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【私募调研记录】观富资产调研萃华珠宝
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-07-30 00:11
根据市场公开信息及7月29日披露的机构调研信息,知名私募观富资产近期对1家上市公司进行了调研, 相关名单如下: 观富(北京)资产管理有限公司,成立于2015年。观富资产恪守逆向思维,信仰均值回归,精通价值评 估,于市场和行业噪音中遴选优质投资标的,为投资者贡献安心安全的投资选择。观富资产由中国基金 业首批开放式基金经理带队,公司所有合伙人均在"老10家"公募基金公司长期担任研究、投资部门的重 要管理职务, 以大型资产管理平台的视角,亲历资本市场多年起落,将严谨的风险管理体系和完善的 投资管理流程作为立足之本,为投资者创造风险调整后的长期超额收益。 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理,由AI算法生成(网信算备310104345710301240019号),不构成投资建议。 个股亮点:公司打造了备受消费者欢迎的"故宫IP"、"非遗"、"国潮"、"跨界"等系列珠宝产品;公司针 对婴童市场推出的天使之礼、时尚IP等时尚珠宝产品系列 机构简介: 1)萃华珠宝 (观富资产参与公司现场参观&电话会议) ...
【私募调研记录】红荔湾投资调研萃华珠宝
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-07-30 00:11
根据市场公开信息及7月29日披露的机构调研信息,知名私募红荔湾投资近期对1家上市公司进行了调 研,相关名单如下: 1)萃华珠宝 (红荔湾投资参与公司现场参观&电话会议) 个股亮点:公司打造了备受消费者欢迎的"故宫IP"、"非遗"、"国潮"、"跨界"等系列珠宝产品;公司针 对婴童市场推出的天使之礼、时尚IP等时尚珠宝产品系列 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理,由AI算法生成(网信算备310104345710301240019号),不构成投资建议。 ...
老铺黄金(06181.HK):预告1H25达成优秀增长 期待渠道提升效果显现
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-29 19:35
Group 1 - The company forecasts a net profit of RMB 22.3-22.8 billion for 1H25, representing a year-on-year growth of 279%-288% [1] - The expected revenue for 1H25 is approximately RMB 120-125 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 241%-255% [1] - The company's strong performance is attributed to its continuous investment in product design and brand enhancement, leading to excellent sales in high-end markets [1] Group 2 - The company has launched several new products in 1H25, showcasing its innovation in creativity and craftsmanship [2] - New store openings in prime locations and larger operational areas are expected to enhance brand influence and improve customer experience [2] - The company has accelerated its store opening pace in 2025, with some new stores reaching 300-400 square meters in size [2] Group 3 - The earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 16% and 7% respectively, now projected at RMB 26.55 and RMB 35.45 [2] - The current stock price corresponds to 27/20 times the 2025/26 earnings multiples, maintaining an outperform rating [2] - The target price remains unchanged at RMB 1,079.06, indicating a 41% upside potential from the current stock price [3]
老铺黄金(6181.HK):25H1收入业绩高增 渠道拓展将有力支撑下半年增长
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-29 19:35
Core Viewpoint - The company expects a significant increase in revenue and adjusted net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by brand influence, product optimization, and new store openings [1][2][3] Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenue of 120-125 billion yuan for 25H1, representing a year-on-year growth of 241%-255% [1] - Adjusted net profit is expected to be between 23.0-23.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 282%-292% [1] - The adjusted net profit margin is projected to be approximately 19.0%, an increase of 1.9 percentage points compared to the previous year [3] Market Expansion - As of July 27, 2025, the company has entered 30 shopping malls across 16 cities, including new entries in Shanghai and Singapore [3][6] - The company plans to open more high-end stores, with expectations of adding over 7 new high-end shopping mall channels by the end of 2025 [3][7] Product Innovation - The company launched new product lines, including the "Seven Sons Gourd" and "Cross" series, emphasizing originality and craftsmanship [4] - The "Seven Sons Gourd" series features high-temperature enamel craftsmanship, priced between 32,000 to 45,000 yuan, showcasing a vibrant color palette [4] Industry Outlook - The domestic high-end gold jewelry market is estimated to be around 100 billion yuan, with a trend of consumers shifting towards gold jewelry from other types [5][6] - The company is strategically expanding into international markets, with recent openings in Singapore and plans for further expansion into regions like the Middle East and Europe [6][7] Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are 252.84 billion yuan in 2025, 341.14 billion yuan in 2026, and 434.09 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 197.3%, 34.9%, and 27.2% [7]
研报掘金|中金:老铺黄金中期业绩增长优异 维持“跑赢行业”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-29 19:35
Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that Laopu Gold has released a positive interim profit forecast, expecting significant revenue and profit growth for the first half of the year [1] Financial Performance - Laopu Gold anticipates revenue between 12 billion to 12.5 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 241% to 255% [1] - The net profit is projected to be between 2.23 billion to 2.28 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 279% to 288% [1] Earnings Forecast - CICC has raised its earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 16% and 7%, respectively, to 26.55 yuan and 35.45 yuan [1] Valuation and Target Price - The target price remains unchanged at 1,079.06 HKD, corresponding to 38 times and 28 times the projected P/E ratios for 2025 and 2026 [1] - This target price indicates a potential upside of 41% compared to the current stock price [1] - CICC maintains an "outperform" rating for the stock [1]
