2025年5月17日，长盈通发布收购草案，拟以1.58亿元收购武汉生一升光电科技有限公司（下称"生一升 光电"）100%股权。其中，现金支付 1，738万元，股份支付14，062万元。 生一升光电主要从事无源光器件产品的研发、生产、销售和服务。截至评估基准日2024年12月31日，生 一升光电归属于母公司所有者权益账面值为 2，837.97万元，评估值为15，818万元，评估增值12， 980.03万元，增值率457.37%。 按1.58亿元收购价计算，生一升光电2024年静态市盈率高达57.6倍，远超行业均值。若业绩不达标，交 易对方仅需按差额补偿，但长盈通股东将承受商誉减值冲击。 生一升光电的估值溢价高达457.37%，但标的公司2023年亏损244.84万元，2024年仅实现净利润274.55 万元。 2023-2024年，生一升光电前五大客户销售额占比分别达98.08%和97.63%。尽管公司解释为"下游光模块 厂商集中"，但对比行业龙头中际旭创（前五大客户占比约70%），生一升的客户结构显然失衡。一旦 核心客户订单波动，其业绩将面临断崖式下滑风险。 作为收购方，长盈通自身的财务健康状况同样堪忧。 2 ...

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of share reduction by Taichengguang has led to a significant decline in the CPO sector, with Taichengguang's stock dropping over 10% and other related stocks also experiencing losses [1][4]. Group 1: Share Reduction Announcement - Taichengguang announced that major shareholders plan to reduce their holdings through block trades or centralized bidding from June 10, 2025, to September 9, 2025 [4]. - A total of six major shareholders will collectively reduce their holdings by up to 4.491 million shares, accounting for approximately 1.9772% of the company's total share capital [9]. - The largest shareholder, Huayang Import and Export (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd., plans to reduce up to 3.406 million shares, representing 1.4996% of the total share capital [7]. Group 2: Stock Performance - Following the share reduction announcement, Taichengguang's stock price fell to 70.30, reflecting a decrease of 6.89% and a year-to-date decline of 3.26% [2]. - The stock has experienced a significant correction of over 40% from its historical high of 131.34 per share, reached in January [14][15]. - Despite the recent downturn, the stock price has more than doubled from its low of 26.6 per share in September of the previous year [17]. Group 3: Company Overview - Taichengguang specializes in the optical communication field, producing optical devices and solutions [12]. - The company is recognized as one of the largest manufacturers of high-density optical connection products and maintains long-term supply relationships with major players like Corning [12]. - Taichengguang is actively expanding its overseas production capacity, with a new facility set to be established in Vietnam in 2024 [14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Add" for the industry [3] Core Viewpoints - The rapid development of AI is driving operators to optimize their capital expenditures, with a clear trend towards structural optimization. Despite a decline in overall capital expenditures, investments in computing power are expected to grow or remain stable, indicating the operators' commitment to AI [1][21] - Cloud computing is experiencing a new growth curve catalyzed by AI, significantly enhancing its application potential. The roles of the three major operators in cloud infrastructure are being redefined as they deepen their investments in cloud construction [2][23] Summary by Sections Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on the computing power sector, particularly in optical communication and related companies such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng. It also highlights the importance of operators like China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom in this space [8][14][31] Industry Trends - The report notes a significant slowdown in 5G user growth across the three major operators, with a total of approximately 1.2 billion 5G users. The average revenue per user (ARPU) is also declining, indicating intensified competition among operators [7][26] Operator Capital Expenditure - China Mobile plans to invest CNY 37.3 billion in computing power for 2025, accounting for 25% of its capital expenditures. China Telecom's computing power investment is projected to reach CNY 22 billion, a 22% increase year-on-year. China Unicom expects a 28% increase in computing power investment, exceeding CNY 18 billion [23][24][25] Market Performance - The report highlights that the optical communication index outperformed other segments within the communication sector, with a notable increase in stock prices for key players in the computing power industry [17][20] Key Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies within the computing power supply chain, including optical communication leaders and related technology firms, as they are expected to benefit from the ongoing AI wave [8][31]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, Huamao Technology (603306), with a target price of 46.99 CNY based on a projected 2025 PE of 26X [2][9]. Core Insights - Huamao Technology is positioned as a leading player in the automotive passive safety sector, with a dual growth strategy focusing on passive safety products and expanding into the AI hardware market through acquisitions [6][7]. - The company has a strong market presence in the automotive passive safety industry, with significant growth potential driven by increasing airbag installation rates and regulatory requirements [8][9]. - The acquisition of a 42.16% stake in Shenzhen Fuchuang Youyue, which specializes in optical communication modules and AI-related products, is expected to create a second growth curve for the company [6][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Automotive Passive Safety Leadership - Huamao Technology has developed into a leading enterprise in the automotive passive safety field since its establishment in 2002, with a product line that includes airbag fabric, airbag bags, and seat belts [6][14]. - The company has established long-term partnerships with major automotive manufacturers, ensuring a strong market share in China [6][8]. - The company is expanding its overseas operations, with a new production facility in Vietnam expected to contribute significantly to revenue starting in 2025 [6][19]. 