1. Report Information - Report Name: Pulp Daily Report - Date: January 20, 2025 - Industry: Pulp [1][2] 2. Core Viewpoint - Short - term pulp prices are restricted by the sector and weak downstream procurement, showing a wide - range oscillating trend with both upward pressure and downward support [8] 3. Summary by Section 3.1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Futures Market**: The previous settlement price of the pulp futures 05 contract was 5,374 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5,362 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.22% [7] - **Spot Market**: The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp in the Shandong wood pulp market was 4,900 - 5,700 yuan/ton, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day's closing price. The price of Shandong Yinxing was quoted at 5,400 - 5,420 yuan/ton [7] - **Foreign Offers**: In January, Chile's Arauco Company's foreign offers for wood pulp showed that softwood pulp Yinxing rose by 10 US dollars/ton to 710 US dollars/ton, natural pulp Jinxing remained flat at 620 US dollars/ton, and hardwood pulp Mingxing rose by 20 US dollars/ton to 590 US dollars/ton [8] - **Production and Sales Data**: In November, the chemical pulp shipments of 20 pulp - producing countries in the world decreased by 6.9% year - on - year, with softwood pulp down 7.6% and hardwood pulp down 7.3%. Shipments to the Chinese market decreased significantly [8] - **Inventory and Consumption Data**: In December 2025, the European wood pulp inventory was 759,600 tons, a month - on - month increase of 7.6% and a year - on - year increase of 2.4%; the European wood pulp consumption was 722,400 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 10.9% and a year - on - year increase of 0.6%. In December 2025, the total pulp imports were 3.113 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 4.1% and a year - on - year decrease of 3.8%. As of January 15, 2026, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports decreased by 0.56% month - on - month [8] - **Demand Side**: In the cultural paper market, some idle production lines in South China plan to resume production. Some publishing orders have been picked up, weakening the rigid demand support for offset paper, and the mainstream quotes remain stable [8] 3.2. Industry News - Inner Mongolia Linle Bio - Energy Co., Ltd. plans to construct a pulp and paper integration industry upgrade project, increasing the production capacity from 100,000 tons/year to 200,000 tons/year. The project is divided into three phases: the first - phase project, starting in 2026 with an investment of 30 million yuan, will introduce a reel pulp board production line; the second - phase project, starting in 2027 with an investment of 50 million yuan, will build supporting power facilities; the third - phase project, starting in 2029 with an investment of 200 million yuan, will build a new production workshop and supporting facilities [9][10] 3.3. Data Overview - The report includes multiple data charts, such as import bleached softwood pulp spot prices in Shandong, pulp futures prices, pulp futures - spot price differences in Shandong Yinxing, softwood - hardwood price differences in Shandong, inter - delivery price differences, warehouse receipt totals, domestic main port pulp inventories, European main port wood pulp inventories, prices and price differences of coated paper and offset paper, prices and price differences of white cardboard and whiteboard paper, and the US dollar - RMB exchange rate [16][27][31]

Core Viewpoint - The paper industry stocks have seen significant gains, with notable increases in companies like Nine Dragons Paper, Lee & Man Paper, and Chenming Paper, driven by recent price adjustments and production strategies in the sector [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Nine Dragons Paper (02689) increased by 9.62%, trading at HKD 6.84 [1] - Lee & Man Paper (02314) rose by 5.88%, trading at HKD 3.06 [1] - Chenming Paper (010812) saw a 1.28% increase, trading at HKD 0.79 [1] Group 2: Price Adjustments - Nine Dragons Paper announced a price increase of RMB 50 per ton for all kraft and corrugated paper at its Quanzhou base starting January 5, 2026 [1] - The Dongguan base of Nine Dragons Paper will raise the price of recycled kraft paper by RMB/HKD 50 per ton (USD 7 per ton) starting January 4, 2026 [1] Group 3: Industry Trends - Several large paper companies have indicated plans to proactively reduce production or slow down expansion, alleviating pressure from new capacity in the industry [1] - According to CICC's report, the paper industry is characterized by a "highly concentrated resource end and a dispersed processing end," with pulp being a scarce resource that holds strong pricing power [1] - Chinese paper companies have entered a mature phase of stock competition, where growth driven solely by capital expenditure is no longer sustainable, shifting the strategic focus to utilizing proprietary fibers to hedge against price volatility in pulp [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Nine Dragons Paper (02689) has seen a significant stock increase of over 6%, currently trading at 6 HKD with a transaction volume of 29.45 million HKD [1] - Major packaging paper companies, including Nine Dragons, Shanying, Lee & Man, and