Report Summary 1. Report Information - Report Type: Pulp Daily Report [1] - Date: July 23, 2025 [2] 2. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Futures Market**: The previous settlement price of the pulp futures 09 contract was 5,328 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5,368 yuan/ton, a rise of 0.75%. [7] - **Spot Market**: The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp in the Shandong market was 5,220 - 6,700 yuan/ton. The low - end price remained stable compared to the previous trading day. The Shandong Yinxing was quoted at 5,950 yuan/ton. [7] - **International Quotes**: Chile's Arauco announced its July quotes. The Yinxing had no new offers as the previous deals were completed. The net price of Uruguay's hardwood pulp, New Star, was $500/ton. [7] - **Production and Shipment**: In May, the shipment volume of softwood pulp from the world's 20 major pulp - producing countries was 1.69 million tons, up 4.4% month - on - month and down 8.2% year - on - year. [7] - **Inventory and Consumption**: In June, the European wood pulp inventory increased by 2.4% month - on - month and 6.6% year - on - year; consumption decreased by 9.9% month - on - month and 10.6% year - on - year. China's pulp imports in June were 3.03 million tons, up 0.4% month - on - month and 16.1% year - on - year. As of July 17, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports decreased by 1.08% month - on - month, turning from an increase to a decrease. [7] - **Market Trend**: Affected by the off - season atmosphere, the prices of downstream paper products were weak. With limited changes in fundamentals, the pulp market fluctuated and rose slightly in the short term, driven by the commodity market atmosphere. [7] 3. Industry News - On July 22, the annual 150,000 - ton special paper project of Sichuan Hefeng Paper of Taisheng Group was successfully put into operation. The project uses bamboo pulp as the main raw material, focusing on producing 40 - 100 - gram low - gram - weight food packaging paper. After the two paper machines in Sichuan reach full production, they are expected to have a significant impact on the special paper market in the southwest region, with some production capacity sold to the central and eastern coastal areas. [8] 4. Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts, including the total warehouse receipts, domestic main port pulp inventory, European main port wood pulp inventory, and prices and spreads of various paper products [25][27][29]

Report Summary Industry Investment Rating - The trend strength of double-offset paper is 0, indicating a neutral stance on the market [1]. Core View - The offset printing paper market is experiencing a low-level oscillation with limited upward momentum. The cost has increased, leading to a decline in both pre - tax and post - tax gross margins [1]. Summary by Category Fundamental Data - In the Shandong market, the prices of 70g Tianyang, 70g Chenming Yunjing, and 70g Huaxia Taiyang remained unchanged at 4850 yuan/ton, 5150 yuan/ton, and 5150 yuan/ton respectively from July 18th to July 21st, 2025. In the Guangdong market, the prices of 70g Tianyang, 70g Chenming Yunbao, and 70g Huaxia Taiyang also remained stable [1]. - Pre - tax, the含税收入 remained at 5100 yuan/ton, the含税 cost increased from 5014 yuan/ton to 5028 yuan/ton, and the pre - tax gross margin decreased from 86 yuan/ton to 72 yuan/ton. Post - tax, the non - taxable income was stable at 4513 yuan/ton, the non - taxable cost increased from 4610 yuan/ton to 4622 yuan/ton, and the post - tax gross margin decreased from - 96 yuan/ton to - 109 yuan/ton [1]. Industry News - In the Shandong market, the mainstream negotiated price of high - white double - offset paper is 5000 - 5200 yuan/ton, and some natural - white double - offset paper is priced at 4600 - 4900 yuan/ton. The price is stable compared to the previous day. Large - scale paper mills are operating normally, while small and medium - sized mills have flexible production schedules. Dealers' inventory reduction progress is average, and their purchasing attitude is cautious. Publication orders are being delivered, while social orders are in the off - season [2]. - In the Guangdong market, the mainstream negotiated price of high - white double - offset paper is 4900 - 5100 yuan/ton, and the price of natural - white double - offset paper is 4700 yuan/ton, remaining unchanged from the previous day. Social orders are weak, and dealers still face sales pressure. The recent commissioning of new production capacity in the South China region has led to a bearish market sentiment, but paper prices remain stable for now [2].