Group 1 - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, China's actual foreign investment utilization reached $708.73 billion by the end of June, with a target of 34.6% of high-tech industry investment by 2024 [3] - China's foreign trade demonstrated strong resilience, with merchandise trade exceeding $5 trillion and $6 trillion, while service trade surpassed $1 trillion for the first time [5] - The modern commercial circulation system has shown positive results, with the wholesale and retail industry's added value projected to reach 13.8 trillion yuan in 2024, second only to manufacturing [9] Group 2 - China and the United States remain important economic partners, with projected goods trade of $688.3 billion and service trade of $155.8 billion in 2024 [11] - Trade with countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative has grown at an average annual rate of 4.7%, with completed contract revenue nearing $600 billion [13] - The Free Trade Pilot Zones have become a testing ground for institutional openness, with foreign trade and foreign investment accounting for 19.6% and 24% of the national totals, respectively, by 2024 [17]

Group 1: Consumption Market Growth - The retail sales of consumer goods are expected to grow at an average annual rate of 5.5% from 2020 to 2024, increasing from 39.1 trillion yuan in 2020 to 48.3 trillion yuan in 2024, with a forecast to exceed 50 trillion yuan this year [2] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles is over 50% in the first half of this year, with the number of new energy vehicles expected to increase by 5.4 times by 2024 compared to 2020 [2] - Service consumption expenditure is projected to grow at an average annual rate of 9.6% from 2020 to 2024, outpacing goods consumption [2] Group 2: Wholesale and Retail Industry Development - The added value of the wholesale and retail industry is expected to reach 13.8 trillion yuan in 2024, a 40% increase from the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan, employing 135 million people [3] - In rural areas, over 15,500 commercial outlets have been upgraded, with more than 95% of administrative villages receiving direct express delivery services [3] - The cold chain logistics sector has seen significant growth, with a total cold storage capacity of 25.3 million cubic meters and 495,000 refrigerated vehicles, representing increases of 42.9% and 80% respectively since the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [3] Group 3: Foreign Investment and Trade - By mid-2023, actual foreign investment reached $708.73 billion, surpassing the target of $700 billion set for the 14th Five-Year Plan six months ahead of schedule [5] - The number of newly established foreign-funded enterprises reached 229,000, an increase of 25,000 compared to the 13th Five-Year Plan [5] - The share of high-tech industries in foreign investment is expected to reach 34.6% in 2024, up 6 percentage points from 2020 [5] Group 4: International Trade and Belt and Road Initiative - The scale of goods trade has maintained its position as the world's largest for eight consecutive years, with a projected growth of 32.4% from 2020 to 2024 [7] - Trade with countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative is expected to grow from $2.7 trillion in 2021 to $3.1 trillion in 2024, with an annual growth rate of 4.7% [8] - The number of foreign trade enterprises is nearing 700,000, with the share of private enterprises in exports increasing from 56% at the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan to 64.8% last year [7] Group 5: New Consumption Trends - There is a notable shift towards quality consumption, with consumers increasingly prioritizing the quality of goods over mere availability [9] - New consumption trends include the integration of traditional industries with innovative formats, such as cultural and creative products gaining popularity both domestically and internationally [9] - The potential for consumption remains strong, with ongoing policy support expected to enhance the supply of quality goods and stimulate consumer demand [9]

Core Insights - The China SME Development Index for July remains stable at 89.0, indicating a steady performance amidst external uncertainties and slow domestic demand growth [1] - The index shows a positive trend in various sectors, with six industries experiencing growth while two saw slight declines [1] Industry Performance - The construction, transportation, real estate, social services, information transmission software, and accommodation and catering sectors all reported significant increases in their indices, rising by 0.6, 0.4, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, and 0.3 points respectively [1] - The industrial and wholesale retail sectors experienced minor declines of 0.2 and 0.1 points respectively [1] Financial Conditions - The financial situation for SMEs has improved, with the funding index rising by 0.2 points in July [1] - There is an increase in working capital and a faster turnover of accounts receivable, with six out of eight surveyed industries reporting growth in working capital and quicker collection of receivables [1] Investment Sentiment - Investment willingness among SMEs has shown signs of recovery, with the investment index increasing by 0.1 points in July [1] - Six out of the eight surveyed industries reported an increase in their investment indices [1] Future Outlook - The China SME Association emphasizes the need for comprehensive economic reforms to stimulate domestic demand, foster new growth points in service consumption, and enhance private and SME investment vitality [2] - The focus will be on stabilizing employment, businesses, markets, and expectations to support the innovative development and quality improvement of private and small enterprises [2]