2. AI Business Development - The report highlights the increasing demand for AI infrastructure, with major tech companies ramping up capital expenditures, which benefits Huamao's AI-related business initiatives [8][45]. - The acquisition of Fuchuang Youyue is a strategic move to tap into the high-growth optical communication and AI hardware markets, enhancing the company's competitive edge [6][8][18]. 3. Financial Performance and Projections - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 2,213 million CNY in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 7.7%, and expects to reach 4,186 million CNY by 2027 [2][9]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to grow from 277 million CNY in 2024 to 934 million CNY by 2027, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [2][9]. - The company's financial metrics indicate a healthy operating environment, with a projected PE ratio decreasing from 44 in 2024 to 13 in 2027, suggesting increasing valuation attractiveness [2][9].

Core Insights - The 20th "China Optics Valley" International Optoelectronic Expo opened in Wuhan, featuring 390 renowned companies from 12 countries and regions, showcasing nearly 100 cutting-edge optoelectronic technologies [1] - The event highlights the role of Optics Valley in connecting research, manufacturing, and market applications in central and western China, aiming to enhance international collaboration and influence [1] - A significant number of innovative technologies with independent intellectual property rights were presented, covering the entire industry chain from core chips to module equipment, focusing on strategic fields such as communication and semiconductors [1] Group 1 - The expo included 20 major investment projects signed, covering fields like optical communication, integrated circuits, and artificial intelligence, with a total signing amount of 19.52 billion yuan [4] - The event also featured 10 major technology trade cooperation agreements [4] - The expo is expected to attract 60,000 professional visitors and host over 20 meetings and special events, covering six major application areas [4] Group 2 - The event introduced 13 overseas procurement groups from countries like Russia and Malaysia to meet domestic companies' "going global" needs, aiming to facilitate nearly 10 cross-border cooperation intentions [2] - The focus of foreign guests, such as a professor from Panama, was on semiconductor materials, highlighting the complete chain from basic research to industrial application achieved by Optics Valley [2] - The expo aims to convert exhibition traffic into industrial growth through targeted procurement and collaboration activities [2]

Core Points - The 20th "China Optics Valley" International Optoelectronic Exposition opened at the China Optics Valley Convention and Exhibition Center [1] - A total of 20 major investment projects were signed, with a total amount of 19.52 billion yuan, covering various fields such as optical communication, integrated circuits, compound semiconductors, new displays, and artificial intelligence [1]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Shijia Photon has experienced significant growth following a period of decline, with a notable increase in revenue and net profit driven by the demand for AI computing power in the optical communication industry [1][5][14]. Company Performance - Shijia Photon reported a revenue of 436 million yuan in Q1, representing a year-on-year increase of 120.57%, and a net profit of 93.19 million yuan, up 1003.79% compared to the previous year [5][6]. - The company's stock price has surged over 126% since April 9, 2023, and has increased by 279% from September 24, 2023, indicating a strong recovery after a prolonged decline [14]. Business Segments - The main business segments of Shijia Photon include optical chips and devices, indoor optical cables, and cable materials, with optical chips becoming the core revenue driver [5][7]. - In Q1, the revenue from optical chips and devices was 606 million yuan, accounting for 56.43% of total revenue, while cable materials and indoor optical cables contributed 231 million yuan and 219 million yuan, respectively [7][8]. Market Outlook - The optical communication chip market is projected to grow significantly, with an estimated compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17% from 2025 to 2030, potentially reaching over 11 billion USD by 2030 [17]. - Analysts are optimistic about Shijia Photon’s growth potential, with forecasts indicating substantial increases in net profit over the next few years, reaching 382 million yuan in 2025 and 713 million yuan in 2027 [18][19]. International Expansion - Shijia Photon is expanding its production capacity in Thailand, with ongoing construction of a production base and plans for investment of up to 50 million USD to support