Core Viewpoint - Ganfeng Lithium (1772.HK) plans to issue new H-shares, expecting total proceeds of approximately HKD 1.171 billion, with the placement price set at HKD 29.28 per share, representing a discount of 5.49% from the latest closing price [1] Summary by Categories - **Fundraising Details** - The total amount expected from the share placement is approximately HKD 1.171 billion [1] - The placement price is set at HKD 29.28 per share, which is a 5.49% discount compared to the latest closing price [1] - **Use of Proceeds** - The proceeds from the share placement will be used for loan repayment, capacity expansion and construction, working capital replenishment, and general corporate purposes [1]

Group 1: Greentown Service (2869.HK) - The company reported a revenue of 9.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.1% [5] - Gross profit reached 1.8 billion yuan, up 8.9% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 19.5%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points [5] - Core operating profit was 1.07 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.3% [5] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 610 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.6% [5] Group 2: Ganfeng Lithium (002460.SZ) - The company achieved a revenue of 8.376 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.65% [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was -531 million yuan, indicating a reduction in losses compared to the previous year [6] - The improvement in performance was mainly due to a reduction in losses from fair value changes [6] - The company has established partnerships with well-known drone and eVTOL companies for solid-state battery integration [6] Group 3: Puyang Huicheng (300481.SZ) - The company reported a revenue of 721 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.36% year-on-year [7] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 71 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 37.22% [7] - In Q2, revenue was 365 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.16% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.49% [7] Group 4: Tongwei Co., Ltd. (600438.SH) - The company achieved a revenue of 40.509 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.51% [8] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was -4.955 billion yuan, with losses widening compared to the previous year [8] - In Q2, revenue was 24.575 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.44% [8] Group 5: TCL Zhonghuan (002129.SZ) - The company reported a revenue of 13.398 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 17.36% [9] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was -4.242 billion yuan, with losses widening compared to the previous year [9] - In Q2, revenue was 7.297 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.18% [9] Group 6: Guangwei Composites (300699.SZ) - The company achieved a revenue of 1.201 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.87% [10] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 269 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 26.85% [10] - In Q2, revenue was 635 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.40% [10] Group 7: iFlytek (002230.SZ) - The company reported a revenue of 10.91 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 17.0% [11] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was -239 million yuan, with losses narrowing by 40.4% year-on-year [11] - In Q2, revenue was 6.25 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.1% [11]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant improvement in its financial performance for the first half of 2025, despite a decline in revenue, primarily due to reduced losses from fair value changes and strategic asset disposals [3][4]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 8.376 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.65% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -531 million yuan, indicating a reduction in losses compared to the previous year [3]. Fair Value Changes - The company's fair value change net income was -278 million yuan, showing a substantial reduction in losses year-on-year - The implementation of collar options resulted in a gain of 375 million yuan, contributing positively to the financial results [4]. Asset Management - The company enhanced its investment income through the disposal of certain energy storage plants and joint ventures, generating an investment income of 224 million yuan from the sale of a subsidiary of Shenzhen Yichu Energy Technology Co., Ltd. [4]. Lithium Production Capacity - The company is actively advancing the production ramp-up of the Mariana lithium salt lake project and accelerating the Goulamina lithium spodumene project in Mali, aiming to increase its self-sufficiency in lithium spodumene [5]. - A joint venture with LAR is planned to integrate lithium salt lake assets in Argentina, potentially establishing one of the largest lithium extraction projects globally, with a target of achieving an annual production capacity of no less than 600,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) by 2030 or earlier [5]. Solid-State Battery Development - The company has established capabilities in key areas of solid-state battery production, including sulfide electrolytes, oxide electrolytes, lithium metal anodes, cells, and battery systems - Successful development of high ionic conductivity sulfide electrolyte powders with room temperature ionic conductivities exceeding 8 mS/cm and 6 mS/cm for different particle sizes [6][7]. Market Outlook - The industry may be entering a phase where lower lithium prices could present buying opportunities, as some domestic and international mines have experienced production halts or reductions since early 2024 - The reset cost method may provide a more accurate reflection of asset values, particularly for companies trading at a discount to their reset costs, indicating potential long-term investment value [8].

