Core Viewpoint - Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. - Sponsored ADR (VIST) shows potential as a strong investment due to significant upward revisions in earnings estimates, indicating a positive earnings outlook and potential for continued stock price growth [1][2]. Earnings Estimate Revisions - Analysts are increasingly optimistic about Vista Energy's earnings prospects, leading to higher earnings estimates that are expected to positively influence the stock price [2]. - The Zacks Rank system, which correlates earnings estimate revisions with stock price movements, indicates that Vista Energy has received strong agreement among analysts for upward revisions, resulting in improved consensus estimates for both the current quarter and the full year [3]. Current Quarter and Year Estimates - For the current quarter, Vista Energy is projected to earn $1.28 per share, reflecting a remarkable increase of +456.5% compared to the same quarter last year [7]. - The earnings estimate for the full year stands at $5.06 per share, representing a +150.5% change from the previous year [8]. Trend Analysis - The trend for current year estimate revisions is positive, with one estimate moving higher and no negative revisions, leading to a 7.66% increase in the consensus estimate over the past month [9]. Zacks Rank and Performance - The favorable estimate revisions have earned Vista Energy a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating strong potential for outperformance compared to the S&P 500 [10]. - Historically, stocks with a Zacks Rank 1 have generated an average annual return of +25% since 2008, suggesting a strong investment opportunity [3]. Recent Stock Performance - Vista Energy shares have increased by 28.7% over the past four weeks, reflecting investor confidence in the company's earnings growth prospects [11].

Core Viewpoint - The Russian shareholders of the Serbian oil company (NIS), which is under U.S. sanctions, are willing to transfer control of the company to a third party, with the support of the Serbian government [1] Group 1: Sanctions and Control Transfer - The Serbian Minister of Mining and Energy, Hadanovic, announced the willingness of Russian shareholders to transfer control of NIS to a third party [1] - The Russian shareholders have submitted a request to the U.S. Department of the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) to postpone the effective date of sanctions during negotiations with a third party [1] - The Serbian government supports the request for postponement of sanctions [1] Group 2: Background on Sanctions - NIS was placed on the U.S. sanctions list earlier this year due to "secondary risks" associated with two Russian oil and gas companies [1] - The U.S. has postponed the effective date of sanctions on NIS eight times to date [1] - The ownership structure of NIS has changed multiple times during the postponement period [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the basic chemicals and oil and gas sectors [5]. Core Views - The overall price spread in the industry continues to bottom out, with a CCPI-raw material price spread of 2381 at the end of October, the lowest since 2012, influenced by reduced real estate demand [1][9]. - The industry is expected to see a recovery in profitability as supply-side adjustments accelerate, driven by policies against "involution" and a gradual recovery in demand from consumption, infrastructure, and emerging technologies [2][4]. - The capital expenditure growth rate in the chemical industry has been declining since June 2025, indicating a potential turning point in supply-side adjustments and an expected upturn in industry prosperity in 2026 [2][21]. Summary by Sections Demand Side - The domestic PMI for October 2025 is reported at 49.0, indicating a weakening traditional peak season due to reduced real estate demand, with the demand engine shifting towards consumer goods, infrastructure, and emerging technologies [2][13]. - Exports have become an important source of demand growth, with a cumulative export amount of 30,847 billion USD from January to October 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.3% [18]. Supply Side - The fixed asset completion amount in the chemical raw materials and products industry from January to September 2025 has a cumulative year-on-year decline of 5.6%, indicating a negative growth trend in capital expenditure since June 2025 [21]. - The report suggests that the supply-side is nearing a self-adjustment phase, with the potential for improved profitability in bulk chemicals as supply-side adjustments accelerate [2][4]. Price Movements - Prices for certain chemical products have increased due to rising prices of non-ferrous metals and coal, while others have decreased due to seasonal demand weakness and falling oil prices [3][42]. - The report highlights specific products experiencing price increases, such as lithium hexafluorophosphate and sulfur, while products like refrigerant R22 and butadiene have seen price declines [3][42]. Investment Strategy - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong dividend capabilities and cost advantages, such as China Petroleum and various chemical firms, as the industry is expected to recover in 2026 [4][41]. - Specific stocks recommended include Yuntianhua, Senqilin, and Juhua Co., among others, with a focus on those benefiting from supply-side improvements and demand recovery [6][41].