the establishment of an industrial park [10][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" investment rating for the communication industry [7][8]. Core Insights - The North American cloud vendors have significantly increased their capital expenditures, with a 64% year-on-year growth in Q1 2025, leading to a boost in the optical module market [7][21]. - The communication industry index underperformed the CSI 300 index in April 2025, with a decline of 5.95% [7][13]. - The report highlights the growth in AI-driven data centers and the expected increase in demand for optical devices, particularly 400G and 800G products [7][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - In April 2025, the communication industry index fell by 5.95%, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index (-1.70%) and the CSI 300 Index (-3.00%) [7][13]. - The telecom business revenue reached 446.9 billion yuan in Q1 2025, showing a year-on-year growth of 0.7% [7][40]. 2. Industry Tracking 2.1 Global Cloud Infrastructure - Global enterprise spending on cloud infrastructure services reached $94 billion in Q1 2025, a 23% increase year-on-year [20]. - Major cloud vendors, including Amazon, Microsoft, and Google, have increased their capital expenditures significantly, with Amazon's Q1 2025 capital expenditure at $24.3 billion, up 74% [21][23]. 2.2 Domestic ICT Market Development - The domestic ICT market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.5%, reaching approximately $751.76 billion by 2028 [30]. 2.3 Industry Economic Data - The TMT industry revenue grew by 10.6% year-on-year in Q1 2025, indicating strong performance in the sector [34]. 2.4 Domestic Telecom Industry Tracking - As of March 2025, 5G mobile phone users accounted for 59.4% of total mobile phone users, with a total of 1.068 billion 5G users [41]. - The average monthly mobile internet usage (DOU) reached 20.56GB per user in March 2025, a 13.7% increase year-on-year [46]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the optical communication sector, telecom operators, and AI mobile phone segments due to their growth potential driven by increased capital expenditures and technological advancements [8].

Core Viewpoint - Cambridge Technology (603083.SH) has successfully commenced bulk shipments of its 800G optical module products, indicating a significant advancement in its product offerings and market position [1] Group 1: Product Development - The company's overseas R&D team completed the first-generation 1.6T module prototype development in 2024 and successfully conducted a live demonstration at the 2024 OFC, garnering widespread attention in the industry [1] - In 2025, the overseas R&D team plans to continue developing multiple 200G/Lane 1.6T optical module products based on 3nm DSP technology, with plans to send samples to customers [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry, indicating expected growth exceeding the benchmark index by over 10% [1]. Core Insights - The North American optical communication companies such as Coherent, Lumentum, AAOI, Fabrinet, and Macom have shown significant revenue growth, particularly in optical modules and related products, suggesting a strong rebound in the second quarter [2][3][4][5][6][7]. - The demand for optical communication is driven by the growth of AI data centers and telecommunications, with companies like Coherent and Lumentum reporting substantial increases in revenue due to these sectors [3][4][5][6]. - The ongoing geopolitical tensions, such as the India-Pakistan conflict, have heightened confidence in defense equipment and military communication capabilities, which are expected to see increased demand [8]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Coherent reported Q3 2025 revenue of $1.5 billion, a 24% year-on-year increase, with 60% of this from the communication market, which grew by 46% [3][16]. - Lumentum's Q3 2025 revenue reached $425.2 million, up 16% year-on-year, driven by hyperscale cloud growth [4][17]. - Fabrinet's Q3 2025 revenue was $872 million, a 19.2% increase, with optical communication revenue at $657 million, up 11.1% [5][18]. - AAOI's Q1 2025 revenue surged to $99.9 million, a 145% increase, largely due to strong CATV market demand [6][19]. - Macom's Q2 2025 revenue was $236 million, a 30% increase, with data center market revenue up 67.3% [7][20]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the optical communication sector, including Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Technology, and Shijia Photon [9][22]. - It also highlights companies in copper connections and military communication sectors as potential investment opportunities [22]. Market Overview - The overall market performance from May 6 to May 9, 2025, showed mixed results, with the Shenwan Communication Index up by 4.96% [22]. - The optical module sector led the gains with a 15.3% increase, followed by controllers and liquid cooling technologies [22][23]. Notable Trends - The report emphasizes the resilience of the optical communication market, driven by the increasing demand for AI-related applications and private cloud deployments [20][21]. - The military communication sector is expected to benefit from advancements in technology and increased defense spending, particularly in the context of recent military conflicts [8][21].