Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is leading the market with significant capital inflow, indicating strong investor confidence in future performance [1][4] Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector saw a net inflow of 11.4 billion yuan, the highest across all industries [1] - The Huabao non-ferrous ETF (159876) reached a peak increase of 3.98%, currently up 3.14%, marking a new high since its listing [1] - Major stocks such as Yongxing Materials and Jiangxi Copper hit the daily limit, while Guocheng Mining rose over 9% [3] Group 2: Price Trends - On December 26, gold, silver, and copper prices reached new highs, with COMEX gold at $4,561.6 per ounce, silver at $75.495 per ounce, and copper at $5.7565 per pound [3] - Year-to-date performance shows COMEX gold up 71.84%, silver up 156.74%, and copper up over 42% [4] Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts predict a strong performance for the metal sector in 2025 due to favorable macroeconomic policies and structural supply-demand changes [4] - The upcoming changes in the U.S. Federal Reserve leadership and increased capital expenditure in AI technology are expected to influence the market positively [4] Group 4: Investment Strategy - A diversified investment approach through the Huabao non-ferrous ETF and its linked funds is recommended to capture the overall sector's performance while mitigating risks [6]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is leading the market, with the largest non-ferrous ETF, Huabao (159876), reaching a new high since its listing, reflecting strong investor confidence in the sector's future performance [1][10]. Fund Performance - As of the report, Huabao ETF (159876) has seen a net subscription of 3 million units, with a total inflow of 56.11 million yuan over the past two days, indicating positive market sentiment towards the non-ferrous metal sector [1][10]. Stock Performance - Key stocks in the sector include Guocheng Mining and Yongxing Materials, both rising over 6%, while Baotai Co. increased by more than 5%. Other notable stocks include Lichong Group, Baiyin Nonferrous, and Hunan Baiyin, which also saw gains [3][12]. - Major weighted stocks such as Luoyang Molybdenum and Zijin Mining rose over 2% and 3%, respectively, while Shandong Gold increased by over 1% [3][12]. Market Outlook - Looking ahead to 2026, Huabao Fund identifies three main themes that may drive non-ferrous metal prices higher: 1. "Green Inflation" related to basic metals like copper and aluminum, driven by the growth of new economies such as AI and renewable energy, which are expected to outpace traditional sectors [5][14]. 2. "Anti-Overcapacity" policies affecting lithium and other new energy metals, which may lead to a balance in supply and demand, with lithium prices projected to rise from a base of 90,000-100,000 to 120,000 [15]. 3. "Interest Rate Cuts" impacting precious metals like gold, with expectations of accelerated rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, enhancing gold's appeal as a monetary asset [6][15]. Industry Sentiment - Analysts generally believe that the non-ferrous metal sector is likely to continue its bullish trend, with firms like Zhongtai Securities and CITIC Securities expressing optimism about the ongoing commodity investment enthusiasm [6][16]. Investment Strategy - For investors looking to capitalize on the non-ferrous metal sector, a diversified approach through the Huabao ETF (159876) and its associated funds is recommended, as it covers a broad range of metals, reducing risk compared to investing in single metal sectors [8][17].

东莞证券认为，周四，A股三大指数小幅上涨。从技术分析角度看，沪指站稳五日均线，技术面短期多 头占优，五日均线与年线突破形成双支撑，后续若突破压力位则可挑战4000点位。当日离岸人民币兑美 元汇率升破7.0重要关口，这是自2024年9月以来的首次突破。人民币适度升值对中国股市总体形成积极 利好。这一走势有助于提升人民币资产的整体吸引力，进一步提振市场投资需求。对于关注汇兑收益的 境外机构投资者而言，他们既能赚取资产增值收益，又能获得汇率升值带来的红利，从而实现双重收 益。这种效应有望推动中国股市获得持续增量资金流入，增强市场活力与稳定性，为资本市场长期发展 提供支持。 中原证券认为，周四，上证指数早盘低开高走，午后震荡上扬；深证成指、创业板指早盘探底回升，午 后震荡上扬，尾盘有所回落。盘中航天航空、机器人、通用设备以及风电设备等行业表现较好；贵金 属、能源金属、商业百货以及汽车整车等行业表现较弱。年末在资金面扰动、政策预期消化与海外流动 性反复等因素交织下，预计上证指数围绕4000点附近蓄势整固的可能性较大，建议密切关注宏观经济数 据、海外流动性变化以及政策动向。 财信证券认为，周四，海外市场迎来"圣诞假期"， ...