格隆汇11月11日｜2025年，俄罗斯通过北海航线向亚洲的原油运输量未能如预期的那样增加，较2024年 的水平下降了4.2%。据《生意人报》的数据，俄罗斯石油出口商今年通过北海航线运送了183万吨原 油，或约1341万桶。相比之下，去年通过这条航线的原油运输量为191万吨，相当于约1400万桶（这一 数字较前一年增长了30%）。北海航线被视为俄罗斯油田与亚洲买家之间更经济的运输通道，其航程比 经苏伊士运河的航线缩短十天。不过该航道仅限温暖月份使用。本月早些时候有报道称，随着冬季临 近，俄罗斯经由北海航道向亚洲输送液化天然气的量也将下降，该航道将无法通行。 ...

Group 1 - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) experienced a stock price increase of 2.07% on November 10, with a trading volume of 1.44 billion yuan [1] - On the same day, CNOOC had a financing buy-in amount of 111 million yuan and a financing repayment of 108 million yuan, resulting in a net financing buy of 3.16 million yuan [1] - As of November 10, the total margin balance for CNOOC was 1.402 billion yuan, with a financing balance of 1.395 billion yuan, accounting for 1.61% of the circulating market value, which is below the 10% percentile level over the past year [1] Group 2 - CNOOC, established on August 20, 1999, primarily engages in the exploration, production, and sales of crude oil and natural gas, with operations in China, Canada, the USA, the UK, Nigeria, and Brazil [2] - The company's revenue composition includes 82.73% from oil and gas sales, 14.96% from trading, and 2.31% from other sources [2] - For the period from January to September 2025, CNOOC reported a revenue of 312.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 101.97 billion yuan, down 12.59% year-on-year [2] Group 3 - CNOOC has distributed a total of 255.995 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 179.051 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of CNOOC shareholders was 216,500, a decrease of 7.02% from the previous period [3] - The top ten circulating shareholders of CNOOC saw a change, with Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited exiting the list [3]

Core Insights - The five major Western energy giants reported their Q3 earnings, showing an overall increase in profits compared to Q2, but still facing significant pressure [1][3]. ExxonMobil - ExxonMobil reported a Q3 profit of $7.55 billion, a year-on-year decline of 12.3% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.6%, with total revenue of $85.29 billion [5]. - Daily net production reached 4.7 million barrels of oil equivalent, driven by strong output from Guyana and the Permian Basin, with Guyana's daily production exceeding 700,000 barrels [5]. - The company invested $2.4 billion in "growth acquisitions" during the quarter, including multiple block transactions in the Permian Basin [5]. - ExxonMobil plans to add three floating production storage and offloading units in Guyana by 2029, aiming to increase daily production to nearly 1.5 million barrels [5]. - The CEO stated that new low-cost capacity remains competitive for decades, with projects in Guyana and the Permian Basin breakeven at oil prices below $35 per barrel [5]. - Capital expenditures for the year are expected to be in the range of $27 billion to $29 billion, with structural cost savings exceeding $14 billion since 2019, aiming for over $18 billion by the end of 2030 [5]. Chevron - Chevron achieved a Q3 profit of $3.54 billion, a year-on-year decline of 21% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 42.2%, with total revenue of $49.73 billion [7]. - The acquisition of Hess Corporation contributed to increased oil production and cash flow, with daily production reaching 4.1 million barrels of oil equivalent [7]. - The CEO emphasized efforts to transform the company into a stable cash flow "generator" to better withstand oil market volatility [7]. - Chevron is controlling production growth in capital-intensive shale fields and implementing a global workforce reduction of 20% to enhance cash flow [7]. BP - BP reported a Q3 net profit of $2.21 billion, with little year-on-year change and a slight quarter-on-quarter decline [9]. - Operational improvements and increased oil and gas production offset the impact of falling oil prices, leading to solid performance in Q3 [9]. - The CEO highlighted progress in cost reduction, strengthening the balance sheet, and increasing cash flow and returns, while accelerating strategic adjustments [10]. - BP aims to reduce net debt to $14 billion to $18 billion by the end of 2027, with capital expenditures expected to be around $14.5 billion this year [10]. Shell - Shell reported a Q3 net profit of $5.4 billion, a slight year-on-year decline but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 26.8%, with total revenue of $68.153 billion [12]. - Record production was achieved in Brazil's deepwater and the highest output in 20 years from the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, contributing to the second-highest quarterly profit in over a decade [12]. - The CEO noted strong performance across all business segments, particularly in marketing and deepwater assets, supporting a new round of stock buybacks [12]. - Shell plans to return $3.6 billion to shareholders through stock buybacks, marking the 16th consecutive quarter of at least $3 billion in buybacks [12]. - Capital expenditures for the year are expected to be in the range of $20 billion to $22 billion [12]. TotalEnergies - TotalEnergies reported an adjusted net profit of $3.98 billion for Q3, a year-on-year decrease of 2.9% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.6%, with total revenue of $43.84 billion [14]. - The company benefited from increased oil and gas production and improved downstream performance, with exploration and production earnings of $2.2 billion and downstream earnings of $1.1 billion [14]. - The CEO attributed strong financial performance to over 4% year-on-year growth in oil and gas production and improved downstream results [14]. - TotalEnergies plans to convert its American Depositary Receipts into common stock, aiming to reduce the stock's discount relative to U.S. peers [14]. - Investment spending for the year is expected to remain in the range of $17 billion to $17.5 billion [14].

