敦煌种业（600354）公告，2025年第一季度营收为5.95亿元，同比增长34.15%；净利润为6387.99万 元，同比增长61.85%。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 11.34 [7][8]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 7.13% year-on-year in 2024, with total revenue of RMB 8.566 billion and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 1.14 billion, down 43.08% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 saw a significant revenue drop of 32% year-on-year, resulting in a net loss of RMB 0.02 billion [1][2][3]. - Despite the current challenges, the company is expected to benefit from a rebound in domestic corn prices due to supply-demand imbalances and its strong research and development capabilities, particularly in transgenic corn [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of RMB 50 billion from corn seeds, down 17% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 34.6%, a decrease of 5.4 percentage points. In contrast, hybrid rice revenue was RMB 20 billion, up 13% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 37.6%, an increase of 1.23 percentage points [2]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of RMB 14.1 billion, a 32% decline year-on-year, and a net profit of -RMB 0.02 billion, indicating a shift to loss compared to the previous year [1][3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been adjusted downwards due to intense competition in corn seed varieties. The expected net profits for 2025 and 2026 are RMB 2.1 billion and RMB 4.3 billion, respectively, down from previous estimates of RMB 9.0 billion and RMB 12.0 billion [4][6]. - The report estimates a target price of RMB 11.34 based on a price-to-book ratio of 3.0 times for 2025, reflecting the company's strong R&D advantages and market position [4][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the agricultural sector, indicating a positive outlook despite short-term disturbances from trade tensions [4][6]. Core Insights - The report highlights that while short-term trade tensions may impact certain agricultural products, the long-term outlook remains manageable through diversification of import sources and enhancing self-sufficiency [6][14]. - The Chinese agricultural sector is expected to benefit from the implementation of the "Plan for Accelerating the Construction of an Agricultural Powerhouse (2024-2035)" which emphasizes food security and agricultural competitiveness [6][14]. Summary by Sections Trade Tensions - Recent data shows that the proportion of agricultural imports from the U.S. has decreased, with 2024 imports from the U.S. accounting for approximately 6.3% of total imports, down from 8.3% in 2017 [6][14]. - The report notes that most agricultural products have low import dependency, while a few, such as soybeans and sorghum, are more reliant on imports, particularly from the U.S. [6][14]. Meat Products - China is a major producer of pork, with a projected production of 57 million tons in 2025, accounting for nearly 50% of global production [18][20]. - The report anticipates a recovery in China's pig production capacity in 2025, with prices expected to fluctuate, initially declining before rising later in the year [39][40]. - Chicken production in China is projected to reach 15.5 million tons in 2025, with low import dependency, particularly from the U.S. [41][46]. Grain Products - China ranks second globally in corn production, with a projected output of 294.92 million tons in 2024/25, while maintaining a low import dependency [75][78]. - The report indicates that corn prices have shown signs of recovery, with domestic prices reaching 2285.29 yuan per ton as of April 2025 [79][80]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the agricultural sector, including Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and New Hope Liuhe, which are expected to benefit from the sector's growth [6][14].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the context of the Sino - US tariff game, China has implemented tariff counter - measures, which highlights the importance of food security. The self - controllability of seed sources has become crucial, and the seed industry may receive strong policy support [1][2]. - The Chinese government has issued a plan to accelerate the construction of an agricultural powerhouse, with clear goals for different time points to ensure food supply and promote rural development [3][33]. - The Guozheng Grain Industry Index has investment value. It is more focused on the seed and grain planting fields after revision, with reasonable valuation and better performance than some major indices [4]. - The Penghua Guozheng Grain ETF and its linked funds are good investment vehicles for tracking the Guozheng Grain Industry Index [5]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Tariff Game Background and New Opportunities for the Grain Industry 3.1.1 China's Tariff Counter - measures in Response to Sino - US Tariff Shocks - On April 2, 2025 (Eastern Time), the US government announced a "reciprocal tariff" policy. China issued a statement on April 5, strongly condemning and opposing it. On April 4, China announced a 34% tariff increase on US - originated goods and took other counter - measures [1][10][11]. 3.1.2 The Significance of Food Security under Tariff Counter - measures - China is a major food importer, and the US is an important source of its agricultural imports. In 2024, China imported 3179 tons of grain from the US, accounting for 20.2% of its total imports, a 1.3 - percentage - point decrease from 2023. The import cost of agricultural products will rise, and domestic seed industry upgrading is expected [2][11][13]. - As of April 11, 2025, there were significant price fluctuations in bulk agricultural products [17]. 