老铺黄金(6181.HK):1H利润预增279%+ 看好全年高增势头
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-29 19:35
Core Viewpoint - Lao Pu Gold is expected to achieve significant revenue growth in the first half of 2025, driven by both online and offline store contributions, as well as new store openings in key locations [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company anticipates revenue of approximately 120-125 billion RMB in 1H25, representing a year-on-year increase of about 241%-255% [1][2]. - Adjusted net profit is projected to be around 23-23.6 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 282%-292% [1][2]. - The net profit is expected to be around 22.3-22.8 billion RMB, with a year-on-year increase of approximately 279%-288% [1]. Group 2: Brand and Product Development - Lao Pu Gold has been innovating its product offerings, introducing new items such as "Seven Sons Gourd" and "Cross Diamond Pendant" in 1H25, which have received positive market feedback [3]. - The company has a history of product innovation, having launched "Gold Inlaid Diamond" in 2019 and "Gold Body Burnt Blue" in 2022, enhancing its competitive advantage in the high-end jewelry market [3]. Group 3: Market Expansion and Channel Development - The company has made significant progress in expanding its presence in high-end shopping districts, with new stores opening in locations such as Shanghai and Singapore [4]. - Upcoming store openings in various premium locations are expected to contribute to revenue growth and strengthen the brand's high-end positioning [4]. - The successful launch of the Singapore flagship store is anticipated to enhance the brand's international growth potential [4]. Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains profit forecasts of 49.1 billion RMB, 62.1 billion RMB, and 75.8 billion RMB for the years 2025-2027 [4]. - The target price is set at 1200 HKD, corresponding to a 38.5 times PE ratio for 2025, reflecting the company's strong growth momentum and high-end brand positioning [4].
老铺黄金(06181.HK):品牌扩圈驱动营收高增 经营杠杆驱动盈利优化
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-29 19:35
Core Viewpoint - The company has released a positive earnings forecast for the first half of 2025, indicating significant growth in both revenue and net profit, driven by brand expansion and operational efficiency [1] Group 1: Earnings Forecast - For H1 2025, the company expects revenue to be approximately 12 billion to 12.5 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of about 241% to 255% [1] - The projected net profit for H1 2025 is around 2.23 billion to 2.28 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of approximately 279% to 288% [1] - Adjusted net profit is anticipated to be between 2.3 billion to 2.36 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 282% to 292% [1] Group 2: Growth Drivers - Key factors driving the high growth in H1 2025 include the continuous expansion of brand influence, leading to significant revenue increases from both online and offline stores [1] - Ongoing product optimization and new iterations are supporting sustained revenue growth across channels [1] - The contribution of new channel development and store optimization to revenue is expected to be more pronounced in H2 2025 [1] Group 3: Profitability Metrics - The adjusted net profit margin for H1 2025 is projected to increase by 1.9 percentage points to 19.0%, primarily benefiting from same-store sales growth and scale effects [1] Group 4: Investment Outlook - Based on the trend of brand expansion and high-potential store development, the company forecasts revenues of 25.517 billion, 36.959 billion, and 47.041 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 200.0%, 44.8%, and 27.3% [2] - The expected net profits for the same years are 4.706 billion, 6.832 billion, and 9.113 billion yuan, with growth rates of 219.5%, 45.2%, and 33.4% [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 27.25, 39.57, and 52.78 yuan per share for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [2]
老铺黄金(6181.HK):品牌持续破圈带动业绩高增 符合预期
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-29 19:35
Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue and profit growth in the first half of 2025, driven by both offline same-store sales and online channel growth, with a strong outlook for the second half of the year due to new store contributions [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenue of 12-12.5 billion yuan for 25H1, representing a year-on-year increase of 241%-255% [1]. - Adjusted net profit is projected to be 2.3-2.36 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 282%-292% [1]. - Net profit is expected to be 2.23-2.28 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 279%-288% [1]. Group 2: Growth Drivers - The substantial revenue growth in 25H1 is attributed to the expansion of brand influence, leading to significant market advantages and increased overall revenue from both online and offline stores [1]. - Continuous product iteration and optimization are also contributing to the revenue and profit growth [1]. - The company has opened several key stores in 2023, including locations in Shanghai and Singapore, with more planned for the second half of the year [1]. Group 3: Profitability Metrics - The adjusted net profit margin for 25H1 is estimated to be around 18.9%-19.2%, compared to 17.7% in 2024 [2]. - The net profit margin for 25H1 is projected to be 18.2%-18.6%, up from 16.7% in 24H1 and 17.3% in 2024 [2]. - The increase in net profit margin is primarily due to the profit elasticity from same-store growth under a fully direct sales model, despite potential short-term pressure on gross margins from rising gold prices [2]. Group 4: Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 24.6 billion, 35.8 billion, and 46.3 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 189%, 45%, and 29% respectively [2]. - Expected net profits for the same period are 4.918 billion, 7.256 billion, and 9.435 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 234%, 48%, and 30% respectively [2]. - The price-to-earnings ratio (PE) is projected to be 24, 16, and 12 times for 2025, 2026, and 2027 based on the closing price on July 28 [2].
老铺黄金(06181.HK):25H1业绩预告表现亮眼 品牌势能有望持续释放
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-29 19:35
Core Viewpoint - The company anticipates significant growth in sales and profits for the first half of 2025, driven by brand influence and product optimization, particularly in the ancient gold sector, which is expected to see robust market expansion [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company expects sales revenue (including tax) to be approximately RMB 13.8 billion to 14.3 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of about 240% to 252% [1] - Projected revenue is around RMB 12 billion to 12.5 billion, with a year-on-year increase of approximately 241% to 255% [1] - Adjusted net profit (excluding share-based payment impacts) is estimated at RMB 2.3 billion to 2.36 billion, reflecting a growth of about 282% to 292% compared to the previous year [1] - Net profit is expected to be around RMB 2.23 billion to 2.28 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of approximately 279% to 288% [1] Group 2: Market Potential - The ancient gold sector is projected to have strong growth potential, with the market size expected to reach RMB 219.3 billion in 2024 and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.8% from 2023 to 2028, significantly outpacing other gold jewelry segments [1] - The company is positioned as a high-end ancient gold brand, targeting high-net-worth individuals across various age groups, and is expanding its presence in both domestic and international markets [2] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively expanding its retail channels, opening stores in high-end shopping centers in China and entering top-tier markets in Singapore, which is expected to enhance its international market influence [2] - The company aims to leverage its product quality and brand strength to continue increasing its market share in the ancient gold sector [2] Group 4: Profit Forecast - Based on strong sales performance, the company forecasts net profits of RMB 4.4 billion, RMB 5.72 billion, and RMB 6.76 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 198.8%, 30.0%, and 18.2% [2] - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected to be 27, 21, and 18 times for the respective years [2]
研报掘金|华泰证券:维持老铺黄金“买入”评级 继续看好其竞争优势及高成长势头
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-29 19:35
Core Viewpoint - Huatai Securities published a research report indicating that Laopu Gold has released a positive profit forecast, expecting revenue of approximately 12 billion to 12.5 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of about 241% to 255% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Laopu Gold's net profit is projected to be around 2.23 billion to 2.28 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of approximately 279% to 288% [1] - The strong growth in the first half of the year is primarily attributed to contributions from both online and offline existing stores [1] Group 2: Expansion and Growth Drivers - New large stores, including those at Shanghai Hongqiao Henglong and Singapore's first store, as well as Shanghai IFC, opened in May and June, are expected to significantly contribute to incremental performance in the second half of the year [1] - The company maintains a competitive advantage and high growth momentum, leading to a sustained "buy" rating with a target price of 1,200 HKD, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of 38.5 times for 2025 [1]