Core Viewpoint - The economic performance of Sichuan province is stable and improving, with a tax electricity index of 103.4, indicating sustained growth in various sectors, particularly in the service industry [1] Group 1: Economic Performance - In the first half of the year, sales revenue across primary, secondary, and tertiary industries showed varying degrees of growth, with the service sector leading at a 6.1% year-on-year increase [1] - The cultural, sports, and entertainment industry in Sichuan saw a remarkable sales revenue growth of 21.1%, driven by the commercialization of large international events like the Chengdu Universiade [1] Group 2: Key Growth Drivers - The integration of cultural tourism and digital economy is identified as a significant engine for growth in Sichuan's service industry, with emerging demands being effectively stimulated by international events [1] - The information transmission, software, and IT service sectors experienced a sales revenue increase of 22.2%, while scientific research and technical services grew by 17.3% [1] Group 3: Supportive Measures - The tax authority plans to leverage big data to implement tax and fee incentives, particularly focusing on supporting the development of the cultural and tourism sectors to further stimulate consumer demand [1]

Group 1 - The China SME Development Index for July is 89.0, remaining stable compared to the previous month, indicating a steady but pressured performance of SMEs amid external uncertainties and slow domestic demand growth [1] - In July, the industry index showed 6 sectors rising and 2 declining, with notable increases in construction, transportation, real estate, social services, information transmission software, and accommodation and catering sectors, rising by 0.6, 0.4, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, and 0.3 points respectively [1] - The funding situation for SMEs improved in July, with the funding index rising by 0.2 points, indicating better liquidity and faster accounts receivable turnover across 6 out of 8 surveyed industries [1] Group 2 - The investment willingness of SMEs showed signs of recovery, with the investment index increasing by 0.1 points in July, as 6 out of 8 surveyed industries reported an increase in investment [1] - The China SME Association emphasizes the need for comprehensive economic reforms to effectively release domestic demand potential, stimulate private investment, and support the innovation and quality improvement of SMEs [2]

Group 1 - The China SME Development Index for July is 89.0, remaining stable compared to the previous month, indicating that SMEs are facing significant external uncertainties and slow domestic demand growth [1] - In July, the index for six industries increased, while two industries saw a decline, suggesting an overall positive trend in industry operations [1] - The construction, transportation, real estate, social services, information transmission software, and accommodation and catering industries showed notable increases in their indices, rising by 0.6, 0.4, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, and 0.3 points respectively [1] Group 2 - The funding situation for SMEs improved in July, with the funding index rising by 0.2 points, indicating better liquidity and faster accounts receivable turnover [1] - Investment willingness among SMEs has also increased, with the investment index rising by 0.1 points in July, reflecting a positive outlook in six out of eight surveyed industries [1] - The China SME Association emphasizes the need for comprehensive economic reforms to stimulate domestic demand, support private and small enterprises, and achieve the goals set for the 14th Five-Year Plan [2]

Group 1 - The Small and Medium Enterprises Development Index (SMEDI) in China remained stable at 89.0 in July, unchanged from June [1] - In July, the funding index and input index increased by 0.2 points and 0.1 points respectively compared to June, while the comprehensive operation index and efficiency index remained flat [1] - The construction, transportation, real estate, social services, information transmission software, and accommodation and catering industries showed significant increases in their development indices, rising by 0.6, 0.4, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, and 0.3 points respectively [1] Group 2 - The development environment for small and medium enterprises in China is stabilizing, with improved funding conditions and reduced operational cost pressures [2] - There is an increasing willingness for investment among enterprises, supported by effective macroeconomic policies [2] - Future efforts will focus on deepening economic reforms, stimulating domestic demand, and supporting innovation and efficiency improvements in private and small enterprises [2]

