证券研究报告：食品饮料|行业周报 发布时间：2025-07-07 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | | 16666.79 | | 52 | 周最高 | 19809.29 | | 52 | 周最低 | 14118.56 | 行业相对指数表现 -11% -7% -3% 1% 5% 9% 13% 17% 21% 25% 2024-07 2024-09 2024-11 2025-02 2025-04 2025-07 食品饮料 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:蔡雪昱 SAC 登记编号:S1340522070001 Email:caixueyu@cnpsec.com 分析师:杨逸文 SAC 登记编号:S1340522120002 Email:yangyiwen@cnpsec.com 分析师:张子健 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050001 Email:zhangzijian@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《白酒啤酒个股有望情绪修复，新渠道 拓展与全球化成为消费品牌新增长路 径》 - 2025.06. ...

Core Viewpoint - Dongpeng Beverage announced a delay in the construction of its headquarters building project to June 2026, originally scheduled for June 2025, due to construction challenges and unforeseen factors [1] Group 1: Project Update - The headquarters building project has seen an actual investment of 125 million yuan, with a progress rate of 60.34% as of June 29, 2025 [1] - The main structure of the building has been completed, while interior and exterior installations are ongoing [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Dongpeng Beverage reported a revenue of 4.85 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 980 million yuan, up 47.6% [1] - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 959 million yuan, reflecting a 53.5% year-on-year growth [1] Group 3: Market Position and Expenses - From 2022 to 2024, the revenue from energy drinks accounted for 96.6%, 91.9%, and 84.0% of total revenue, indicating a slight decline due to the introduction of new products [1] - Advertising and promotion expenses for the same period were 1.449 billion yuan, 1.956 billion yuan, and 2.681 billion yuan, with growth rates of 5.91%, 34.94%, and 37.09% respectively [2] - Research and development expenses were significantly lower, totaling only 161 million yuan over three years, which is less than 6% of advertising expenses [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a cautious outlook on the liquor industry, suggesting a bottoming opportunity for investment in high-end liquor brands and potential cyclical recovery in beer and yellow wine sectors [2][11][12]. Core Insights - The liquor industry is experiencing pressure on sales due to external risks and a need for demand improvement, with expectations for the price of original box Feitian Moutai to stabilize around 2000 RMB [2][11]. - The beer industry is showing signs of stabilization with a recovery in dining demand and potential for high-frequency sales tracking, suggesting a favorable outlook for the upcoming peak season [3][12]. - The yellow wine sector is witnessing a trend towards premiumization and market promotion efforts by leading brands, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [3][13]. - The snack food industry remains robust, driven by channel expansion and new product penetration, with expectations for continued high growth in Q2 [3][12]. - The soft drink sector is seeing demand improvement driven by health-oriented and functional beverages, with a positive outlook for brands like Dongpeng Beverage and Nongfu Spring [4][14]. - The seasoning industry is stabilizing at a low point, with growth relying on structural upgrades and increased demand from the restaurant sector [5][15]. Summary by Sections Liquor Industry - Feitian Moutai's original box price is stable between 1900-1950 RMB, with expectations for a price stabilization around 2000 RMB [2][11]. - The industry is under pressure, but the market's expectations for short-term performance have been adequately priced in, suggesting a potential for recovery [12]. Beer Industry - The beer sector is expected to stabilize with a recovery in dining demand and increased focus on non-drinking channels [3][12]. - The industry is positioned for a favorable performance in the upcoming peak season, with anticipated steady mid-year earnings [3][12]. Yellow Wine Industry - The trend towards premiumization is becoming a consensus among leading brands, with increased marketing efforts and a focus on younger consumers [3][13]. Snack Food Industry - The snack food sector is maintaining high growth due to channel expansion and new product introductions, with Q2 performance expected to continue the positive trend [3][12]. Soft Drink Industry - The soft drink market is improving, driven by health and functional beverages, with brands like Dongpeng Beverage and Nongfu Spring expected to perform well [4][14]. Seasoning Industry - The seasoning sector is stabilizing, with growth dependent on structural upgrades and increased demand from the restaurant industry [5][15].

