Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant increase in gold prices, driven by central banks' continuous accumulation of gold reserves and strong technical factors, with gold futures for December 2025 rising by $49.3 to $3482.7 per ounce, marking a 1.44% increase [1] - Central banks' purchases of gold are identified as a key driver for the 30% increase in gold prices this year, with expectations that this trend will continue, although the pace of purchases may slow down as prices rise [1] - The article notes that the U.S. Department of Labor reported an increase in initial jobless claims to 226,000, exceeding market expectations, indicating a weakening labor market, which contributed to the rise in gold prices [1] Group 2 - On the technical side, December gold futures are noted to have a strong overall technical advantage for the bulls [1] - Silver futures for September also saw an increase, rising by 62.8 cents to $38.530 per ounce, reflecting a 1.66% gain [1]

Group 1 - The total amount of gold futures in the Shanghai Futures Exchange is 36,009 kilograms, with an increase of 120 kilograms compared to the previous day [1][2] - The main gold futures contract opened at 782.40 yuan per gram, reaching a high of 786.18 yuan and a low of 782.38 yuan, currently trading at 782.50 yuan, reflecting a 0.26% increase [1] - Trading volume for the day is 193,353 contracts, with open interest increasing by 956 contracts to a total of 218,652 contracts [1] Group 2 - There is a possibility of the Federal Reserve implementing interest rate cuts in September, contingent on specific conditions being met [2] - A macro chief strategist from a U.S. firm suggests that the October meeting is the most likely time for the Fed to restart the rate cut process, based on predictions of a deteriorating labor market [2] - The bond market has responded positively, with expectations for a nearly 90% probability of a rate cut in September and continued accommodative monetary policy anticipated through the end of the year [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Industrial silicon futures are currently in a wide - range oscillation. The 2509 contract is expected to trade between 7,800 and 10,000 yuan. [6][7] - Lithium carbonate futures are also in a wide - range oscillation. The 2509 contract is expected to trade between 63,000 and 80,000 yuan. [31][32] 3. Summary According to the Catalog Industrial Silicon Futures 3.1 Mid - term Market Analysis - Industrial silicon futures are in a wide - range oscillation. Last week, spot prices showed mixed movements. As of August 1, the price of 421 in Xinjiang was 9,300 yuan/ton, in Yunnan was 10,300 yuan/ton, and in Sichuan was 10,100 yuan/ton. The AI intelligent investment consultation report shows that the daily price is in a downward channel, and there is no obvious long - or short - bias among the main players. The 2509 contract is expected to trade between 7,800 and 10,000 yuan. [6][7] 3.2 Variety Trading Strategies - Last week's strategy: Consider buying in small quantities on dips during the stabilization and recovery of industrial silicon prices. [10] - This week's strategy: Consider grid trading within the range. [11] 3.3 Relevant Data - As of April 19, 2024, the SHFE cathode copper inventory was 300,045 tons, an increase of 322 tons from the previous week, and it is at a relatively high level compared to the past five years. [13] - As of April 19, 2024, the LME copper inventory was 122,125 tons, with a cancelled warrant ratio of 25.73%. It is at a relatively low level compared to the past five years. [17] Lithium Carbonate Futures 3.1 Mid - term Market Analysis - Lithium carbonate futures are in a wide - range oscillation. Last week, spot prices declined. As of August 1, the average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 69,000 yuan/ton, and that of industrial - grade was 68,300 yuan/ton. The AI variety diagnosis report shows that the daily price is in an upward channel, and the main players show a strong bullish sentiment. The 2509 contract is expected to trade between 63,000 and 80,000 yuan. [31][32] 3.2 Variety Trading Strategies - Last week's strategy: Consider buying in small quantities on dips during the stabilization and recovery of lithium carbonate prices. [35] - This week's strategy: Consider buying in small quantities when the price of lithium carbonate retraces to the 63,000 - 65,000 yuan range. [36] 3.3 Relevant Data - As of April 19, 2024, the SHFE electrolytic aluminum inventory was 228,537 tons, a decrease of 3,228 tons from the previous week, and it is at a relatively low level compared to the past five years. [39] - As of April 19, 2024, the LME aluminum inventory was 504,000 tons, with a cancelled warrant ratio of 66.03%. It is at a relatively low level compared to the past five years. [41]

Group 1 - The Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Arabica coffee futures have decreased by nearly 3%, reaching a price of $2.8780 per pound [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) agricultural futures showed mixed performance on July 31, with fluctuations in various commodity prices [1] Group 1: Commodity Performance - Raw sugar futures decreased by 0.61%, closing at 16.35 cents per pound [1] - Cotton futures fell by 0.41%, ending at 67.22 cents per pound [1] - Cocoa futures increased by 3.26%, reaching $8,459.00 per ton [1] - Coffee futures rose by 0.48%, closing at 294.80 cents per pound [1]

Group 1 - The CME Bitcoin futures main contract fell by 0.38% to just below $118,000, and at 03:06, it dropped below $116,000 [1] - The CME Ether futures main contract increased by 0.15%, reaching $3,795, and previously hit $3,701 at 03:06 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent adjustments made by commodity exchanges to cool down the market, specifically focusing on the increased transaction fees for glass, soda ash, and caustic soda futures, which have led to a notable decrease in trading volume and market activity [1][2]. Group 1: Fee Adjustments - The Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange announced an increase in transaction fees for various futures contracts effective from July 30, 2025, including a fee of 10 yuan per hand for glass futures and a fee of 0.04% of the transaction amount for soda ash futures [2]. - The transaction fee for caustic soda futures was set at 0.02% of the transaction amount for both regular and intraday positions [2]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the fee adjustments, there was a significant rebound in previously declining futures, with coking coal rising over 6%, glass increasing by over 4%, and both coking coal and soda ash seeing gains of over 3% [3]. - Despite the rebound, the overall trading volume in the futures market dropped significantly, with a 31.89% decrease to 38.76 million contracts and a 23.45% decrease in transaction value to 32.13 billion yuan, marking the lowest levels since July 21 [4]. Group 3: Capital Flow and Positioning - The glass and soda ash markets continued to experience capital outflows, with glass seeing a net outflow of 221 million yuan and soda ash 102 million yuan [4]. - Open interest in both glass and soda ash futures has been declining, with glass positions down by 26,700 contracts and soda ash by 41,500 contracts [4]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The black series commodities showed mixed performance, with coking coal continuing to decline but at a reduced rate, while rebar and hot-rolled coil saw approximately 2% increases [6]. - The rebar futures contract closed at 3,347 yuan per ton, with a 1.98% increase and significant capital inflow, indicating a shift in investor focus towards rebar and hot-rolled coil [7].

Group 1 - The CME Bitcoin futures main contract increased by 0.27% compared to the previous day, reaching $119,000 [1] - The CME Ether futures main contract rose by 4.13%, closing at $3,745 [1]

Group 1 - The CME Bitcoin futures main contract rose by 2.81% compared to the previous New York close, slightly surpassing $120,000 [1] - The CME Ether futures main contract fell by 0.74%, closing at $3,711.50 [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group and Nasdaq have extended the license for Nasdaq-100 futures until 2039 [1]