 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 元） | （%） | | | （万元） | （%） | | 3 ...

Core Insights - The total margin balance in the market has reached 22,969.91 billion yuan, marking a continuous increase for seven trading days, with a total increase of 1,501.96 billion yuan during this period [1][2] Margin Balance by Market - The margin balance in the Shanghai market is 11,717.68 billion yuan, an increase of 198.32 billion yuan, while the Shenzhen market's balance is 11,178.90 billion yuan, increasing by 158.49 billion yuan [1][2] Industry Analysis - All 31 industries under the Shenwan classification have seen an increase in margin balance, with the electronics industry leading with an increase of 447.17 billion yuan [1][2] - The communication industry has the highest growth rate at 21.36%, followed by electronics at 16.77% and household appliances at 9.61% [1][2] Individual Stock Performance - 87 stocks have seen their margin balances increase by over 50%, with Tianming Technology showing the largest increase of 211.20%, reaching a margin balance of 21.22 million yuan [4][5] - The average stock price of those with significant margin increases rose by 13.58%, with Tianfu Communication achieving the highest price increase of 85.55% [4][5] Top Margin Increases by Individual Stocks - The top three stocks with the highest margin balance increases are: - Shenghong Technology: 12.08 billion yuan, increase of 56.68 billion yuan, growth of 88.39% [7] - Hanwujing: 11.47 billion yuan, increase of 46.48 billion yuan, growth of 68.12% [7] - New Yi Sheng: 13.41 billion yuan, increase of 41.40 billion yuan, growth of 44.64% [7] Summary of Margin Balance Changes by Industry - The electronics industry has the highest margin balance at 3,114.20 billion yuan, with an increase of 447.17 billion yuan [2] - The communication industry follows with a margin balance of 983.88 billion yuan, increasing by 173.14 billion yuan [2]

Company Performance - The stock price of Xuguang Electronics has reached a historical high, with the stock increasing by 8.74% to 21.40 yuan, and a total trading volume of 21.58 million shares, amounting to 449 million yuan in transaction value [2] - The company reported a revenue of 784 million yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 0.47%, and a net profit of 63.84 million yuan, which is a 13.52% increase year-on-year [2] Industry Overview - The overall electronic industry has seen a slight increase of 0.38%, with 103 stocks rising, including notable performers such as Chengdu Huamei, Saiwei Electronics, and Liyang Chip, which rose by 16.25%, 11.48%, and 10.12% respectively [2] - Conversely, 374 stocks in the industry experienced declines, with the largest drops seen in Aibisen, Huahong Company, and Longyang Electronics, which fell by 7.09%, 6.57%, and 5.04% respectively [2] Financing Data - As of September 1, the margin trading balance for Xuguang Electronics was 548 million yuan, with a financing balance of 548 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 177 million yuan over the past 10 days, a decline of 24.45% [2]

Core Insights - On September 1, 28 out of 31 primary industries in the Shenwan index received net financing inflows, with the electronics sector leading at a net inflow of 5.58 billion [1] - Other notable sectors with significant net inflows include telecommunications, non-ferrous metals, power equipment, automotive, and non-bank financials, each exceeding 2 billion in net inflows [1] Industry Summary - The electronics industry topped the list with a net financing inflow of 5.58 billion [1] - Telecommunications, non-ferrous metals, power equipment, automotive, and non-bank financials also showed strong performance with net inflows exceeding 2 billion each [1] Company Summary - A total of 2062 stocks experienced net financing inflows on September 1, with 89 stocks having inflows over 100 million [1] - BYD led individual stocks with a net inflow of 1.401 billion, followed by companies like Xinyi Semiconductor, Zhongji Xuchuang, Zijin Mining, Hanwha, Zhaoyi Innovation, Tongfu Microelectronics, WuXi AppTec, and China Ping An, all exceeding 500 million in net inflows [1]

中国基金报记者 晨曦 校对：纪元 制作：舰长 审核：陈思扬 注：本文封面图由AI生成 自今年 6 月以来，两融余额稳步上升， 8 月中旬突破 2 万亿元。 从板块来看， 8 月以来，电子、通信、计算机、机械设备等行业融资净买入额居前。 数据显示， 8 月 22 日以来，共有 24 股获得融资净买入超过 10 亿元。其中，胜宏科技、 寒武纪 -U 、新易盛居前，分别为 56.68 亿元、 46.48 亿元、 41.4 亿元。 编辑：江右 Wind 数据显示，截至 9 月 1 日， A 股两融余额达到 2.3 万亿元，超过 2015 年 6 月 18 日的 2.27 万亿元，突破历史新高。 | 网 南昌 九州 平江 1 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 | | | | Ara | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 合计 | 沪市 | 深同 | 北交所 | | 两融余额 | 22.969.91 | 11.717.68 | 11.178.90 | 73.33 | | 融资余额 | 22,808.29 | ...