今年以来，兰世立带领的"武汉二厂"先是在4月底推出橙子、菠萝和香蕉口味三个老汽水，两个月后的7 月又推出了车厘子、草莓、蓝莓口味布局中高端市场，在10月10日推出了1.99元易拉罐产品。 | RafflesInterior | | --- | 值得注意的是，武汉二厂并非单独IPO，而是被一家港股上市公司并购。兰世立告诉《每日经济新闻》 记者："Raffles Interior Limited是上市公司的主体，武汉二厂从今天（10月19日）开始是上市公司的一部 分。" 公开资料显示，港股01376简称RAFFLESINTERIOR，其主体是一家名为Raffles Interior Limited的新加坡 室内装修服务供应商。10月18日RAFFLESINTERIOR发布公告表示，董事会于2023年9月12日收到香港 联交所有关就收购事项及转换股份的上市批准。同时，RAFFLESINTERIOR委任向颖为执行董事，任期 自2023年10月18日起为期3年，委任彭尚凤为非执行董事，任期与向颖相同。两位新任董事会成员将获 指派于收购事项完成后监督目标公司的营运及发挥彼等各自于中国市场的专业精神及专业知识，为武汉 二厂 ...

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [6] Core Views - The liquor sector is experiencing a decline in sentiment due to fluctuations in the price of Feitian Moutai, with leading companies actively exploring new consumption scenarios and demographics [2][13] - The health products, soft drinks, and snacks sectors are viewed positively due to high growth potential, low base effects, and upcoming peak seasons [4][15] Summary by Sections Market Performance Review - The food and beverage sector saw a decline of 0.88% from June 23 to June 27, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.95% [1][22] - Specific sector performances included health products (+3.65%), baked goods (+2.72%), and soft drinks (-0.58%) [1][22] Liquor Sector Insights - The white liquor sector declined by 1.66%, attributed to seasonal demand weakness and price fluctuations of high-end products like Feitian Moutai [2][13] - Current prices for 25-year Moutai (original/scattered) are 1870 RMB/1800 RMB, down by 80 RMB/100 RMB from the previous week [2][13] - The Shunwan white liquor index PE-TTM is at 18X, which is considered low compared to the historical average [2][13] Health Products and Snacks - The health products sector is experiencing a growth trend, with a 3.65% increase this week, driven by new consumption trends [20] - The snack sector is expected to benefit from low base effects and new product launches, with companies like Three Squirrels and Salted Fish being highlighted [17][21] Soft Drinks and Beer - The soft drink sector saw a slight decline of 0.6%, with notable performances from brands like Master Kong (+5.4%) and Nongfu Spring (+5.3%) [4][15] - The beer sector declined by 1.9%, but there is optimism for recovery with upcoming consumption policies [4][15] Investment Recommendations - Focus on strong alpha companies in the liquor sector such as Shanxi Fenjiu and Guizhou Moutai, which are expected to benefit from market consolidation [4][21] - In the consumer goods sector, companies that align with cost reduction and market share growth strategies are recommended, including Li Gao Foods and Nongfu Spring [4][21]

国外 1. 美银：美股创新高之际遭遇客户10周来最大净卖出 美国银行汇总的数据显示，标普500指数创出新高的同时美国股市录得了10周以来最大规模的净卖出。 美国银行策略师Jill Carey Hall指出，卖出由机构客户主导，对冲基金则是第二周卖出，私人客户是六周 以来第一次。他表示，客户在八个板块卖出股票，其中工业和房地产居首；这两个板块已连续四周出现 资金流出。 2. 瑞银：下调10年期美债收益率预测至4.10% 瑞银下调10年期美国国债收益率预期，因美国就业市场前景趋弱。该行预计10年期国债收益率将从此前 预测的4.20%降至4.10%，止损位为4.40%。策略师Reinout De Bock表示，如果本周公布的美国就业数据 疲弱，包括6月初请失业金人数和非农就业数据，美债收益率可能下跌。"如果失业率意外上升，利率将 走低。"瑞银押注美国国债曲线趋陡，即短期和长期收益率之差扩大。Tradeweb的数据显示，10年期美 国国债收益率最新报4.199%，早些时候曾触及两个月低点4.191%。 3. 荷兰银行：债券期限溢价上升是全球现象 主要市场的债券期限溢价有所上升。荷兰银行分析师在一份报告中表示，自去年初 ...

证券代码：605337 证券简称：李子园 公告编号：2025-045 转债代码：111014 转债简称：李子转债 浙江李子园食品股份有限公司 重要内容提示： ? 累计转股情况：浙江李子园食品股份有限公司向不特定对象发行可转换 公司债券（以下简称"李子转债"）自 2023 年 12 月 28 日起开始转股，截至 2025 年 6 月 30 日，累计共有人民币 51,000 元"李子转债"转换为公司普通股股票， 累计转股股数为 2,636 股，占"李子转债"转股前公司已发行股份总额的 0.0007%。 ? 未转股可转债情况：截至 2025 年 6 月 30 日，尚未转股的"李子转债" 金额为人民币 599,949,000 元，占"李子转债"发行总量的比例为 99.9915%。 ? 本季度转股情况：自 2025 年 4 月 1 日至 2025 年 6 月 30 日期间，"李子 转债"未发生转股。 一、 可转债发行上市概况 （一）可转债发行情况 可转债转股结果暨股份变动公告 本公司董事会、全体董事及相关股东保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 经 ...