Core Viewpoint - The EU is at a critical juncture regarding its energy policy, debating whether to completely sever its dependence on Russian fossil fuels or to extend the deadline to 2028, with significant implications for energy security and member state dynamics [1][3]. Group 1: Energy Dependency and Member State Dynamics - Hungary remains the leading EU country in importing Russian energy, with oil and gas imports reaching €166 million and €226 million respectively in September 2023 [4]. - The debate over the energy ban is not just about timing but also about balancing the differing interests of member states, with Hungary and Slovakia being the most vocal opponents [3][6]. - The "Druzhba" and "TurkStream" pipelines provide Hungary and Slovakia with cheap Russian gas, making them resistant to the ban despite alternative supply options [6]. Group 2: Challenges in Energy Transition - The EU has made significant progress in reducing Russian seaborne oil imports since 2022, but natural gas still constitutes two-thirds of its fossil fuel imports from Russia [3]. - Norway and the U.S. are gradually filling the gap in EU gas supply, with Norway accounting for one-third of EU gas imports and the U.S. becoming the second-largest supplier [6]. - The global LNG market is highly competitive, with rising demand from Asian countries leading to supply constraints, complicating the EU's transition [8]. Group 3: Regulatory and Policy Implications - The EU's sanctions against Russian LNG began in October 2023, but the execution of these sanctions is complex and requires consensus every six months [10]. - The "Energy Reuse Act" allows member states to suspend bans in "emergency situations," which are vaguely defined, creating potential loopholes in enforcement [10]. - The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts a surge in LNG supply from the U.S. and Canada by 2026, which may shift the market dynamics in favor of buyers [12]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Strategic Considerations - The EU's ability to fully disconnect from Russian energy by 2027 or 2028 is fraught with challenges, including Hungary's firm stance, Turkey's role as a transit hub, and difficulties in diversifying energy sources [12]. - The ongoing geopolitical shifts in the global energy landscape will significantly influence the EU's energy independence strategy and its internal cohesion [12].