3.1.3 Government Support for Accelerating the Construction of an Agricultural Powerhouse - The Chinese government issued the "Plan for Accelerating the Construction of an Agricultural Powerhouse (2024 - 2035)", with clear goals for 2027, 2035, and the middle of this century, and detailed plans for ensuring food security [3][31][33]. 3.2 Investment Value Analysis of the Guozheng Grain Industry Index 3.2.1 Introduction - The Guozheng Grain Industry Index aims to reflect the stock price changes of grain - related listed companies. After revision, it focuses more on the seed and grain planting fields, with semi - annual sample adjustments [36]. 3.2.2 Market Value Distribution and Liquidity - As of April 15, 2025, the index has a diversified market - value distribution. In terms of liquidity, 78.36% of the component stocks' weights are in the top three groups of the past - year average daily trading volume [39][40][42]. 3.2.3 Industry Distribution - As of April 15, 2025, the index is highly concentrated in the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, fishery, and basic chemical industries at the Shenwan primary level, and mainly in the seed, livestock and poultry feed, and grain planting industries at the Shenwan tertiary level [44]. 3.2.4 Top Ten Weighted Stocks - The top ten weighted stocks of the index have a total weight of 52.74%, with a moderate concentration. They are mainly in the core sectors of the grain industry, and have a good profitability level [47]. 3.2.5 Reasonable Valuation - As of April 15, 2025, the index's P/E ratio is 24.17 times and the P/B ratio is 2.02 times, both at relatively low historical levels. The valuation center may rise as the grain industry opportunities approach [49]. 3.2.6 Performance - From November 4, 2009, to April 15, 2025, the total return of the index is 151.08%, with an annualized return of 6.33%. Its performance is better than that of the CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 [51]. 3.3 Fund Products - The Penghua Guozheng Grain Industry ETF, listed on August 18, 2023, is the largest and most liquid ETF product tracking the Guozheng Grain Industry Index. It has three linked funds [5][57].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 28.767 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 13.85%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 346 million yuan, an increase of 115.91% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 8.625 billion yuan, down 8.81% year-on-year but up 22.39% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company's feed business revenue for 2024 was 19.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 20%, primarily due to falling feed prices and slight volume decreases [2] - The total sales volume of feed for the year was 5.41 million tons, down 7.6% year-on-year, with pig feed sales at 4.28 million tons, down 8.2% [2] Group 2: Business Segments - The pig farming segment generated a revenue of 6.28 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 10%, with a gross margin of 19.8%, significantly improved from -27.9% in 2023 [2] - The company plans to sell 6.4 million pigs in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.8%, with 3.59 million from the controlling company and 2.81 million from joint ventures [2] Group 3: Research and Development - The company has obtained 20 biosafety certificates for genetically modified organisms (15 for corn and 5 for soybeans) as of the end of 2024, with 15 new varieties approved this year [3] - The R&D expenditure for 2024 was 675 million yuan, with an R&D expense ratio of 2.3%, an increase of 0.11 percentage points year-on-year [3] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025 has been adjusted down to 730 million yuan, a decrease of 34%, and for 2026 to 500 million yuan, a decrease of 69% [4] - The target price for the company is set at 5.12 yuan, down from the previous 5.56 yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [4]

Core Viewpoint - The rice seed industry is experiencing growth against the trend, with profit performance exceeding expectations; the domestic corn seed industry maintains its leading advantage and demonstrates operational resilience; the overseas corn seed industry may encounter a transformative turning point and is expected to benefit from changes in the international trade landscape, leading to market expansion opportunities [1][3]. Group 1: Rice Seed Industry - The rice seed sector achieved a revenue increase of 13% in 2024, driven by the large-scale promotion of core rice varieties, resulting in a net profit of 340 million yuan, with a growth rate exceeding 50% [1]. - The company reported a total revenue of 8.566 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 7.13%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 114 million yuan, down 43% [1]. Group 2: Corn Seed Industry - The domestic corn seed industry generated revenue of 2.121 billion yuan despite high inventory pressures, showcasing strong operational resilience [1]. - The overseas corn seed business faced challenges due to falling international grain prices and extreme weather, leading to stable sales but a decline in sales revenue to 2.9 billion yuan [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 1.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 32%, and a net profit of -2.09 million yuan, reflecting a significant drop in sales volume due to increased market competition and supply [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The domestic hybrid rice seed industry is entering a destocking phase starting in 2024, indicating a potential upward trend in the rice seed market [2]. - The company’s operational capabilities are expected to improve, potentially leading to high-quality profit growth [2]. - The company maintains a strong investment rating, projecting net profits of 432 million yuan, 605 million yuan, and 859 million yuan for 2025 to 2027, with diluted EPS of 0.33, 0.46, and 0.65 yuan respectively [3].