以下文章来源于投资界 ，作者吴琼 投资界 . 清科创业旗下创业与投资资讯平台 爱美的生意，向来伴随着造富盛宴。 文 ｜ 吴琼 来源｜ 投资界（ID：pedaily2012） 封面来源 ｜ 锦波生物官网 一个意想不到的赛道，钟睒睒出手了。 近日北交所上市公司锦波生物宣布两笔交易——引入养生堂作为公司的战略投资者；同时公司创始人杨霞将其持有的575.33万股转让给杭州久视。合计下 来，交易总金额将达34亿元。 穿透两家受让方背后，都是钟睒睒。 在外界的印象里，钟睒睒总离不开与农夫山泉。但他这次投资的，却是一个医美新晋女王——曾是山西医科大学老师的杨霞带队创办锦波生物，如今凭借 重组胶原蛋白产品（美容针），撑起400亿市值。 刚刚，钟睒睒出手34亿 投向重组胶原蛋白 根据公告，锦波生物拟以引入战略投资者方式，向养生堂发行不超过717.57万股，占其发行前总股本的6.24%，融资金额不超过20亿元。若成功实施，这 将是北交所史上最大金额的现金定增。 同时，锦波生物控股股东和实控人杨霞与杭州久视签署了《股份转让协议》，将其持有的575.33万股转让给杭州久视，转让价格为243.84元/股，交易总金 额达14.03亿元。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the acceleration of health consumption policies and the resulting opportunities for the health industry, as evidenced by the construction of pocket parks, greenways, and fitness facilities across the country [1] - The promotion of health consumption is expected to attract more enterprises into the health market, driving market growth, innovation in business models, and optimization of consumption structure [1] - The rising trend of health-conscious eating is reflected in the significant increase in searches for "light meal restaurants" and "fitness membership cards" on platforms like Meituan, indicating a shift in consumer preferences towards healthier food options [1][2] Group 2 - The demand for functional beverages and health products is increasing, with categories like infant nutrition and fish oil seeing high sales during shopping events, suggesting a growing market for effective nutritional products [2] - The integration of sports and tourism is being promoted, with various events and activities attracting tourists, indicating a trend towards health-oriented tourism experiences [2][3] - The sports tourism market in China is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 13.3% from 2025 to 2030, reflecting the increasing importance of health awareness in tourism [3] Group 3 - The health consumption market is characterized by rapid growth, innovative business models, and an optimized consumption structure, driven by heightened health awareness among consumers [4] - The market is attracting more enterprises, with a notable increase in the registration of health-related companies and outdoor sports enterprises in recent years [4] - Financial support systems are evolving to enhance health consumption, with initiatives aimed at promoting digital, green, and health-related consumption [4]

李子园 20250627 公司在产品和渠道调整方面有哪些重要工作？ 上半年公司重点优化含乳饮料产品结构，并针对传统流通渠道进行产品调整或 开发。今年推出的新产品维生素水系列，包括维生素 B 和维生素 C 两款产品， 共有三个口味，规格为 500 毫升。这些功能性饮料迎合消费者对营养健康需求， 以 0 脂肪、0 卡路里、0 色素、0 添加为特点。从 3 月到 4 月开始推广，目前 已在便利店、电商及学校渠道铺货，例如 711、罗森、全家、美宜佳等便利店， 以及爱奇艺综艺栏目冠名、电商活动等进行宣传推广。 摘要 李子园受传统渠道人流量减少影响，商超和夫妻老婆店销售下滑，但电 商和便利店系统保持增长，一季度和二季度电商销售增长约 30%- 40%，零食量贩和便利店系统也维持双位数增长。预计上半年整体收入 仍将下滑。 公司通过成本控制和原材料战略储备提升毛利率，一季度毛利率同比提 高 3-4 个百分点，预计上半年净利润增幅将超过 100%。 公司重点优化含乳饮料产品结构，并针对传统流通渠道进行产品调整或 开发，推出维生素水系列，规格为 500 毫升，以 0 脂肪、0 卡路里、0 色素、0 添加为特点，已在便利店、电商 ...