Market Overview - On December 26, A-shares showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.05% at 3957.83 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.06% to 13539.05 points. The ChiNext Index fell 0.21% to 3232.41 points, and the STAR Market 50 Index decreased by 0.22% to 1346.11 points [1] Company News - Xiangrikui plans to acquire Zhangzhou Xipu Material Technology Co., Ltd., but both its Zhangzhou and Lanzhou factories are not operational, contradicting its claims of being a core supplier to many wafer fabs [2] - Shui Jing Fang clarified that reports of a potential acquisition by another liquor company are untrue [2] - Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing has not yet participated in commercial aerospace projects and is monitoring industry developments for future opportunities [2] - Shanghai Port Construction's main business remains unchanged, with commercial aerospace and perovskite solar business contributing less than 1% to revenue, and not yet profitable [2] Strategic Partnerships - Haike New Source signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Hunan Faenlight New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. for the purchase of 270,000 tons of electrolyte solvents and additives from 2026 to 2028 [3] - Aixin Packaging's major shareholder reduced its stake by 153,050 shares, consistent with its previously disclosed plan [3] - Yichang Technology's major shareholder signed a share transfer agreement, potentially making a new entity the controlling shareholder [3] - Zhongwei Co. signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with Xinwanda Power Technology Co., Ltd. to collaborate on precursor product technology development and global capacity layout [3] Industry Trends - The Shanghai government is accelerating the development of the aerospace industry, providing funding support for key projects [6] - The People's Bank of China is exploring digital financial cooperation to support the construction of the Western Land-Sea New Corridor [6] - Haike New Source and CATL are involved in significant long-term contracts for electrolyte supply, indicating strong demand in the lithium battery sector [6] - The humanoid robot rental market is emerging, with rental prices significantly decreasing [7] - Major paper companies are planning shutdowns in early 2026, leading to price increases in certain paper products [8] - China's first land-based commercial modular small reactor successfully completed a non-nuclear steam test [9] - A team from the National University of Defense Technology achieved a record speed in magnetic levitation experiments [10] Institutional Insights - Huatai Securities is optimistic about mining service and equipment companies transitioning to mining development, driven by high metal prices and the need for external support [11][12] - Guojin Securities suggests that the medical device sector will focus on overseas expansion and innovation in 2026, highlighting companies with strong product development capabilities [13] - CICC predicts that the photovoltaic sector will see a marginal improvement in supply-demand dynamics in 2026, with leading companies likely to turn profitable [14]

盘面消息 A股三大指数今日集体小幅上扬，沪指日线七连阳。截止收盘，沪指涨0.47%，收报3959.62 点；深证成指涨0.33%，收报13531.41点；创业板指涨0.30%，收报3239.34点。 沪深两 市成交额达到19245亿，较昨日放量443亿。 水皮杂谈 一家之言 兼听则明 偏听则暗 六亲不认 老水看盘 上证指数七连阳， 步态走得有点 "六亲不认" ，但上涨过程中 "患得患失" ，始终伴随试探 与突破。尤其 今天 面对 3950 点关键压力位，这一特征更为明显。 午后开盘，在宁德时代与 中际旭创 回升的带动下，深成指与创业板指逐步翻红，随后借助东 方财富的拉升，于 14 ： 06 触及 今天 高点，彼时深成指最大涨幅达 0.56% ，最终收盘回 落至 0.33% 的涨幅。 从个股表现来看， 今天上涨个股 较为理想。全天上涨个股 3647 家，下跌个股 1386 家， 涨幅中位数为 0.50% ，较午盘收盘时明显改善 —— 上涨个股增加 500 家，中位数提升约 0.3 个百分点。成交量是 今天 市场最大亮点，全天成交额达 1.92 万亿元，较昨 天 增加 500 亿元。值得注意的是，这一成交量是在北 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metals sector is experiencing a structural bull market driven by global monetary easing, geopolitical risks, and tight supply-demand dynamics, with significant price increases in various metals such as gold, silver, copper, palladium, and platinum [2][3][4]. Supply Constraints and Demand Drivers - The recent strength in the non-ferrous metals sector is attributed to global monetary easing expectations, geopolitical tensions, and tight supply-demand conditions [2]. - On the demand side, emerging industries are expected to drive incremental demand for non-ferrous metals, with copper consumption in China projected to reach 15.4 million tons by 2025, particularly from sectors like new energy vehicles, photovoltaics, wind power, and artificial intelligence, estimated to consume 3.8 to 4 million tons [3]. - On the supply side, global copper production has faced continuous disruptions, and the supply tightness is expected to deepen by 2026. Domestic aluminum production capacity is limited, and export quotas on rare metals like antimony and rare earths have further constrained supply [4]. Market Performance and Company Insights - In the A-share market, several non-ferrous metal companies have seen significant stock price increases, with companies like Tianli Composite and Western Materials rising over 150% in the past month. Year-to-date, companies such as Tianli Composite, China Tungsten High-tech, and Zijin Mining have doubled in value [2]. - The non-ferrous metals industry reported a total revenue of 2.82 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.3%, with net profits rising by 41.55% to 151.29 billion yuan [12]. - Companies like Chuangjiang New Material and Shenghe Resources have shown exceptional performance, with net profit growth exceeding 40% year-on-year, indicating strong operational results in the sector [12][13]. Institutional Holdings - As of the end of Q3 2025, 116 non-ferrous metal companies were held by public funds, with 48 having a holding ratio exceeding 3%. Additionally, 82 companies were held by foreign capital, with 26 exceeding the same threshold. Notably, 16 companies had both foreign and public fund holdings above 3%, with significant stock price increases [9][10].