Rongcheng, are undertaking large-scale maintenance shutdowns to actively reduce production capacity [1] - A collective price increase announcement has been made by manufacturers of white card paper and cultural paper, indicating a notable divergence in cost structures, supply-demand relationships, and market expectations across different paper types [1] Group 2 - According to CICC, the proactive destocking in the paper industry, which began in March 2022, has lasted for 19 months, nearing the historical longest cycle, with a potential turning point expected in Q4 2025 [1] - The consumption demand is anticipated to continue its moderate recovery into 2026, with varying supply changes across different paper types [1] - The supply-demand for pulp paper types remains loose, with pulp prices becoming a key driver for industry destocking, while integrated pulp and paper leaders are expected to continue achieving excess profits [1]

Report Information - Report Type: Pulp Daily Report [1] - Date: December 16, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [3] - Researchers: Liu Youran, Li Jie, Ren Junchi, Peng Haozhou, Peng Jinglin, Feng Zeren [4] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoint - The pulp market shows a situation of strong pulp and weak paper. Recently, the excessive increase in raw material prices has increased the processing pressure on downstream paper mills, and the cultural paper market price is still under pressure. In the short term, funds are gambling on the pricing of old and new warehouse receipts, and it is recommended to wait and see [8] Section Summaries 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - The previous settlement price of the pulp futures 05 contract was 5,548 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5,572 yuan/ton, a overall increase of 0.43%. The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp in the Shandong wood pulp market was 4,850 - 6,300 yuan/ton, a price increase of 100 yuan/ton compared to the previous trading day's closing price. Among them, the quotation of Shandong Arauco Silver Star was 5,550 - 5,580 yuan/ton [7] - Arauco's December pulp export quotation: the price of softwood pulp Silver Star increased by 20 US dollars/ton to 700 US dollars/ton; the price of unbleached pulp Venus remained flat at 620 US dollars/ton; the price of hardwood pulp Star increased by 20 US dollars/ton to 570 US dollars/ton. According to PPPC, in October, the chemical pulp shipments of the world's top 20 pulp-producing countries decreased by 3.5% year-on-year, with softwood pulp down 7.1% and hardwood pulp down 1.9%. Shipments to the Chinese market decreased significantly year-on-year. According to Europulp data, in October 2025, the total inventory of wood pulp in European ports decreased by 10.2% month-on-month and 6.5% year-on-year. In November 2025, the total pulp imports were 3.246 million tons, a month-on-month increase of 24% and a year-on-year increase of 15.9%. As of December 11, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports was 1.9817 million tons, a decrease of 3.00% from the previous week [8] 2. Industry News - On December 11th, Suzano's board of directors approved a capital increase plan of 5 billion Brazilian reals, which was achieved by capitalizing the remaining capital increase reserve and part of the investment reserve without issuing new shares. After this capital increase, the company's share capital increased to 24.27 billion Brazilian reals, with a total of more than 1.26 billion shares. At the same time, the pulp producer released its latest cost estimate for its pulp business in 2027, which considered the expected currency adjustment next year, the change in the inflation rate in 2025, and the adjustment related to the previous scenario [9] - On December 11th, according to the previous project announcement of Nine Dragons Paper, in order to further improve the product raw material structure, it plans to carry out technological transformation on the existing project at the Beihai base, and build a 800,000-ton unbleached chemical pulp production line, a 500,000-ton kraft linerboard production line, and supporting alkali recovery systems (including lime kilns), environmental protection supporting projects, etc. After the expansion and renovation, the newly added unbleached chemical pulp will replace part of the waste paper raw materials of the existing papermaking lines, produce higher-quality papermaking products that better meet market demand, achieve the balance of pulp and paper in the whole plant, and lay a foundation for expanding high-end paper types [9] 3. Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts, including the spot price of imported bleached softwood pulp in Shandong, pulp futures prices, pulp spot-futures price differences, softwood-hardwood price differences, inter-period price differences, warehouse receipt totals, domestic main port pulp inventories, European main port wood pulp inventories, copperplate paper and offset paper prices and price differences, white cardboard and whiteboard paper prices and price differences, and the US dollar to RMB exchange rate. The data sources are mainly Wind and Zhuochuang Information [7][15][24]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a strong upward movement during the day but retreated in the afternoon, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up 0.