Group 1 - The company held the 31st meeting of the 5th Supervisory Board on August 25, 2025, with all three participating supervisors voting in favor of the agenda items [1][2] - The company approved the 2025 semi-annual report and its summary, with all three supervisors voting in favor [1][2] - The company proposed to abolish the Supervisory Board, transferring its responsibilities to the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors, pending approval from the shareholders' meeting [1][2] Group 2 - The company plans to increase the margin for futures hedging business to mitigate risks from price fluctuations of lithium carbonate and raw materials, with a total margin not exceeding RMB 200 million [2] - The maximum contract value held on any trading day will not exceed RMB 1 billion, and this amount can be rolled over within the effective period [2] - The proposed adjustments to the futures hedging business also require approval from the shareholders' meeting [2]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The fundamentals of lithium carbonate have not changed significantly, with both supply and demand increasing. Inventory remains high but is being depleted [2]. - The option market sentiment has turned bullish, with a decrease in implied volatility [2]. - The operation suggestion is to conduct short - selling transactions at high prices with a light position and control risks by paying attention to trading rhythm [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract is 79,380 yuan/ton, up 420 yuan; the net position of the top 20 is - 132,250 hands, up 6,209 hands; the position volume of the main contract is 368,667 hands, up 6,413 hands; the spread between near - and far - month contracts is 540 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan; the warehouse receipts of GZEE are 24,990 hands/ton, up 670 hands [2]. 3.2 Spot Market - The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 82,500 yuan/ton, down 1,400 yuan; the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 80,200 yuan/ton, down 1,400 yuan; the basis of the Li₂CO₃ main contract is 3,120 yuan/ton, down 1,820 yuan [2]. 3.3 Upstream Situation - The average price of spodumene concentrate (6% CIF China) is 970 US dollars/ton, unchanged; the average price of amblygonite is 7,735 yuan/ton, down 90 yuan; the price of lepidolite (2 - 2.5%) is 2,645 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. 3.4 Industry Situation - Lithium carbonate production is 44,600 tons per month, up 500 tons; imports are 13,845.31 tons per month, down 3,852.31 tons; exports are 366.35 tons per month, down 63.31 tons; the operating rate of lithium carbonate enterprises is 48%, down 4 percentage points; power battery production is 133,800 MWh per month, up 4,600 MWh [2]. 3.5 Downstream and Application Situation - The operating rate of ternary cathode materials is 52%, up 1 percentage point; the operating rate of lithium iron phosphate cathode is 51%, down 1 percentage point; the monthly production of new energy vehicles is 1,243,000, down 25,000; the monthly sales are 1,262,000, down 67,000; the cumulative sales penetration rate is 44.99%, up 0.68 percentage points; the monthly export is 225,000, up 20,000; the cumulative export is 1.308 million, up 600,000 [2]. 3.6 Option Situation - The total subscription position is 199,430, up 35,436; the total put position is 148,570, down 3,546; the put - call ratio of total positions is 74.5%, down 18.2597 percentage points; the implied volatility of at - the - money IV is down 0.0243 percentage points [2]. 3.7 Industry News - In July 2025, the total import volume of spodumene was about 751,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 30.4%, equivalent to about 67,000 tons of LCE [2]. - Ganfeng Lithium said it is deploying two key materials in the field of sulfide solid - state battery materials, and its lithium sulfide products have passed customer quality certification and are supplied to multiple downstream customers [2]. - From January to July, the added value of the five major industries in the machinery industry increased year - on - year, with the general equipment manufacturing industry growing by 8.3%, the special equipment manufacturing industry by 3.8%, the automobile manufacturing industry by 10.9%, the electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing industry by 11.9%, and the instrument and meter manufacturing industry by 7.1% [2]. - The State Council executive meeting and the national video - teleconference on promoting the replacement of old consumer goods with new ones have made arrangements for the next stage, and experts believe that the policy may increase financial support and expand the scope of product categories [2].

Core Viewpoint - Chilean Mining and Chemical Company (SQM.US) reported poor performance in Q2 due to weak lithium prices, but maintains a strong balance sheet and competitive production cost advantage, allowing it to absorb market weakness without significant credit deterioration [1] Financial Performance - Q2 revenue decreased by 19% year-on-year to 1 billion Reais [1] - EBITDA fell by 25% year-on-year to 308 million USD, with profit margin declining to 29.5%, a decrease of 2.4 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Lithium segment faced pressure, with stable sales of 53,100 tons (up 1% year-on-year), but revenue dropped by 33% year-on-year to 445 million USD [1] Market Dynamics - China may play a key role in stabilizing lithium prices in the short term, with plans to orderly clear 100,000 tons of lithium mica capacity this year [1] - If fully implemented, this could theoretically re-anchor marginal cost pricing at 20,000 USD/ton [1] - Despite execution pace depending on local factors, policy signals have made market shorts more cautious [1] Cost Structure - SQM has the lowest cash cost globally at approximately 4,000 USD/ton [1] - Even if prices rebound to the range of 12,000 to 14,000 USD/ton, the gross margin per ton can still maintain above 70%, indicating significant profit elasticity compared to higher-cost mines [1] Bond Ratings - The company received an "overweight" rating for its 34-year bonds, reflecting attractive valuation relative to peers and other Chilean assets [2] - The 29-year and 33-year bonds were rated "market weight" due to reasonable relative valuation [2] - The 50-year and 51-year bonds received a "underweight" rating as they do not provide sufficient spread to compensate for the additional term risk compared to mid-term bonds [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [4] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the cost reduction measures in the Australian lithium mining sector have reached a bottleneck, with companies now focusing on more nuanced strategies to manage costs rather