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 航天机器人领涨 A 股震荡上行 ——市场分析 相关报告 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 《市场分析：成长行业领涨 A 股震荡上行》 2025-12-24 《市场分析：电池贵金属领涨 A 股小幅上行》 2025-12-23 《市场分析：成长行业领涨 A 股震荡上行》 2025-12-22 联系人： 李智 电话： 0371-65585629 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期：2025 年 12 月 25 日 投资要点： ◼ A 股市场综述 周四（12 月 25 日）A 股市场低开高走、小幅震荡上行，早盘股指低 后震荡上行，盘中沪指在 3955 点附近遭遇阻力，随后股指维持震 荡，尾盘再度上扬，盘中航天航空、机器人、通用设备以及风电设 备等行业表现较好；贵金属、能源金属、商业百货以及汽车整车等 行业表现较弱，沪指全天基本呈现小幅震荡上行的运行特征。创业 板市场周四震荡上扬，创业板成分指数全天表现弱于主板市场。 ◼ 后市研判 ...

Market Overview - The energy metals sector experienced a decline of 1.41% on December 25, with Shengxin Lithium Energy leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3959.62, up 0.47%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13531.41, up 0.33% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Notable performers in the energy metals sector included: - Boqian New Materials (Code: 605376) closed at 65.00, up 0.78% with a trading volume of 42,300 shares and a transaction value of 272 million yuan [1] - Cangge Mining (Code: 000408) closed at 79.61, up 0.23% with a trading volume of 123,000 shares and a transaction value of 970 million yuan [1] - Ganfeng Lithium (Code: 002460) closed at 66.13, down 0.99% with a trading volume of 583,300 shares and a transaction value of 3.807 billion yuan [1] - Shengxin Lithium Energy (Code: 002240) closed at 34.30, down 3.84% with a trading volume of 672,500 shares and a transaction value of 2.302 billion yuan [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The energy metals sector saw a net outflow of 1.604 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 1.141 billion yuan [2] - The capital flow for individual stocks showed significant movements: - Yongxing Materials (Code: 002756) had a net inflow from retail investors of 1.288 million yuan, while institutional investors saw a net outflow of 12.606 million yuan [3] - Cangge Mining (Code: 000408) experienced a net outflow of 75.874 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail investors contributing a net inflow of 97.045 million yuan [3] - Ganfeng Lithium (Code: 002460) had a net outflow of 159 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 169 million yuan [3]

截至收盘，上证指数涨0.47%报3959.62点，深证成指涨0.33%报13531.41点，创业板指涨0.3%报3239.34 点，北证50涨0.86%报1457.96点。全市场成交额19218亿元，较上日成交额放量246亿元。板块题材上， 造纸、商业航天板块活跃，贵金属、能源金属调整。盘面上，造纸板块走强，恒达新材20CM涨停封 板，博汇纸业、宜宾纸业、五洲特纸涨停封板。商业航天全线爆发，广联航空20CM涨停封板，神剑股 份、上海港湾、中天火箭、江顺科技等数十只个股涨停封板。贵金属板块走弱，招金黄金、湖南白银跌 超3%。能源金属板块调整，天齐锂业、盛新锂能、融捷股份跌近3%。 ...

沪指涨0.29%，深成指跌0.11%，创业板指跌0.37%。保险股再度走强，造纸、包装行业同步拉升，商业 航天概念股反复活跃，稳定币、机器人题材表现强势。能源金属产业链回调，锂矿方向领跌；半导体板 块走弱。（AI生成） ...