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index fell by 0.25% and 0.44% respectively [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.72 trillion yuan, a decrease of 740 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Over 2,700 stocks rose across the market, indicating a rapid rotation of market hotspots [1] Sector Performance - The lithium battery electrolyte concept saw a rebound, with stocks like Shida Shenghua hitting the daily limit [1][6] - The computing power chip sector was active, with Saiwei Electronics rising over 15% [1] - The consumer electronics sector remained strong throughout the day, with Yunzuka Technology hitting the daily limit [1] - The paper sector showed significant gains, with an overall increase of over 2%, driven by price hikes in various paper products [4] - Other sectors such as forestry, daily chemicals, chemical products, and chemical fibers also performed well [5] Specific Company Developments - Xi'an Catering's stock surged, reaching the daily limit after the announcement of 16 measures by the Shaanxi provincial government to deepen capital market reforms [2] - The company focuses on a dual-driven strategy of "catering main business + food industry," emphasizing regional specialty cuisine and food production [3] - Major paper companies have announced price increases for various paper types, benefiting from improved demand and supply-side adjustments [4][6] - Leading electrolyte companies are experiencing a surge in orders, with some contracts extending to 2028, indicating strong future demand [7]

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market showed a significant upward trend, with major indices rising for the fourth consecutive trading day, indicating a recovery in market sentiment[9] - The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) dropped approximately 35% over four days, marking its largest decline since mid-April[9] - The Hang Seng Index closed at 25,928, up 0.13% for the day and 29.25% year-to-date[3] Sector Performance - Large tech stocks exhibited mixed results, with Meituan surging 5.65% while Kuaishou fell nearly 3%[9] - Paper stocks led gains, with Nine Dragons Paper up 5% and Lee & Man Paper up 4.88%, driven by price hikes in packaging and cultural paper products[9] - Airline stocks performed strongly, with China Eastern Airlines rising nearly 7%[9] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve's Beige Book indicated a further decline in U.S. consumer spending, reflecting a stagnant economic activity[13] - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. fell to 216,000, the lowest level since mid-April, suggesting a tightening labor market[13] - Morgan Stanley economists adjusted their rate predictions, now expecting a rate cut from the Fed in December rather than January[13] International Markets - The Nikkei 225 index in Japan rose by 1.9%, driven by strong tech sector performance and expectations of a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan[13] - The Singapore Straits Times Index showed a year-to-date performance of 0.00%, indicating a stagnant market[3]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a rise and subsequent decline, with the Shenzhen Component Index losing the 13,000-point mark and the ChiNext Index halting at 3,100 points, while the Shanghai Composite Index and Shanghai 50 showed slight gains [1] - The overall trading volume reached 1.72 trillion yuan, with more stocks rising than falling [1] Index Performance - Shenzhen Component Index: 12,875.19, down 0.25% [2] - Shanghai Composite Index: 3,875.26, up 0.29% [2] - ChiNext Index: 3,031.29, down 0.44% [2] - Shanghai 50: 2,972.26, up 0.02% [2] - Other indices like the CSI 300 and STAR 50 also showed slight declines [2] Sector Performance - The organic silicon, paper, solid-state battery, and consumer electronics sectors saw significant gains, while sectors such as Hainan Free Trade, film and television, cultivated diamonds, and medical services faced declines [2] - The paper industry initiated its third round of price increases, with prices for corrugated paper and kraft paper rising by approximately 50 yuan per ton, and cultural paper prices increasing by 200 yuan per ton [6] Fund Flow Analysis - The electronics sector attracted over 10.7 billion yuan in net inflows, while the communications sector saw over 4.8 billion yuan in net inflows [3] - The computer sector experienced a net outflow of over 2.2 billion yuan, with other sectors like media and transportation also seeing significant outflows [3] Future Outlook - The market is expected to continue a "technology + consumption" rotation in the coming weeks, driven by events such as Alibaba's AI computing power expansion and government consumption promotion plans [3] - Analysts suggest that the overall market is in a recovery phase, with signs of fundamental improvement from Q3 earnings reports, indicating potential for further upward movement [3] Solid-State Battery Sector - The solid-state battery sector showed strong performance, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit of 20% increase [4][7] - The global solid-state battery market is projected to reach 1.2 trillion yuan by 2030, with significant growth expected in China's market as well [8]