than broad cuts [2][22] - Australian lithium production in Q2 2025 increased by 12% to 940,000 tons (equivalent to SC6), with expectations for FY26 production to rise by 6.4% year-on-year to 3.888 million tons [1][13] - The report highlights a significant drop in lithium prices, which has pressured profit margins, yet companies maintain a certain level of cash flow resilience [3][41] Summary by Sections Production - In Q2 2025, Australian lithium production was boosted by the successful ramp-up of the Pilbara P1000 project and increased output from Wodgina, leading to a 12% quarter-on-quarter increase [1][11] - The total sales volume of Australian lithium concentrate in Q2 2025 was 989,000 tons, reflecting a 16% increase from the previous quarter, despite a 10% year-on-year decline [11] Cost Analysis - Cost reduction strategies have become more selective, with companies weighing the relationship between stripping ratios, recovery rates, and costs [2][22] - The report notes that the average cash costs for Kathleen Valley have approached critical levels, while Pilbara and Wodgina have managed to lower costs through efficiency improvements [19][20] Financial Performance - The gross profit margins for major Australian lithium mines have significantly decreased, with Greenbushes maintaining a margin of 62%, while others like Pilbara and Marion saw margins drop to between 15% and 22% [43] - Operating cash flows for companies like Pilbara improved due to increased sales volumes and cost reductions, while others like IGO faced cash flow pressures [46][47] Strategic Decisions - Most Australian mining companies are currently unable to provide price guidance, reflecting a shift from broad cost-cutting measures to more refined operational strategies [54][55] - Companies are focusing on enhancing operational efficiency and management capabilities rather than aggressive workforce reductions [2][54]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating The report does not provide an investment rating for the industry. 2. Core Viewpoints - **Last Week's Review**: Lithium prices opened significantly higher at the beginning of the week due to the expected expiration of the safety production license of a large lithium mine in Jiangxi. However, the high prices lacked policy and fundamental support, and bulls were conservative. Later in the week, a large salt factory announced复产, causing bulls to exit and prices to decline. Overall, lithium prices fluctuated greatly last week, driven by upstream events, and the fundamental logic did not apply [4]. - **Future Outlook**: As market sentiment cools, lithium prices may decline. High lithium prices have led to increased production and复产 by upstream lithium salt factories, and the weekly high - frequency supply is at a recent high. The supply disruption expectation may be gradually disproven. Technically, the sharp decline in lithium prices on Friday further confirms the cooling market sentiment. On the demand side, energy storage performance slightly exceeded expectations in August, while the power terminal weakened as expected. Policy continues to correct the market. Without new disturbances, lithium prices may decline [4][14]. 3. Summary by Directory Market Data - **Price Changes**: From August 15 to August 22, 2025, the prices of imported lithium ore (1.3% - 2.2%), imported lithium concentrate (5.5% - 6%), and domestic lithium concentrate (5.5% - 6%) increased by 5.92%, 10.43%, and 10.43% respectively. The battery - grade lithium carbonate spot price decreased by 9.14%, while the industrial - grade lithium carbonate spot price increased by 4.90%. The prices of other related materials also had minor changes [6]. - **Inventory Changes**: As of August 22, 2025, the total lithium carbonate inventory was 106,055 tons, a decrease of 2,181 tons from the previous period. Factory inventory decreased by 1,590 tons, market inventory decreased by 591 tons, and exchange inventory increased by 1,505 tons [6][13]. Market Analysis and Outlook - **Last Week's Market Analysis** - **Regulatory and Delivery**: As of August 22, 2025, the warehouse receipt scale of the Guangzhou Futures Exchange was 24,990 tons, with a matching transaction price of 73,480 yuan/ton. The open interest of the main contract 2511 was 362,200 lots [8]. - **Supply Side**: As of August 22, the weekly production of lithium carbonate was 20,438 tons, an increase of 345 tons from the previous period. A large salt factory in Jiangxi announced复产, but the actual production in August was expected to be limited. High - frequency production was at a high level, and some smelters entered the market for high - level hedging. Supply intensity depends on price, and market sentiment cooling may not significantly reduce supply [8]. - **Lithium Salt Import**: In July, the import volume of lithium carbonate was about 13,800 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 21.8% and a year - on - year decrease of 42.7%. Imports from Chile and Argentina decreased [9]. - **Lithium Ore Import**: In July, the total import of lithium ore was about 750,700 tons, a month - on - month increase of 30.3%. Imports from Australia increased significantly, while imports from Zimbabwe decreased [10]. - **Demand Side** - **Positive Materials**: As of August 22, the production of lithium iron phosphate and ternary materials increased slightly, and their prices also rose. Energy storage orders in August improved, but the supply - driven force of the fundamentals for positive material prices was limited [11]. - **New Energy Vehicles**: From August 1 - 17, the retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles were 502,000, a year - on - year increase of 9% and a month - on - month increase of 12%. However, the sales growth rate slowed down in the first and middle of August. The new - replacement subsidy policy needs further observation, and demand is expected to be stable but weak [12]. - **This Week's Outlook**: Market sentiment is cooling, and lithium prices may decline. High lithium prices have stimulated production and复产 by upstream factories, and supply has reached a high level. The supply disruption expectation may be disproven. Technically, market sentiment is cooling. On the demand side, energy storage is better, while the power terminal is weak. In the absence of new disturbances, lithium prices may decline [14]. Industry News - **Dazhong Mining**: The application for a mining license for a lithium mine in Hunan is in progress at the Ministry of Natural Resources [15]. - **Yichang Bangpu**: A 450,000 - ton lithium iron phosphate production capacity is about to be put into operation [15]. - **Jiangte Motor**: Yichun Yinli will resume production soon [15]. - **Chuanneng Power**: The Lijiagou lithium mine is in the production - ramping - up stage [15].