Core Viewpoint - The China Small and Medium Enterprises Development Index (SMEDI) for July remains stable at 89.0, unchanged from the previous month [1] Industry Summary - The index shows a positive trend in various sectors, with 6 industries experiencing growth and 2 industries seeing a decline [1] - Notable increases were observed in the construction, transportation, real estate, social services, information transmission software, and accommodation and catering industries, with respective increases of 0.6, 0.4, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, and 0.3 points [1] - The industrial and wholesale retail sectors experienced slight declines of 0.2 and 0.1 points, respectively [1] - Overall, the operational status of the industries is improving [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The GDP growth in Q2 2025 met market expectations, but the fixed - asset investment, social consumption, and real estate sectors faced challenges. The export and industrial added - value in June exceeded expectations. The domestic real estate market continued to decline, and the Chinese economy may face challenges in maintaining rapid growth in the second half of the year, requiring continuous efforts to expand domestic demand. The "anti - involution" policies may have a more moderate and long - term impact. Policy decisions may be made based on economic changes, and new policies may be introduced at the end of the third quarter or the beginning of the fourth quarter [84]. Summary by Related Content GDP and Industry Contribution - In Q2 2025, China's GDP grew 5.2% year - on - year, meeting market expectations. The GDP grew 5.3% year - on - year in the first half of the year. The primary, secondary, and tertiary industries grew 3.8%, 4.8%, and 5.7% year - on - year respectively in Q2. The contributions of the three industries to GDP in Q2 were 4.6%, 34.2%, and 61.2% respectively [4][6]. GDP Growth Contribution Factors - In Q2 2025, the contributions of final consumption expenditure, capital formation, and net exports of goods and services to GDP growth were 52.3%, 24.7%, and 23.0% respectively [9]. GDP Deflator - The GDP deflator in Q2 2025 decreased 1.20% year - on - year, showing a negative growth for nine consecutive quarters since Q2 2023 [12]. Fixed - Asset Investment - In the first half of 2025, the national fixed - asset investment grew 2.8% year - on - year, lower than the market expectation of 3.7%. General infrastructure investment (including power) grew 8.9% year - on - year, while narrow infrastructure investment (excluding power) grew 4.6% year - on - year. Manufacturing investment grew 7.5% year - on - year, and real estate development investment decreased 11.2% year - on - year [15]. Real Estate Market - In the first half of 2025, the sales area of new commercial housing decreased 3.5% year - on - year, and the sales volume decreased 5.5% year - on - year. In June, the second - hand housing prices in first - tier cities decreased 0.7% month - on - month, and those in second - and third - tier cities decreased 0.6% month - on - month. In July, the decline rate of national new housing sales area accelerated [18][21][23]. Social Consumption - In June 2025, the total retail sales of consumer goods grew 4.8% year - on - year, lower than the market expectation of 5.6%. The growth rates of most categories of consumer goods in units above the designated size decreased compared with May [26][28]. Service Industry - In June 2025, the service industry production index grew 6.0% year - on - year. The growth rates of information transmission, software and information technology services, leasing and business services, and wholesale and retail industries were relatively high [30]. Foreign Trade - In June 2025, China's exports in US dollars grew 5.8% year - on - year, and imports grew 1.1% year - on - year. Exports to ASEAN and the EU increased, while exports to the US decreased. In July, the China Containerized Freight Index (CCFI) declined slightly, and the decline of the US - West route was faster [33][36][38]. Industrial Sector - In June 2025, the added - value of industrial enterprises above the designated size grew 6.8% year - on - year, exceeding the market expectation. The product sales rate was 94.3%, and the industrial capacity utilization rate in Q2 was 74.0% [41][43][45]. Employment and Prices - In June 2025, the national urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.0%. The CPI increased 0.1% year - on - year, and the PPI decreased 3.6% year - on - year. In July, agricultural product prices hovered at a low level, and the average domestic gasoline price was higher than that in June [47][49][57]. Manufacturing and Non - Manufacturing PMI - In July 2025, the official manufacturing PMI was 49.3%, remaining below the boom - bust line for four consecutive months. The non - manufacturing business activity index was 50.1%. The manufacturing production continued to expand, while the demand re - entered the contraction range. The service industry activity expectation index increased slightly [68][71][81].

Core Viewpoint - The economic performance of 31 provinces in China for the first half of the year shows significant competition, particularly between Hubei and Henan, with Hubei rapidly closing the economic gap [1][2]. Economic Performance - Henan's GDP reached 31,683.80 billion yuan, growing by 5.7%, while Hubei's GDP was 29,642.61 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 6.2%, indicating Hubei's faster growth compared to Henan [1][2]. - The economic gap between Hubei and Henan has significantly narrowed over the past two years, from 5,066.78 billion yuan in 2023 to 2,041.19 billion yuan in 2024 [1]. Investment and Consumption - Hubei's fixed asset investment grew by 6.5%, surpassing the national average of 3.7%, with manufacturing investment increasing by 12.5% [4]. - Hubei's retail sales reached 13,073.93 billion yuan, growing by 6.9%, which is higher than the national average [4]. Trade Performance - Hubei's total import and export volume exceeded 400 billion yuan for the first time, reaching 402.31 billion yuan, with exports growing by 38.5% [5]. - The export of mechanical and electrical products increased by 26.8%, accounting for 50.7% of total exports [5]. Henan's Economic Characteristics - Henan's economy showed "three fasts and two stability" in the first half of the year, with industrial output, fixed asset investment, and retail sales all experiencing significant growth [6][7]. - The industrial production in Henan grew by 8.4%, with nearly 80% of industries maintaining growth [6].