Core Insights - Uber reported better-than-expected Q2 revenue and guidance, indicating further growth potential in its core ride-hailing and delivery businesses [1] - The company announced a new $20 billion stock buyback plan [1] Financial Performance - Q2 revenue increased by 18% year-over-year to $12.7 billion, exceeding market expectations; earnings per share were $0.63, in line with forecasts [1] - Total bookings for Q2 grew by 17% to $46.8 billion, surpassing market expectations [2] - Adjusted EBITDA reached a record $2.12 billion, higher than the anticipated $2.09 billion [2] Business Segments - The delivery segment performed strongly, offsetting a slight decline in ride bookings; more users in the U.S., Australia, Canada, and Mexico are utilizing delivery services [2] - The ride-hailing segment's total bookings reached $23.8 billion, slightly below analyst expectations of $23.9 billion [2] Future Outlook - For Q3, total bookings are expected to range between $48.25 billion and $49.75 billion, exceeding previous market expectations of $47.6 billion [2] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 is projected to be between $2.19 billion and $2.29 billion, with the midpoint exceeding market forecasts [2] Strategic Initiatives - The company is leveraging cross-selling advantages between its two core services, with 12% of annual delivery orders (approximately $10 billion) generated through the Uber rides app [3] - The paid membership program, Uber One, saw a 60% year-over-year increase in subscribers, now exceeding 36 million, contributing 40% of total bookings [3] - Uber plans to intensify efforts to expand its business outside major European cities and is exploring partnerships with taxi companies to enter new markets [3] Market Response - Following the announcement, Uber's stock rose over 1% in pre-market trading [4]

Core Viewpoint - UBS analysts express mixed feedback on the anti-involution measures, indicating that the market remains skeptical about their potential impact on stock prices [1][4]. Industry Analysis - **Cement**: Price decline mainly due to weak demand, with output prices remaining above cost levels. The sector is mostly priced in, with CNBM (3323 HK) as a top pick [2]. - **Coal**: Limited outdated capacity and energy security concerns lead to a slight price increase, with moderate demand impact. The sector is partly priced in [2]. - **Lithium**: Long-term demand remains strong, with potential price increases for lithium carbonate contracts. The sector is slightly priced in, with Qinghai Salt Lake (000792 CH) as a top pick [2]. - **Chemicals**: Certain subsectors face poor profitability, with potential for capacity reform. The sector is not priced in, with Hualu-Hengsheng (600426 CH) and Hengli (600346 CH) as top picks [2]. - **Auto**: Strong price cuts and global pressure on excess capacity lead to slightly higher consumption. The sector is not priced in, with BYD (1211 HK), Li Auto (LI US), and GWM (2333 HK) as top picks [2]. - **Insurance**: Financial stability is important, with limited demand impact. The sector is partly priced in, with Ping An Insurance-H (2318 HK) and CPIC-H (2601 HK) as top picks [2]. - **Solar Supply Chain**: Low profit margins and global pressure to cut excess capacity lead to higher prices. The sector is slightly priced in, with GCL Tech (3800 HK), Tongwei (600438 CH), and Longi (601012 CH) as top picks [2]. - **Hog**: Hog prices are a key component of CPI, with limited demand impact. The sector is partly priced in, with Muyuan (002714 CH) and Wens (300498 CH) as top picks [2]. - **Healthcare**: Healthcare costs need to be kept low, with limited demand impact. The sector is mostly priced in, with 3S Bio (1530 HK) and Weigao (1066 HK) as top picks [2]. - **Food Delivery**: Companies face loss-making conditions, with high demand sensitivity. The sector is slightly priced in, with Alibaba (BABA US) as a top pick [2]. - **Steel**: Steel gross margins remain decent, with limited demand impact. The sector is overly priced in [2]. Investment Opportunities - UBS identifies solar, chemicals, and lithium industries as the most attractive for selective investment based on their low profitability, growth potential, and valuation risks [4][12].

Important News - The U.S. trade deficit reached a record high in March due to tariffs leading to stockpiling of goods [1] - The EU plans to impose additional tariffs on approximately €100 billion (about $113 billion) worth of U.S. goods if ongoing trade negotiations do not yield satisfactory results [1] - Canadian Prime Minister Carney is set to meet with Trump to discuss trade and relations between the two countries [1] Company News - IBM (IBM.N) and Oracle (ORCL.N) announced an expansion of their partnership to advance agent-based AI and hybrid cloud, integrating IBM's flagship AI product suite, watsonx, into Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) [2] - The U.S. Department of Justice filed documents in federal court requiring Google (GOOG.O) to divest two core assets from its online advertising business—AdX advertising trading platform and publisher ad server [2] - DoorDash (DASH.N) has reached an agreement to acquire the UK-based food delivery platform Deliveroo for £2.9 billion (approximately $3.9 billion) in equity value [2] - Piper Sandler recently warned that under the worst-case scenario of reduced capital expenditures and continued weak demand in the Chinese market, NVIDIA's (NVDA.O) data center business could face an impact of up to $9.8 billion in annual revenue [2] - AstraZeneca (AZN.O) announced that a new indication for its BTK inhibitor has been approved by the EU for the treatment of mantle cell lymphoma, marking it as the first and only approved inhibitor for this indication in the EU [2] - Tesla (TSLA.O) saw a 62% year-over-year decline in new car sales in the UK for April, marking the lowest level in over two years [2] - Pony.ai (PONY.O) and Uber (UBER.N) announced a strategic partnership, with Pony.ai's Robotaxi service and fleet set to integrate into the Uber platform in the second half of this year [2][3]