Group 1: Copper Market - The expectation of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September has increased, which is likely to support copper prices [1][2] - This week, the price changes for copper were -0.05% for LME copper, -0.47% for SHFE copper, and -0.62% for COMEX copper, indicating a period of fluctuation [2] - Domestic copper inventory has increased, with LME copper at 156,000 tons, COMEX copper at 271,000 short tons, and SHFE copper at 82,000 tons, showing a month-on-month change of +0.11%, +1.60%, and -5.4% respectively [2] - The downstream demand for copper has rebounded, with the copper rod operating rate at 71.8%, up by 1.19 percentage points [2] Group 2: Aluminum Market - The aluminum market is expected to maintain a fluctuating trend due to rising inventory levels [3] - The price of alumina has decreased by 0.15% to 3,225 CNY/ton, while the main futures contract for alumina fell by 0.41% to 3,192 CNY/ton [3] - The operating capacity for metallurgical-grade alumina reached 91.57 million tons per year, with a weekly operating rate down by 0.2 percentage points to 83.0% due to routine maintenance [3] - Domestic electrolytic aluminum prices fell by 0.34% to 20,700 CNY/ton, with a profit margin of 4,405 CNY/ton, up by 1.84% [3] Group 3: Lithium Market - Lithium salt prices are expected to rise due to seasonal demand, with carbonate lithium prices increasing by 1.45% to 84,000 CNY/ton [4][5] - The production of carbonate lithium this week was 19,000 tons, a decrease of 4.2% month-on-month [5] - SMM weekly inventory for carbonate lithium is at 142,000 tons, down by 0.5% [5] Group 4: Cobalt Market - The import volume of cobalt raw materials has continued to decline, which may accelerate the digestion of raw material inventory, leading to potential price increases [5] - Domestic cobalt prices fell by 0.38% to 261,000 CNY/ton [5] - The extension of the cobalt export ban by the Democratic Republic of Congo is expected to accelerate the reduction of cobalt raw material inventory, potentially leading to a tight supply situation in Q4 [5]

Core Viewpoint - The lithium carbonate futures prices experienced a significant decline, dropping over 11% in the last four trading days due to weak fundamentals, negative news, and profit-taking by funds [2][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - As of August 23, the main contract for lithium carbonate futures closed at 78,960 yuan per ton, reflecting a substantial price correction [2]. - The recent price surge was primarily driven by supply disruptions, but the subsequent high prices led to a gradual exit of some long positions [2]. - Market sentiment has turned bearish, with increased concerns over supply recovery following announcements of production resumption by companies like Yichun Silver Lithium [3]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Analysis - The lithium carbonate market remains in a tight balance with both supply and demand increasing; total production for the week ending August 21 was approximately 19,100 tons, a decrease of 842 tons week-on-week [3]. - Social inventory of lithium carbonate decreased by 713 tons to around 141,500 tons, indicating a reduction in stock levels despite high overall inventory levels [3]. - Current supply disruptions from projects like Zangge Lithium's salt lake project and Ningde Times' lithium mica project are critical factors to monitor for future supply dynamics [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that while the market is currently under pressure, the upcoming consumption peak in September and October may support demand growth [5]. - The uncertainty surrounding the resumption of production at various mining sites and the potential for further supply disruptions could lead to price volatility [5]. - The market remains sensitive to new information regarding supply changes, and prices may fluctuate as a result [5].