Group 1: Clean Energy Development - The city of Maerkang aims to accelerate the development of 12 million kilowatts of water, wind, and solar energy resources, with a total clean energy installed capacity expected to exceed 8.5 million kilowatts by 2030 [1] - Current projects include the construction of the Shuangjiangkou, Bala Hydropower Station, and Dazang Photovoltaic projects, with an expected 3.006 million kilowatts of installed capacity to be put into operation this year [1] - Maerkang has significant potential for clean energy development, with 75% of its resources still untapped [1] Group 2: Lithium Resource Development - Maerkang is focusing on the development of clean energy and lithium mineral resources as key strategies for high-quality development [1] - The Daba Lithium Mine in Maerkang is the first lithium oxide resource in Sichuan with over one million tons and the largest proven resource in Asia [1] - The city is advancing local processing and transformation of lithium resources, with the launch of a 200,000 tons/year lithium salt project by Guocheng Lithium Industry [1] Group 3: Agricultural Development - Maerkang is integrating into the national seed industry landscape by establishing the "Summer Breeding Aba, South Breeding Sanya" crop breeding brand [2] - The Tianfu Summer Breeding (Maerkang) Modern Seed Industry Park is set to open in April 2024, marking a significant node in Sichuan's seed industry development plan [2] - The seed industry park has a core area of 700 acres and hosts over 20 research teams from institutions like the Provincial Academy of Agricultural Sciences and Sichuan Agricultural University [2] Group 4: Urban Development and Infrastructure - As the capital of Aba Prefecture, Maerkang is tasked with the mission of becoming a highland city, focusing on urban renewal and infrastructure improvement [2] - The city has demolished a total of 146,900 square meters of old urban areas to address urban congestion and enhance the urban landscape [2] - In 2024, Maerkang will be included in the Beautiful China construction practice case, indicating a gradual increase in urban vitality and reputation [3]

山东港口青岛港前湾集装箱码头。 韩加君摄（人民视觉） 数据来源：国家统计局、国家知识产权局、交通运输部 四川成都市双流区黄水镇，95后新农人对小麦进行植保作 业。 李向雨摄（新华社发） 数据来源：国家统计局、国家知识产权局、交通运输部 4月24日，搭载神舟二十号载人飞船的长征二号F遥二十 运载火箭在酒泉卫星发射中心发射升空。 新华社记者 李 鑫摄 青年兴则国家兴，中国发展要靠广大青年挺膺担当。面对复杂严峻的外部环境，广大青年坚定信心、保 持定力，集中精力办好自己的事，不断增强做中国人的志气、骨气、底气，树立为祖国为人民永久奋 斗、赤诚奉献的坚定理想。本期报道，我们聚焦来自不同行业奋战在各自岗位的青年人，展现他们自信 自强、刚健有为，为中国式现代化挺膺担当的信念与风采。 ——编 者 青年企业家李承： 研算法，成果越研越新 9点，到研发实验室与技术团队探讨实验要点；11点，与生产基地对接业务……江苏苏州聚维元创生物 科技有限公司联合创始人李承的时间表排得满满当当。 杨铭轩是南方电网储能公司检修试验分公司自动化检修部总经理。2021年初，他接到任务，带领团队研 制全国产化抽水蓄能核心控制系统。 "长期以来，这套系统 ...

Investment Rating - The overall industry rating is positive, with expectations for higher returns compared to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [52]. Core Views - The agricultural product prices have shown a divergence recently, with grain prices continuing to rise while livestock prices have stabilized after an initial increase. The importance of domestic food security has been highlighted by tariff countermeasures, and the policy environment for industry development is expected to continue improving, indicating ongoing investment opportunities in the sector [5][18]. - The livestock industry chain is experiencing stagnation in production capacity growth, with the valuation of the sector at a low point, suggesting long-term investment opportunities. The average price of live pigs is currently 14.95 yuan/kg, reflecting a slight decrease from the previous week [5][19]. - The poultry sector is witnessing fluctuations in chicken prices, with the average price for white feather broilers at 3.73 yuan/kg, down 0.02 yuan from last week. The industry is advised to monitor the impacts of avian influenza and tariff countermeasures [21][20]. Summary by Sections Livestock Industry Chain - **Pork**: The production capacity growth has stagnated, and the sector's valuation is at a historical low, indicating potential long-term investment value. The average price of live pigs is 14.95 yuan/kg, down 0.02 yuan from last week [5][19]. - **Poultry**: The average price for white feather broilers is 3.73 yuan/kg, down 0.02 yuan from last week. The industry is advised to monitor the impacts of avian influenza and tariff countermeasures [21][20]. - **Eggs**: The average price for yellow chickens has shown a slight increase, with prices at 10.69 yuan/kg for Lihua yellow chickens, up 0.32 yuan from last month [21]. Planting Industry Chain - **Seed Industry**: The recent announcement of 99 genetically modified corn and soybean varieties pending approval indicates a significant expansion in domestic GM crop varieties, which is expected to enhance agricultural production efficiency [22]. - **Grain Prices**: Recent increases in grain prices, with corn at 2291 yuan/ton and wheat at 2434 yuan/ton, suggest potential investment opportunities in the context of reduced imports and tariff measures against U.S. agricultural products [22][11]. Recommended Companies - The report recommends several companies for investment, including: - Zhongchong Co., Ltd. (Buy) - Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. (Buy) - Suqian Agricultural Development Co., Ltd. (Buy) [3].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Denghai Seed Industry (002041) reported a significant decline in both revenue and net profit for the first quarter of 2025 compared to the same period last year [1] Group 2 - The company's operating revenue for Q1 2025 was 163 million yuan, representing a year-on-year decrease of 30.04% [1] - The net profit for the same period was 24.5977 million yuan, which is a year-on-year decline of 18.37% [1]