Market Overview - On November 10, the Hang Seng Index rose by 1.55%, closing at 26,649.06 points, with a total net inflow of HKD 6.654 billion through the southbound trading channel [1] - The total trading volume for the southbound trading was HKD 103.941 billion, with a net buying amount of HKD 6.654 billion [1] Southbound Trading Details - The Shanghai Stock Exchange's southbound trading had a total transaction amount of HKD 63.035 billion, with a net buying of HKD 1.152 billion [1] - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange's southbound trading recorded a transaction amount of HKD 40.906 billion, with a net buying of HKD 5.502 billion [1] Active Stocks - In the Shanghai Stock Exchange's southbound trading, Alibaba-W had the highest transaction amount of HKD 30.14 billion, followed by SMIC and Tencent Holdings with transaction amounts of HKD 25.38 billion and HKD 23.94 billion, respectively [1] - In terms of net buying, China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) led with a net buying amount of HKD 564 million, with its stock price increasing by 5.95% [1] - Alibaba-W recorded the highest net selling amount of HKD 748 million, while its stock price rose by 2.06% [1] Shenzhen Stock Exchange Active Stocks - In the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's southbound trading, Alibaba-W also topped the transaction amount with HKD 22.88 billion, followed by SMIC and CNOOC with transaction amounts of HKD 17.66 billion and HKD 16.28 billion, respectively [2] - CNOOC had the highest net buying amount of HKD 750 million, with its stock price increasing by 5.95% [2] - SMIC recorded the highest net selling amount of HKD 12.6 million, with its stock price declining by 0.99% [2]

Group 1: Investment Trends - Net purchases included China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) at 1.313 billion, Pop Mart at 518 million, Xiaomi Group at 173 million, and Xpeng Motors at 103 million, while net sales included Alibaba at 653 million, SMIC at 217 million, Hua Hong Semiconductor at 197 million, and Tencent Holdings at 127 million [1][3] - Southbound funds have continuously net purchased Xiaomi for 9 days, totaling 5.36835 billion HKD, and Xpeng Motors for 3 days, totaling 1.68038 billion HKD, while net selling Alibaba for 3 days, totaling 1.32284 billion HKD [3] Group 2: Oil Industry Insights - Starting from November 10, domestic retail prices for gasoline and diesel will increase by 125 and 120 yuan per ton, respectively, with an average increase of 0.10 yuan per liter for 92, 95 gasoline, and 0 diesel [5] - Predictions indicate a significant increase in inventory from 2025 to 2026 due to strong supply growth from non-OPEC countries and moderate demand expectations, alongside ongoing supply disruption risks and inconsistent compliance from OPEC+ [5] Group 3: Company Performance and Forecasts - Huachuang Securities maintains a "strong buy" rating for Pop Mart, raising profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 12.32 billion, 16.93 billion, and 21.09 billion yuan, with a target price of 345.39 HKD, driven by new product launches and strong online growth [6] - Xpeng Motors announced four key applications related to physical AI, with Bank of America adjusting sales forecasts for 2025-2027 upwards by 0.2% each year, reflecting positive sales trends [6] - China Duty Free Group benefits from ongoing domestic demand policies, with CPI rising 0.2% month-on-month and year-on-year, indicating a shift from decline to growth, supported by fiscal measures to stimulate consumption [7]

香港交易及結算所有限公司以及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不 負 責，對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示 概 不 會 就 因 本 公 告 全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 * （於百慕達註冊成立之有限公司） 本公司董事會（「董事會」）欣然宣佈，於二零二五年十一月十日（交易時段結束後）， 中 港 石 油（國 際）集 團 有 限 公 司（「中港石油國際」，本 公 司 一 間 間 接 全 資 附 屬 公 司） 與Aral Petroleum Capital LLP（「營運商」）訂 立 了 有 關 合 作 項 目 的 諒 解 備 忘 錄（「諒 解 備忘錄」）。 根 據 諒 解 備 忘 錄，中 港 石 油 國 際 與 營 運 商 同 意 探 討 有 關 在 位 於 哈 薩 克 斯 坦 共 和 國 的 油 田（「目標油田」）的 油 井 勘 探 及 生 產 的 潛 在 合 作（「合作項目」）機 遇。雙 方 合 作 項 目 包 括 但 不 限 於 為 目 標 油 田 的 勘 探、生 產、管 理 及 營 運 提 供 解 決 方 案 ...