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges and strategies of Nine Dragons Paper, led by Zhang Yin, in navigating the cyclical nature of the paper industry, particularly in response to rising operational costs and fluctuating demand [4][6][10]. Group 1: Cost Pressures - The paper industry is highly cyclical, with prices closely tied to macroeconomic changes, leading to significant pressure on margins due to rising costs of raw materials like wood pulp and waste paper [10][11]. - Since 2021, paper mills have been releasing capacity while downstream demand has not kept pace, forcing companies like Nine Dragons to adjust prices frequently to maintain market share [13][14]. - In July, the average price of waste paper decreased by 0.66% month-on-month, while corrugated paper saw a decline of 1.41%, indicating that the reduction in raw material costs is not sufficient to alleviate profit pressures [15][16]. Group 2: Market Recovery and Strategy - Zhang Yin has been proactive in expanding production capacity and diversifying product offerings, focusing on high-end products to avoid price wars in the low-end market [36][39]. - Nine Dragons reported a significant increase in sales volume, reaching 11.4 million tons, with revenue nearing 33.46 billion RMB, marking a recovery from previous lows [38]. - The company is investing heavily in capacity expansion, with projects in Guangxi and Hubei expected to increase annual production capacity significantly, aiming for a total capacity of 8.19 million tons of fiber raw materials and 25.37 million tons of paper [43][46]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Outlook - For the fiscal year 2023, Nine Dragons experienced a loss of 2.38 billion RMB, the first loss in 17 years, but has since seen improvements in demand and profitability [33][34]. - The total assets of Nine Dragons reached 143.3 billion RMB by the end of 2024, with a significant portion attributed to property and equipment investments [47]. - The company anticipates that government initiatives to boost consumption will support demand in the packaging paper sector, with some analysts suggesting that the industry may be at a cyclical bottom [50][51].

综述 1 国泰君安期货·能源化工 胶版印刷纸周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所·石忆宁 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0022533 日期：2025年7月20日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint CONTENTS 综述 01 行情走势 02 供需数据 03 行情研判 04 行情研判 行业资讯 现货价格 成本利润 季节性特征 供给 需求 库存 进出口 行情研判 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 2 | | 本周胶版印刷纸观点：震荡偏弱 | | --- | --- | | 供应 | 国产方面，本周，国内双胶纸行业产量为166.9万吨，产能利用率为49.7%； 进口方面，5月，国内双胶纸进口量为1.5万吨； | | 需求 | 内需方面，本周国内双胶纸销量为175.5万吨； 出口方面，5月，国内双胶纸出口量为7.44万吨； | | 观点 | 本周趋势由稳转跌；70g木浆本白双胶纸市场均价为4708元/吨，环比下跌1.40%，本周跌幅环比扩大1.07个百分点。影响市场价格走势的主要 因素有：第一， ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent price adjustments made by Nine Dragons Paper, led by Zhang Yin, in response to rising operational costs and the challenges faced in the paper industry, which is characterized by cyclical fluctuations and pressure on profit margins [2][3][8]. Price Adjustments - On July 15, Nine Dragons Paper implemented a price increase of 30 yuan per ton for corrugated paper at its Dongguan and Quanzhou bases [2]. - This marks the third price adjustment in the past half month, indicating a strategy of gradual price increases amid fluctuating market conditions [3][5]. Industry Context - The paper industry is highly cyclical, with prices closely tied to macroeconomic changes. Key raw materials like wood pulp and waste paper are subject to price volatility and supply instability [8][9]. - Since 2021, paper mills have been releasing capacity while downstream demand has not kept pace, leading to a challenging environment where price adjustments are necessary to maintain market share [11]. Financial Performance - Nine Dragons Paper's market capitalization has dropped over 70% from its peak, currently hovering around 16 billion HKD [4]. - In the 2024 fiscal year, the company reported a revenue of 33.46 billion RMB, with a gross profit of 3.19 billion RMB, reflecting an 18% increase in gross profit year-on-year [33]. Strategic Initiatives - Zhang Yin is focusing on expanding production capacity and moving towards high-end products to avoid price wars in the low-end market [30]. - The company is also investing in upstream integration to enhance raw material supply capabilities, which constitute about 60% of total production costs [35]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict a potential market recovery around September, with seasonal demand expected to increase during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival periods [19][20]. - Nine Dragons is expanding its production capacity significantly, with new projects expected to come online in the second quarter of this year, aiming for a total design capacity of 819 million tons of fiber raw materials and 2,537 million tons of paper production [38][39].