Group 1: A-Share Market Performance - A-share market experienced a strong upward movement during the day but saw a pullback in major indices in the afternoon, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.29% while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext indices fell by 0.25% and 0.44% respectively [4] - The paper industry sector led the gains, with an overall increase of over 2%, and individual stocks such as Annie Co., Qifeng New Materials, Bohui Paper, and Hengfeng Paper seeing gains exceeding 5% [4][3] - Recent announcements from several major pulp and paper companies regarding price increases for various paper products have contributed to the positive sentiment in the sector [4] Group 2: Hong Kong Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong market showed narrow fluctuations, with the Hang Seng Index oscillating around the 26,000-point mark [9] - Notable gains were observed in trendy toy stocks, including Pop Mart and Blok, which surged by nearly 7% following favorable policy announcements aimed at enhancing consumer goods supply [10][11] - However, the market also witnessed significant volatility, exemplified by the sharp decline of China Shangcheng, which saw its stock price plummet by over 70% at one point, closing down more than 50% [12][8] Group 3: Commodity Market Trends - The futures market saw a significant rise in tin futures, with the main contract breaking through the 300,000 yuan per ton mark, achieving a gain of over 2% [15][14] - Other futures, such as silver and egg futures, also experienced substantial price increases, while commodities like lithium carbonate, asphalt, and polysilicon saw varying degrees of adjustment [16]

Group 1: A-share Market Performance - A-share market showed strong upward movement during the day but retreated in the afternoon, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up 0.29% while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 0.25% and 0.44% respectively [3] - The paper industry sector led the gains, with the sector rising over 2%, and individual stocks like Annie Co. (002235) hitting the daily limit, while others like Qifeng New Material (002521), Bohui Paper (600966), and Hengfeng Paper (600356) saw increases exceeding 5% [3] Group 2: Paper Industry Insights - Several well-known domestic pulp and paper companies have recently announced price increases for various paper products, including kraft paper and corrugated paper [3] - Daitong Securities noted that the paper industry is benefiting from a "price increase bonus, demand improvement, and structural upgrade," with continued demand for packaging paper and special paper benefiting from environmental policies and consumption upgrades [3] - The valuation of the paper sector is at historical lows, and the ongoing industry transformation presents long-term growth potential, enhancing its investment appeal [3] Group 3: Hong Kong Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong market experienced narrow fluctuations, with the Hang Seng Index oscillating around the 26,000-point mark [2][7] - Notable gains were seen in trendy toy stocks, including Pop Mart and Blok, which rose nearly 7% and over 7% respectively, driven by favorable policy announcements aimed at enhancing consumer goods supply and promoting interest-based consumption [8][9] - However, there was a significant stock price crash for China Shangcheng, which saw a drop of over 70% at one point, closing down more than 50% [2][10] Group 4: Futures Market Activity - In the futures market, Shanghai tin futures surged, with the main contract breaking through the 300,000 yuan per ton mark, achieving a rise of over 2% [12] - Other futures contracts, such as silver and egg futures, also saw significant price increases, while contracts for lithium carbonate, asphalt, and polysilicon experienced varying degrees of adjustment [12]

Group 1: A-share Market Insights - A-share market experienced a strong upward movement during the day but saw a pullback in major indices in the afternoon, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.29%, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext indices fell by 0.25% and 0.44% respectively [5] - The paper industry sector led the gains, with the sector increasing by over 2%. Notable stocks such as Annie Co., Qifeng New Materials, Bohui Paper, and Hengfeng Paper saw gains exceeding 5% [5] - Recent price hikes announced by several major pulp and paper companies for products like kraft paper and corrugated paper have contributed to the positive sentiment in the paper sector. Daitong Securities noted a "triple benefit" for the paper industry, including price increases, demand improvement, and structural upgrades [5] Group 2: Hong Kong Market Developments - The Hong Kong market showed narrow fluctuations, with the Hang Seng Index oscillating around the 26,000-point mark. Notable gains were seen in trendy toy stocks like Pop Mart and Blokus, which surged by nearly 7% [10][12] - A significant event was the stock price crash of China Shangcheng, which saw a drop of over 70% at one point during the day, closing down more than 50% [3][14] - The recent implementation of a government plan aimed at enhancing consumer goods supply and demand compatibility has positively impacted the market, particularly benefiting interest-based consumer products [11]