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Nine Dragons Paper, led by Zhang Yin, is adjusting its pricing strategy in response to rising operational costs and market conditions, with recent price increases for corrugated paper indicating a cautious approach to navigating a challenging market environment [2][3][4]. Group 1: Pricing Strategy - Nine Dragons Paper has implemented a new round of price increases, raising corrugated paper prices by 30 yuan per ton at its Dongguan and Quanzhou bases [2]. - This marks the third price adjustment in the past half month, reflecting ongoing pressures from rising operational costs [2][5]. - The company is currently in a "testing" phase for price increases, as the overall market remains stagnant [3]. Group 2: Market Conditions - The paper industry is characterized by strong cyclicality, with prices closely tied to macroeconomic changes [4]. - Since 2021, paper mills have been releasing capacity while downstream demand has not kept pace, leading to a challenging balance for the company [4][5]. - The average price of waste paper has decreased by 0.66% month-on-month, while corrugated paper prices have dropped by 1.41%, indicating pressure on industry profits [5]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Nine Dragons Paper's average selling price for products is projected to be approximately 2930 yuan per ton for the second half of 2024, down 4% year-on-year and over 20% from 2021 [8]. - The company reported a significant loss of 2.38 billion yuan in the 2023 fiscal year, marking its first loss in 17 years [16]. - Despite challenges, the company has seen some recovery, with a 1.2 times year-on-year increase in net profit to 669 million yuan in the latest reporting period [20]. Group 4: Expansion and Investment - Zhang Yin is focusing on expanding production capacity and enhancing raw material supply capabilities, with plans to increase total design capacity to 819 million tons of fiber raw materials and 2537 million tons of paper production [22][25]. - Significant investments are being made in high-end products and upstream integration, including the acquisition of four integrated pulp and paper factories in the U.S. [22][26]. - The company’s total assets are expected to reach 143.3 billion yuan by the end of 2024, with a substantial portion of the increase attributed to property, plant, and equipment [27]. Group 5: Debt and Future Outlook - As a result of its expansion efforts, Nine Dragons Paper's total liabilities have risen to 143.3 billion yuan, with a debt ratio exceeding 65% [28]. - The company is optimistic about future demand in the packaging paper sector, anticipating that government initiatives to boost consumption will support the industry [28].

Core Viewpoint - The Guangdong Rural Revitalization Foundation has been recognized for its outstanding contributions to ecological construction in Guangdong, promoting a "Green Guangdong" initiative through community engagement and corporate partnerships [2][3][4]. Group 1: Foundation's Achievements - The foundation has collaborated with 385 enterprises and over 37,000 participants in various "Green Guangdong" activities, raising more than 120 million yuan in donations and planting over 1 million trees across 15 cities [5][6][7]. - The foundation has launched a provincial public service platform to enhance public participation in ecological construction, with 8 projects attracting donations totaling approximately 35.4 million yuan and involving 42,000 participants [17][18]. Group 2: Corporate Involvement - The foundation has mobilized corporate resources, raising approximately 69.4 million yuan from companies like Guangdong Energy Group and others to implement "Green Guangdong" support projects, improving the greening levels of over 100 villages [36][38]. - Notable projects include the creation of green landscape belts and eco-friendly recreational areas, which have enhanced local tourism and increased residents' incomes [40][41]. Group 3: Seedling and Resource Management - The foundation is establishing high-standard seedling reserves with a target of raising 20 million yuan by the end of 2023, aiming to cultivate 997,000 quality seedlings of 53 varieties for ecological projects [55][56][58]. - The innovative model of "government-led, public platform, and corporate participation" has been adopted for seedling reserve construction, ensuring a sustainable supply of quality seedlings for long-term greening efforts [61][63]. Group 4: Future Directions - The foundation aims to continue its commitment to public welfare and national strategies, exploring more pathways for social participation in ecological construction, ensuring that the "Green Guangdong" initiative remains a collective effort [69][70].

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in Hong Kong paper stocks is driven by a combination of falling raw material prices, improved demand, and low valuation levels, indicating a potential recovery in the paper industry [3][11]. Group 1: Market Performance - From June 20 to July 14, paper stocks in Hong Kong experienced a significant increase, with an average rise of approximately 15%, outperforming the Hang Seng Index [1][4]. - Notable companies such as Sunshine Paper and Nine Dragons Paper saw monthly gains of 19% and nearly 12%, respectively [1][3]. - The paper sector recorded a cumulative increase of 13.73% during this period, with a trading volume of 2.520 billion shares and a total transaction value exceeding 5.6 billion HKD [4][5]. Group 2: Cost and Pricing Dynamics - The decline in international wood pulp prices, with European softwood pulp prices dropping about 15% since the beginning of the year, has positively impacted paper companies' profit margins [3][10]. - Major companies have raised their factory prices for cultural paper by 300-500 HKD per ton since June, reflecting a strong demand recovery and low inventory levels in downstream sectors [3][10]. - The combination of lower costs and successful price increases is expected to enhance profit expectations for paper companies in the upcoming quarters [10][11]. Group 3: Demand Signals - Seasonal demand for educational materials during the summer is expected to boost printing needs, while packaging paper benefits from recovering orders in consumer electronics and home appliances [11]. - Export performance has been strong, with a 34% year-on-year increase in corrugated paper exports from January to May, particularly to emerging markets in Southeast Asia and the Middle East [11]. Group 4: Valuation and Market Sentiment - The paper sector in Hong Kong is currently undervalued, with dynamic P/E ratios for companies like Nine Dragons Paper and Lee & Man Paper below their five-year averages [11]. - Recent inflows from southbound funds into leading paper companies indicate a shift in market sentiment towards optimism regarding the sector's recovery [11].

据中国贸易救济信息网消息，2025年6月30日，印度商工部发布公告称，应印度造纸协会（The Indian Paper Manufacturer Association）提交的申请，对原产于或进口自印度尼西亚的多层纸板（Virgin Multi- layer Paperboard）发起反倾销调查。本案涉及印度海关编码4805 91 00、4805 92 00、4805 93 00、4810 92 00、4810 99 00项下的主要产品以及4802 20 90、4802 57 90、4804 19 00、4804 39 00、4804 42 00、 4804 52 00、4804 59 00、4805 19 00、4810 13 20、4810 13 30、4810 13 90、4810 14 30、4810 14 90、 4810 19 10、4810 19 90、4810 22 00、4810 29 00、4810 31 00、4810 32 00、4810 39 90、4811 51 10、 4811 51 90、4811 59 10、4811 59 90、4811 90 99、4819 10 10、4 ...

智通财经7月14日电，据商务部官网，2025年6月30日，巴西外贸秘书处在官方日报发布2025年第51号公 告，决定应企业Munksjö Caieiras Ltda申请，对进口自中国的装饰纸（葡萄牙语：papel decorativo）启动 反倾销调查。涉案产品的南共市税号为4805.91.00。本案倾销调查期为2023年7月至2024年6月，损害分 析期为2019年7月至2024年6月。 巴西对华装饰纸发起反倾销调查 ...